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Rebel Contraire
11

Rebel Contraire

The Rebel

⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)

"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."

Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jun 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (92d)

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last 3 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,592
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,369 (+$223)
+1.96%
Last 3 Months ROI
52.2%
Win Rate
2,562
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.3%
1 Month
+2.0%
3 Months
+1.2%
6 Months
+2.4%
YTD
+0.1%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 3 Months)

Stock Volume
$31,204,533
2,514 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$27,492
48 trades
Crypto Fees
$69
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal

After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.

🎯 Best Suited For

Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades

"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS: 3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 5

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"

Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Jun 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (92 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 3M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 BTCUSD ₿ 10 19 +204.49% $210 $639 48 65% $15,941 +$429 -95.2% 1.1d ✓ -
2 MRNA 🔥 PRO 77 62 +116.13% $24,486 $52,922 39 67% - +$28,436 -42.5% 1.3d ✓ -
3 PLTR 56 39 +43.36% $17,789 $25,502 29 69% - +$7,713 -26.0% 1.3d ✓ -
4 USO 35 58🔥 +37.34% $10,959 $15,051 30 67% - +$4,092 -29.6% 3.3d ✓ -
5 SQQQ 10 39🔥 +34.78% $5,960 $8,033 30 73% - +$2,073 -53.7% 1.5d ✓ -
6 BMY 25 3🧊 +32.70% $9,269 $12,300 21 71% - +$3,031 -39.5% 3.0d ✓ -
7 PYPL 21 26 +32.51% $8,196 $10,861 23 70% - +$2,665 -52.5% 2.7d ✓ -
8 LCID 9 53🔥 +32.01% $2,488 $3,284 39 62% - +$796 -69.8% 23.6h ✓ -
9 HOOD 29 12 +31.91% $10,207 $13,464 37 65% - +$3,257 -32.1% 1.3d ✓ -
10 SOXL 51 91🔥 +31.52% $20,608 $27,104 45 62% - +$6,496 -33.0% 20.2h ✓ -
11 TMO 19 5 +30.05% $8,262 $10,745 24 67% - +$2,483 -23.9% 3.6d ✓ -
12 AMD 32 69🔥 +27.99% $12,926 $16,545 36 69% - +$3,618 -52.6% 1.8d ✓ -
13 PANW 61 49 +27.76% $18,323 $23,410 32 69% - +$5,087 -18.6% 2.6d ✓ -
