Grace Crossover

The Patient One

📊 Swing Trader 📅 66 years old (Born 1960)

"The fast moving average is the heartbeat. The slow moving average is the breath. When heartbeat crosses breath, the market has made its decision."

Elegant woman in her mid-60s with silver hair in a neat bun. Minimalist wardrobe—black turtleneck, simple silver watch. Her desk is immaculate, containing only what is essential.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Dec 20, 2025 → Jun 20, 2026 (181d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Grace Crossover's performance over the last 6 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,295

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,920 ($-625)

-5.72%

Last 6 Months ROI

31.3%

Win Rate

9,134

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 6 Months)

Stock Volume

$65,409,888

5,947 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$9,118,185

3,187 trades

Crypto Fees

$22,795

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

EMA crossover - 9 EMA crossing 21 EMA signals entry

Monitors the 9-period and 21-period Exponential Moving Averages. When the fast EMA (9) crosses above the slow EMA (21), it signals bullish momentum and triggers a buy. The opposite cross triggers a sell.

🎯 Best Suited For

Stocks with clean trending behavior

"The trend is your friend until it bends."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend roughly 30% of the time—but that's where the big money is made. The crossover filters out noise and identifies when momentum has genuinely shifted.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

                        EMAt = (Close × k) + (EMAt-1 × (1 - k))                    

                        Unlike SMA, EMA weighs recent prices more heavily. The multiplier k controls sensitivity.                    

                            k = Smoothing Factor = 2 ÷ (Period + 1)                        

                            For 9 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 10 = 0.20 (20% weight to current price)                        

                            For 21 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 22 ≈ 0.0909 (9.09% weight to current price)                        

                            First EMA = SMA of first n periods (seeding)

                    📚 Robert Goodell Brown's "Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction" (1963)                

📊 Golden Cross (Buy Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≤ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t > EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses ABOVE the slow EMA indicates bullish momentum shift.                    

                            EMA_fast = 9-period EMA (the "heartbeat")                        

                            EMA_slow = 21-period EMA (the "breath")                        

                            Cross detected: previous bar fast ≤ slow, current bar fast > slow

                    📚 Richard Donchian's trend-following system (1960s)                

📊 Death Cross (Sell Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≥ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t < EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses BELOW the slow EMA indicates bearish momentum shift.                    

                            Fast EMA falls below slow EMA = trend reversal                        

                            Exit signal overrides hold, even if target not reached

                    📚 Classic technical analysis, popularized by John Murphy                

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.08 (+8% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.95 (-5% loss)                    

                        • DEATH_CROSS: Fast EMA crosses below Slow EMA                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        FAST_EMA_PERIOD:
                        9
                    

                        SLOW_EMA_PERIOD:
                        21
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        8%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -5%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        60
                    

                        STARTING_CAPITAL:
                        10000
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Richard Donchian, Father of Trend Following

