Grace Crossover

The Patient One

📊 Swing Trader 📅 66 years old (Born 1960)

"The fast moving average is the heartbeat. The slow moving average is the breath. When heartbeat crosses breath, the market has made its decision."

Elegant woman in her mid-60s with silver hair in a neat bun. Minimalist wardrobe—black turtleneck, simple silver watch. Her desk is immaculate, containing only what is essential.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Jun 20, 2025 → Jun 20, 2026 (365d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Grace Crossover's performance over the last year across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,346

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,674 ($-328)

-3.07%

Last Year ROI

30.0%

Win Rate

17,526

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Year)

Stock Volume

$143,337,436

13,136 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$14,718,868

4,390 trades

Crypto Fees

$36,797

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

EMA crossover - 9 EMA crossing 21 EMA signals entry

Monitors the 9-period and 21-period Exponential Moving Averages. When the fast EMA (9) crosses above the slow EMA (21), it signals bullish momentum and triggers a buy. The opposite cross triggers a sell.

🎯 Best Suited For

Stocks with clean trending behavior

"The trend is your friend until it bends."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend roughly 30% of the time—but that's where the big money is made. The crossover filters out noise and identifies when momentum has genuinely shifted.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

                        EMAt = (Close × k) + (EMAt-1 × (1 - k))                    

                        Unlike SMA, EMA weighs recent prices more heavily. The multiplier k controls sensitivity.                    

                            k = Smoothing Factor = 2 ÷ (Period + 1)                        

                            For 9 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 10 = 0.20 (20% weight to current price)                        

                            For 21 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 22 ≈ 0.0909 (9.09% weight to current price)                        

                            First EMA = SMA of first n periods (seeding)

                    📚 Robert Goodell Brown's "Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction" (1963)                

📊 Golden Cross (Buy Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≤ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t > EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses ABOVE the slow EMA indicates bullish momentum shift.                    

                            EMA_fast = 9-period EMA (the "heartbeat")                        

                            EMA_slow = 21-period EMA (the "breath")                        

                            Cross detected: previous bar fast ≤ slow, current bar fast > slow

                    📚 Richard Donchian's trend-following system (1960s)                

📊 Death Cross (Sell Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≥ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t < EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses BELOW the slow EMA indicates bearish momentum shift.                    

                            Fast EMA falls below slow EMA = trend reversal                        

                            Exit signal overrides hold, even if target not reached

                    📚 Classic technical analysis, popularized by John Murphy                

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.08 (+8% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.95 (-5% loss)                    

                        • DEATH_CROSS: Fast EMA crosses below Slow EMA                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        FAST_EMA_PERIOD:
                        9
                    

                        SLOW_EMA_PERIOD:
                        21
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        8%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -5%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        60
                    

                        STARTING_CAPITAL:
                        10000
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Richard Donchian, Father of Trend Following

