Grace Crossover

The Patient One

📊 Swing Trader 📅 66 years old (Born 1960)

"The fast moving average is the heartbeat. The slow moving average is the breath. When heartbeat crosses breath, the market has made its decision."

Elegant woman in her mid-60s with silver hair in a neat bun. Minimalist wardrobe—black turtleneck, simple silver watch. Her desk is immaculate, containing only what is essential.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Sep 25, 2025 → Sep 25, 2026 (365d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Grace Crossover's performance over the last year across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,202

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,822 ($-620)

-5.73%

Last Year ROI

31.1%

Win Rate

16,847

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Year)

Stock Volume

$137,017,520

12,457 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$14,718,868

4,390 trades

Crypto Fees

$36,797

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

EMA crossover - 9 EMA crossing 21 EMA signals entry

Monitors the 9-period and 21-period Exponential Moving Averages. When the fast EMA (9) crosses above the slow EMA (21), it signals bullish momentum and triggers a buy. The opposite cross triggers a sell.

🎯 Best Suited For

Stocks with clean trending behavior

"The trend is your friend until it bends."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend roughly 30% of the time—but that's where the big money is made. The crossover filters out noise and identifies when momentum has genuinely shifted.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

                        EMAt = (Close × k) + (EMAt-1 × (1 - k))                    

                        Unlike SMA, EMA weighs recent prices more heavily. The multiplier k controls sensitivity.                    

                            k = Smoothing Factor = 2 ÷ (Period + 1)                        

                            For 9 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 10 = 0.20 (20% weight to current price)                        

                            For 21 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 22 ≈ 0.0909 (9.09% weight to current price)                        

                            First EMA = SMA of first n periods (seeding)

                    📚 Robert Goodell Brown's "Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction" (1963)                

📊 Golden Cross (Buy Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≤ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t > EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses ABOVE the slow EMA indicates bullish momentum shift.                    

                            EMA_fast = 9-period EMA (the "heartbeat")                        

                            EMA_slow = 21-period EMA (the "breath")                        

                            Cross detected: previous bar fast ≤ slow, current bar fast > slow

                    📚 Richard Donchian's trend-following system (1960s)                

📊 Death Cross (Sell Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≥ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t < EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses BELOW the slow EMA indicates bearish momentum shift.                    

                            Fast EMA falls below slow EMA = trend reversal                        

                            Exit signal overrides hold, even if target not reached

                    📚 Classic technical analysis, popularized by John Murphy                

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.08 (+8% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.95 (-5% loss)                    

                        • DEATH_CROSS: Fast EMA crosses below Slow EMA                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        FAST_EMA_PERIOD:
                        9
                    

                        SLOW_EMA_PERIOD:
                        21
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        8%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -5%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        60
                    

                        STARTING_CAPITAL:
                        10000
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Richard Donchian, Father of Trend Following

