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Rebel Contraire
11

Rebel Contraire

The Rebel

⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)

"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."

Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jun 21, 2025 Jun 21, 2026 (365d)

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last year across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,187
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,288 ($-101)
-0.90%
Last Year ROI
57.1%
Win Rate
12,322
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-1.7%
1 Month
-2.5%
3 Months
-5.8%
6 Months
-3.1%
YTD
-0.9%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Year)

Stock Volume
$107,701,714
9,030 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$11,713,327
3,292 trades
Crypto Fees
$29,283
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal

After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.

🎯 Best Suited For

Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades

"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS: 3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 5

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"

Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Jun 21, 2025 Jun 21, 2026 (365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 36 17 +151.09% $7,029 $17,649 126 67% - +$10,620 -45.8% 1.7d -
2 SNOW 44 70🔥 +96.56% $11,648 $22,896 114 65% - +$11,248 -41.0% 2.0d -
3 MRNA 45 55 +85.58% $12,558 $23,305 133 65% - +$10,747 -42.5% 1.3d -
4 AMD 28 77🔥 +83.24% $7,666 $14,047 121 63% - +$6,381 -52.6% 1.8d -
5 GOOGL 56 3🧊 +74.55% $13,889 $24,242 78 65% - +$10,354 -25.1% 3.0d -
6 MU 46 64 +73.01% $12,762 $22,080 127 62% - +$9,318 -32.2% 1.8d -
7 AAPL 40 42 +48.63% $10,337 $15,364 67 67% - +$5,027 -20.3% 3.7d -
8 JNJ 45 10🧊 +45.26% $9,714 $14,110 63 65% - +$4,397 -9.8% 4.5d -
9 CSCO 72 30🧊 +44.73% $14,381 $20,814 73 60% - +$6,433 -9.7% 4.0d -
10 XLE 55 3🧊 +42.70% $12,431 $17,738 68 63% - +$5,308 -12.9% 4.0d -
11 OXY 33 5🧊 +40.47% $10,048 $14,114 89 64% - +$4,066 -31.5% 3.1d -
12 TSLA 29 21 +35.79% $9,964 $13,530 110 63% - +$3,566 -37.6% 1.5d -
13 XLK 29 31 +34.45% $9,378 $12,608 72 68% - +$3,231 -30.8% 3.7d -
14 GLD 62 5🧊 +33.21% $13,991 $18,638 72 63% - +$4,647 -11.3% 4.4d -
15 VXX 10 9 +33.15% $5,316 $7,079 114 61% - +$1,762 -57.1% 1.8d -
16 PANW 47 50 +32.17% $13,517 $17,865 99 68% - +$4,348 -18.6% 2.6d -
17 AXP 60 30🧊 +31.91% $15,132 $19,961 77 61% - +$4,829 -13.8% 3.2d -
18 ARM 38 15🧊 +30.80% $13,395 $17,520 123 62% - +$4,126 -36.8% 1.4d -
19 CVX 63 3🧊 +30.41% $14,902 $19,434 69 65% - +$4,532 -12.9% 3.9d -
20 USO 26 6 +29.44% $8,907 $11,529 88 64% - +$2,622 -29.6% 3.3d -
21 VOO 59 23🧊 +27.36% $12,613 $16,064 57 65% - +$3,451 -9.6% 4.9d -
22 GME 27 19 +27.19% $9,835 $12,509 92 60% - +$2,674 -32.4% 1.4d -
23 NET 39 18🧊 +26.60% $13,290 $16,825 120 63% - +$3,535 -29.4% 1.9d -
24 SPY 55 18🧊 +26.03% $12,270 $15,464 57 68% - +$3,194 -9.7% 4.8d -
25 BAC 42 52 +25.94% $12,797 $16,117 75 63% - +$3,320 -19.8% 3.5d -
26 C 37 75🔥 +24.10% $12,042 $14,944 86 63% - +$2,902 -21.2% 3.0d -