Richard Donchian began trading in the 1930s but didn't formalize his moving average crossover systems until the 1960s. His insight was profound: you don't need to predict where markets will go—you only need to recognize when they've started going there.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Jun 20, 2025 → Jun 20, 2026 (365 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	1Y Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	MU	17	16	+107.62%	$5,731	$11,899	124	40%	-	+$6,168	-48.4%	10.8h	✓	-
2	RIVN	40	15🧊	+62.19%	$14,005	$22,715	126	36%	-	+$8,710	-33.5%	10.9h	✓	-
3	MRNA	4	48🔥	+51.79%	$4,096	$6,217	136	35%	-	+$2,121	-67.6%	11.1h	✓	-
4	SNOW	23	70🔥	+38.99%	$9,324	$12,960	131	32%	-	+$3,636	-21.1%	10.3h	✓	-
5	XLK	38	47	+35.74%	$10,759	$14,605	117	44%	-	+$3,845	-13.1%	10.5h	✓	-
6	GOOGL	23	29	+34.81%	$9,414	$12,691	130	38%	-	+$3,277	-22.4%	10.5h	✓	-
7	GS	46	33	+31.97%	$11,628	$15,345	129	36%	-	+$3,717	-8.5%	10.1h	✓	-
8	USO	32	6🧊	+30.75%	$10,619	$13,885	127	32%	-	+$3,265	-11.7%	10.8h	✓	-
9	SOXL	15	15	+30.52%	$8,709	$11,367	115	37%	-	+$2,658	-51.2%	11.0h	✓	-
10	CSCO	58	7🧊	+29.13%	$11,736	$15,154	127	36%	-	+$3,419	-5.8%	11.6h	✓	-
11	PANW	50	51	+27.76%	$13,234	$16,908	123	36%	-	+$3,674	-10.2%	10.2h	✓	-
12	INTC	17	9	+24.33%	$9,181	$11,415	133	28%	-	+$2,234	-21.5%	7.8h	✓	-
13	MRK	25	59🔥	+22.15%	$10,187	$12,444	128	38%	-	+$2,256	-15.0%	11.4h	✓	-
14	LCID	30	6🧊	+22.08%	$13,059	$15,943	132	25%	-	+$2,883	-23.9%	10.4h	✓	-
15	SCHW	54	36	+21.56%	$12,635	$15,359	121	39%	-	+$2,724	-6.9%	10.9h	✓	-
16	SLV	23	6	+21.42%	$10,052	$12,205	122	36%	-	+$2,153	-14.1%	11.3h	✓	-
17	SOFI	47	6🧊	+19.55%	$19,217	$22,974	126	32%	-	+$3,757	-22.8%	11.5h	✓	-
18	ORCL	5	28🔥	+18.88%	$8,366	$9,946	122	37%	-	+$1,580	-31.9%	11.8h	✓	-
19	ABBV	8	9	+18.36%	$8,575	$10,149	134	35%	-	+$1,574	-20.2%	10.6h	✓	-
20	BIIB	5	25🔥	+17.88%	$8,059	$9,500	134	31%	-	+$1,441	-21.8%	9.1h	✓	-
21	ARM	3	84🔥	+17.56%	$5,553	$6,528	129	34%	-	+$975	-53.7%	10.4h	✓	-
22	WFC	32	49	+16.33%	$11,407	$13,270	125	33%	-	+$1,863	-10.6%	11.2h	✓	-
23	CVX	30	9🧊	+15.67%	$11,204	$12,960	132	32%	-	+$1,756	-10.7%	11.2h	✓	-
24	XOM	28	9	+15.61%	$10,286	$11,891	130	38%	-	+$1,606	-7.7%	11.2h	✓	-
25	AXP	21	49🔥	+14.49%	$10,192	$11,668	128	32%	-	+$1,477	-17.9%	10.5h	✓	-