Richard Donchian began trading in the 1930s but didn't formalize his moving average crossover systems until the 1960s. His insight was profound: you don't need to predict where markets will go—you only need to recognize when they've started going there.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Dec 20, 2025 → Jun 20, 2026 (181 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	6M Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	MRNA	4	48🔥	+55.09%	$4,009	$6,217	63	43%	-	+$2,208	-67.6%	11.1h	✓	-
2	SNOW	23	70🔥	+46.39%	$8,853	$12,960	55	29%	-	+$4,107	-21.1%	10.3h	✓	-
3	MU	17	16	+40.61%	$8,463	$11,899	60	43%	-	+$3,437	-48.4%	10.8h	✓	-
4	USO	32	6🧊	+28.80%	$10,780	$13,885	57	40%	-	+$3,105	-11.7%	10.8h	✓	-
5	PANW	50	51	+28.13%	$13,196	$16,908	52	38%	-	+$3,712	-10.2%	10.2h	✓	-
6	MRK	25	59🔥	+22.67%	$10,144	$12,444	59	44%	-	+$2,300	-15.0%	11.4h	✓	-
7	ARM	3	84🔥	+22.21%	$5,342	$6,528	57	39%	-	+$1,186	-53.7%	10.4h	✓	-
8	XLK	38	47	+21.06%	$12,064	$14,605	52	42%	-	+$2,541	-13.1%	10.5h	✓	-
9	CVX	30	9🧊	+19.58%	$10,838	$12,960	59	41%	-	+$2,122	-10.7%	11.2h	✓	-
10	SOXL	15	15	+18.41%	$9,600	$11,367	54	37%	-	+$1,767	-51.2%	11.0h	✓	-
11	RIVN	40	15🧊	+17.85%	$19,274	$22,715	57	37%	-	+$3,440	-33.5%	10.9h	✓	-
12	CSCO	58	7🧊	+17.28%	$12,921	$15,154	57	35%	-	+$2,233	-5.8%	11.6h	✓	-
13	INTC	17	9	+17.06%	$9,751	$11,415	58	29%	-	+$1,664	-21.5%	7.8h	✓	-
14	SLV	23	6	+14.98%	$10,615	$12,205	53	38%	-	+$1,590	-14.1%	11.3h	✓	-
15	GOOGL	23	29	+14.12%	$11,121	$12,691	58	40%	-	+$1,570	-22.4%	10.5h	✓	-
16	SCHW	54	36	+13.50%	$13,532	$15,359	54	44%	-	+$1,827	-6.9%	10.9h	✓	-
17	LCID	30	6🧊	+13.23%	$14,080	$15,943	58	28%	-	+$1,863	-23.9%	10.4h	✓	-
18	ARKK	24	50🔥	+13.00%	$10,707	$12,099	59	34%	-	+$1,392	-13.9%	11.5h	✓	-
19	WFC	32	49	+12.88%	$11,756	$13,270	54	39%	-	+$1,514	-10.6%	11.2h	✓	-
20	DKNG	22	23	+12.69%	$11,261	$12,690	64	31%	-	+$1,429	-25.0%	11.5h	✓	-
21	ORCL	5	28🔥	+12.53%	$8,838	$9,946	51	45%	-	+$1,107	-31.9%	11.8h	✓	-
22	GME	33	70🔥	+12.52%	$14,610	$16,440	65	31%	-	+$1,829	-22.2%	8.2h	✓	-
23	AMC	2	24🔥	+11.82%	$3,991	$4,463	66	26%	-	+$472	-67.5%	9.0h	✓	-
24	PLTR	43	17🧊	+11.74%	$19,126	$21,372	56	27%	-	+$2,245	-23.6%	12.0h	✓	-
25	XOM	28	9	+10.57%	$10,754	$11,891	57	44%	-	+$1,137	-7.7%	11.2h	✓	-
