8
Professor Mean
The Mathematician
📐 Swing Trader 📅 146 years old (Born 1880)"Price is a drunk stumbling home. It may wander, but it always returns to the mean."
Impossibly old—a walking artifact from the Victorian era. Bow tie, antique spectacles, chalk dust on his academic robes. His hands shake slightly, but his mind is sharp.
Nov 15, 2025
→
Feb 15, 2026
(92 days)
📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Professor Mean's performance over the last 3 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$9,795
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$10,387
($-592)
-5.70%
Last 3 Months ROI
55.0%
Win Rate
7,287
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)
Combined P&L across all 114 symbols
💰 Trading Activity (Last 3 Months)
Stock Volume
$39,608,359
3,741 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$9,381,624
3,546 trades
Crypto Fees
$23,454
0.25% of volume
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Trade 2 standard deviation extremes back to mean
When price moves 2 standard deviations from its 20-day average, the move is statistically extreme. Professor Mean profits from the inevitable return to normalcy.
🎯 Best Suited For
Range-bound stocks and ETFs
"Everything reverts to the mean. Everything."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Markets overreact. Good news pushes prices above fair value; bad news pushes them below. Extremes are by definition unsustainable.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
Z-Score ≤ -2.0 (price is 2+ std devs below mean)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Rules
• MEAN_REVERSION: Z-Score ≥ 0 (price returned to mean)
• STOP_LOSS: Z-Score ≤ -3.0 OR price ≤ entry × 0.92 (-8%)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 10 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
MEAN_PERIOD:
20
ENTRY_STD_DEVS:
2
EXIT_AT_MEAN:
1
STOP_LOSS_STD_DEVS:
3
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
10
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Sir Francis Galton's regression to the mean
Sir Francis Galton was a polymath who, in the 1880s, discovered "regression toward mediocrity" while studying hereditary traits. The principle was universal: extreme measurements tend to be followed by less extreme ones.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last 3 Months:
Nov 15, 2025
→
Feb 15, 2026
(92 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | 3M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
NET
|
+15.82% | $10,694 | $12,385 | 37 | 54% | - | +$1,692 | -16.9% | 6.4h | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
INTC
|
+13.85% | $8,733 | $9,943 | 37 | 54% | - | +$1,210 | -24.3% | 6.5h | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
BMY
|
+12.91% | $13,732 | $15,505 | 38 | 66% | - | +$1,773 | -10.5% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
SOXL
|
+11.83% | $12,824 | $14,341 | 27 | 63% | - | +$1,517 | -43.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
MARA
|
+10.31% | $10,448 | $11,525 | 41 | 61% | - | +$1,077 | -29.5% | 6.1h | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
MRK
|
+10.19% | $10,751 | $11,846 | 36 | 75% | - | +$1,096 | -8.0% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
MU
|
+8.79% | $10,568 | $11,497 | 34 | 59% | - | +$929 | -23.5% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
TSLA
|
+6.86% | $8,576 | $9,165 | 36 | 53% | - | +$588 | -25.6% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
SMCI
|
+6.62% | $7,607 | $8,111 | 37 | 76% | - | +$504 | -55.7% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
BIIB
|
+6.53% | $8,483 | $9,037 | 39 | 72% | - | +$554 | -26.8% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
CVX
|
+6.46% | $10,636 | $11,323 | 39 | 72% | - | +$687 | -5.5% | 6.1h | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
PG
|
+5.89% | $10,361 | $10,971 | 35 | 77% | - | +$610 | -7.0% | 6.1h | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
XLE
|
+5.71% | $9,286 | $9,816 | 38 | 63% | - | +$530 | -13.3% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
COP
|
+5.64% | $9,121 | $9,635 | 37 | 70% | - | +$514 | -18.3% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
