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Rebel Contraire
11

Rebel Contraire

The Rebel

⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)

"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."

Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last year across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,229
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,068 (+$162)
+1.46%
Last Year ROI
57.4%
Win Rate
12,285
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+2.5%
1 Month
-3.3%
3 Months
-5.3%
6 Months
-2.9%
YTD
+1.5%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Year)

Stock Volume
$104,477,399
8,857 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$12,348,926
3,428 trades
Crypto Fees
$30,872
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal

After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.

🎯 Best Suited For

Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades

"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS: 3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 5

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"

Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: May 6, 2025 May 6, 2026 (365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 33 71🔥 +131.97% $6,667 $15,465 121 65% - +$8,798 -45.8% 1.7d -
2 AMD 22 92🔥 +96.52% $5,882 $11,560 115 63% - +$5,677 -52.6% 1.8d -
3 MRNA 41 14🧊 +94.81% $10,541 $20,534 130 64% - +$9,994 -42.5% 1.3d -
4 MU 40 42 +90.93% $9,529 $18,194 116 63% - +$8,665 -32.2% 1.8d -
5 GOOGL 58 77 +87.89% $13,241 $24,879 80 68% - +$11,638 -25.1% 3.0d -
6 OXY 38 35 +87.55% $8,652 $16,228 89 67% - +$7,575 -31.5% 3.1d -
7 USO 35 54 +77.61% $8,090 $14,368 84 69% - +$6,278 -29.6% 3.3d -
8 NVDA 44 63 +72.50% $12,721 $21,944 93 65% - +$9,223 -35.3% 1.8d -
9 XLE 64 25🧊 +69.15% $11,632 $19,676 68 68% - +$8,044 -12.9% 4.0d -
10 VXX 10 50🔥 +57.09% $5,173 $8,126 115 62% - +$2,953 -57.1% 1.8d -
11 CVX 72 25🧊 +50.68% $14,237 $21,453 68 68% - +$7,216 -12.9% 3.9d -
12 ARM 37 68🔥 +50.63% $11,083 $16,694 118 64% - +$5,611 -36.8% 1.4d -
13 CSCO 69 59 +45.46% $13,254 $19,280 70 60% - +$6,025 -9.7% 4.0d -
14 ORCL 32 31 +45.30% $10,374 $15,074 104 58% - +$4,700 -37.5% 2.4d -
15 JNJ 45 3🧊 +42.89% $9,907 $14,157 63 67% - +$4,249 -9.8% 4.5d -
16 SNOW 31 13 +42.61% $10,014 $14,281 108 63% - +$4,267 -41.0% 2.0d -
17 XOM 51 48 +42.45% $11,872 $16,912 76 66% - +$5,040 -13.9% 3.6d -
18 GLD 68 34🧊 +39.52% $14,150 $19,742 69 64% - +$5,592 -11.3% 4.4d -
19 NET 36 54 +32.09% $11,453 $15,129 117 63% - +$3,675 -29.4% 1.9d -
20 XLK 26 81🔥 +29.79% $9,187 $11,924 69 65% - +$2,737 -30.8% 3.7d -
21 AXP 57 64 +27.99% $15,020 $19,224 76 62% - +$4,204 -13.8% 3.2d -
22 IBM 53 59 +27.64% $13,105 $16,728 79 62% - +$3,622 -11.2% 3.4d -
23 AAPL 37 62🔥 +26.91% $11,160 $14,163 67 64% - +$3,003 -20.3% 3.7d -
24 BAC 38 63🔥 +25.48% $11,771 $14,770 76 63% - +$2,999 -19.8% 3.5d -
25 TSLA 28 63🔥 +25.32% $10,143 $12,711 107 61% - +$2,568 -37.6% 1.5d -
26 AVGO 43 57 +24.92% $14,514 $18,131 100 59% - +$3,617 -21.1% 1.9d -
