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Rebel Contraire
11

Rebel Contraire

The Rebel

⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)

"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."

Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Mar 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (184d)

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last 6 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,427
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,291 (+$136)
+1.21%
Last 6 Months ROI
52.2%
Win Rate
5,111
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.3%
1 Month
+2.0%
3 Months
+1.2%
6 Months
+2.4%
YTD
+0.1%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 6 Months)

Stock Volume
$61,292,492
5,003 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$64,991
108 trades
Crypto Fees
$162
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal

After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.

🎯 Best Suited For

Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades

"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS: 3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 5

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"

Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Mar 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (184 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 6M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 MRNA 🔥 PRO 77 62 +146.70% $21,452 $52,922 75 67% - +$31,470 -42.5% 1.3d ✓ -
2 SNOW 50 58 +99.30% $13,897 $27,698 63 63% - +$13,800 -41.0% 2.0d ✓ -
3 AMD 32 69🔥 +79.63% $9,210 $16,545 73 73% - +$7,334 -52.6% 1.8d ✓ -
4 PANW 61 49 +61.60% $14,486 $23,410 63 71% - +$8,923 -18.6% 2.6d ✓ -
5 HOOD 29 12 +49.72% $8,993 $13,464 73 63% - +$4,471 -32.1% 1.3d ✓ -
6 AAPL 49 40 +47.21% $12,407 $18,264 39 74% - +$5,857 -20.3% 3.7d ✓ -
7 PYPL 21 26 +45.40% $7,470 $10,861 45 64% - +$3,391 -52.5% 2.7d ✓ -
8 INTC 35 86🔥 +39.67% $13,096 $18,292 78 62% - +$5,195 -45.8% 1.7d ✓ -
9 GME 33 75🔥 +36.96% $10,977 $15,034 49 65% - +$4,057 -32.4% 1.4d ✓ -
10 V 49 2🧊 +34.22% $12,126 $16,275 34 56% - +$4,149 -11.9% 4.2d ✓ -
11 BMY 25 3🧊 +31.06% $9,385 $12,300 40 63% - +$2,915 -39.5% 3.0d ✓ -
12 NET 40 48 +30.97% $13,964 $18,289 68 65% - +$4,325 -29.4% 1.9d ✓ -
13 PLTR 56 39 +30.80% $19,497 $25,502 61 61% - +$6,005 -26.0% 1.3d ✓ -
14 USO 35 58🔥 +30.49% $11,534 $15,051 58 62% - +$3,517 -29.6% 3.3d ✓ -