27 VTI 51 22🧊 +23.60% $12,281 $15,179 57 68% - +$2,898 -10.5% 4.8d -
28 ORCL 30 25 +23.45% $11,777 $14,539 114 56% - +$2,762 -37.5% 2.4d -
29 SOXL 43 26 +22.96% $16,971 $20,867 142 59% - +$3,897 -33.0% 20.2h -
30 AMGN 26 19 +21.98% $9,607 $11,718 74 55% - +$2,112 -20.8% 3.6d -
31 DIA 43 37 +20.52% $11,673 $14,069 56 63% - +$2,395 -13.6% 5.1d -
32 XOM 42 5🧊 +19.13% $12,369 $14,735 77 61% - +$2,366 -13.9% 3.6d -
33 QQQ 25 19 +16.04% $9,788 $11,358 62 63% - +$1,570 -24.0% 4.3d -
34 UVXY 17 64🔥 +15.91% $8,994 $10,425 130 59% - +$1,431 -48.5% 22.7h -
35 KO 32 2🧊 +13.55% $11,496 $13,054 59 58% - +$1,558 -18.7% 4.6d -
36 IWM 40 17🧊 +13.45% $12,842 $14,569 66 55% - +$1,727 -11.9% 3.8d -
37 PEP 20 7 +13.02% $9,423 $10,649 66 56% - +$1,227 -16.0% 4.4d -
38 GS 67 57 +12.86% $19,476 $21,980 81 58% - +$2,505 -13.2% 3.2d -
39 BIIB 11 39🔥 +12.75% $8,253 $9,305 84 57% - +$1,052 -32.7% 3.0d -
40 WMT 48 6🧊 +11.25% $14,691 $16,344 71 62% - +$1,653 -14.2% 4.1d -
41 NVDA 39 6🧊 +11.12% $16,652 $18,503 92 58% - +$1,852 -35.3% 1.8d -
42 COP 25 3🧊 +10.88% $10,309 $11,430 82 59% - +$1,122 -20.4% 3.2d -
43 PG 22 55🔥 +10.29% $9,948 $10,972 67 54% - +$1,024 -19.3% 4.7d -
44 GILD 36 13🧊 +10.23% $12,974 $14,302 75 57% - +$1,327 -16.0% 3.6d -
45 V 35 2🧊 +9.56% $12,023 $13,173 66 52% - +$1,149 -11.9% 4.2d -
46 JPM 35 5🧊 +9.17% $13,050 $14,247 75 59% - +$1,197 -21.7% 3.6d -
47 XLF 36 34 +8.30% $12,867 $13,935 57 53% - +$1,068 -17.8% 4.8d -
48 WFC 37 54 +8.29% $13,032 $14,112 76 61% - +$1,080 -17.9% 3.2d -
49 SMCI 12 12 +8.05% $7,923 $8,561 134 59% - +$638 -63.9% 22.3h -
50 PLTR 44 9🧊 +6.87% $17,826 $19,051 118 59% - +$1,225 -26.0% 1.3d -
51 MS 48 59 +6.31% $17,151 $18,233 74 58% - +$1,082 -18.0% 3.4d -
52 SCHW 28 36 +5.20% $11,599 $12,203 70 61% - +$603 -16.1% 3.8d -
53 AVGO 39 19 +4.31% $15,624 $16,297 100 58% - +$673 -21.1% 1.9d -
54 VRTX 25 33 +3.44% $11,033 $11,412 73 56% - +$380 -21.3% 3.5d -
55 MA 34 2🧊 +2.18% $12,705 $12,982 69 55% - +$277 -12.2% 4.1d -
56 IBM 40 9🧊 +2.06% $13,602 $13,882 85 58% - +$280 -11.2% 3.4d -
57 REGN 11 6 +1.23% $7,009 $7,095 81 60% - +$86 -42.3% 3.1d -
58 RIVN 10 50🔥 +0.66% $4,914 $4,947 131 60% - +$32 -60.0% 1.1d -
59 BRK-B 49 27🧊 -0.94% $15,234 $15,091 61 51% - -$143 -10.0% 4.4d -
60 TMO 10 13 -1.51% $8,366 $8,240 83 55% - -$126 -23.9% 3.6d -
61 AMZN 24 5 -1.62% $11,578 $11,390 84 58% - -$188 -27.2% 2.9d -
62 PFE 9 3 -1.77% $7,983 $7,842 69 57% - -$141 -30.4% 3.8d -
63 SLV 33 24 -2.39% $13,779 $13,449 102 57% - -$329 -18.7% 2.8d -
64 NIO 9 20 -2.52% $6,932 $6,758 121 58% - -$175 -39.7% 1.4d -
65 LLY 24 25 -2.66% $12,287 $11,960 87 52% - -$327 -33.4% 2.6d -
66 MCD 9 2 -3.43% $10,256 $9,904 59 44% - -$352 -15.2% 4.4d -
67 TLT 10 27 -4.34% $9,487 $9,075 52 46% - -$412 -15.8% 5.2d -
68 VZ 19 2 -4.35% $10,978 $10,500 65 55% - -$478 -15.3% 4.2d -
69 SLB 10 6 -4.52% $9,777 $9,335 91 55% - -$442 -24.3% 2.9d -
70 BLK 32 13 -4.75% $13,865 $13,207 76 50% - -$659 -17.7% 3.6d -
71 ABBV 11 6 -6.23% $10,678 $10,013 74 55% - -$665 -25.0% 3.7d -
72 SPXU 19 13 -7.78% $11,403 $10,516 75 55% - -$887 -29.5% 2.3d -
