Grace Crossover

The Patient One

📊 Swing Trader 📅 66 years old (Born 1960)

"The fast moving average is the heartbeat. The slow moving average is the breath. When heartbeat crosses breath, the market has made its decision."

Elegant woman in her mid-60s with silver hair in a neat bun. Minimalist wardrobe—black turtleneck, simple silver watch. Her desk is immaculate, containing only what is essential.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Aug 15, 2025 → Feb 15, 2026 (184 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Grace Crossover's performance over the last 6 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,202

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,822 ($-620)

-5.73%

Last 6 Months ROI

27.5%

Win Rate

11,676

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 6 Months)

Stock Volume

$76,530,954

7,015 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$14,840,670

4,661 trades

Crypto Fees

$37,102

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

EMA crossover - 9 EMA crossing 21 EMA signals entry

Monitors the 9-period and 21-period Exponential Moving Averages. When the fast EMA (9) crosses above the slow EMA (21), it signals bullish momentum and triggers a buy. The opposite cross triggers a sell.

🎯 Best Suited For

Stocks with clean trending behavior

"The trend is your friend until it bends."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend roughly 30% of the time—but that's where the big money is made. The crossover filters out noise and identifies when momentum has genuinely shifted.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

                        EMAt = (Close × k) + (EMAt-1 × (1 - k))                    

                        Unlike SMA, EMA weighs recent prices more heavily. The multiplier k controls sensitivity.                    

                            k = Smoothing Factor = 2 ÷ (Period + 1)                        

                            For 9 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 10 = 0.20 (20% weight to current price)                        

                            For 21 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 22 ≈ 0.0909 (9.09% weight to current price)                        

                            First EMA = SMA of first n periods (seeding)

                    📚 Robert Goodell Brown's "Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction" (1963)                

📊 Golden Cross (Buy Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≤ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t > EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses ABOVE the slow EMA indicates bullish momentum shift.                    

                            EMA_fast = 9-period EMA (the "heartbeat")                        

                            EMA_slow = 21-period EMA (the "breath")                        

                            Cross detected: previous bar fast ≤ slow, current bar fast > slow

                    📚 Richard Donchian's trend-following system (1960s)                

📊 Death Cross (Sell Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≥ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t < EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses BELOW the slow EMA indicates bearish momentum shift.                    

                            Fast EMA falls below slow EMA = trend reversal                        

                            Exit signal overrides hold, even if target not reached

                    📚 Classic technical analysis, popularized by John Murphy                

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.08 (+8% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.95 (-5% loss)                    

                        • DEATH_CROSS: Fast EMA crosses below Slow EMA                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        FAST_EMA_PERIOD:
                        9
                    

                        SLOW_EMA_PERIOD:
                        21
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        8%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -5%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        60
                    

                        STARTING_CAPITAL:
                        10000
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Richard Donchian, Father of Trend Following