26	BAC	17	20	+13.71%	$9,714	$11,046	122	38%	-	+$1,332	-19.3%	10.2h	✓	-
27	ARKK	24	50🔥	+11.69%	$10,833	$12,099	130	28%	-	+$1,266	-13.9%	11.5h	✓	-
28	PM	57	9🧊	+11.54%	$12,999	$14,499	123	27%	-	+$1,500	-4.1%	12.3h	✓	-
29	AMGN	42	35	+11.13%	$11,975	$13,308	141	33%	-	+$1,333	-5.9%	10.1h	✓	-
30	RIOT	23	6	+11.10%	$12,186	$13,539	126	29%	-	+$1,353	-34.2%	9.1h	✓	-
31	SLB	9	9	+10.93%	$9,207	$10,213	130	32%	-	+$1,006	-17.0%	9.5h	✓	-
32	MSFT	13	27	+10.22%	$9,578	$10,557	126	37%	-	+$979	-19.0%	11.5h	✓	-
33	LLY	32	30	+10.14%	$12,827	$14,127	129	34%	-	+$1,301	-13.5%	10.7h	✓	-
34	DKNG	22	23	+9.30%	$11,610	$12,690	136	29%	-	+$1,080	-25.0%	11.5h	✓	-
35	BMY	4	10	+9.21%	$8,576	$9,365	133	31%	-	+$790	-14.5%	9.3h	✓	-
36	GME	33	70🔥	+9.19%	$15,056	$16,440	139	27%	-	+$1,384	-22.2%	8.2h	✓	-
37	HOOD	32	24	+8.93%	$14,734	$16,050	126	27%	-	+$1,316	-21.5%	10.9h	✓	-
38	VRTX	29	7🧊	+8.57%	$11,718	$12,722	133	32%	-	+$1,004	-9.6%	11.3h	✓	-
39	MA	21	21	+8.26%	$10,318	$11,171	134	25%	-	+$852	-9.3%	9.0h	✓	-
40	PEP	27	6🧊	+7.68%	$10,746	$11,571	128	34%	-	+$825	-6.0%	11.3h	✓	-
41	DIA	7	25	+7.17%	$9,369	$10,041	120	32%	-	+$672	-8.0%	11.1h	✓	-
42	IWM	28	45	+6.97%	$11,235	$12,018	129	29%	-	+$783	-8.0%	9.6h	✓	-
43	META	5	9	+6.77%	$8,962	$9,568	134	28%	-	+$607	-28.5%	9.8h	✓	-
44	AMD	5	52🔥	+6.53%	$8,697	$9,265	132	33%	-	+$568	-38.6%	8.9h	✓	-
45	MS	22	9	+6.46%	$10,918	$11,623	131	40%	-	+$705	-12.1%	8.7h	✓	-
46	JNJ	9	20	+6.45%	$9,559	$10,176	125	32%	-	+$617	-10.9%	11.3h	✓	-
47	HD	4	46🔥	+5.56%	$9,472	$9,998	128	27%	-	+$527	-11.0%	10.3h	✓	-
48	QQQ	23	11	+5.41%	$10,905	$11,495	121	35%	-	+$590	-9.3%	11.6h	✓	-
49	UNH	5	9	+4.24%	$9,502	$9,905	127	30%	-	+$403	-17.4%	9.8h	✓	-
50	WMT	49	20🧊	+3.82%	$13,854	$14,383	125	34%	-	+$529	-6.4%	14.1h	✓	-
51	NFLX	19	9	+3.28%	$11,104	$11,468	131	35%	-	+$364	-13.6%	11.4h	✓	-
52	SPY	20	14	+2.97%	$10,567	$10,880	122	32%	-	+$314	-6.4%	9.3h	✓	-
53	C	16	9	+2.62%	$10,593	$10,870	125	35%	-	+$278	-16.6%	10.1h	✓	-
54	JPM	28	30	+1.72%	$12,180	$12,390	128	31%	-	+$210	-9.6%	10.5h	✓	-
55	COST	17	9	+1.69%	$10,637	$10,817	130	34%	-	+$180	-8.3%	12.2h	✓	-
56	PLTR	43	17🧊	+1.23%	$21,112	$21,372	130	29%	-	+$260	-23.6%	12.0h	✓	-
57	VOO	22	14	+0.88%	$10,795	$10,890	123	30%	-	+$95	-4.8%	8.9h	✓	-