26	SQQQ	18	31	+9.80%	$10,710	$11,760	59	32%	-	+$1,050	-27.4%	9.4h	✓	-
27	GS	46	33	+9.31%	$14,038	$15,345	59	39%	-	+$1,307	-8.5%	10.1h	✓	-
28	LLY	32	30	+9.25%	$12,931	$14,127	57	35%	-	+$1,196	-13.5%	10.7h	✓	-
29	AMD	5	52🔥	+9.06%	$8,495	$9,265	59	39%	-	+$770	-38.6%	8.9h	✓	-
30	ABBV	8	9	+9.02%	$9,309	$10,149	64	33%	-	+$840	-20.2%	10.6h	✓	-
31	META	5	9	+9.00%	$8,778	$9,568	59	36%	-	+$790	-28.5%	9.8h	✓	-
32	BAC	17	20	+7.83%	$10,244	$11,046	50	42%	-	+$802	-19.3%	10.2h	✓	-
33	JNJ	9	20	+7.17%	$9,495	$10,176	54	39%	-	+$681	-10.9%	11.3h	✓	-
34	SMCI	20	30	+7.04%	$12,170	$13,027	57	26%	-	+$857	-43.0%	10.0h	✓	-
35	AXP	21	49🔥	+6.71%	$10,935	$11,668	60	37%	-	+$734	-17.9%	10.5h	✓	-
36	MSFT	13	27	+6.28%	$9,933	$10,557	56	38%	-	+$624	-19.0%	11.5h	✓	-
37	IWM	28	45	+5.86%	$11,353	$12,018	59	31%	-	+$665	-8.0%	9.6h	✓	-
38	MA	21	21	+5.78%	$10,560	$11,171	63	32%	-	+$610	-9.3%	9.0h	✓	-
39	HD	4	46🔥	+5.30%	$9,495	$9,998	58	29%	-	+$503	-11.0%	10.3h	✓	-
40	PM	57	9🧊	+5.05%	$13,802	$14,499	51	37%	-	+$697	-4.1%	12.3h	✓	-
41	XLE	6	13	+4.80%	$9,599	$10,060	62	45%	-	+$461	-13.2%	11.6h	✓	-
42	BMY	4	10	+4.34%	$8,976	$9,365	55	36%	-	+$390	-14.5%	9.3h	✓	-
43	AVGO	10	9	+4.29%	$9,942	$10,368	57	40%	-	+$427	-26.2%	12.5h	✓	-
44	NFLX	19	9	+4.14%	$11,012	$11,468	60	35%	-	+$456	-13.6%	11.4h	✓	-
45	UNH	5	9	+3.26%	$9,592	$9,905	57	33%	-	+$313	-17.4%	9.8h	✓	-
46	WMT	49	20🧊	+2.74%	$14,000	$14,383	56	34%	-	+$384	-6.4%	14.1h	✓	-
47	BRK-B	4	10	+2.63%	$8,802	$9,033	55	29%	-	+$231	-16.1%	10.0h	✓	-
48	MS	22	9	+2.47%	$11,343	$11,623	56	43%	-	+$280	-12.1%	8.7h	✓	-
49	AMGN	42	35	+2.25%	$13,015	$13,308	67	28%	-	+$293	-5.9%	10.1h	✓	-
50	COST	17	9	+2.21%	$10,583	$10,817	57	39%	-	+$234	-8.3%	12.2h	✓	-
51	VRTX	29	7🧊	+2.01%	$12,471	$12,722	60	28%	-	+$251	-9.6%	11.3h	✓	-
52	DIA	7	25	+1.93%	$9,851	$10,041	54	33%	-	+$190	-8.0%	11.1h	✓	-
53	BIIB	5	25🔥	+1.18%	$9,389	$9,500	62	31%	-	+$111	-21.8%	9.1h	✓	-
54	JPM	28	30	+1.09%	$12,256	$12,390	58	33%	-	+$134	-9.6%	10.5h	✓	-
55	PFE	4	32🔥	+0.54%	$8,295	$8,340	61	38%	-	+$45	-20.1%	11.0h	✓	-
56	MARA	33	31	+0.42%	$19,611	$19,693	59	34%	-	+$82	-35.1%	9.9h	✓	-
57	VZ	4	20	+0.19%	$8,411	$8,427	54	35%	-	+$16	-22.5%	13.2h	✓	-
58	QQQ	23	11	-0.27%	$11,526	$11,495	57	35%	-	-$31	-9.3%	11.6h	✓	-