15 SOXL 51 91🔥 +28.13% $21,154 $27,104 87 60% - +$5,951 -33.0% 20.2h ✓ -
16 GOOGL 63 58 +27.17% $21,896 $27,845 46 67% - +$5,949 -25.1% 3.0d ✓ -
17 BAC 42 3🧊 +24.60% $13,035 $16,242 39 67% - +$3,207 -19.8% 3.5d ✓ -
18 TSLA 31 28 +24.04% $11,478 $14,237 58 64% - +$2,759 -37.6% 1.5d ✓ -
19 SCHW 39 11🧊 +22.20% $12,066 $14,744 39 67% - +$2,679 -16.1% 3.8d ✓ -
20 BTCUSD ₿ 10 19 +21.67% $525 $639 108 59% $15,941 +$114 -95.2% 1.1d ✓ -
21 MSFT 33 12🧊 +20.05% $11,305 $13,572 46 61% - +$2,267 -19.1% 3.9d ✓ -
22 JNJ 55 30🧊 +19.44% $13,638 $16,289 40 63% - +$2,651 -9.8% 4.5d ✓ -
23 MRK 22 9 +18.61% $9,218 $10,934 42 62% - +$1,716 -29.6% 3.5d ✓ -
24 AXP 59 5🧊 +18.37% $16,823 $19,913 38 55% - +$3,090 -13.8% 3.2d ✓ -
25 XLF 41 3🧊 +18.13% $12,920 $15,262 32 56% - +$2,342 -17.8% 4.8d ✓ -
26 SPXU 28 17 +18.05% $10,878 $12,841 52 58% - +$1,963 -29.5% 2.3d ✓ -
27 COP 33 34 +17.84% $11,278 $13,290 45 67% - +$2,012 -20.4% 3.2d ✓ -
28 PG 27 38 +17.52% $9,966 $11,712 40 60% - +$1,746 -19.3% 4.7d ✓ -
29 XLE 70 26🧊 +16.22% $18,938 $22,010 40 63% - +$3,072 -12.9% 4.0d ✓ -
30 VOO 59 3🧊 +16.14% $14,060 $16,330 31 65% - +$2,269 -9.6% 4.9d ✓ -
31 BIIB 11 6 +16.09% $8,403 $9,755 45 62% - +$1,352 -32.7% 3.0d ✓ -
32 AMGN 32 12 +16.04% $11,292 $13,103 43 60% - +$1,811 -20.8% 3.6d ✓ -
33 DIA 43 3🧊 +15.82% $12,433 $14,400 33 52% - +$1,967 -13.6% 5.1d ✓ -
34 UNH 10 9 +15.46% $6,220 $7,182 39 54% - +$962 -41.5% 3.0d ✓ -
35 C 34 33 +15.13% $12,209 $14,056 43 60% - +$1,847 -21.2% 3.0d ✓ -
36 SPY 55 3🧊 +14.42% $13,667 $15,638 31 65% - +$1,971 -9.7% 4.8d ✓ -
37 PM 38 14🧊 +14.31% $13,148 $15,030 46 59% - +$1,882 -19.7% 3.9d ✓ -
38 KO 34 6🧊 +14.13% $12,038 $13,739 33 55% - +$1,701 -18.7% 4.6d ✓ -
39 BRK-B 53 42 +12.85% $14,200 $16,025 33 67% - +$1,825 -10.0% 4.4d ✓ -
40 VTI 51 3🧊 +12.72% $13,495 $15,211 31 61% - +$1,717 -10.5% 4.8d ✓ -
41 DKNG 13 18 +12.45% $7,738 $8,701 64 63% - +$963 -46.7% 1.8d ✓ -
42 META 34 79🔥 +12.14% $14,079 $15,788 49 63% - +$1,709 -36.9% 2.8d ✓ -
43 PEP 25 10 +11.97% $10,349 $11,588 38 61% - +$1,239 -16.0% 4.4d ✓ -
44 SLB 11 9 +11.70% $8,916 $9,959 47 62% - +$1,043 -24.3% 2.9d ✓ -
45 ABBV 25 30 +11.10% $10,465 $11,627 41 61% - +$1,162 -25.0% 3.7d ✓ -
46 XOM 50 10🧊 +10.44% $15,477 $17,093 43 58% - +$1,616 -13.9% 3.6d ✓ -
47 BLK 32 5🧊 +10.39% $11,985 $13,230 40 55% - +$1,245 -17.7% 3.6d ✓ -
48 GILD 42 26 +10.32% $14,612 $16,120 40 63% - +$1,508 -16.0% 3.6d ✓ -
