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Rebel Contraire
11

Rebel Contraire

The Rebel

⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)

"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."

Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jan 1, 2026 Jun 21, 2026 (170d)

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the year to date across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,971
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,322 ($-351)
-3.10%
Year to Date ROI
56.2%
Win Rate
5,887
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-1.7%
1 Month
-2.5%
3 Months
-5.8%
6 Months
-3.1%
YTD
-0.9%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Year to Date)

Stock Volume
$54,267,092
4,511 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$3,642,938
1,376 trades
Crypto Fees
$9,107
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal

After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.

🎯 Best Suited For

Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades

"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS: 3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 5

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"

Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 Jun 21, 2026 (170 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return YTD Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 36 17 +81.13% $9,744 $17,649 65 69% - +$7,905 -45.8% 1.7d -
2 SNOW 44 70🔥 +73.56% $13,192 $22,896 60 67% - +$9,704 -41.0% 2.0d -
3 AMD 28 77🔥 +54.39% $9,098 $14,047 62 71% - +$4,949 -52.6% 1.8d -
4 GME 27 19 +41.52% $8,839 $12,509 48 69% - +$3,670 -32.4% 1.4d -
5 ARM 38 15🧊 +39.29% $12,578 $17,520 67 63% - +$4,942 -36.8% 1.4d -
6 VXX 10 9 +37.38% $5,153 $7,079 61 66% - +$1,926 -57.1% 1.8d -
7 MRNA 45 55 +34.98% $17,265 $23,305 67 66% - +$6,039 -42.5% 1.3d -
8 XLE 55 3🧊 +32.54% $13,383 $17,738 36 75% - +$4,355 -12.9% 4.0d -
9 OXY 33 5🧊 +30.72% $10,797 $14,114 47 70% - +$3,317 -31.5% 3.1d -
10 NET 39 18🧊 +28.82% $13,061 $16,825 62 65% - +$3,764 -29.4% 1.9d -
11 USO 26 6 +27.15% $9,067 $11,529 52 65% - +$2,462 -29.6% 3.3d -
12 UVXY 17 64🔥 +24.38% $8,381 $10,425 68 65% - +$2,043 -48.5% 22.7h -
13 SPXU 19 13 +22.71% $8,570 $10,516 51 63% - +$1,946 -29.5% 2.3d -
14 SMCI 12 12 +21.12% $7,068 $8,561 67 57% - +$1,493 -63.9% 22.3h -
15 XLK 29 31 +20.91% $10,428 $12,608 36 69% - +$2,180 -30.8% 3.7d -
16 BAC 42 52 +20.80% $13,341 $16,117 37 65% - +$2,775 -19.8% 3.5d -
17 CSCO 72 30🧊 +20.76% $17,236 $20,814 35 60% - +$3,578 -9.7% 4.0d -
18 COP 25 3🧊 +19.45% $9,569 $11,430 44 66% - +$1,861 -20.4% 3.2d -
19 PANW 47 50 +17.60% $15,191 $17,865 55 71% - +$2,674 -18.6% 2.6d -
20 CVX 63 3🧊 +16.36% $16,702 $19,434 36 69% - +$2,732 -12.9% 3.9d -
21 C 37 75🔥 +15.88% $12,897 $14,944 42 64% - +$2,048 -21.2% 3.0d -
22 AAPL 40 42 +15.87% $13,260 $15,364 31 65% - +$2,104 -20.3% 3.7d -
23 AXP 60 30🧊 +15.54% $17,276 $19,961 35 60% - +$2,685 -13.8% 3.2d -
24 KO 32 2🧊 +12.58% $11,595 $13,054 29 69% - +$1,459 -18.7% 4.6d -
25 PG 22 55🔥 +12.15% $9,783 $10,972 33 58% - +$1,189 -19.3% 4.7d -