59	NVDA	13	14	-0.31%	$10,605	$10,572	56	34%	-	-$33	-30.4%	9.6h	✓	-
60	KO	15	7	-0.50%	$10,529	$10,476	59	36%	-	-$53	-6.4%	13.1h	✓	-
61	XLF	15	30	-0.93%	$10,690	$10,591	57	39%	-	-$99	-6.8%	10.7h	✓	-
62	SPY	20	14	-1.28%	$11,021	$10,880	58	29%	-	-$141	-6.4%	9.3h	✓	-
63	GLD	41	5🧊	-1.76%	$13,363	$13,128	59	34%	-	-$235	-6.1%	12.6h	✓	-
64	PEP	27	6🧊	-1.78%	$11,781	$11,571	59	32%	-	-$210	-6.0%	11.3h	✓	-
65	VTI	5	9	-2.03%	$9,878	$9,677	56	32%	-	-$201	-11.1%	8.5h	✓	-
66	V	3	40🔥	-2.10%	$9,275	$9,080	57	33%	-	-$195	-12.2%	10.0h	✓	-
67	MCD	4	12	-2.86%	$8,720	$8,470	58	36%	-	-$249	-16.7%	11.1h	✓	-
68	VOO	22	14	-2.94%	$11,220	$10,890	57	32%	-	-$330	-4.8%	8.9h	✓	-
69	CRM	23	19	-3.10%	$12,726	$12,332	62	31%	-	-$395	-15.0%	9.6h	✓	-
70	ISRG	8	7	-4.49%	$10,587	$10,111	55	31%	-	-$475	-10.1%	11.6h	✓	-
71	COP	14	11	-4.81%	$11,009	$10,479	59	25%	-	-$530	-13.6%	9.7h	✓	-
72	DIS	4	9	-4.86%	$10,031	$9,544	63	24%	-	-$488	-15.9%	8.6h	✓	-
73	UVXY	28	30	-5.11%	$16,258	$15,427	67	24%	-	-$831	-23.5%	7.4h	✓	-
74	HOOD	32	24	-5.76%	$17,031	$16,050	57	28%	-	-$981	-21.5%	10.9h	✓	-
75	TLT	3	6	-5.77%	$9,595	$9,042	62	23%	-	-$554	-7.1%	12.0h	✓	-
76	AAPL	4	34🔥	-6.28%	$9,258	$8,676	61	30%	-	-$581	-16.9%	8.9h	✓	-
77	CRWD	28	7🧊	-6.54%	$15,403	$14,396	54	31%	-	-$1,007	-20.9%	11.7h	✓	-
78	AMZN	5	6	-6.59%	$9,554	$8,924	58	29%	-	-$630	-24.3%	11.0h	✓	-
79	SOFI	47	6🧊	-6.60%	$24,598	$22,974	57	35%	-	-$1,623	-22.8%	11.5h	✓	-
80	BLK	16	10	-8.24%	$11,713	$10,747	63	29%	-	-$965	-8.6%	12.4h	✓	-
81	CMCSA	5	9	-8.75%	$10,635	$9,705	56	32%	-	-$931	-8.3%	10.3h	✓	-
82	PYPL	4	9	-9.38%	$10,039	$9,097	58	22%	-	-$942	-14.2%	12.0h	✓	-
83	TMO	5	49🔥	-9.48%	$9,682	$8,764	60	33%	-	-$918	-14.5%	9.4h	✓	-
84	SPXU	2	6	-9.71%	$8,321	$7,513	58	31%	-	-$808	-29.7%	20.5h	✓	-
85	GILD	3	7	-9.71%	$8,596	$7,761	62	19%	-	-$835	-19.1%	8.9h	✓	-
86	SLB	9	9	-9.98%	$11,346	$10,213	58	29%	-	-$1,132	-17.0%	9.5h	✓	-
87	C	16	9	-10.00%	$12,078	$10,870	58	28%	-	-$1,208	-16.6%	10.1h	✓	-
88	RIOT	23	6	-10.76%	$15,172	$13,539	57	25%	-	-$1,632	-34.2%	9.1h	✓	-
89	RBLX	4	23	-13.08%	$10,015	$8,705	61	33%	-	-$1,310	-23.0%	10.9h	✓	-
90	VXX	4	9	-13.23%	$8,994	$7,804	64	20%	-	-$1,190	-42.2%	8.2h	✓	-