DIS
|
+5.43% | $8,816 | $9,295 | 39 | 62% | - | +$479 | -21.3% | 6.2h | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
SLV
|
+5.12% | $11,245 | $11,821 | 35 | 60% | - | +$576 | -25.0% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
PLTR
|
+4.94% | $18,149 | $19,046 | 40 | 70% | - | +$897 | -11.2% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
SLB
|
+4.76% | $9,443 | $9,893 | 33 | 70% | - | +$450 | -18.4% | 6.7h | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
SQQQ
|
+4.33% | $5,891 | $6,146 | 38 | 68% | - | +$255 | -42.9% | 6.3h | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
UNH
|
+3.95% | $9,017 | $9,374 | 40 | 68% | - | +$356 | -22.2% | 5.8h | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
CRM
|
+3.89% | $9,969 | $10,356 | 36 | 64% | - | +$388 | -9.2% | 8.0h | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
GILD
|
+3.87% | $9,217 | $9,574 | 37 | 57% | - | +$357 | -18.5% | 6.6h | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
GOOGL
|
+3.37% | $10,803 | $11,167 | 36 | 56% | - | +$364 | -9.9% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
RIVN
|
+3.23% | $7,143 | $7,374 | 37 | 62% | - | +$231 | -32.4% | 7.7h | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
ARKK
|
+3.16% | $10,578 | $10,913 | 38 | 66% | - | +$334 | -16.4% | 6.2h | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
BRK-B
|
+2.76% | $11,584 | $11,904 | 37 | 59% | - | +$320 | -4.6% | 6.3h | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
GS
|
+2.70% | $13,336 | $13,697 | 37 | 65% | - | +$360 | -3.9% | 6.1h | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
SCHW
|
+2.64% | $12,437 | $12,766 | 39 | 59% | - | +$328 | -7.0% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
AAPL
|
+2.54% | $10,952 | $11,230 | 36 | 58% | - | +$278 | -13.3% | 6.8h | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
JNJ
|
+2.49% | $11,155 | $11,432 | 33 | 70% | - | +$278 | -5.7% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
KO
|
+2.48% | $10,220 | $10,474 | 29 | 55% | - | +$253 | -6.2% | 5.8h | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
XLK
|
+2.31% | $10,791 | $11,040 | 39 | 67% | - | +$249 | -11.6% | 6.8h | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
HD
|
+2.24% | $10,405 | $10,638 | 36 | 64% | - | +$233 | -5.1% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
MA
|
+2.14% | $10,318 | $10,539 | 35 | 66% | - | +$221 | -5.8% | 7.6h | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
GLD
|
+2.13% | $9,609 | $9,814 | 38 | 58% | - | +$205 | -7.6% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
PEP
|
+1.97% | $9,755 | $9,948 | 35 | 63% | - | +$192 | -12.9% | 6.3h | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
VRTX
|
+1.89% | $11,536 | $11,754 | 38 | 58% | - | +$218 | -5.5% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
CMCSA
|
+1.76% | $9,043 | $9,203 | 37 | 57% | - | +$159 | -19.7% | 6.3h | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
AXP
|
+1.69% | $10,905 | $11,090 | 37 | 57% | - | +$184 | -12.7% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
LCID
|
+1.67% | $9,595 | $9,755 | 37 | 62% | - | +$160 | -30.7% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
SPXU
|
+1.65% | $10,435 | $10,607 | 33 | 58% | - | +$172 | -19.1% | 10.6h | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
AMZN
|
+1.52% | $10,761 | $10,925 | 40 | 65% | - | +$164 | -15.2% | 5.8h | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
VOO
|
+1.17% | $10,835 | $10,962 | 38 | 66% | - | +$127 | -5.6% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
RIOT
|
+1.00% | $9,363 | $9,457 | 34 | 65% | - | +$94 | -50.0% | 7.1h | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
AMGN
|
+0.99% | $10,831 | $10,938 | 37 | 59% | - | +$107 | -10.0% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
WMT
|
+0.92% | $11,502 | $11,608 | 35 | 60% | - | +$106 | -4.5% | 6.2h | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
SPY
|
+0.89% | $10,497 | $10,591 | 36 | 67% | - | +$93 | -7.1% | 5.9h | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
LLY
|
+0.81% | $8,460 | $8,528 | 37 | 68% | - | +$69 | -24.9% | 5.9h | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