14 SNOW 50 58 +25.07% $22,146 $27,698 29 62% - +$5,552 -41.0% 2.0d ✓ -
15 V 49 2🧊 +24.50% $13,073 $16,275 18 61% - +$3,203 -11.9% 4.2d ✓ -
16 MRK 22 9 +23.16% $8,878 $10,934 23 74% - +$2,056 -29.6% 3.5d ✓ -
17 XLE 70 26🧊 +21.60% $18,100 $22,010 19 68% - +$3,910 -12.9% 4.0d ✓ -
18 GME 33 75🔥 +21.00% $12,425 $15,034 21 67% - +$2,609 -32.4% 1.4d ✓ -
19 SLV 37 28 +20.47% $12,228 $14,730 25 68% - +$2,503 -18.7% 2.8d ✓ -
20 MSFT 33 12🧊 +18.92% $11,413 $13,572 22 68% - +$2,159 -19.1% 3.9d ✓ -
21 MA 44 14🧊 +18.59% $12,991 $15,406 18 61% - +$2,415 -12.2% 4.1d ✓ -
22 AAPL 49 40 +18.52% $15,410 $18,264 20 70% - +$2,854 -20.3% 3.7d ✓ -
23 SCHW 39 11🧊 +18.46% $12,447 $14,744 19 74% - +$2,298 -16.1% 3.8d ✓ -
24 MARA 12 35🔥 +18.03% $6,828 $8,059 43 63% - +$1,231 -40.2% 16.1h ✓ -
25 REGN 11 6 +17.96% $6,979 $8,232 22 68% - +$1,253 -42.3% 3.1d ✓ -
26 META 34 79🔥 +17.50% $13,437 $15,788 25 68% - +$2,351 -36.9% 2.8d ✓ -
27 GOOGL 63 58 +16.30% $23,942 $27,845 23 74% - +$3,903 -25.1% 3.0d ✓ -
28 COP 33 34 +16.27% $11,431 $13,290 22 68% - +$1,860 -20.4% 3.2d ✓ -
29 XOM 50 10🧊 +16.00% $14,735 $17,093 22 59% - +$2,358 -13.9% 3.6d ✓ -
30 NET 40 48 +15.89% $15,781 $18,289 33 64% - +$2,508 -29.4% 1.9d ✓ -
31 MDT 15 6 +15.80% $8,629 $9,993 22 68% - +$1,363 -15.1% 4.3d ✓ -
32 CVX 70 23🧊 +15.27% $19,434 $22,401 21 67% - +$2,968 -12.9% 3.9d ✓ -
33 PFE 10 10 +14.74% $7,595 $8,715 21 67% - +$1,120 -30.4% 3.8d ✓ -
34 RBLX 37 61🔥 +14.15% $13,848 $15,808 35 66% - +$1,960 -34.9% 1.9d ✓ -
35 JNJ 55 30🧊 +14.01% $14,288 $16,289 23 74% - +$2,002 -9.8% 4.5d ✓ -
36 SPXU 28 17 +13.42% $11,322 $12,841 24 58% - +$1,519 -29.5% 2.3d ✓ -
37 VZ 28 10 +13.07% $10,446 $11,812 22 68% - +$1,365 -15.3% 4.2d ✓ -
38 GILD 42 26 +12.71% $14,302 $16,120 21 67% - +$1,818 -16.0% 3.6d ✓ -
39 SOFI 11 31 +12.48% $6,936 $7,801 31 61% - +$866 -43.4% 1.4d ✓ -
40 PM 38 14🧊 +11.84% $13,439 $15,030 23 57% - +$1,591 -19.7% 3.9d ✓ -
41 COST 34 6🧊 +11.05% $12,284 $13,642 20 65% - +$1,357 -17.4% 4.1d ✓ -
42 COIN 9 23 +10.35% $3,419 $3,773 37 59% - +$354 -67.1% 23.4h ✓ -
43 PEP 25 10 +10.33% $10,503 $11,588 20 65% - +$1,085 -16.0% 4.4d ✓ -
44 XLF 41 3🧊 +10.02% $13,872 $15,262 17 59% - +$1,390 -17.8% 4.8d ✓ -
45 SLB 11 9 +9.99% $9,054 $9,959 24 58% - +$905 -24.3% 2.9d ✓ -
46 ABBV 25 30 +9.60% $10,609 $11,627 20 70% - +$1,018 -25.0% 3.7d ✓ -
47 NVDA 40 25 +8.23% $17,819 $19,286 23 65% - +$1,467 -35.3% 1.8d ✓ -
48 BRK-B 53 42 +7.72% $14,877 $16,025 17 71% - +$1,148 -10.0% 4.4d ✓ -