Richard Donchian began trading in the 1930s but didn't formalize his moving average crossover systems until the 1960s. His insight was profound: you don't need to predict where markets will go—you only need to recognize when they've started going there.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Sep 25, 2025 → Sep 25, 2026 (365 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	1Y Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	MRNA	4	21	+72.14%	$3,898	$6,711	127	38%	-	+$2,812	-67.6%	11.1h	✓	-
2	HOOD	40	9🧊	+38.33%	$13,545	$18,737	117	34%	-	+$5,192	-21.5%	10.9h	✓	-
3	ARKK	37	36	+37.17%	$10,959	$15,033	125	34%	-	+$4,074	-13.9%	11.5h	✓	-
4	MRK	29	9	+35.94%	$9,922	$13,487	122	42%	-	+$3,566	-15.0%	11.4h	✓	-
5	PANW	56	20🧊	+35.92%	$13,521	$18,377	114	40%	-	+$4,857	-10.2%	10.2h	✓	-
6	USO	35	59🔥	+32.49%	$11,012	$14,590	121	36%	-	+$3,578	-11.7%	10.8h	✓	-
7	INTC	20	67🔥	+30.32%	$9,540	$12,433	127	31%	-	+$2,893	-21.5%	7.8h	✓	-
8	RIVN	36	9🧊	+27.20%	$16,432	$20,902	120	39%	-	+$4,470	-33.5%	10.9h	✓	-
9	SMCI	28	70🔥	+26.29%	$13,758	$17,375	126	29%	-	+$3,617	-43.0%	10.0h	✓	-
10	SCHW	62	9🧊	+24.62%	$13,306	$16,582	117	43%	-	+$3,276	-6.9%	10.9h	✓	-
11	XLK	37	43	+23.40%	$11,817	$14,582	113	41%	-	+$2,765	-13.1%	10.5h	✓	-
12	XOM	36	42	+23.33%	$10,593	$13,065	122	35%	-	+$2,471	-7.7%	11.2h	✓	-
13	RIOT	27	41	+22.82%	$12,561	$15,428	120	34%	-	+$2,866	-34.2%	9.1h	✓	-
14	MU	3	9	+22.30%	$6,966	$8,520	113	38%	-	+$1,553	-48.4%	10.8h	✓	-
15	GME	35	45	+21.32%	$14,614	$17,730	131	34%	-	+$3,116	-22.2%	8.2h	✓	-
16	META	15	32	+20.42%	$9,087	$10,943	124	31%	-	+$1,856	-28.5%	9.8h	✓	-
17	AMGN	52	24🧊	+20.28%	$12,155	$14,620	134	36%	-	+$2,465	-5.9%	10.1h	✓	-
18	BIIB	8	47🔥	+18.75%	$8,525	$10,124	131	31%	-	+$1,598	-21.8%	9.1h	✓	-
19	LLY	33	9🧊	+18.59%	$12,476	$14,795	126	33%	-	+$2,319	-13.5%	10.7h	✓	-
20	GS	49	32	+18.19%	$13,307	$15,728	125	35%	-	+$2,421	-8.5%	10.1h	✓	-
21	SNOW	16	9	+15.84%	$9,789	$11,339	121	29%	-	+$1,551	-21.1%	10.3h	✓	-
22	SLV	24	9	+15.48%	$10,505	$12,131	119	34%	-	+$1,626	-14.1%	11.3h	✓	-
23	ABBV	11	14	+14.03%	$9,111	$10,390	133	35%	-	+$1,278	-20.2%	10.6h	✓	-
24	AXP	20	5	+13.41%	$10,246	$11,620	122	34%	-	+$1,374	-17.9%	10.5h	✓	-
25	RBLX	22	81🔥	+11.40%	$11,309	$12,599	128	34%	-	+$1,289	-23.0%	10.9h	✓	-