ISRG
|
+0.60% | $12,510 | $12,585 | 38 | 55% | - | +$75 | -17.0% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
AMC
|
+0.57% | $17,103 | $17,200 | 38 | 63% | - | +$97 | -18.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
USO
|
+0.30% | $11,347 | $11,381 | 36 | 58% | - | +$34 | -11.5% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
TLT
|
+0.22% | $10,117 | $10,140 | 38 | 58% | - | +$22 | -6.8% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
PEPEUSD ₿
|
+0.00% | $10,000 | $10,000 | NO ENTRY | - | - | - | -0.0% | 0.0h | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
SHIBUSD ₿
|
+0.00% | $10,000 | $10,000 | NO ENTRY | - | - | - | -0.0% | 0.0h | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
QQQ
|
-0.03% | $10,617 | $10,614 | 38 | 61% | - | -$3 | -4.4% | 6.1h | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
NVDA
|
-0.08% | $14,419 | $14,407 | 38 | 61% | - | -$12 | -11.5% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
ORCL
|
-0.28% | $8,917 | $8,892 | 36 | 58% | - | -$25 | -27.9% | 6.9h | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
BLK
|
-0.32% | $13,644 | $13,601 | 37 | 65% | - | -$44 | -4.0% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
MS
|
-0.36% | $10,914 | $10,874 | 37 | 65% | - | -$39 | -9.7% | 6.1h | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
VTI
|
-0.36% | $9,991 | $9,955 | 38 | 61% | - | -$36 | -8.8% | 6.0h | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
META
|
-0.55% | $12,501 | $12,432 | 38 | 55% | - | -$69 | -5.9% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
WFC
|
-0.72% | $9,596 | $9,527 | 36 | 69% | - | -$69 | -15.9% | 6.5h | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
ARM
|
-0.97% | $13,017 | $12,891 | 39 | 56% | - | -$126 | -16.8% | 6.3h | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
NFLX
|
-0.98% | $11,066 | $10,958 | 39 | 59% | - | -$108 | -13.7% | 6.8h | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
ADBE
|
-1.01% | $8,681 | $8,594 | 39 | 59% | - | -$88 | -18.6% | 6.8h | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
IWM
|
-1.05% | $9,375 | $9,277 | 35 | 57% | - | -$98 | -14.5% | 7.0h | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
MDT
|
-1.17% | $9,100 | $8,993 | 36 | 58% | - | -$106 | -13.7% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
PM
|
-1.29% | $10,647 | $10,510 | 34 | 56% | - | -$137 | -10.7% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
XOM
|
-1.32% | $10,988 | $10,843 | 36 | 61% | - | -$145 | -9.1% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
TQQQ
|
-1.70% | $10,442 | $10,264 | 39 | 62% | - | -$178 | -17.9% | 5.9h | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
ACN
|
-1.88% | $9,131 | $8,959 | 37 | 62% | - | -$172 | -15.0% | 6.8h | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
OXY
|
-2.02% | $8,747 | $8,570 | 35 | 54% | - | -$177 | -17.0% | 6.1h | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
MCD
|
-2.17% | $12,482 | $12,211 | 35 | 43% | - | -$271 | -4.1% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
PFE
|
-2.27% | $10,210 | $9,978 | 36 | 50% | - | -$232 | -11.8% | 6.2h | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
V
|
-2.29% | $10,661 | $10,417 | 38 | 66% | - | -$244 | -5.0% | 6.8h | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
PYPL
|
-2.30% | $9,875 | $9,648 | 35 | 54% | - | -$227 | -17.7% | 6.3h | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
COIN
|
-2.38% | $10,034 | $9,795 | 35 | 46% | - | -$239 | -42.7% | 6.1h | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
TMO
|
-2.76% | $10,187 | $9,906 | 37 | 49% | - | -$281 | -13.7% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
C
|
-2.84% | $11,974 | $11,634 | 35 | 37% | - | -$340 | -6.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
DIA
|
-3.01% | $9,624 | $9,334 | 34 | 53% | - | -$290 | -11.0% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
VXX
|
-3.16% | $11,733 | $11,363 | 36 | 61% | - | -$371 | -19.3% | 6.2h | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
REGN
|
-3.56% | $11,290 | $10,888 | 37 | 51% | - | -$402 | -13.4% | 6.7h | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