Richard Donchian began trading in the 1930s but didn't formalize his moving average crossover systems until the 1960s. His insight was profound: you don't need to predict where markets will go—you only need to recognize when they've started going there.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Aug 15, 2025 → Feb 15, 2026 (184 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	6M Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	MU	+71.93%	$5,801	$9,973	58	41%	-	+$4,172	-48.4%	10.8h	✓	-
2	COIN	+36.55%	$10,308	$14,076	67	28%	-	+$3,768	-23.0%	10.2h	✓	-
3	RIVN	+29.01%	$14,483	$18,685	68	35%	-	+$4,202	-33.5%	10.9h	✓	-
4	RIOT	+28.14%	$12,476	$15,987	67	33%	-	+$3,511	-34.2%	9.1h	✓	-
5	SOFI	+22.52%	$22,251	$27,262	66	32%	-	+$5,011	-22.8%	11.5h	✓	-
6	SLV	+22.10%	$10,108	$12,341	66	35%	-	+$2,234	-14.1%	11.3h	✓	-
7	HOOD	+21.96%	$13,281	$16,198	65	29%	-	+$2,917	-21.5%	10.9h	✓	-
8	MRNA	+21.14%	$3,841	$4,653	69	36%	-	+$812	-67.6%	11.1h	✓	-
9	GS	+20.52%	$12,203	$14,707	70	36%	-	+$2,504	-8.5%	10.1h	✓	-
10	BIIB	+17.65%	$8,188	$9,633	70	31%	-	+$1,445	-21.8%	9.1h	✓	-
11	LLY	+15.95%	$11,330	$13,137	69	30%	-	+$1,807	-13.5%	10.7h	✓	-
12	LCID	+14.57%	$12,429	$14,239	71	28%	-	+$1,811	-23.9%	10.4h	✓	-
13	C	+13.07%	$11,047	$12,490	64	41%	-	+$1,444	-16.6%	10.1h	✓	-
14	CSCO	+12.32%	$12,004	$13,483	66	36%	-	+$1,479	-5.8%	11.6h	✓	-
15	AXP	+12.02%	$9,967	$11,166	70	34%	-	+$1,198	-17.9%	10.5h	✓	-
16	AMGN	+11.83%	$12,194	$13,636	71	34%	-	+$1,443	-5.9%	10.1h	✓	-
17	TSLA	+10.60%	$7,644	$8,454	68	35%	-	+$810	-26.6%	10.7h	✓	-
18	COST	+10.11%	$10,623	$11,697	71	31%	-	+$1,074	-8.3%	12.2h	✓	-
19	MRK	+9.23%	$9,907	$10,821	67	40%	-	+$914	-15.0%	11.4h	✓	-
20	ABBV	+9.11%	$9,120	$9,951	69	38%	-	+$831	-20.2%	10.6h	✓	-
21	GOOGL	+8.83%	$10,497	$11,424	71	34%	-	+$927	-22.4%	10.5h	✓	-
22	SCHW	+8.75%	$13,273	$14,434	62	40%	-	+$1,161	-6.9%	10.9h	✓	-
23	PM	+8.73%	$13,333	$14,497	67	22%	-	+$1,164	-4.1%	12.3h	✓	-
24	XLK	+8.60%	$11,213	$12,177	64	42%	-	+$964	-13.1%	10.5h	✓	-
25	CRWD	+7.68%	$15,313	$16,489	68	35%	-	+$1,176	-20.9%	11.7h	✓	-
26	SLB	+7.67%	$10,357	$11,151	69	30%	-	+$794	-17.0%	9.5h	✓	-
27	XOM	+7.66%	$10,597	$11,409	71	31%	-	+$812	-7.7%	11.2h	✓	-
28	VRTX	+7.61%	$12,026	$12,941	73	33%	-	+$915	-9.6%	11.3h	✓	-
29	BAC	+7.37%	$10,038	$10,778	69	36%	-	+$740	-19.3%	10.2h	✓	-
30	USO	+7.22%	$10,774	$11,552	64	31%	-	+$778	-11.7%	10.8h	✓	-
31	XLE	+7.04%	$9,665	$10,345	70	39%	-	+$680	-13.2%	11.6h	✓	-
32	CVX	+6.62%	$11,354	$12,106	75	27%	-	+$752	-10.7%	11.2h	✓	-
33	HD	+6.40%	$9,391	$9,992	69	22%	-	+$601	-11.0%	10.3h	✓	-
34	PEP	+5.51%	$11,292	$11,915	68	31%	-	+$622	-6.0%	11.3h	✓	-
35	ARKK	+4.42%	$10,698	$11,171	69	23%	-	+$473	-13.9%	11.5h	✓	-
36	DIA	+3.45%	$9,746	$10,082	67	28%	-	+$336	-8.0%	11.1h	✓	-
37	MDT	+3.25%	$9,852	$10,173	69	28%	-	+$320	-12.9%	12.0h	✓	-
