Back to Compendium
Professor Mean
8

Professor Mean

The Mathematician

📐 Swing Trader 📅 146 years old (Born 1880)

"Price is a drunk stumbling home. It may wander, but it always returns to the mean."

Impossibly old—a walking artifact from the Victorian era. Bow tie, antique spectacles, chalk dust on his academic robes. His hands shake slightly, but his mind is sharp.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years
Aug 15, 2025 Feb 15, 2026 (184 days)
🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Professor Mean's performance over the last 6 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$9,977
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,570 ($-594)
-5.62%
Last 6 Months ROI
55.6%
Win Rate
12,417
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-4.2%
1 Month
-5.7%
3 Months
-5.6%
6 Months
-4.5%
YTD
-6.8%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 6 Months)

Stock Volume
$83,962,944
7,937 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$15,650,960
4,480 trades
Crypto Fees
$39,127
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Trade 2 standard deviation extremes back to mean

When price moves 2 standard deviations from its 20-day average, the move is statistically extreme. Professor Mean profits from the inevitable return to normalcy.

🎯 Best Suited For

Range-bound stocks and ETFs

"Everything reverts to the mean. Everything."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets overreact. Good news pushes prices above fair value; bad news pushes them below. Extremes are by definition unsustainable.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Z-Score ≤ -2.0 (price is 2+ std devs below mean)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Rules

• MEAN_REVERSION: Z-Score ≥ 0 (price returned to mean)
• STOP_LOSS: Z-Score ≤ -3.0 OR price ≤ entry × 0.92 (-8%)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 10 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MEAN_PERIOD: 20
ENTRY_STD_DEVS: 2
EXIT_AT_MEAN: 1
STOP_LOSS_STD_DEVS: 3
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 10

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Sir Francis Galton's regression to the mean