27 COP 30 76🔥 +24.34% $10,202 $12,686 82 60% - +$2,483 -20.4% 3.2d -
28 SPY 53 56 +23.55% $12,062 $14,903 58 64% - +$2,841 -9.7% 4.8d -
29 VOO 55 57 +23.35% $12,434 $15,337 58 60% - +$2,903 -9.6% 4.9d -
30 GILD 38 10🧊 +21.01% $12,179 $14,737 74 59% - +$2,559 -16.0% 3.6d -
31 VTI 49 54 +19.53% $12,182 $14,561 58 64% - +$2,379 -10.5% 4.8d -
32 JPM 35 38 +18.63% $11,825 $14,028 71 63% - +$2,203 -21.7% 3.6d -
33 PANW 44 49 +17.97% $14,102 $16,636 92 65% - +$2,534 -18.6% 2.6d -
34 SQQQ 10 9 +17.22% $5,520 $6,471 118 59% - +$951 -53.7% 1.5d -
35 AMZN 30 76🔥 +16.24% $11,201 $13,021 85 60% - +$1,819 -27.2% 2.9d -
36 DIA 39 44 +15.17% $11,571 $13,326 55 60% - +$1,755 -13.6% 5.1d -
37 C 32 64🔥 +13.46% $11,567 $13,124 83 61% - +$1,557 -21.2% 3.0d -
38 SOXL 43 35 +13.24% $17,772 $20,125 137 59% - +$2,353 -33.0% 20.2h -
39 KO 33 49 +12.66% $11,645 $13,119 58 60% - +$1,474 -18.7% 4.6d -
40 AMGN 23 11 +12.59% $9,957 $11,210 73 53% - +$1,254 -20.8% 3.6d -
41 WMT 55 33🧊 +11.66% $16,204 $18,094 70 63% - +$1,889 -14.2% 4.1d -
42 SLB 18 71🔥 +10.88% $9,507 $10,541 88 57% - +$1,034 -24.3% 2.9d -
43 GS 57 13🧊 +10.73% $17,589 $19,477 79 56% - +$1,887 -13.2% 3.2d -
44 PEP 20 15 +10.06% $9,679 $10,653 66 55% - +$974 -16.0% 4.4d -
45 NFLX 45 13🧊 +9.98% $16,126 $17,736 79 63% - +$1,609 -19.6% 3.1d -
46 GME 25 36 +8.25% $11,032 $11,942 92 61% - +$910 -32.4% 1.4d -
47 IWM 39 53 +7.75% $12,989 $13,995 66 52% - +$1,007 -11.9% 3.8d -
48 QQQ 20 61🔥 +6.56% $9,814 $10,458 59 58% - +$644 -24.0% 4.3d -
49 XLF 35 25 +5.92% $12,670 $13,420 58 53% - +$750 -17.8% 4.8d -
50 PG 18 26 +5.46% $9,919 $10,461 63 51% - +$542 -19.3% 4.7d -
51 BIIB 10 27 +5.28% $8,012 $8,436 84 55% - +$423 -32.7% 3.0d -
52 UVXY 10 56🔥 +5.19% $8,842 $9,301 135 56% - +$459 -48.5% 22.7h -
53 MA 38 18 +4.68% $13,133 $13,747 68 57% - +$615 -12.2% 4.1d -
54 V 35 57🔥 +3.97% $12,749 $13,255 67 51% - +$506 -11.9% 4.2d -
55 MSFT 29 64🔥 +3.61% $12,026 $12,460 67 61% - +$434 -19.1% 3.9d -
56 SCHW 25 3🧊 +3.37% $11,160 $11,536 67 60% - +$376 -16.1% 3.8d -
57 SLV 30 7🧊 +2.83% $12,240 $12,587 99 57% - +$346 -18.7% 2.8d -
58 WFC 35 10🧊 +2.32% $13,130 $13,435 78 60% - +$305 -17.9% 3.2d -
59 SMCI 12 47🔥 +1.97% $8,198 $8,359 131 60% - +$161 -63.9% 22.3h -
60 MS 41 66🔥 +1.90% $15,739 $16,038 72 58% - +$299 -18.0% 3.4d -
61 PLTR 45 51 +0.43% $19,354 $19,437 118 59% - +$83 -26.0% 1.3d -
62 PFE 9 3 +0.32% $8,508 $8,535 70 60% - +$27 -30.4% 3.8d -
63 MRK 12 9 +0.08% $9,064 $9,072 82 62% - +$7 -29.6% 3.5d -
64 BLK 32 27 -1.71% $13,341 $13,113 75 49% - -$228 -17.7% 3.6d -
65 TMO 10 6 -1.77% $9,007 $8,847 82 55% - -$159 -23.9% 3.6d -
66 VZ 22 5 -3.80% $11,279 $10,851 65 55% - -$429 -15.3% 4.2d -
67 MCD 20 2 -4.06% $11,209 $10,754 59 46% - -$455 -15.2% 4.4d -
68 META 33 20 -5.35% $15,858 $15,009 77 56% - -$848 -36.9% 2.8d -
69 SPXU 21 9 -5.37% $11,477 $10,861 67 55% - -$616 -29.5% 2.3d -
70 RIVN 10 30 -5.56% $5,294 $4,999 131 59% - -$294 -60.0% 1.1d -
71 ABBV 13 3 -5.63% $10,676 $10,075 73 53% - -$601 -25.0% 3.7d -
72 BRK-B 43 10🧊 -7.94% $15,276 $14,063 60 43% - -$1,213 -10.0% 4.4d -
73 TLT 10 2 -8.57% $9,651 $8,824 52 44% - -$827 -15.8% 5.2d -