49 TMO 19 5 +9.89% $9,778 $10,745 48 58% - +$967 -23.9% 3.6d ✓ -
50 CVX 70 23🧊 +9.82% $20,398 $22,401 41 63% - +$2,003 -12.9% 3.9d ✓ -
51 COST 34 6🧊 +9.74% $12,431 $13,642 39 59% - +$1,211 -17.4% 4.1d ✓ -
52 JPM 36 6🧊 +9.61% $13,399 $14,686 38 55% - +$1,288 -21.7% 3.6d ✓ -
53 IWM 36 3🧊 +9.54% $12,277 $13,448 33 58% - +$1,171 -11.9% 3.8d ✓ -
54 MA 44 14🧊 +9.42% $14,080 $15,406 36 56% - +$1,326 -12.2% 4.1d ✓ -
55 CSCO 70 5🧊 +9.09% $18,215 $19,871 42 62% - +$1,656 -9.7% 4.0d ✓ -
56 QQQ 17 3 +8.86% $9,387 $10,218 35 54% - +$832 -24.0% 4.3d ✓ -
57 SQQQ 10 39🔥 +8.17% $7,426 $8,033 65 58% - +$607 -53.7% 1.5d ✓ -
58 XLK 21 5 +8.15% $10,011 $10,827 43 58% - +$816 -30.8% 3.7d ✓ -
59 MARA 12 35🔥 +7.73% $7,481 $8,059 86 60% - +$578 -40.2% 16.1h ✓ -
60 VRTX 27 3🧊 +7.52% $11,117 $11,953 39 59% - +$836 -21.3% 3.5d ✓ -
61 TQQQ 12 17 +7.23% $6,109 $6,551 63 57% - +$442 -41.0% 1.5d ✓ -
62 MU 45 50 +6.82% $20,768 $22,184 77 64% - +$1,416 -32.2% 1.8d ✓ -
63 WFC 36 26 +6.27% $13,307 $14,141 41 54% - +$834 -17.9% 3.2d ✓ -
64 UVXY 10 12 +3.66% $8,847 $9,171 65 58% - +$324 -48.5% 22.7h ✓ -
65 VZ 28 10 +3.31% $11,433 $11,812 39 56% - +$378 -15.3% 4.2d ✓ -
66 MS 36 10🧊 +1.59% $14,331 $14,558 41 54% - +$228 -18.0% 3.4d ✓ -
67 AMZN 21 5 +1.01% $10,804 $10,913 42 55% - +$109 -27.2% 2.9d ✓ -
68 SMCI 11 46🔥 +0.78% $7,448 $7,506 76 55% - +$58 -63.9% 22.3h ✓ -
69 GLD 57 2🧊 +0.44% $17,907 $17,986 37 49% - +$79 -11.3% 4.4d ✓ -
70 TLT 10 3 -0.13% $8,801 $8,790 29 48% - -$11 -15.8% 5.2d ✓ -
71 PFE 10 10 -0.33% $8,743 $8,715 37 51% - -$29 -30.4% 3.8d ✓ -
72 MDT 15 6 -0.77% $10,070 $9,993 41 51% - -$78 -15.1% 4.3d ✓ -
73 NVDA 40 25 -1.02% $19,484 $19,286 47 60% - -$199 -35.3% 1.8d ✓ -
74 LLY 23 5 -1.17% $12,005 $11,865 45 53% - -$140 -33.4% 2.6d ✓ -
75 ADBE 9 9 -2.14% $6,078 $5,947 56 57% - -$130 -40.9% 3.1d ✓ -
76 WMT 49 48 -2.70% $17,143 $16,680 41 61% - -$463 -14.2% 4.1d ✓ -
77 LCID 9 53🔥 -3.10% $3,389 $3,284 77 58% - -$105 -69.8% 23.6h ✓ -
78 REGN 11 6 -3.59% $8,539 $8,232 42 60% - -$307 -42.3% 3.1d ✓ -
79 COIN 9 23 -4.13% $3,936 $3,773 75 55% - -$163 -67.1% 23.4h ✓ -
80 DIS 8 3 -5.38% $8,932 $8,451 38 45% - -$481 -25.4% 3.7d ✓ -
81 OXY 31 10🧊 -5.79% $14,569 $13,726 49 59% - -$844 -31.5% 3.1d ✓ -
82 CRM 11 9 -7.06% $6,498 $6,039 56 57% - -$459 -46.3% 3.1d ✓ -
83 ACN 8 10 -7.16% $6,450 $5,988 50 58% - -$462 -41.3% 3.4d ✓ -
84 RIOT 11 61🔥 -9.11% $5,232 $4,756 81 59% - -$477 -55.6% 17.3h ✓ -