58	SQQQ	18	31	+0.72%	$11,676	$11,760	128	30%	-	+$84	-27.4%	9.4h	✓	-
59	VTI	5	9	+0.66%	$9,614	$9,677	122	30%	-	+$63	-11.1%	8.5h	✓	-
60	BRK-B	4	10	+0.35%	$9,002	$9,033	126	24%	-	+$32	-16.1%	10.0h	✓	-
61	VZ	4	20	+0.03%	$8,425	$8,427	126	28%	-	+$3	-22.5%	13.2h	✓	-
62	KO	15	7	-0.61%	$10,541	$10,476	125	33%	-	-$64	-6.4%	13.1h	✓	-
63	AMZN	5	6	-1.26%	$9,038	$8,924	128	34%	-	-$114	-24.3%	11.0h	✓	-
64	TQQQ	4	9	-1.39%	$8,607	$8,487	122	30%	-	-$120	-36.1%	10.2h	✓	-
65	XLE	6	13	-1.70%	$10,234	$10,060	136	35%	-	-$174	-13.2%	11.6h	✓	-
66	AVGO	10	9	-1.81%	$10,559	$10,368	128	34%	-	-$191	-26.2%	12.5h	✓	-
67	V	3	40🔥	-1.85%	$9,252	$9,080	127	33%	-	-$171	-12.2%	10.0h	✓	-
68	COIN	15	9	-2.26%	$11,212	$10,958	129	27%	-	-$253	-23.0%	10.2h	✓	-
69	PFE	4	32🔥	-2.33%	$8,539	$8,340	134	32%	-	-$199	-20.1%	11.0h	✓	-
70	AAPL	4	34🔥	-2.80%	$8,926	$8,676	132	29%	-	-$250	-16.9%	8.9h	✓	-
71	COP	14	11	-3.69%	$10,881	$10,479	135	27%	-	-$402	-13.6%	9.7h	✓	-
72	NVDA	13	14	-4.86%	$11,112	$10,572	132	29%	-	-$540	-30.4%	9.6h	✓	-
73	MCD	4	12	-4.98%	$8,914	$8,470	129	32%	-	-$444	-16.7%	11.1h	✓	-
74	GLD	41	5🧊	-5.40%	$13,877	$13,128	128	30%	-	-$749	-6.1%	12.6h	✓	-
75	CMCSA	5	9	-5.59%	$10,279	$9,705	131	32%	-	-$575	-8.3%	10.3h	✓	-
76	XLF	15	30	-5.60%	$11,219	$10,591	128	29%	-	-$628	-6.8%	10.7h	✓	-
77	DIS	4	9	-5.61%	$10,111	$9,544	136	29%	-	-$567	-15.9%	8.6h	✓	-
78	ISRG	8	7	-5.93%	$10,749	$10,111	124	31%	-	-$637	-10.1%	11.6h	✓	-
79	CRM	23	19	-6.12%	$13,136	$12,332	136	29%	-	-$804	-15.0%	9.6h	✓	-
80	AMC	2	24🔥	-6.34%	$4,765	$4,463	142	21%	-	-$302	-67.5%	9.0h	✓	-
81	TLT	3	6	-6.75%	$9,696	$9,042	132	32%	-	-$654	-7.1%	12.0h	✓	-
82	UVXY	28	30	-7.13%	$16,612	$15,427	143	24%	-	-$1,184	-23.5%	7.4h	✓	-
83	TSLA	3	9	-7.16%	$7,778	$7,221	132	30%	-	-$557	-26.6%	10.7h	✓	-
84	CRWD	28	7🧊	-7.71%	$15,599	$14,396	124	34%	-	-$1,203	-20.9%	11.7h	✓	-
85	BLK	16	10	-8.41%	$11,734	$10,747	131	32%	-	-$987	-8.6%	12.4h	✓	-
86	TMO	5	49🔥	-12.53%	$10,020	$8,764	134	31%	-	-$1,255	-14.5%	9.4h	✓	-
87	MARA	33	31	-12.69%	$22,555	$19,693	133	29%	-	-$2,862	-35.1%	9.9h	✓	-
88	PG	13	9	-12.69%	$11,834	$10,332	130	25%	-	-$1,502	-4.6%	11.1h	✓	-
89	NET	5	7	-13.90%	$9,446	$8,133	125	30%	-	-$1,313	-27.1%	9.4h	✓	-
90	IBM	5	9	-13.99%	$9,504	$8,174	129	33%	-	-$1,330	-12.8%	9.8h	✓	-