49 AMGN 32 12 +7.21% $12,222 $13,103 24 67% - +$881 -20.8% 3.6d ✓ -
50 PG 27 38 +6.53% $10,994 $11,712 21 62% - +$718 -19.3% 4.7d ✓ -
51 KO 34 6🧊 +6.10% $12,950 $13,739 17 47% - +$790 -18.7% 4.6d ✓ -
52 TSLA 31 28 +5.94% $13,439 $14,237 26 62% - +$798 -37.6% 1.5d ✓ -
53 AMC 9 53🔥 +3.61% $3,642 $3,774 37 57% - +$131 -57.1% 1.4d ✓ -
54 BLK 32 5🧊 +3.46% $12,788 $13,230 20 55% - +$442 -17.7% 3.6d ✓ -
55 CRM 11 9 +3.28% $5,848 $6,039 28 64% - +$192 -46.3% 3.1d ✓ -
56 DIA 43 3🧊 +3.21% $13,953 $14,400 17 41% - +$448 -13.6% 5.1d ✓ -
57 JPM 36 6🧊 +3.08% $14,247 $14,686 18 56% - +$439 -21.7% 3.6d ✓ -
58 INTC 35 86🔥 +2.72% $17,807 $18,292 39 56% - +$484 -45.8% 1.7d ✓ -
59 ADBE 9 9 +2.31% $5,813 $5,947 33 61% - +$134 -40.9% 3.1d ✓ -
60 DKNG 13 18 +2.09% $8,523 $8,701 30 63% - +$178 -46.7% 1.8d ✓ -
61 VOO 59 3🧊 +2.08% $15,997 $16,330 16 50% - +$333 -9.6% 4.9d ✓ -
62 BIIB 11 6 +1.82% $9,580 $9,755 21 57% - +$174 -32.7% 3.0d ✓ -
63 SPY 55 3🧊 +1.79% $15,363 $15,638 16 50% - +$275 -9.7% 4.8d ✓ -
64 WFC 36 26 +1.67% $13,909 $14,141 22 50% - +$232 -17.9% 3.2d ✓ -
65 DIS 8 3 +1.65% $8,314 $8,451 20 45% - +$137 -25.4% 3.7d ✓ -
66 GLD 57 2🧊 +1.57% $17,708 $17,986 18 44% - +$278 -11.3% 4.4d ✓ -
67 AXP 59 5🧊 +0.77% $19,761 $19,913 19 47% - +$152 -13.8% 3.2d ✓ -
68 CMCSA 7 6 +0.61% $4,755 $4,784 24 54% - +$29 -47.7% 3.7d ✓ -
69 VTI 51 3🧊 +0.56% $15,127 $15,211 16 50% - +$85 -10.5% 4.8d ✓ -
70 VRTX 27 3🧊 +0.14% $11,937 $11,953 21 57% - +$17 -21.3% 3.5d ✓ -
71 WMT 49 48 -0.15% $16,705 $16,680 21 62% - -$25 -14.2% 4.1d ✓ -
72 BAC 42 3🧊 -0.57% $16,335 $16,242 18 56% - -$93 -19.8% 3.5d ✓ -
73 ARKK 12 49🔥 -0.58% $7,723 $7,678 26 65% - -$45 -23.5% 2.4d ✓ -
74 NFLX 37 13🧊 -0.73% $14,917 $14,809 24 67% - -$109 -19.6% 3.1d ✓ -
75 TQQQ 12 17 -1.15% $6,627 $6,551 31 55% - -$76 -41.0% 1.5d ✓ -
76 ISRG 12 63🔥 -1.75% $9,010 $8,852 26 65% - -$158 -39.2% 3.1d ✓ -
77 LLY 23 5 -1.77% $12,079 $11,865 22 55% - -$214 -33.4% 2.6d ✓ -
78 OXY 31 10🧊 -2.75% $14,114 $13,726 24 54% - -$388 -31.5% 3.1d ✓ -
79 TLT 10 3 -3.52% $9,110 $8,790 16 44% - -$321 -15.8% 5.2d ✓ -
80 C 34 33 -3.81% $14,613 $14,056 20 50% - -$557 -21.2% 3.0d ✓ -
81 AMZN 21 5 -4.19% $11,390 $10,913 20 45% - -$477 -27.2% 2.9d ✓ -
82 UNH 10 9 -4.53% $7,523 $7,182 21 48% - -$341 -41.5% 3.0d ✓ -
83 ACN 8 10 -4.98% $6,302 $5,988 28 61% - -$314 -41.3% 3.4d ✓ -
84 UVXY 10 12 -5.74% $9,729 $9,171 30 50% - -$558 -48.5% 22.7h ✓ -