74 COST 32 22 -8.95% $14,144 $12,878 63 48% - -$1,266 -17.4% 4.1d -
75 RIOT 11 42🔥 -9.77% $6,008 $5,421 156 60% - -$587 -55.6% 17.3h -
76 BMY 10 2 -10.06% $10,267 $9,234 78 56% - -$1,033 -39.5% 3.0d -
77 REGN 11 6 -11.74% $9,007 $7,950 84 58% - -$1,057 -42.3% 3.1d -
78 PM 34 56🔥 -11.85% $15,526 $13,686 75 56% - -$1,840 -19.7% 3.9d -
79 HOOD 11 32🔥 -13.34% $10,870 $9,420 127 57% - -$1,450 -32.1% 1.3d -
80 UNH 10 64🔥 -14.14% $8,742 $7,506 83 52% - -$1,236 -41.5% 3.0d -
81 VRTX 21 6 -14.32% $12,512 $10,721 75 55% - -$1,792 -21.3% 3.5d -
82 MDT 7 5 -14.82% $10,471 $8,919 65 46% - -$1,552 -15.1% 4.3d -
83 LLY 23 7 -15.07% $13,583 $11,536 90 50% - -$2,047 -33.4% 2.6d -
84 ARKK 11 9 -15.09% $9,251 $7,855 90 59% - -$1,396 -23.5% 2.4d -
85 NIO 9 53🔥 -16.34% $8,615 $7,208 117 55% - -$1,408 -39.7% 1.4d -
86 ADBE 9 53🔥 -16.55% $8,012 $6,686 79 52% - -$1,326 -40.9% 3.1d -
87 DIS 8 3 -16.70% $10,321 $8,598 67 45% - -$1,724 -25.4% 3.7d -
88 ACN 8 36🔥 -17.95% $8,294 $6,805 80 53% - -$1,489 -41.3% 3.4d -
89 AMC 9 13 -19.14% $5,292 $4,280 104 55% - -$1,013 -57.1% 1.4d -
90 HD 16 5 -19.98% $13,021 $10,419 70 44% - -$2,602 -18.6% 3.9d -
91 CRM 10 27 -22.27% $8,434 $6,555 83 57% - -$1,878 -46.3% 3.1d -
92 ISRG 17 5 -25.37% $13,793 $10,294 76 43% - -$3,499 -39.2% 3.1d -
93 DKNG 12 50🔥 -29.46% $11,651 $8,219 106 53% - -$3,432 -46.7% 1.8d -
94 SHIBUSD -33.61% $10,098 $6,704 87 57% $3,511 -$3,394 -99.3% 8.9h 2 Jan 12, 2026
95 CMCSA 6 2 -33.67% $8,108 $5,378 69 41% - -$2,730 -47.7% 3.7d -
96 PYPL 11 68🔥 -33.78% $12,580 $8,330 82 49% - -$4,249 -52.5% 2.7d -
97 CRWD 13 27 -36.33% $14,710 $9,366 99 55% - -$5,344 -37.8% 1.8d -
98 TQQQ 11 35🔥 -36.99% $9,086 $5,725 107 51% - -$3,361 -41.0% 1.5d -
99 RBLX 31 12 -37.39% $21,472 $13,444 116 55% - -$8,028 -34.9% 1.9d -
100 SOFI 10 15 -37.91% $12,667 $7,865 122 52% - -$4,802 -43.4% 1.4d -
101 COIN 9 26 -42.42% $6,804 $3,918 131 52% - -$2,886 -67.1% 23.4h -
102 LCID 9 15 -50.10% $6,362 $3,175 132 53% - -$3,187 -69.8% 23.6h -
103 DOGEUSD -56.16% $10,101 $4,428 157 58% $5,179 -$5,672 -99.1% 8.2h 2 Dec 7, 2025
104 MARA 11 13 -56.20% $15,137 $6,630 152 51% - -$8,507 -40.2% 16.1h -
105 BTCUSD 11 76🔥 -62.06% $1,960 $744 254 59% $15,696 -$1,217 -95.2% 1.1d -
106 LINKUSD -63.82% $10,099 $3,654 165 56% $5,330 -$6,445 -99.1% 9.0h 2 Nov 21, 2025
107 ETHUSD -70.46% $10,096 $2,982 168 54% $4,681 -$7,114 -99.2% 15.1h 1 Nov 13, 2025
108 DOTUSD -79.73% $10,098 $2,047 243 55% $4,762 -$8,051 -99.0% 9.9h 2 Nov 12, 2025
109 AVAXUSD -87.17% $10,099 $1,296 264 54% $5,219 -$8,803 -99.2% 8.7h 2 Oct 10, 2025
110 PEPEUSD -87.54% $10,092 $1,258 348 56% $8,303 -$8,835 -99.6% 5.0h 2 Sep 22, 2025
111 XRPUSD -88.33% $10,103 $1,179 301 55% $5,991 -$8,924 -99.0% 11.7h 1 Aug 14, 2025
112 UNIUSD -92.36% $10,100 $772 394 55% $7,266 -$9,329 -99.1% 8.0h 2 Sep 1, 2025
113 LTCUSD -95.08% $9,001 $443 482 59% $10,066 -$8,558 -99.1% 11.8h 1 Mar 3, 2025
114 SOLUSD -97.51% $6,769 $169 565 59% $10,449 -$6,600 -99.1% 9.6h 1 Feb 18, 2025

👤 Personality

Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.