26	BAC	19	5	+11.32%	$10,233	$11,391	112	39%	-	+$1,158	-19.3%	10.2h	✓	-
27	WFC	33	18	+11.10%	$12,284	$13,648	119	34%	-	+$1,364	-10.6%	11.2h	✓	-
28	TSLA	4	66🔥	+10.98%	$8,072	$8,958	120	33%	-	+$886	-26.6%	10.7h	✓	-
29	NFLX	26	6	+10.07%	$11,584	$12,750	119	38%	-	+$1,166	-13.6%	11.4h	✓	-
30	AMD	10	75🔥	+9.89%	$9,347	$10,272	125	36%	-	+$924	-38.6%	8.9h	✓	-
31	CSCO	42	9🧊	+8.98%	$12,336	$13,444	120	38%	-	+$1,108	-5.8%	11.6h	✓	-
32	VRTX	30	9🧊	+8.77%	$11,808	$12,844	129	31%	-	+$1,036	-9.6%	11.3h	✓	-
33	CVX	27	35	+8.42%	$11,501	$12,469	126	32%	-	+$968	-10.7%	11.2h	✓	-
34	PM	55	7🧊	+8.21%	$13,295	$14,386	120	33%	-	+$1,092	-4.1%	12.3h	✓	-
35	MA	24	9	+7.90%	$10,802	$11,655	130	31%	-	+$853	-9.3%	9.0h	✓	-
36	PEP	31	9🧊	+7.78%	$11,111	$11,976	121	33%	-	+$864	-6.0%	11.3h	✓	-
37	LCID	26	9	+7.45%	$13,471	$14,474	122	30%	-	+$1,004	-23.9%	10.4h	✓	-
38	V	4	33🔥	+7.40%	$9,191	$9,871	118	37%	-	+$680	-12.2%	10.0h	✓	-
39	CRWD	30	61🔥	+6.53%	$14,936	$15,912	114	35%	-	+$975	-20.9%	11.7h	✓	-
40	WMT	52	7🧊	+6.39%	$13,948	$14,840	116	32%	-	+$891	-6.4%	14.1h	✓	-
41	JNJ	8	9	+6.14%	$9,648	$10,241	119	30%	-	+$592	-10.9%	11.3h	✓	-
42	BMY	4	9	+5.36%	$9,102	$9,590	126	33%	-	+$488	-14.5%	9.3h	✓	-
43	SLB	17	32	+4.13%	$10,666	$11,106	119	34%	-	+$440	-17.0%	9.5h	✓	-
44	BRK-B	4	9	+4.02%	$9,025	$9,388	123	30%	-	+$363	-16.1%	10.0h	✓	-
45	VTI	12	37🔥	+3.76%	$9,892	$10,264	117	36%	-	+$372	-11.1%	8.5h	✓	-
46	IWM	23	3	+3.75%	$10,956	$11,367	119	29%	-	+$411	-8.0%	9.6h	✓	-
47	VZ	4	7	+3.25%	$8,449	$8,724	117	36%	-	+$275	-22.5%	13.2h	✓	-
48	SQQQ	17	7	+1.49%	$11,289	$11,457	121	30%	-	+$168	-27.4%	9.4h	✓	-
49	PLTR	41	9🧊	+1.14%	$20,192	$20,422	123	27%	-	+$230	-23.6%	12.0h	✓	-
50	DIA	5	9	+0.79%	$9,782	$9,859	118	30%	-	+$77	-8.0%	11.1h	✓	-
51	JPM	30	9🧊	+0.59%	$12,636	$12,711	117	30%	-	+$75	-9.6%	10.5h	✓	-
52	KO	16	9	+0.27%	$10,566	$10,594	113	35%	-	+$29	-6.4%	13.1h	✓	-
53	XLF	19	19	+0.12%	$10,851	$10,864	120	35%	-	+$13	-6.8%	10.7h	✓	-
54	GOOGL	21	9	-0.34%	$12,231	$12,190	123	33%	-	-$42	-22.4%	10.5h	✓	-
55	PFE	4	5	-0.51%	$8,558	$8,514	122	32%	-	-$44	-20.1%	11.0h	✓	-
56	COP	15	10	-0.65%	$10,679	$10,610	128	29%	-	-$69	-13.6%	9.7h	✓	-
57	COIN	13	45🔥	-0.71%	$10,682	$10,606	121	31%	-	-$76	-23.0%	10.2h	✓	-
58	GLD	43	9🧊	-1.03%	$13,630	$13,489	119	36%	-	-$140	-6.1%	12.6h	✓	-
