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Rebel Contraire
11

Rebel Contraire

The Rebel

⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)

"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."

Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last 6 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,093
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,709 ($-616)
-5.26%
Last 6 Months ROI
57.1%
Win Rate
6,918
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+2.5%
1 Month
-3.3%
3 Months
-5.3%
6 Months
-2.9%
YTD
+1.5%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 6 Months)

Stock Volume
$55,313,980
4,635 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$7,422,969
2,283 trades
Crypto Fees
$18,557
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal

After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.

🎯 Best Suited For

Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades

"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS: 3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 5

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"

Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Nov 6, 2025 May 6, 2026 (180 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 6M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 OXY 38 35 +62.09% $9,280 $15,043 50 72% - +$5,762 -31.5% 3.1d -
2 USO 35 54 +58.11% $8,627 $13,641 48 71% - +$5,013 -29.6% 3.3d -
3 INTC 33 71🔥 +55.10% $9,971 $15,465 62 66% - +$5,494 -45.8% 1.7d -
4 XLE 64 25🧊 +48.73% $12,758 $18,974 36 75% - +$6,217 -12.9% 4.0d -
5 VXX 10 50🔥 +48.64% $5,467 $8,126 64 66% - +$2,659 -57.1% 1.8d -
6 MRNA 41 14🧊 +42.81% $14,379 $20,534 67 66% - +$6,155 -42.5% 1.3d -
7 XOM 51 48 +38.31% $12,228 $16,912 39 74% - +$4,684 -13.9% 3.6d -
8 COP 30 76🔥 +33.52% $8,958 $11,960 45 67% - +$3,003 -20.4% 3.2d -
9 CVX 72 25🧊 +28.10% $16,173 $20,718 36 69% - +$4,545 -12.9% 3.9d -
10 GLD 68 34🧊 +25.72% $16,098 $20,239 40 68% - +$4,140 -11.3% 4.4d -
11 GME 25 36 +25.32% $9,529 $11,942 47 66% - +$2,413 -32.4% 1.4d -
12 IBM 53 59 +24.46% $13,440 $16,728 41 63% - +$3,287 -11.2% 3.4d -
13 CSCO 69 59 +23.45% $15,617 $19,280 36 61% - +$3,662 -9.7% 4.0d -
14 GOOGL 58 77 +22.79% $20,261 $24,879 41 61% - +$4,618 -25.1% 3.0d -
15 WMT 55 33🧊 +21.96% $14,635 $17,848 36 67% - +$3,214 -14.2% 4.1d -
16 RIVN 10 30 +17.66% $4,249 $4,999 67 63% - +$750 -60.0% 1.1d -
17 SQQQ 10 9 +17.38% $5,338 $6,266 65 63% - +$928 -53.7% 1.5d -
18 PFE 9 3 +16.94% $7,299 $8,535 35 69% - +$1,236 -30.4% 3.8d -
19 BAC 38 63🔥 +16.86% $13,001 $15,193 38 66% - +$2,192 -19.8% 3.5d -
20 JNJ 45 3🧊 +15.85% $12,220 $14,157 33 58% - +$1,937 -9.8% 4.5d -
21 SNOW 31 13 +15.25% $12,391 $14,281 61 66% - +$1,890 -41.0% 2.0d -
22 AXP 57 64 +14.83% $16,742 $19,224 41 61% - +$2,483 -13.8% 3.2d -
23 SMCI 12 47🔥 +14.78% $8,095 $9,292 65 60% - +$1,196 -63.9% 22.3h -
24 XLK 26 81🔥 +13.98% $10,462 $11,924 36 67% - +$1,463 -30.8% 3.7d -
25 KO 33 49 +13.32% $11,577 $13,119 28 68% - +$1,542 -18.7% 4.6d -
26 AMGN 23 11 +10.98% $10,101 $11,210 37 59% - +$1,109 -20.8% 3.6d -