Sir Francis Galton was a polymath who, in the 1880s, discovered "regression toward mediocrity" while studying hereditary traits. The principle was universal: extreme measurements tend to be followed by less extreme ones.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Aug 15, 2025 Feb 15, 2026 (184 days)
Rank Symbol Return 6M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund
1 SOXL +26.69% $11,320 $14,341 62 61% - +$3,021 -43.9% 5.2h -
2 MU +21.43% $9,468 $11,497 70 61% - +$2,029 -23.5% 4.9h -
3 ISRG +19.40% $10,541 $12,585 79 63% - +$2,045 -17.0% 4.5h -
4 MRK +18.17% $10,025 $11,846 77 75% - +$1,822 -8.0% 4.8h -
5 BMY +17.45% $13,202 $15,505 77 69% - +$2,304 -10.5% 5.6h -
6 SLV +16.63% $10,136 $11,821 75 68% - +$1,686 -25.0% 4.9h -
7 INTC +13.42% $8,766 $9,943 79 61% - +$1,176 -24.3% 6.5h -
8 NET +11.75% $11,083 $12,385 79 57% - +$1,302 -16.9% 6.4h -
9 UNH +10.63% $8,473 $9,374 83 69% - +$901 -22.2% 5.8h -
10 AMD +9.54% $9,036 $9,898 80 61% - +$862 -28.5% 6.3h -
11 ARM +9.41% $11,782 $12,891 85 61% - +$1,109 -16.8% 6.3h -
12 GILD +9.40% $8,751 $9,574 74 59% - +$823 -18.5% 6.6h -
13 SMCI +9.06% $7,437 $8,111 82 67% - +$674 -55.7% 5.3h -
14 JNJ +8.94% $10,494 $11,432 70 71% - +$938 -5.7% 5.0h -
15 BIIB +8.77% $8,308 $9,037 81 75% - +$729 -26.8% 4.7h -
16 TSLA +8.75% $8,427 $9,165 75 57% - +$737 -25.6% 5.0h -
17 AVGO +8.16% $10,796 $11,677 79 59% - +$881 -12.8% 5.7h -
18 PEP +7.92% $9,218 $9,948 78 67% - +$730 -12.9% 6.3h -
19 PG +7.89% $10,169 $10,971 75 68% - +$802 -7.0% 6.1h -
20 SLB +7.37% $9,214 $9,893 74 68% - +$679 -18.4% 6.7h -
21 BRK-B +7.06% $11,119 $11,904 80 65% - +$785 -4.6% 6.3h -
22 AMZN +6.87% $10,223 $10,925 82 61% - +$702 -15.2% 5.8h -
23 CRM +6.69% $9,707 $10,356 79 62% - +$649 -9.2% 8.0h -
24 XLK +6.64% $10,352 $11,040 84 64% - +$687 -11.6% 6.8h -
25 VRTX +6.41% $11,046 $11,754 77 60% - +$708 -5.5% 5.3h -
26 DIS +6.34% $8,741 $9,295 84 58% - +$554 -21.3% 6.2h -
27 CVX +5.59% $10,723 $11,323 85 65% - +$599 -5.5% 6.1h -
28 GOOGL +5.02% $10,633 $11,167 74 58% - +$534 -9.9% 5.7h -
29 REGN +4.73% $10,396 $10,888 77 62% - +$492 -13.4% 6.7h -
30 VOO +4.31% $10,509 $10,962 79 68% - +$453 -5.6% 5.6h -
31 XLE +3.97% $9,441 $9,816 81 57% - +$375 -13.3% 5.3h -
32 RBLX +3.47% $12,075 $12,494 84 62% - +$419 -18.1% 7.7h -
33 GS +3.32% $13,256 $13,697 80 65% - +$440 -3.9% 6.1h -
34 SCHW +2.78% $12,420 $12,766 82 56% - +$345 -7.0% 5.7h -
35 SPY +2.75% $10,307 $10,591 77 68% - +$283 -7.1% 5.9h -
36 VTI +2.70% $9,693 $9,955 80 65% - +$262 -8.8% 6.0h -
37 ACN +2.48% $8,742 $8,959 80 63% - +$217 -15.0% 6.8h -
38 AXP +2.31% $10,839 $11,090 78 60% - +$250 -12.7% 4.9h -
39 AAPL +2.29% $10,979 $11,230 75 61% - +$251 -13.3% 6.8h -
40 PLTR +2.28% $18,621 $19,046 81 64% - +$425 -11.2% 4.9h -
41 SPXU +2.08% $10,391 $10,607 44 55% - +$216 -19.1% 10.6h -
42 META +2.07% $12,180 $12,432 83 57% - +$252 -5.9% 5.3h -
43 MCD +2.03% $11,968 $12,211 76 51% - +$243 -4.1% 5.4h -
44 WMT +2.02% $11,378 $11,608 74 61% - +$230 -4.5% 6.2h -
45 GLD +1.97% $9,625 $9,814 79 62% - +$190 -7.6% 5.1h -
46 IBM +1.62% $10,246 $10,412 80 56% - +$166 -9.2% 4.7h -
47 SQQQ +1.61% $6,049 $6,146 76 63% - +$97 -42.9% 6.3h -
48 MARA +1.59% $11,345 $11,525 81 60% - +$180 -29.5% 6.1h -
49 ARKK +1.20% $10,783 $10,913 79 65% - +$129 -16.4% 6.2h -
50 BLK +1.17% $13,443 $13,601 79 65% - +$157 -4.0% 4.8h -
51 MS +0.69% $10,800 $10,874 82 60% - +$75 -9.7% 6.1h -
52 AMGN +0.67% $10,866 $10,938 77 57% - +$73 -10.0% 4.5h -
53 MA +0.64% $10,472 $10,539 78 62% - +$67 -5.8% 7.6h -
54 KO +0.30% $10,443 $10,474 70 54% - +$31 -6.2% 5.8h -
55 XOM +0.28% $10,812 $10,843 81 69% - +$30 -9.1% 5.5h -
56 TMO +0.09% $9,897 $9,906 80 54% - +$9 -13.7% 5.2h -
57 PEPEUSD +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
58 SHIBUSD +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