59	MSFT	11	14	-1.04%	$10,459	$10,350	119	34%	-	-$109	-19.0%	11.5h	✓	-
60	ORCL	5	9	-1.57%	$8,501	$8,367	119	37%	-	-$133	-31.9%	11.8h	✓	-
61	QQQ	19	30	-2.33%	$11,189	$10,928	117	32%	-	-$261	-9.3%	11.6h	✓	-
62	HD	4	6	-2.40%	$9,404	$9,179	118	27%	-	-$226	-11.0%	10.3h	✓	-
63	SPY	19	11	-2.53%	$11,053	$10,774	120	33%	-	-$280	-6.4%	9.3h	✓	-
64	AMZN	5	6	-2.62%	$9,184	$8,944	120	33%	-	-$241	-24.3%	11.0h	✓	-
65	SOXL	4	9	-2.94%	$8,552	$8,301	114	38%	-	-$251	-51.2%	11.0h	✓	-
66	XLE	4	19	-3.14%	$9,713	$9,408	128	39%	-	-$305	-13.2%	11.6h	✓	-
67	TMO	5	9	-4.08%	$9,835	$9,434	124	34%	-	-$401	-14.5%	9.4h	✓	-
68	DIS	4	7	-4.25%	$9,718	$9,305	125	31%	-	-$413	-15.9%	8.6h	✓	-
69	VOO	20	13	-4.47%	$11,244	$10,741	120	33%	-	-$503	-4.8%	8.9h	✓	-
70	C	17	18	-5.05%	$11,706	$11,115	121	37%	-	-$591	-16.6%	10.1h	✓	-
71	MCD	4	7	-5.23%	$8,897	$8,432	122	31%	-	-$465	-16.7%	11.1h	✓	-
72	COST	8	11	-6.60%	$10,862	$10,146	129	31%	-	-$717	-8.3%	12.2h	✓	-
73	TLT	4	16	-6.80%	$9,578	$8,926	122	28%	-	-$651	-7.1%	12.0h	✓	-
74	CMCSA	11	7	-7.90%	$10,799	$9,946	119	35%	-	-$853	-8.3%	10.3h	✓	-
75	PG	19	17	-10.30%	$11,958	$10,726	122	28%	-	-$1,232	-4.6%	11.1h	✓	-
76	GILD	3	9	-10.68%	$9,056	$8,088	123	24%	-	-$967	-19.1%	8.9h	✓	-
77	CRM	17	7	-11.59%	$12,667	$11,199	125	34%	-	-$1,468	-15.0%	9.6h	✓	-
78	PYPL	4	6	-11.66%	$10,123	$8,943	114	24%	-	-$1,180	-14.2%	12.0h	✓	-
79	AAPL	4	29🔥	-11.75%	$9,708	$8,568	121	31%	-	-$1,141	-16.9%	8.9h	✓	-
80	DKNG	15	6	-11.85%	$12,405	$10,935	127	25%	-	-$1,470	-25.0%	11.5h	✓	-
81	ARM	3	51🔥	-12.16%	$4,839	$4,250	124	33%	-	-$588	-53.7%	10.4h	✓	-
82	MS	5	5	-12.43%	$11,235	$9,838	122	39%	-	-$1,397	-12.1%	8.7h	✓	-
83	AVGO	4	48🔥	-13.24%	$10,618	$9,212	123	36%	-	-$1,406	-26.2%	12.5h	✓	-
84	MARA	27	25	-13.42%	$18,935	$16,394	129	29%	-	-$2,541	-35.1%	9.9h	✓	-
85	UNH	5	9	-13.44%	$9,907	$8,576	122	28%	-	-$1,332	-17.4%	9.8h	✓	-
86	BLK	12	10	-13.87%	$12,028	$10,359	136	26%	-	-$1,668	-8.6%	12.4h	✓	-
87	UVXY	22	7	-14.40%	$15,809	$13,532	134	28%	-	-$2,276	-23.5%	7.4h	✓	-
88	NVDA	8	6	-14.96%	$11,706	$9,955	121	29%	-	-$1,751	-30.4%	9.6h	✓	-
89	NET	5	45🔥	-15.90%	$9,695	$8,153	127	28%	-	-$1,541	-27.1%	9.4h	✓	-
90	ADBE	4	9	-16.13%	$9,044	$7,585	128	35%	-	-$1,459	-20.5%	12.0h	✓	-