85 CSCO 70 5🧊 -6.49% $21,250 $19,871 20 50% - -$1,379 -9.7% 4.0d ✓ -
86 MCD 9 5 -6.64% $9,904 $9,246 19 42% - -$658 -15.2% 4.4d ✓ -
87 MU 45 50 -7.95% $24,100 $22,184 37 62% - -$1,916 -32.2% 1.8d ✓ -
88 IWM 36 3🧊 -8.02% $14,621 $13,448 16 38% - -$1,173 -11.9% 3.8d ✓ -
89 QQQ 17 3 -10.44% $11,410 $10,218 16 25% - -$1,191 -24.0% 4.3d ✓ -
90 SMCI 11 46🔥 -11.60% $8,490 $7,506 38 53% - -$985 -63.9% 22.3h ✓ -
91 RIVN 10 12 -12.27% $4,886 $4,286 31 55% - -$599 -60.0% 1.1d ✓ -
92 HD 9 3 -12.30% $9,312 $8,167 22 45% - -$1,145 -18.6% 3.9d ✓ -
93 XLK 21 5 -15.01% $12,740 $10,827 21 38% - -$1,912 -30.8% 3.7d ✓ -
94 RIOT 11 61🔥 -15.78% $5,647 $4,756 43 56% - -$891 -55.6% 17.3h ✓ -
95 ORCL 26 29 -16.88% $14,096 $11,716 33 48% - -$2,379 -37.5% 2.4d ✓ -
96 GS 50 5🧊 -18.47% $21,259 $17,332 20 40% - -$3,926 -13.2% 3.2d ✓ -
97 MS 36 10🧊 -19.67% $18,123 $14,558 20 40% - -$3,565 -18.0% 3.4d ✓ -
98 ARM 29 56🔥 -22.03% $16,201 $12,632 36 56% - -$3,569 -36.8% 1.4d ✓ -
99 AVGO 28 6🧊 -22.58% $15,791 $12,225 24 42% - -$3,566 -21.1% 1.9d ✓ -
100 VXX 9 14 -23.15% $6,854 $5,267 23 35% - -$1,587 -57.1% 1.8d ✓ -
101 NIO 8 6 -32.15% $6,480 $4,397 25 32% - -$2,083 -39.7% 1.4d ✓ -
102 SHIBUSD ₿ — — -33.61% $10,098 $6,704 NO ENTRY - $3,511 -$3,394 -99.3% 8.9h 2 Jan 12, 2026
103 LTCUSD ₿ — — -50.37% $892 $443 NO ENTRY - $10,066 -$449 -99.1% 11.8h 1 Mar 3, 2025
104 IBM 12 9 -55.03% $14,905 $6,703 30 50% - -$8,202 -11.2% 3.4d ✓ -
105 AVAXUSD ₿ — — -55.24% $2,895 $1,296 NO ENTRY - $5,219 -$1,599 -99.2% 8.7h 2 Oct 10, 2025
106 DOGEUSD ₿ — — -56.16% $10,101 $4,428 NO ENTRY - $5,179 -$5,672 -99.1% 8.2h 2 Dec 7, 2025
107 ETHUSD ₿ — — -60.59% $7,568 $2,982 NO ENTRY - $4,681 -$4,585 -99.2% 15.1h 1 Nov 13, 2025
108 XRPUSD ₿ — — -61.20% $3,039 $1,179 NO ENTRY - $5,991 -$1,860 -99.0% 11.7h 1 Aug 14, 2025
109 LINKUSD ₿ — — -62.71% $9,798 $3,654 NO ENTRY - $5,330 -$6,145 -99.1% 9.0h 2 Nov 21, 2025
110 DOTUSD ₿ — — -63.16% $5,556 $2,047 NO ENTRY - $4,762 -$3,509 -99.0% 9.9h 2 Nov 12, 2025
111 CRWD — — -65.71% $-12,247 $-4,200 NO ENTRY - - +$8,048 -37.8% 1.8d 1 Jul 6, 2026
112 SOLUSD ₿ — — -66.75% $507 $169 NO ENTRY - $10,449 -$338 -99.1% 9.6h 1 Feb 18, 2025
113 PEPEUSD ₿ — — -67.73% $3,897 $1,258 NO ENTRY - $8,303 -$2,639 -99.6% 5.0h 2 Sep 22, 2025
114 UNIUSD ₿ — — -68.69% $2,465 $772 NO ENTRY - $7,266 -$1,693 -99.1% 8.0h 2 Sep 1, 2025

👤 Personality

Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.