73 COST 29 3🧊 -7.83% $13,328 $12,284 67 49% - -$1,044 -17.4% 4.1d -
74 BMY 10 3 -8.94% $9,965 $9,074 80 56% - -$891 -39.5% 3.0d -
75 MRK 11 2 -9.13% $9,515 $8,647 79 58% - -$869 -29.6% 3.5d -
76 NFLX 38 2🧊 -9.99% $17,103 $15,394 76 57% - -$1,709 -19.6% 3.1d -
77 SQQQ 9 14 -10.29% $5,899 $5,292 121 57% - -$607 -53.7% 1.5d -
78 MSFT 25 5🧊 -10.63% $12,911 $11,539 71 56% - -$1,372 -19.1% 3.9d -
79 ACN 8 5 -11.33% $7,200 $6,385 83 54% - -$816 -41.3% 3.4d -
80 AMC 9 50🔥 -12.18% $5,483 $4,815 108 55% - -$668 -57.1% 1.4d -
81 UNH 10 12 -13.13% $8,766 $7,615 80 53% - -$1,151 -41.5% 3.0d -
82 PM 35 3🧊 -14.28% $16,194 $13,882 78 54% - -$2,313 -19.7% 3.9d -
83 HOOD 22 47🔥 -14.39% $12,918 $11,059 129 57% - -$1,859 -32.1% 1.3d -
84 META 30 9🧊 -15.14% $16,147 $13,702 80 55% - -$2,445 -36.9% 2.8d -
85 RIOT 11 17 -17.07% $6,368 $5,281 156 60% - -$1,087 -55.6% 17.3h -
86 ARKK 11 6 -20.84% $9,745 $7,714 87 57% - -$2,031 -23.5% 2.4d -
87 CRWD 18 9 -21.91% $13,223 $10,326 103 56% - -$2,897 -37.8% 1.8d -
88 MDT 7 3 -22.50% $10,949 $8,485 65 40% - -$2,463 -15.1% 4.3d -
89 CRM 10 9 -24.07% $7,740 $5,877 89 56% - -$1,863 -46.3% 3.1d -
90 HD 9 3 -25.10% $12,752 $9,551 73 42% - -$3,201 -18.6% 3.9d -
91 ISRG 11 5 -25.43% $12,243 $9,129 77 40% - -$3,113 -39.2% 3.1d -
92 ADBE 8 7 -25.45% $7,752 $5,779 84 50% - -$1,973 -40.9% 3.1d -
93 TQQQ 12 33🔥 -26.85% $9,149 $6,692 110 54% - -$2,456 -41.0% 1.5d -
94 PYPL 11 22 -28.31% $11,560 $8,287 84 50% - -$3,273 -52.5% 2.7d -
95 DKNG 12 54🔥 -28.58% $12,309 $8,791 112 54% - -$3,518 -46.7% 1.8d -
96 DIS 8 2 -31.31% $11,865 $8,150 67 40% - -$3,715 -25.4% 3.7d -
97 SHIBUSD -33.61% $10,098 $6,704 87 57% $3,511 -$3,394 -99.3% 8.9h 2 Jan 12, 2026
98 MARA 11 39🔥 -41.12% $12,178 $7,170 153 54% - -$5,008 -40.2% 16.1h -
99 CMCSA 6 3 -41.87% $8,086 $4,700 71 38% - -$3,385 -47.7% 3.7d -
100 RBLX 34 44 -44.30% $26,686 $14,864 120 53% - -$11,822 -34.9% 1.9d -
101 SOFI 10 14 -47.69% $14,281 $7,470 125 50% - -$6,810 -43.4% 1.4d -
102 COIN 9 13 -51.93% $7,645 $3,675 134 49% - -$3,970 -67.1% 23.4h -
103 DOGEUSD -56.16% $10,101 $4,428 157 58% $5,179 -$5,672 -99.1% 8.2h 2 Dec 7, 2025
104 LCID 8 11 -60.36% $5,954 $2,360 135 53% - -$3,594 -69.8% 23.6h -
105 LINKUSD -63.82% $10,099 $3,654 165 56% $5,330 -$6,445 -99.1% 9.0h 2 Nov 21, 2025
106 ETHUSD -70.46% $10,096 $2,982 168 54% $4,681 -$7,114 -99.2% 15.1h 1 Nov 13, 2025
107 BTCUSD 10 13 -72.78% $1,993 $542 262 56% $15,798 -$1,450 -95.2% 1.1d -
108 DOTUSD -79.73% $10,098 $2,047 243 55% $4,762 -$8,051 -99.0% 9.9h 2 Nov 12, 2025
109 AVAXUSD -87.17% $10,099 $1,296 264 54% $5,219 -$8,803 -99.2% 8.7h 2 Oct 10, 2025
110 PEPEUSD -87.54% $10,092 $1,258 348 56% $8,303 -$8,835 -99.6% 5.0h 2 Sep 22, 2025
111 XRPUSD -88.33% $10,103 $1,179 301 55% $5,991 -$8,924 -99.0% 11.7h 1 Aug 14, 2025
112 UNIUSD -92.36% $10,100 $772 394 55% $7,266 -$9,329 -99.1% 8.0h 2 Sep 1, 2025
113 LTCUSD -95.08% $9,001 $443 415 60% $10,066 -$8,558 -99.1% 11.8h 1 Mar 3, 2025
114 SOLUSD -97.51% $6,769 $169 488 59% $10,449 -$6,600 -99.1% 9.6h 1 Feb 18, 2025

👤 Personality

Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.