91	TQQQ	4	9	-13.57%	$9,820	$8,487	59	24%	-	-$1,333	-36.1%	10.2h	✓	-
92	MDT	4	6	-13.77%	$9,719	$8,380	56	23%	-	-$1,338	-12.9%	12.0h	✓	-
93	IBM	5	9	-14.28%	$9,536	$8,174	58	31%	-	-$1,362	-12.8%	9.8h	✓	-
94	PG	13	9	-17.59%	$12,537	$10,332	58	16%	-	-$2,205	-4.6%	11.1h	✓	-
95	OXY	4	7	-17.72%	$9,583	$7,885	58	36%	-	-$1,698	-14.1%	11.1h	✓	-
96	REGN	2	7	-19.04%	$6,608	$5,350	61	21%	-	-$1,258	-33.9%	8.9h	✓	-
97	TSLA	3	9	-19.17%	$8,933	$7,221	61	23%	-	-$1,712	-26.6%	10.7h	✓	-
98	NET	5	7	-19.93%	$10,158	$8,133	61	28%	-	-$2,024	-27.1%	9.4h	✓	-
99	SHIBUSD ₿	—	—	-20.74%	$10,100	$8,005	102	17%	$4,270	-$2,095	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Feb 5, 2026
100	COIN	15	9	-21.19%	$13,905	$10,958	59	29%	-	-$2,946	-23.0%	10.2h	✓	-
101	ACN	4	7	-23.32%	$10,443	$8,008	60	18%	-	-$2,435	-7.8%	11.9h	✓	-
102	NIO	2	9	-26.64%	$6,543	$4,800	59	22%	-	-$1,743	-42.7%	8.8h	✓	-
103	ADBE	4	7	-28.07%	$9,507	$6,838	64	28%	-	-$2,669	-20.5%	12.0h	✓	-
104	DOTUSD ₿	—	—	-42.30%	$10,099	$5,827	124	15%	$4,443	-$4,272	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Feb 1, 2026
105	LTCUSD ₿	—	—	-53.75%	$10,303	$4,765	166	12%	$5,339	-$5,538	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Jan 26, 2026
106	UNIUSD ₿	—	—	-59.38%	$10,100	$4,103	209	13%	$5,788	-$5,997	-99.0%	1.6h	6	Jan 21, 2026
107	LINKUSD ₿	—	—	-64.61%	$10,098	$3,574	191	13%	$5,423	-$6,525	-99.0%	1.7h	6	Jan 22, 2026
108	PEPEUSD ₿	—	—	-68.67%	$10,099	$3,164	196	14%	$5,459	-$6,935	-99.3%	1.6h	7	Jan 22, 2026
109	SOLUSD ₿	—	—	-90.21%	$10,104	$989	454	11%	$8,408	-$9,114	-99.1%	1.8h	5	Dec 20, 2025
110	DOGEUSD ₿	—	—	-97.67%	$10,018	$233	441	11%	$8,528	-$9,784	-99.0%	1.7h	5	Nov 12, 2025
111	ETHUSD ₿	—	—	-97.72%	$10,115	$231	450	11%	$8,546	-$9,885	-99.0%	1.8h	5	Nov 16, 2025
112	XRPUSD ₿	—	—	-98.22%	$10,099	$180	431	11%	$8,823	-$9,920	-99.0%	1.8h	5	Oct 29, 2025
113	AVAXUSD ₿	—	—	-98.68%	$10,089	$133	421	11%	$8,524	-$9,955	-99.1%	1.7h	5	Nov 7, 2025
114	BTCUSD ₿	—	—	-98.97%	$10,063	$104	2	100%	$1	-$9,959	-99.1%	1.8h	45	Mar 4, 2026

👤 Personality

Zen-like patience. Never chases trades. Believes rushing leads to ruin. Speaks slowly and deliberately. Has been known to wait months for the perfect entry.

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