26 QQQ 25 19 +11.82% $10,157 $11,358 32 59% - +$1,201 -24.0% 4.3d -
27 SLB 10 6 +10.40% $8,455 $9,335 46 61% - +$879 -24.3% 2.9d -
28 JNJ 45 10🧊 +9.66% $12,867 $14,110 31 52% - +$1,243 -9.8% 4.5d -
29 GOOGL 56 3🧊 +8.76% $22,290 $24,242 37 57% - +$1,953 -25.1% 3.0d -
30 GLD 62 5🧊 +8.26% $17,216 $18,638 39 56% - +$1,422 -11.3% 4.4d -
31 XOM 42 5🧊 +8.14% $13,626 $14,735 39 64% - +$1,109 -13.9% 3.6d -
32 VOO 59 23🧊 +7.84% $14,896 $16,064 26 62% - +$1,168 -9.6% 4.9d -
33 IWM 40 17🧊 +7.47% $13,557 $14,569 31 58% - +$1,013 -11.9% 3.8d -
34 SPY 55 18🧊 +6.87% $14,470 $15,464 26 65% - +$994 -9.7% 4.8d -
35 MS 48 59 +6.50% $17,120 $18,233 39 56% - +$1,113 -18.0% 3.4d -
36 VTI 51 22🧊 +5.78% $14,350 $15,179 26 62% - +$829 -10.5% 4.8d -
37 DIA 43 37 +5.73% $13,306 $14,069 27 52% - +$762 -13.6% 5.1d -
38 IBM 40 9🧊 +5.13% $13,205 $13,882 44 59% - +$677 -11.2% 3.4d -
39 MU 46 64 +4.69% $21,091 $22,080 70 60% - +$989 -32.2% 1.8d -
40 RIVN 10 50🔥 +4.61% $4,729 $4,947 65 60% - +$218 -60.0% 1.1d -
41 AMGN 26 19 +4.47% $11,217 $11,718 35 54% - +$501 -20.8% 3.6d -
42 JPM 35 5🧊 +4.36% $13,652 $14,247 37 59% - +$595 -21.7% 3.6d -
43 PEP 20 7 +4.34% $10,206 $10,649 32 59% - +$443 -16.0% 4.4d -
44 SOXL 43 26 +4.14% $20,038 $20,867 75 57% - +$830 -33.0% 20.2h -
45 XLF 36 34 +3.66% $13,443 $13,935 28 54% - +$492 -17.8% 4.8d -
46 AMZN 24 5 +3.38% $11,018 $11,390 43 60% - +$372 -27.2% 2.9d -
47 WMT 48 6🧊 +3.23% $15,833 $16,344 36 61% - +$511 -14.2% 4.1d -
48 BRK-B 49 27🧊 +3.21% $14,621 $15,091 29 55% - +$469 -10.0% 4.4d -
49 BLK 32 13 +2.80% $12,847 $13,207 37 51% - +$360 -17.7% 3.6d -
50 RIOT 11 17 +2.53% $5,151 $5,281 70 61% - +$130 -55.6% 17.3h -
51 COST 29 3🧊 +2.48% $11,987 $12,284 34 59% - +$297 -17.4% 4.1d -
52 BIIB 11 39🔥 +1.09% $9,205 $9,305 40 58% - +$100 -32.7% 3.0d -
53 WFC 37 54 +0.83% $13,996 $14,112 36 58% - +$116 -17.9% 3.2d -
54 PM 35 3🧊 +0.83% $13,767 $13,882 40 60% - +$114 -19.7% 3.9d -
55 VZ 19 2 +0.51% $10,447 $10,500 31 55% - +$53 -15.3% 4.2d -
56 AMC 9 50🔥 +0.41% $4,795 $4,815 57 54% - +$20 -57.1% 1.4d -
57 NFLX 38 2🧊 -0.01% $15,396 $15,394 36 50% - -$2 -19.6% 3.1d -
58 GS 67 57 -0.06% $21,993 $21,980 40 58% - -$13 -13.2% 3.2d -
59 V 35 2🧊 -0.44% $13,231 $13,173 30 47% - -$58 -11.9% 4.2d -
60 SCHW 28 36 -0.74% $12,294 $12,203 37 59% - -$91 -16.1% 3.8d -
61 VRTX 25 33 -1.14% $11,544 $11,412 35 51% - -$132 -21.3% 3.5d -
62 BMY 10 3 -1.18% $9,182 $9,074 34 53% - -$108 -39.5% 3.0d -
63 TLT 10 27 -1.19% $9,184 $9,075 24 46% - -$109 -15.8% 5.2d -
64 PFE 9 3 -2.79% $8,067 $7,842 30 50% - -$225 -30.4% 3.8d -
65 GILD 36 13🧊 -2.91% $14,730 $14,302 36 56% - -$429 -16.0% 3.6d -
66 PLTR 44 9🧊 -3.54% $19,750 $19,051 60 57% - -$699 -26.0% 1.3d -
67 DKNG 12 54🔥 -4.95% $9,249 $8,791 59 58% - -$458 -46.7% 1.8d -
68 PYPL 11 22 -5.97% $8,814 $8,287 43 56% - -$526 -52.5% 2.7d -
69 MCD 9 2 -8.08% $10,775 $9,904 27 37% - -$871 -15.2% 4.4d -
70 TSLA 29 21 -8.28% $14,752 $13,530 51 55% - -$1,221 -37.6% 1.5d -
71 META 30 9🧊 -9.33% $15,112 $13,702 39 54% - -$1,410 -36.9% 2.8d -
72 LLY 24 25 -9.36% $13,195 $11,960 43 47% - -$1,235 -33.4% 2.6d -