91	MDT	4	6	-14.49%	$9,800	$8,380	130	27%	-	-$1,420	-12.9%	12.0h	✓	-
92	PYPL	4	9	-15.56%	$10,774	$9,097	125	24%	-	-$1,676	-14.2%	12.0h	✓	-
93	SMCI	20	30	-15.96%	$15,501	$13,027	130	23%	-	-$2,474	-43.0%	10.0h	✓	-
94	NIO	2	9	-20.10%	$6,007	$4,800	130	27%	-	-$1,207	-42.7%	8.8h	✓	-
95	SHIBUSD ₿	—	—	-20.74%	$10,100	$8,005	102	17%	$4,270	-$2,095	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Feb 5, 2026
96	GILD	3	7	-20.94%	$9,817	$7,761	135	21%	-	-$2,056	-19.1%	8.9h	✓	-
97	ACN	4	7	-21.22%	$10,165	$8,008	132	29%	-	-$2,157	-7.8%	11.9h	✓	-
98	REGN	2	7	-22.99%	$6,947	$5,350	133	25%	-	-$1,597	-33.9%	8.9h	✓	-
99	RBLX	4	23	-23.18%	$11,332	$8,705	136	30%	-	-$2,627	-23.0%	10.9h	✓	-
100	OXY	4	7	-23.52%	$10,309	$7,885	132	29%	-	-$2,425	-14.1%	11.1h	✓	-
101	ADBE	4	7	-25.07%	$9,126	$6,838	134	34%	-	-$2,288	-20.5%	12.0h	✓	-
102	SPXU	2	6	-25.24%	$10,049	$7,513	84	25%	-	-$2,536	-29.7%	20.5h	✓	-
103	VXX	4	9	-32.13%	$11,499	$7,804	140	21%	-	-$3,695	-42.2%	8.2h	✓	-
104	DOTUSD ₿	—	—	-42.30%	$10,099	$5,827	124	15%	$4,443	-$4,272	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Feb 1, 2026
105	LTCUSD ₿	—	—	-53.75%	$10,303	$4,765	166	12%	$5,339	-$5,538	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Jan 26, 2026
106	UNIUSD ₿	—	—	-59.38%	$10,100	$4,103	209	13%	$5,788	-$5,997	-99.0%	1.6h	6	Jan 21, 2026
107	LINKUSD ₿	—	—	-64.61%	$10,098	$3,574	191	13%	$5,423	-$6,525	-99.0%	1.7h	6	Jan 22, 2026
108	PEPEUSD ₿	—	—	-68.67%	$10,099	$3,164	196	14%	$5,459	-$6,935	-99.3%	1.6h	7	Jan 22, 2026
109	SOLUSD ₿	—	—	-90.21%	$10,104	$989	454	11%	$8,408	-$9,114	-99.1%	1.8h	5	Dec 20, 2025
110	DOGEUSD ₿	—	—	-97.67%	$10,018	$233	706	11%	$8,528	-$9,784	-99.0%	1.7h	5	Nov 12, 2025
111	ETHUSD ₿	—	—	-97.72%	$10,115	$231	699	11%	$8,546	-$9,885	-99.0%	1.8h	5	Nov 16, 2025
112	XRPUSD ₿	—	—	-98.22%	$10,099	$180	777	12%	$8,823	-$9,920	-99.0%	1.8h	5	Oct 29, 2025
113	AVAXUSD ₿	—	—	-98.68%	$10,089	$133	764	10%	$8,524	-$9,955	-99.1%	1.7h	5	Nov 7, 2025
114	BTCUSD ₿	—	—	-98.97%	$10,063	$104	2	100%	$1	-$9,959	-99.1%	1.8h	45	Mar 4, 2026

👤 Personality

Zen-like patience. Never chases trades. Believes rushing leads to ruin. Speaks slowly and deliberately. Has been known to wait months for the perfect entry.

Deploy Strategy

Log in to deploy strategies

Agent Deployed!