38	JNJ	+2.73%	$9,622	$9,885	68	31%	-	+$263	-10.9%	11.3h	✓	-
39	ORCL	+2.70%	$8,706	$8,941	69	35%	-	+$235	-31.9%	11.8h	✓	-
40	WFC	+2.50%	$12,062	$12,364	68	28%	-	+$302	-10.6%	11.2h	✓	-
41	MARA	+2.44%	$19,815	$20,299	71	25%	-	+$483	-35.1%	9.9h	✓	-
42	PG	+2.43%	$11,943	$12,233	70	27%	-	+$290	-4.6%	11.1h	✓	-
43	AMZN	+1.83%	$9,258	$9,427	68	34%	-	+$169	-24.3%	11.0h	✓	-
44	BRK-B	+1.71%	$8,996	$9,150	68	26%	-	+$154	-16.1%	10.0h	✓	-
45	VTI	+1.01%	$9,754	$9,852	66	29%	-	+$99	-11.1%	8.5h	✓	-
46	VOO	+0.99%	$11,124	$11,234	68	29%	-	+$110	-4.8%	8.9h	✓	-
47	UNH	+0.97%	$9,878	$9,974	67	28%	-	+$96	-17.4%	9.8h	✓	-
48	ARM	+0.45%	$5,075	$5,098	66	32%	-	+$23	-53.7%	10.4h	✓	-
49	QQQ	+0.40%	$11,324	$11,370	64	30%	-	+$45	-9.3%	11.6h	✓	-
50	DKNG	+0.35%	$12,389	$12,433	73	26%	-	+$43	-25.0%	11.5h	✓	-
51	KO	+0.33%	$10,578	$10,612	61	33%	-	+$35	-6.4%	13.1h	✓	-
52	SPY	+0.16%	$11,038	$11,056	67	30%	-	+$18	-6.4%	9.3h	✓	-
53	XLF	+0.09%	$10,781	$10,790	69	32%	-	+$10	-6.8%	10.7h	✓	-
54	SQQQ	-0.80%	$11,307	$11,217	67	28%	-	-$90	-27.4%	9.4h	✓	-
55	SOXL	-0.90%	$10,030	$9,940	57	32%	-	-$90	-51.2%	11.0h	✓	-
56	MCD	-0.94%	$8,803	$8,720	74	30%	-	-$83	-16.7%	11.1h	✓	-
57	COP	-1.01%	$10,668	$10,560	72	28%	-	-$108	-13.6%	9.7h	✓	-
58	TLT	-1.19%	$9,645	$9,531	71	32%	-	-$115	-7.1%	12.0h	✓	-
59	AAPL	-1.22%	$9,182	$9,070	69	23%	-	-$112	-16.9%	8.9h	✓	-
60	PFE	-1.31%	$8,644	$8,531	68	31%	-	-$113	-20.1%	11.0h	✓	-
61	ACN	-1.58%	$10,095	$9,935	70	29%	-	-$159	-7.8%	11.9h	✓	-
62	MA	-1.98%	$10,823	$10,608	71	17%	-	-$214	-9.3%	9.0h	✓	-
63	ADBE	-2.06%	$9,080	$8,893	70	39%	-	-$187	-20.5%	12.0h	✓	-
64	IWM	-2.10%	$11,547	$11,305	71	24%	-	-$242	-8.0%	9.6h	✓	-
65	ISRG	-2.35%	$11,068	$10,808	67	30%	-	-$260	-10.1%	11.6h	✓	-
66	TMO	-2.36%	$10,203	$9,962	73	30%	-	-$241	-14.5%	9.4h	✓	-
67	GME	-2.66%	$14,925	$14,528	73	23%	-	-$397	-22.2%	8.2h	✓	-
68	REGN	-3.10%	$6,851	$6,638	71	27%	-	-$212	-33.9%	8.9h	✓	-
69	WMT	-3.17%	$14,014	$13,570	67	31%	-	-$444	-6.4%	14.1h	✓	-
70	GLD	-3.23%	$13,539	$13,102	69	30%	-	-$437	-6.1%	12.6h	✓	-
71	V	-3.54%	$9,385	$9,053	70	29%	-	-$332	-12.2%	10.0h	✓	-
72	IBM	-3.73%	$9,441	$9,088	69	35%	-	-$352	-12.8%	9.8h	✓	-
73	PANW	-3.82%	$13,483	$12,968	65	31%	-	-$515	-10.2%	10.2h	✓	-
74	VZ	-3.89%	$8,643	$8,307	69	23%	-	-$336	-22.5%	13.2h	✓	-
75	GILD	-3.93%	$9,370	$9,002	69	23%	-	-$368	-19.1%	8.9h	✓	-
76	MS	-3.97%	$11,102	$10,661	72	35%	-	-$441	-12.1%	8.7h	✓	-
77	BLK	-4.53%	$12,166	$11,615	68	26%	-	-$551	-8.6%	12.4h	✓	-
78	CMCSA	-4.72%	$10,936	$10,420	72	32%	-	-$516	-8.3%	10.3h	✓	-
79	TQQQ	-5.00%	$9,523	$9,046	64	30%	-	-$476	-36.1%	10.2h	✓	-
80	MSFT	-5.02%	$10,454	$9,929	71	30%	-	-$525	-19.0%	11.5h	✓	-
81	JPM	-5.15%	$12,667	$12,015	67	24%	-	-$652	-9.6%	10.5h	✓	-
82	NET	-5.41%	$10,005	$9,464	67	28%	-	-$541	-27.1%	9.4h	✓	-
83	PYPL	-5.83%	$10,221	$9,625	66	24%	-	-$596	-14.2%	12.0h	✓	-
84	META	-5.90%	$9,363	$8,810	71	23%	-	-$552	-28.5%	9.8h	✓	-
