Marcus Reversal
The Contrarian
📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."
Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Marcus Reversal $10,000 and let him trade 12 crypto symbols from Dec 31, 2023 to today. 🟢 LIVE
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (2 Years)
Combined P&L across all 12 symbols
💰 Trading Activity (2 Years)
⚠️ Important Note:
This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled).
Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.
Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.
⚙️ Trading Strategy
RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70
Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.
🎯 Best Suited For
Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php
📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)
📊 Hammer Candle Pattern
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
📉 Exit Rules
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"
J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SOLUSD ₿
|
— | — | -1.07% | 🔄 $10,092 | $11,098 | 27 | 44% | $1,398 | +$1,006 | -99.5% | 21.3h | 1 | Feb 6, 2026 | |
| 2 |
DOGEUSD ₿
|
— | — | -44.09% | 🔄 $10,100 | $6,228 | 35 | 29% | $1,312 | -$3,872 | -99.3% | 18.0h | 1 | Jan 31, 2026 | |
| 3 |
LINKUSD ₿
|
— | — | -50.57% | 🔄 $10,097 | $5,361 | 69 | 33% | $2,618 | -$4,736 | -99.3% | 19.5h | 1 | Dec 1, 2025 | |
| 4 |
SHIBUSD ₿
|
— | — | -52.15% | 🔄 $10,099 | $5,282 | 65 | 31% | $2,493 | -$4,816 | -99.5% | 19.9h | 1 | Dec 18, 2025 | |
| 5 |
PEPEUSD ₿
|
— | — | -58.97% | 🔄 $10,097 | $4,829 | 95 | 34% | $4,168 | -$5,268 | -99.9% | 10.8h | 1 | Dec 18, 2025 | |
| 6 |
BTCUSD ₿
|
5 | 72🔥 | -62.21% | $10,000 | $3,779 | 259 | 40% | $12,692 | -$6,221 | -78.6% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
UNIUSD ₿
|
— | — | -81.71% | 🔄 $10,098 | $2,081 | 187 | 34% | $5,345 | -$8,017 | -99.3% | 16.8h | 1 | Sep 25, 2025 | |
| 8 |
AVAXUSD ₿
|
— | — | -83.06% | 🔄 $10,099 | $1,854 | 231 | 36% | $8,581 | -$8,245 | -99.1% | 18.6h | 1 | Jun 22, 2025 | |
| 9 |
DOTUSD ₿
|
— | — | -84.30% | 🔄 $10,099 | $1,767 | 236 | 36% | $8,684 | -$8,332 | -99.1% | 21.7h | 1 | Jun 21, 2025 | |
| 10 |
LTCUSD ₿
|
3 | 27🔥 | -95.02% | $10,000 | $498 | 561 | 40% | $10,388 | -$9,502 | -95.7% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
ETHUSD ₿
|
2 | 33🔥 | -96.66% | $10,000 | $334 | 486 | 37% | $9,922 | -$9,666 | -98.0% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
XRPUSD ₿
|
3 | 34🔥 | -96.72% | $10,000 | $328 | 616 | 40% | $12,800 | -$9,672 | -96.4% | 1.1d | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.