85 RIVN 10 12 -10.38% $4,783 $4,286 65 60% - -$496 -60.0% 1.1d ✓ -
86 NFLX 37 13🧊 -10.56% $16,557 $14,809 42 55% - -$1,748 -19.6% 3.1d ✓ -
87 SOFI 11 31 -10.61% $8,727 $7,801 64 55% - -$926 -43.4% 1.4d ✓ -
88 ARM 29 56🔥 -10.77% $14,156 $12,632 77 61% - -$1,525 -36.8% 1.4d ✓ -
89 SLV 37 28 -11.54% $16,652 $14,730 51 57% - -$1,922 -18.7% 2.8d ✓ -
90 GS 50 5🧊 -12.70% $19,854 $17,332 42 52% - -$2,521 -13.2% 3.2d ✓ -
91 ARKK 12 49🔥 -14.67% $8,998 $7,678 50 58% - -$1,320 -23.5% 2.4d ✓ -
92 AMC 9 53🔥 -16.52% $4,520 $3,774 73 56% - -$747 -57.1% 1.4d ✓ -
93 MCD 9 5 -17.30% $11,181 $9,246 33 33% - -$1,934 -15.2% 4.4d ✓ -
94 CMCSA 7 6 -19.50% $5,943 $4,784 42 45% - -$1,159 -47.7% 3.7d ✓ -
95 RBLX 37 61🔥 -20.21% $19,812 $15,808 70 60% - -$4,004 -34.9% 1.9d ✓ -
96 ISRG 12 63🔥 -23.33% $11,546 $8,852 45 47% - -$2,694 -39.2% 3.1d ✓ -
97 ORCL 26 29 -23.49% $15,313 $11,716 66 52% - -$3,597 -37.5% 2.4d ✓ -
98 HD 9 3 -26.32% $11,085 $8,167 44 39% - -$2,917 -18.6% 3.9d ✓ -
99 VXX 9 14 -28.74% $7,391 $5,267 54 48% - -$2,124 -57.1% 1.8d ✓ -
100 AVGO 28 6🧊 -29.58% $17,360 $12,225 50 52% - -$5,135 -21.1% 1.9d ✓ -
101 NIO 8 6 -31.61% $6,429 $4,397 56 50% - -$2,032 -39.7% 1.4d ✓ -
102 SHIBUSD ₿ — — -33.61% $10,098 $6,704 NO ENTRY - $3,511 -$3,394 -99.3% 8.9h 2 Jan 12, 2026
103 IBM 12 9 -55.56% $15,083 $6,703 56 54% - -$8,380 -11.2% 3.4d ✓ -
104 DOGEUSD ₿ — — -56.16% $10,101 $4,428 NO ENTRY - $5,179 -$5,672 -99.1% 8.2h 2 Dec 7, 2025
105 LINKUSD ₿ — — -63.82% $10,099 $3,654 NO ENTRY - $5,330 -$6,445 -99.1% 9.0h 2 Nov 21, 2025
106 ETHUSD ₿ — — -70.46% $10,096 $2,982 NO ENTRY - $4,681 -$7,114 -99.2% 15.1h 1 Nov 13, 2025
107 CRWD — — -74.09% $-16,208 $-4,200 NO ENTRY - - +$12,009 -37.8% 1.8d 1 Jul 6, 2026
108 DOTUSD ₿ — — -79.73% $10,098 $2,047 NO ENTRY - $4,762 -$8,051 -99.0% 9.9h 2 Nov 12, 2025
109 LTCUSD ₿ — — -83.00% $2,605 $443 NO ENTRY - $10,066 -$2,162 -99.1% 11.8h 1 Mar 3, 2025
110 XRPUSD ₿ — — -84.80% $7,756 $1,179 NO ENTRY - $5,991 -$6,577 -99.0% 11.7h 1 Aug 14, 2025
111 AVAXUSD ₿ — — -87.17% $10,099 $1,296 NO ENTRY - $5,219 -$8,803 -99.2% 8.7h 2 Oct 10, 2025
112 PEPEUSD ₿ — — -87.54% $10,092 $1,258 NO ENTRY - $8,303 -$8,835 -99.6% 5.0h 2 Sep 22, 2025
113 SOLUSD ₿ — — -90.81% $1,834 $169 NO ENTRY - $10,449 -$1,665 -99.1% 9.6h 1 Feb 18, 2025
114 UNIUSD ₿ — — -92.19% $9,881 $772 NO ENTRY - $7,266 -$9,109 -99.1% 8.0h 2 Sep 1, 2025

👤 Personality

Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.