BAC
|
-3.83% | $10,372 | $9,975 | 36 | 44% | - | -$397 | -7.2% | 6.8h | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
XLF
|
-3.83% | $11,144 | $10,717 | 35 | 49% | - | -$427 | -5.4% | 6.9h | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
VZ
|
-4.20% | $10,121 | $9,696 | 34 | 47% | - | -$425 | -12.7% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
AMD
|
-4.45% | $10,359 | $9,898 | 38 | 55% | - | -$461 | -28.5% | 6.3h | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
PANW
|
-4.45% | $9,474 | $9,052 | 39 | 54% | - | -$422 | -24.6% | 6.9h | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
COST
|
-4.81% | $11,154 | $10,618 | 38 | 58% | - | -$537 | -7.2% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
DOTUSD 🚫 PROBATION
₿
|
-5.07% | $10,096 | $9,584 | 36 | 36% | $1,821 | -$512 | -99.1% | 1.0h | 5 |
Feb 6, 2026 21d left |
| 90 |
UVXY
|
-5.17% | $9,370 | $8,886 | 37 | 59% | - | -$484 | -33.5% | 6.8h | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
JPM
|
-5.38% | $11,674 | $11,046 | 35 | 51% | - | -$628 | -7.6% | 5.9h | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
GME
|
-5.78% | $7,749 | $7,301 | 39 | 41% | - | -$448 | -44.4% | 6.8h | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
CSCO
|
-5.79% | $10,301 | $9,705 | 39 | 49% | - | -$596 | -10.7% | 7.5h | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
IBM
|
-5.97% | $11,073 | $10,412 | 37 | 51% | - | -$661 | -9.2% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
AVGO
|
-6.38% | $12,473 | $11,677 | 35 | 57% | - | -$796 | -12.8% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
RBLX
|
-6.54% | $13,368 | $12,494 | 39 | 54% | - | -$874 | -18.1% | 7.7h | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
MSFT
|
-7.10% | $10,277 | $9,547 | 37 | 54% | - | -$730 | -10.0% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
NIO
|
-7.36% | $9,785 | $9,065 | 33 | 45% | - | -$720 | -30.0% | 6.6h | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
DOGEUSD ₿
|
-7.39% | $4,216 | $3,905 | 45 | 53% | $6,953 | -$312 | -150.9% | 4.0h | 1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| 100 |
ABBV
|
-9.15% | $9,929 | $9,021 | 37 | 62% | - | -$909 | -17.6% | 6.6h | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
CRWD
|
-9.86% | $15,897 | $14,329 | 41 | 49% | - | -$1,567 | -12.6% | 6.7h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
SOFI
|
-10.57% | $11,042 | $9,875 | 38 | 53% | - | -$1,167 | -26.0% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 103 |
SNOW
|
-12.55% | $13,531 | $11,833 | 37 | 54% | - | -$1,698 | -17.7% | 6.3h | ✓ | - |
| 104 |
HOOD
|
-13.25% | $14,579 | $12,647 | 36 | 50% | - | -$1,932 | -26.1% | 6.6h | ✓ | - |
| 105 |
DKNG
|
-14.59% | $13,965 | $11,928 | 37 | 51% | - | -$2,038 | -14.0% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 106 |
MRNA
|
-15.32% | $7,456 | $6,314 | 36 | 58% | - | -$1,142 | -31.7% | 6.1h | ✓ | - |
| 107 |
AVAXUSD 🚫 PROBATION
₿
|
-43.61% | $10,100 | $5,695 | 119 | 26% | $4,329 | -$4,404 | -99.0% | 1.1h | 5 |
Jan 25, 2026 9d left |
| 108 |
ETHUSD 🚫 PROBATION
₿
|
-48.11% | $10,100 | $5,241 | 150 | 26% | $5,306 | -$4,859 | -99.0% | 1.0h | 5 |
Jan 22, 2026 6d left |
| 109 |
LINKUSD ₿
|
-89.97% | $10,102 | $1,013 | 475 | 19% | $9,508 | -$9,089 | -99.0% | 1.0h | 4 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| 110 |
BTCUSD ₿
|
-91.78% | $6,215 | $511 | 550 | 12% | $10,316 | -$5,704 | -99.0% | 1.0h | 4 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| 111 |
XRPUSD ₿
|
-92.32% | $2,186 | $168 | 524 | 18% | $11,772 | -$2,018 | -99.0% | 1.2h | 3 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| 112 |
LTCUSD ₿
|
-92.46% | $4,769 | $360 | 555 | 21% | $12,747 | -$4,409 | -99.1% | 1.0h | 4 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| 113 |
SOLUSD ₿
|
-93.43% | $4,803 | $316 | 536 | 17% | $8,456 | -$4,487 | -99.1% | 1.0h | 4 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| 114 |
UNIUSD ₿
|
-93.66% | $9,074 | $575 | 556 | 29% | $8,736 | -$8,499 | -99.1% | 1.0h | 4 | Nov 11, 2025 |
👤 Personality
Speaks in equations. Finds human behavior predictable and slightly disappointing. Gets genuinely excited about standard deviations.