85	BMY	-6.14%	$9,232	$8,665	73	22%	-	-$567	-14.5%	9.3h	✓	-
86	AVGO	-6.16%	$11,215	$10,524	69	30%	-	-$691	-26.2%	12.5h	✓	-
87	OXY	-6.37%	$10,279	$9,624	72	26%	-	-$655	-14.1%	11.1h	✓	-
88	SMCI	-6.94%	$14,651	$13,635	72	19%	-	-$1,017	-43.0%	10.0h	✓	-
89	UVXY	-6.95%	$17,411	$16,201	76	17%	-	-$1,210	-23.5%	7.4h	✓	-
90	NFLX	-7.30%	$11,640	$10,790	70	34%	-	-$850	-13.6%	11.4h	✓	-
91	CRM	-7.99%	$13,001	$11,963	72	26%	-	-$1,039	-15.0%	9.6h	✓	-
92	INTC	-8.13%	$10,612	$9,749	74	26%	-	-$863	-21.5%	7.8h	✓	-
93	SPXU	-10.41%	$9,426	$8,444	39	23%	-	-$981	-29.7%	20.5h	✓	-
94	DIS	-10.47%	$10,150	$9,087	74	27%	-	-$1,063	-15.9%	8.6h	✓	-
95	PLTR	-11.85%	$19,917	$17,557	71	30%	-	-$2,360	-23.6%	12.0h	✓	-
96	NVDA	-14.02%	$11,839	$10,180	74	23%	-	-$1,660	-30.4%	9.6h	✓	-
97	NIO	-16.19%	$6,965	$5,837	69	25%	-	-$1,128	-42.7%	8.8h	✓	-
98	SHIBUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-19.44%	$10,099	$8,136	48	15%	$2,167	-$1,963	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Feb 5, 2026 20d left
99	AMD	-19.47%	$9,180	$7,393	70	26%	-	-$1,787	-38.6%	8.9h	✓	-
100	SNOW	-19.68%	$10,346	$8,310	75	24%	-	-$2,036	-21.1%	10.3h	✓	-
101	RBLX	-21.62%	$12,303	$9,643	75	24%	-	-$2,660	-23.0%	10.9h	✓	-
102	VXX	-24.16%	$11,233	$8,519	77	14%	-	-$2,714	-42.2%	8.2h	✓	-
103	AMC	-27.20%	$4,991	$3,633	73	12%	-	-$1,358	-67.5%	9.0h	✓	-
104	DOTUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-36.23%	$10,100	$6,441	70	16%	$2,786	-$3,659	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Feb 1, 2026 16d left
105	LTCUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-50.21%	$10,100	$5,029	115	10%	$4,064	-$5,071	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Jan 26, 2026 10d left
106	UNIUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-59.84%	$10,101	$4,057	157	10%	$4,751	-$6,045	-99.0%	1.6h	6	Jan 21, 2026 5d left
107	PEPEUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-63.47%	$10,101	$3,690	145	13%	$4,569	-$6,411	-99.3%	1.6h	7	Jan 22, 2026 6d left
108	LINKUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-63.63%	$10,098	$3,673	148	8%	$4,628	-$6,426	-99.0%	1.7h	6	Jan 22, 2026 6d left
109	SOLUSD ₿	-90.60%	$10,099	$949	407	10%	$8,186	-$9,149	-99.1%	1.8h	5	Dec 20, 2025
110	DOGEUSD ₿	-97.36%	$10,101	$267	654	11%	$8,462	-$9,834	-99.0%	1.7h	5	Nov 12, 2025
111	ETHUSD ₿	-97.67%	$10,100	$235	655	11%	$8,495	-$9,864	-99.0%	1.8h	5	Nov 16, 2025
112	XRPUSD ₿	-98.27%	$10,092	$175	726	11%	$8,779	-$9,917	-99.0%	1.8h	5	Oct 29, 2025
113	AVAXUSD ₿	-98.34%	$10,071	$167	719	10%	$8,490	-$9,904	-99.1%	1.7h	5	Nov 7, 2025
114	BTCUSD ₿	-98.98%	$10,072	$103	817	8%	$8,785	-$9,969	-99.1%	1.8h	5	Oct 22, 2025

👤 Personality

Zen-like patience. Never chases trades. Believes rushing leads to ruin. Speaks slowly and deliberately. Has been known to wait months for the perfect entry.