27 PG 18 26 +10.79% $9,645 $10,686 35 57% - +$1,041 -19.3% 4.7d -
28 SLB 18 71🔥 +10.42% $9,259 $10,224 48 58% - +$965 -24.3% 2.9d -
29 AAPL 37 62🔥 +10.06% $12,868 $14,163 31 65% - +$1,295 -20.3% 3.7d -
30 SPY 53 56 +9.59% $13,599 $14,903 30 63% - +$1,304 -9.7% 4.8d -
31 VOO 55 57 +9.34% $14,027 $15,337 30 60% - +$1,310 -9.6% 4.9d -
32 AMZN 30 76🔥 +9.25% $11,918 $13,021 46 65% - +$1,102 -27.2% 2.9d -
33 UVXY 10 56🔥 +8.79% $8,550 $9,301 72 61% - +$752 -48.5% 22.7h -
34 MRK 12 9 +8.42% $8,367 $9,072 41 66% - +$705 -29.6% 3.5d -
35 C 32 64🔥 +8.41% $12,106 $13,124 43 63% - +$1,018 -21.2% 3.0d -
36 SPXU 21 9 +8.11% $10,046 $10,861 47 60% - +$815 -29.5% 2.3d -
37 BMY 10 2 +8.07% $8,544 $9,234 38 61% - +$690 -39.5% 3.0d -
38 V 35 57🔥 +7.42% $12,339 $13,255 34 50% - +$916 -11.9% 4.2d -
39 VTI 49 54 +7.12% $13,593 $14,561 30 63% - +$968 -10.5% 4.8d -
40 VZ 22 5 +7.07% $10,134 $10,851 34 62% - +$716 -15.3% 4.2d -
41 NET 36 54 +6.54% $14,200 $15,129 63 59% - +$929 -29.4% 1.9d -
42 NFLX 45 13🧊 +6.54% $16,647 $17,736 42 60% - +$1,089 -19.6% 3.1d -
43 XLF 35 25 +5.88% $12,675 $13,420 31 58% - +$745 -17.8% 4.8d -
44 PANW 44 49 +5.83% $15,213 $16,100 53 66% - +$887 -18.6% 2.6d -
45 GILD 38 10🧊 +5.77% $13,933 $14,737 37 59% - +$804 -16.0% 3.6d -
46 AMD 22 92🔥 +5.35% $10,973 $11,560 61 61% - +$587 -52.6% 1.8d -
47 REGN 11 6 +4.80% $7,586 $7,950 39 62% - +$364 -42.3% 3.1d -
48 PEP 20 15 +4.59% $10,185 $10,653 33 64% - +$467 -16.0% 4.4d -
49 ARM 37 68🔥 +3.83% $16,078 $16,694 62 55% - +$616 -36.8% 1.4d -
50 DIA 39 44 +3.81% $12,837 $13,326 28 54% - +$489 -13.6% 5.1d -
51 BIIB 10 27 +2.90% $8,198 $8,436 43 56% - +$238 -32.7% 3.0d -
52 SCHW 25 3🧊 +2.67% $11,236 $11,536 38 63% - +$300 -16.1% 3.8d -
53 PM 34 56🔥 +2.66% $13,332 $13,686 39 62% - +$355 -19.7% 3.9d -
54 MCD 20 2 +2.01% $10,542 $10,754 29 45% - +$212 -15.2% 4.4d -
55 COST 32 22 +1.85% $12,644 $12,878 33 61% - +$234 -17.4% 4.1d -
56 META 33 20 +1.69% $14,760 $15,009 40 55% - +$249 -36.9% 2.8d -
57 JPM 35 38 +1.39% $14,112 $14,308 37 62% - +$196 -21.7% 3.6d -
58 ACN 8 36🔥 +1.26% $6,721 $6,805 42 60% - +$85 -41.3% 3.4d -
59 MA 38 18 -0.66% $13,686 $13,596 36 53% - -$90 -12.2% 4.1d -
60 IWM 39 53 -0.78% $14,105 $13,995 33 52% - -$110 -11.9% 3.8d -
61 NVDA 44 63 -0.79% $22,680 $22,501 47 57% - -$179 -35.3% 1.8d -
62 BLK 32 27 -0.99% $13,244 $13,113 40 50% - -$131 -17.7% 3.6d -
63 QQQ 20 61🔥 -1.99% $10,891 $10,675 32 53% - -$217 -24.0% 4.3d -
64 MS 41 66🔥 -2.33% $16,791 $16,400 42 60% - -$391 -18.0% 3.4d -
65 BRK-B 43 10🧊 -2.95% $14,490 $14,063 30 43% - -$427 -10.0% 4.4d -
66 ORCL 32 31 -2.98% $15,537 $15,074 59 54% - -$463 -37.5% 2.4d -
67 WFC 35 10🧊 -3.00% $13,850 $13,435 40 60% - -$416 -17.9% 3.2d -
68 VRTX 21 6 -3.23% $11,078 $10,721 36 53% - -$358 -21.3% 3.5d -
69 SOXL 43 35 -3.42% $20,838 $20,125 69 57% - -$713 -33.0% 20.2h -
70 MU 40 42 -5.00% $19,617 $18,636 66 55% - -$981 -32.2% 1.8d -
71 LLY 23 7 -5.20% $12,169 $11,536 46 50% - -$633 -33.4% 2.6d -
72 DKNG 12 50🔥 -5.82% $8,937 $8,417 56 57% - -$520 -46.7% 1.8d -