91	IBM	5	25	-16.26%	$9,618	$8,054	122	34%	-	-$1,564	-12.8%	9.8h	✓	-
92	ISRG	5	9	-16.83%	$10,671	$8,875	120	29%	-	-$1,796	-10.1%	11.6h	✓	-
93	SOFI	38	9🧊	-17.43%	$23,071	$19,050	120	33%	-	-$4,021	-22.8%	11.5h	✓	-
94	TQQQ	4	25🔥	-18.03%	$8,771	$7,190	118	30%	-	-$1,581	-36.1%	10.2h	✓	-
95	SPXU	3	37🔥	-19.66%	$9,157	$7,357	101	30%	-	-$1,800	-29.7%	20.5h	✓	-
96	REGN	2	7	-19.87%	$6,896	$5,525	129	27%	-	-$1,370	-33.9%	8.9h	✓	-
97	SHIBUSD ₿	—	—	-20.74%	$10,100	$8,005	102	17%	$4,270	-$2,095	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Feb 5, 2026
98	MDT	4	6	-20.78%	$9,864	$7,815	119	26%	-	-$2,050	-12.9%	12.0h	✓	-
99	ACN	5	7	-21.26%	$10,025	$7,894	120	29%	-	-$2,131	-7.8%	11.9h	✓	-
100	OXY	5	9	-23.11%	$10,155	$7,808	125	30%	-	-$2,347	-14.1%	11.1h	✓	-
101	VXX	3	9	-37.47%	$10,590	$6,622	132	22%	-	-$3,968	-42.2%	8.2h	✓	-
102	AMC	2	9	-40.47%	$4,584	$2,729	138	23%	-	-$1,855	-67.5%	9.0h	✓	-
103	DOTUSD ₿	—	—	-42.30%	$10,099	$5,827	124	15%	$4,443	-$4,272	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Feb 1, 2026
104	NIO	2	7	-42.83%	$6,845	$3,913	124	23%	-	-$2,932	-42.7%	8.8h	✓	-
105	LTCUSD ₿	—	—	-53.75%	$10,303	$4,765	166	12%	$5,339	-$5,538	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Jan 26, 2026
106	UNIUSD ₿	—	—	-59.38%	$10,100	$4,103	209	13%	$5,788	-$5,997	-99.0%	1.6h	6	Jan 21, 2026
107	LINKUSD ₿	—	—	-64.61%	$10,098	$3,574	191	13%	$5,423	-$6,525	-99.0%	1.7h	6	Jan 22, 2026
108	PEPEUSD ₿	—	—	-68.67%	$10,099	$3,164	196	14%	$5,459	-$6,935	-99.3%	1.6h	7	Jan 22, 2026
109	SOLUSD ₿	—	—	-90.21%	$10,104	$989	454	11%	$8,408	-$9,114	-99.1%	1.8h	5	Dec 20, 2025
110	DOGEUSD ₿	—	—	-97.67%	$10,018	$233	706	11%	$8,528	-$9,784	-99.0%	1.7h	5	Nov 12, 2025
111	ETHUSD ₿	—	—	-97.72%	$10,115	$231	699	11%	$8,546	-$9,885	-99.0%	1.8h	5	Nov 16, 2025
112	XRPUSD ₿	—	—	-98.22%	$10,099	$180	777	12%	$8,823	-$9,920	-99.0%	1.8h	5	Oct 29, 2025
113	AVAXUSD ₿	—	—	-98.68%	$10,089	$133	764	10%	$8,524	-$9,955	-99.1%	1.7h	5	Nov 7, 2025
114	BTCUSD ₿	—	—	-98.97%	$10,063	$104	2	100%	$1	-$9,959	-99.1%	1.8h	45	Mar 4, 2026

👤 Personality

Zen-like patience. Never chases trades. Believes rushing leads to ruin. Speaks slowly and deliberately. Has been known to wait months for the perfect entry.

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