73 ORCL 30 25 -10.83% $16,304 $14,539 57 53% - -$1,766 -37.5% 2.4d -
74 NVDA 39 6🧊 -11.54% $20,917 $18,503 43 53% - -$2,414 -35.3% 1.8d -
75 MA 34 2🧊 -11.64% $14,693 $12,982 34 47% - -$1,710 -12.2% 4.1d -
76 AVGO 39 19 -11.65% $18,446 $16,297 50 58% - -$2,149 -21.1% 1.9d -
77 COIN 9 13 -12.19% $4,185 $3,675 66 53% - -$510 -67.1% 23.4h -
78 UNH 10 12 -13.05% $8,758 $7,615 32 50% - -$1,143 -41.5% 3.0d -
79 ACN 8 5 -13.90% $7,415 $6,385 42 52% - -$1,031 -41.3% 3.4d -
80 NIO 9 20 -14.45% $7,899 $6,758 55 56% - -$1,141 -39.7% 1.4d -
81 TMO 10 13 -14.76% $9,667 $8,240 41 51% - -$1,427 -23.9% 3.6d -
82 HOOD 22 47🔥 -15.16% $13,035 $11,059 61 52% - -$1,976 -32.1% 1.3d -
83 MRK 11 2 -15.30% $10,209 $8,647 36 50% - -$1,562 -29.6% 3.5d -
84 MSFT 25 5🧊 -16.69% $13,850 $11,539 39 51% - -$2,312 -19.1% 3.9d -
85 DIS 8 2 -17.02% $9,822 $8,150 31 39% - -$1,672 -25.4% 3.7d -
86 CRWD 18 9 -17.05% $12,448 $10,326 54 54% - -$2,122 -37.8% 1.8d -
87 CRM 10 9 -17.37% $7,112 $5,877 49 55% - -$1,235 -46.3% 3.1d -
88 MDT 7 3 -19.57% $10,550 $8,485 33 30% - -$2,065 -15.1% 4.3d -
89 SLV 33 24 -20.45% $16,907 $13,449 55 51% - -$3,457 -18.7% 2.8d -
90 REGN 11 6 -21.66% $9,057 $7,095 36 50% - -$1,962 -42.3% 3.1d -
91 HD 9 3 -21.67% $12,194 $9,551 37 32% - -$2,642 -18.6% 3.9d -
92 SQQQ 9 14 -23.13% $6,884 $5,292 62 53% - -$1,592 -53.7% 1.5d -
93 ADBE 8 7 -23.60% $7,564 $5,779 44 50% - -$1,785 -40.9% 3.1d -
94 ABBV 11 6 -24.47% $13,256 $10,013 37 46% - -$3,244 -25.0% 3.7d -
95 ISRG 11 5 -26.23% $12,375 $9,129 36 33% - -$3,246 -39.2% 3.1d -
96 CMCSA 6 3 -27.28% $6,463 $4,700 32 38% - -$1,763 -47.7% 3.7d -
97 TQQQ 12 33🔥 -31.40% $9,755 $6,692 57 47% - -$3,063 -41.0% 1.5d -
98 MARA 11 39🔥 -32.03% $10,549 $7,170 75 52% - -$3,379 -40.2% 16.1h -
99 ARKK 11 6 -33.09% $11,529 $7,714 42 45% - -$3,815 -23.5% 2.4d -
100 SHIBUSD -33.61% $10,098 $6,704 87 57% $3,511 -$3,394 -99.3% 8.9h 2 Jan 12, 2026
101 RBLX 34 44 -35.70% $23,117 $14,864 63 54% - -$8,253 -34.9% 1.9d -
102 SOFI 10 14 -36.92% $11,842 $7,470 59 47% - -$4,372 -43.4% 1.4d -
103 LCID 8 11 -40.06% $3,937 $2,360 65 52% - -$1,577 -69.8% 23.6h -
104 BTCUSD 10 13 -40.08% $905 $542 145 57% $15,798 -$363 -95.2% 1.1d -
105 LTCUSD -40.31% $742 $443 95 57% $10,066 -$299 -99.1% 11.8h 1 Mar 3, 2025
106 DOGEUSD -41.24% $7,536 $4,428 121 59% $5,179 -$3,108 -99.1% 8.2h 2 Dec 7, 2025
107 AVAXUSD -41.95% $2,232 $1,296 99 58% $5,219 -$936 -99.2% 8.7h 2 Oct 10, 2025
108 DOTUSD -44.06% $3,659 $2,047 141 58% $4,762 -$1,612 -99.0% 9.9h 2 Nov 12, 2025
109 XRPUSD -48.25% $2,278 $1,179 113 56% $5,991 -$1,099 -99.0% 11.7h 1 Aug 14, 2025
110 LINKUSD -49.71% $7,266 $3,654 106 55% $5,330 -$3,612 -99.1% 9.0h 2 Nov 21, 2025
111 ETHUSD -50.70% $6,050 $2,982 99 53% $4,681 -$3,067 -99.2% 15.1h 1 Nov 13, 2025
112 PEPEUSD -50.98% $2,565 $1,258 141 57% $8,303 -$1,308 -99.6% 5.0h 2 Sep 22, 2025
113 SOLUSD -54.11% $367 $169 115 54% $10,449 -$199 -99.1% 9.6h 1 Feb 18, 2025
114 UNIUSD -59.66% $1,913 $772 114 53% $7,266 -$1,141 -99.1% 8.0h 2 Sep 1, 2025

👤 Personality

Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.