73 TLT 10 2 -6.30% $9,417 $8,824 26 38% - -$593 -15.8% 5.2d -
74 AVGO 43 57 -8.66% $19,850 $18,131 53 55% - -$1,719 -21.1% 1.9d -
75 TMO 10 6 -8.98% $9,720 $8,847 40 53% - -$873 -23.9% 3.6d -
76 ADBE 9 53🔥 -9.08% $7,354 $6,686 42 52% - -$668 -40.9% 3.1d -
77 GS 57 13🧊 -9.44% $21,507 $19,477 44 50% - -$2,030 -13.2% 3.2d -
78 CRM 10 27 -10.12% $7,294 $6,555 46 59% - -$738 -46.3% 3.1d -
79 CMCSA 6 2 -10.15% $5,986 $5,378 35 49% - -$608 -47.7% 3.7d -
80 TSLA 28 63🔥 -10.86% $14,259 $12,711 50 54% - -$1,549 -37.6% 1.5d -
81 DIS 8 3 -11.05% $9,666 $8,598 34 41% - -$1,068 -25.4% 3.7d -
82 SLV 30 7🧊 -11.13% $14,824 $13,174 59 54% - -$1,650 -18.7% 2.8d -
83 PYPL 11 68🔥 -11.71% $9,647 $8,517 43 53% - -$1,130 -52.5% 2.7d -
84 MSFT 29 64🔥 -11.82% $14,071 $12,408 38 55% - -$1,663 -19.1% 3.9d -
85 RIOT 11 42🔥 -12.39% $6,188 $5,421 76 57% - -$767 -55.6% 17.3h -
86 MDT 7 5 -12.67% $10,213 $8,919 33 36% - -$1,294 -15.1% 4.3d -
87 ISRG 17 5 -14.75% $12,075 $10,294 38 45% - -$1,781 -39.2% 3.1d -
88 COIN 9 26 -15.07% $4,613 $3,918 67 54% - -$695 -67.1% 23.4h -
89 ABBV 13 3 -17.44% $12,204 $10,075 37 51% - -$2,128 -25.0% 3.7d -
90 PLTR 45 51 -17.57% $23,581 $19,437 63 52% - -$4,143 -26.0% 1.3d -
91 UNH 10 64🔥 -18.21% $9,177 $7,506 38 47% - -$1,671 -41.5% 3.0d -
92 NIO 9 53🔥 -18.45% $8,318 $6,783 59 51% - -$1,535 -39.7% 1.4d -
93 LCID 9 15 -20.75% $3,792 $3,005 70 54% - -$787 -69.8% 23.6h -
94 HD 16 5 -22.01% $13,708 $10,691 38 37% - -$3,017 -18.6% 3.9d -
95 CRWD 13 27 -26.48% $12,739 $9,366 54 50% - -$3,373 -37.8% 1.8d -
96 AMC 9 13 -28.16% $5,957 $4,280 56 46% - -$1,677 -57.1% 1.4d -
97 HOOD 11 32🔥 -31.06% $13,664 $9,420 63 49% - -$4,244 -32.1% 1.3d -
98 SHIBUSD -33.61% $10,098 $6,704 87 57% $3,511 -$3,394 -99.3% 8.9h 2 Jan 12, 2026
99 ARKK 11 9 -34.99% $12,083 $7,855 43 44% - -$4,228 -23.5% 2.4d -
100 SOFI 10 15 -44.89% $14,583 $8,037 60 45% - -$6,546 -43.4% 1.4d -
101 MARA 11 13 -47.70% $12,677 $6,630 78 45% - -$6,047 -40.2% 16.1h -
102 RBLX 31 12 -48.94% $26,329 $13,444 61 46% - -$12,886 -34.9% 1.9d -
103 BTCUSD 11 76🔥 -49.43% $1,471 $744 159 57% $15,696 -$727 -95.2% 1.1d -
104 TQQQ 11 35🔥 -49.76% $11,395 $5,725 56 39% - -$5,670 -41.0% 1.5d -
105 DOGEUSD -56.16% $10,101 $4,428 157 58% $5,179 -$5,672 -99.1% 8.2h 2 Dec 7, 2025
106 LINKUSD -63.82% $10,099 $3,654 165 56% $5,330 -$6,445 -99.1% 9.0h 2 Nov 21, 2025
107 ETHUSD -70.46% $10,096 $2,982 168 54% $4,681 -$7,114 -99.2% 15.1h 1 Nov 13, 2025
108 DOTUSD -79.73% $10,098 $2,047 243 55% $4,762 -$8,051 -99.0% 9.9h 2 Nov 12, 2025
109 LTCUSD -83.00% $2,605 $443 186 55% $10,066 -$2,162 -99.1% 11.8h 1 Mar 3, 2025
110 XRPUSD -84.80% $7,756 $1,179 197 54% $5,991 -$6,577 -99.0% 11.7h 1 Aug 14, 2025
111 AVAXUSD -87.17% $10,099 $1,296 184 55% $5,219 -$8,803 -99.2% 8.7h 2 Oct 10, 2025
112 PEPEUSD -87.54% $10,092 $1,258 248 56% $8,303 -$8,835 -99.6% 5.0h 2 Sep 22, 2025
113 SOLUSD -90.81% $1,834 $169 208 54% $10,449 -$1,665 -99.1% 9.6h 1 Feb 18, 2025
114 UNIUSD -92.19% $9,881 $772 281 56% $7,266 -$9,109 -99.1% 8.0h 2 Sep 1, 2025

👤 Personality

Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.