59 NVDA -0.44% $14,471 $14,407 79 57% - -$64 -11.5% 4.4h -
60 HD -0.61% $10,704 $10,638 75 51% - -$65 -5.1% 3.8h -
61 MDT -0.71% $9,057 $8,993 76 59% - -$64 -13.7% 4.9h -
62 PFE -0.71% $10,050 $9,978 77 62% - -$71 -11.8% 6.2h -
63 CMCSA -0.77% $9,274 $9,203 81 63% - -$71 -19.7% 6.3h -
64 CRWD -1.08% $14,486 $14,329 81 59% - -$156 -12.6% 6.7h -
65 QQQ -1.11% $10,733 $10,614 80 58% - -$119 -4.4% 6.1h -
66 LLY -1.12% $8,625 $8,528 75 64% - -$97 -24.9% 5.9h -
67 COP -1.31% $9,763 $9,635 78 60% - -$128 -18.3% 5.6h -
68 NFLX -1.37% $11,110 $10,958 81 59% - -$152 -13.7% 6.8h -
69 V -1.42% $10,567 $10,417 82 63% - -$150 -5.0% 6.8h -
70 TLT -1.56% $10,300 $10,140 80 58% - -$161 -6.8% 5.3h -
71 CSCO -1.87% $9,889 $9,705 80 58% - -$185 -10.7% 7.5h -
72 C -2.03% $11,875 $11,634 78 47% - -$241 -6.0% 5.3h -
73 PANW -2.41% $9,276 $9,052 80 55% - -$224 -24.6% 6.9h -
74 USO -2.83% $11,712 $11,381 76 55% - -$331 -11.5% 5.6h -
75 IWM -2.84% $9,548 $9,277 75 57% - -$271 -14.5% 7.0h -
76 DIA -2.89% $9,612 $9,334 74 53% - -$278 -11.0% 5.4h -
77 TQQQ -3.09% $10,591 $10,264 80 58% - -$327 -17.9% 5.9h -
78 COIN -3.42% $10,142 $9,795 74 51% - -$347 -42.7% 6.1h -
79 OXY -3.42% $8,874 $8,570 75 55% - -$303 -17.0% 6.1h -
80 SNOW -3.68% $12,285 $11,833 80 56% - -$452 -17.7% 6.3h -
81 MSFT -4.14% $9,960 $9,547 83 57% - -$412 -10.0% 4.8h -
82 AMC -4.71% $18,050 $17,200 82 59% - -$850 -18.6% 5.2h -
83 XLF -4.94% $11,274 $10,717 78 54% - -$557 -5.4% 6.9h -
84 DOTUSD 🚫 PROBATION -5.07% $10,096 $9,584 36 36% $1,821 -$512 -99.1% 1.0h 5 Feb 6, 2026
21d left
85 BAC -5.14% $10,515 $9,975 78 47% - -$540 -7.2% 6.8h -
86 COST -5.69% $11,258 $10,618 80 56% - -$641 -7.2% 5.7h -
87 VZ -6.37% $10,355 $9,696 74 54% - -$660 -12.7% 5.7h -
88 VXX -6.38% $12,137 $11,363 77 62% - -$774 -19.3% 6.2h -
89 ADBE -6.76% $9,217 $8,594 79 56% - -$623 -18.6% 6.8h -
90 RIOT -6.86% $10,153 $9,457 73 51% - -$697 -50.0% 7.1h -
91 GME -6.98% $7,849 $7,301 84 51% - -$548 -44.4% 6.8h -
92 UVXY -7.96% $9,654 $8,886 76 64% - -$768 -33.5% 6.8h -
93 PM -7.97% $11,420 $10,510 77 51% - -$910 -10.7% 5.3h -
94 JPM -8.19% $12,032 $11,046 74 50% - -$985 -7.6% 5.9h -
95 ORCL -8.26% $9,693 $8,892 80 51% - -$801 -27.9% 6.9h -
96 ABBV -9.04% $9,917 $9,021 77 66% - -$897 -17.6% 6.6h -
97 DKNG -9.82% $13,227 $11,928 79 57% - -$1,299 -14.0% 5.1h -
98 RIVN -9.89% $8,183 $7,374 77 53% - -$809 -32.4% 7.7h -
99 NIO -9.92% $10,063 $9,065 74 50% - -$998 -30.0% 6.6h -
100 WFC -10.57% $10,653 $9,527 76 62% - -$1,126 -15.9% 6.5h -
101 LCID -11.80% $11,060 $9,755 80 63% - -$1,305 -30.7% 5.2h -
102 PYPL -15.27% $11,386 $9,648 73 56% - -$1,739 -17.7% 6.3h -
103 SOFI -15.61% $11,701 $9,875 82 55% - -$1,827 -26.0% 5.5h -
104 HOOD -21.17% $16,043 $12,647 80 49% - -$3,396 -26.1% 6.6h -
105 MRNA -30.11% $9,034 $6,314 75 52% - -$2,720 -31.7% 6.1h -
106 AVAXUSD 🚫 PROBATION -43.61% $10,100 $5,695 119 26% $4,329 -$4,404 -99.0% 1.1h 5 Jan 25, 2026
9d left
107 ETHUSD 🚫 PROBATION -48.11% $10,100 $5,241 150 26% $5,306 -$4,859 -99.0% 1.0h 5 Jan 22, 2026
6d left
108 DOGEUSD -57.42% $9,170 $3,905 175 51% $6,953 -$5,266 -150.9% 4.0h 1 Jul 30, 2025
109 LINKUSD -89.97% $10,102 $1,013 475 19% $9,508 -$9,089 -99.0% 1.0h 4 Nov 25, 2025
110 UNIUSD -94.30% $10,093 $575 575 30% $8,736 -$9,518 -99.1% 1.0h 4 Nov 11, 2025
111 BTCUSD -94.94% $10,096 $511 652 12% $10,316 -$9,585 -99.0% 1.0h 4 Oct 30, 2025
112 LTCUSD -96.44% $10,100 $360 740 23% $12,747 -$9,741 -99.1% 1.0h 4 Oct 10, 2025
113 SOLUSD -96.88% $10,113 $316 659 19% $8,456 -$9,798 -99.1% 1.0h 4 Oct 27, 2025
114 XRPUSD -98.34% $10,114 $168 899 20% $11,772 -$9,947 -99.0% 1.2h 3 Sep 14, 2025

👤 Personality

Speaks in equations. Finds human behavior predictable and slightly disappointing. Gets genuinely excited about standard deviations.