Carl Crunch
The Credit Crisis Buyer
💳 Reversal 📅 96 years old (Born 1930)"Credit stress is the institutional market's fire alarm. When spreads blow out, funds are forced to sell — not because the companies are bad, but because risk models demand it. I buy what institutions are forced to sell."
A credit market savant who watches the BAMLH0A0HYM2 index like a hawk. When high-yield credit spreads blow past the 75th percentile, the forced selling begins. Funds deleverage, quality stocks get dragged down, and 3 consecutive red days create the perfect entry.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Carl Crunch's performance over the year to date across 4 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Year to Date)
Combined P&L across all 4 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Rebel Contraire 3-down-days entry, filtered to only enter when credit spread (BAMLH0A0HYM2) > P75 (credit stress). +2%/-3%/5d exits. 4 stocks validated.
Rebel Contraire 3-down-days entry, filtered to only enter when credit spread (BAMLH0A0HYM2) > P75 (credit stress). +2%/-3%/5d exits. 4 stocks validated.
🎯 Best Suited For
Credit-stress dip buying — V, PG, WMT, RBLX
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Credit stress is the institutional market's fire alarm. When spreads blow out, funds are forced to sell — not because the companies are bad, but because risk models demand it. I buy what institutions are forced to sell.
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Rebel Pro Oracle — Credit Stress archetype. When high-yield credit spreads exceed P75, institutional forced selling creates oversold conditions in quality names. 4 stocks validated: V, PG, WMT, RBLX.
Rebel Pro Oracle — Credit Stress archetype. When high-yield credit spreads exceed P75, institutional forced selling creates oversold conditions in quality names. 4 stocks validated: V, PG, WMT, RBLX.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | YTD Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
WMT
|
— | — | +0.75% | $10,401 | $10,479 | 3 | 67% | - | +$78 | -0.0% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
PG
|
— | — | -5.39% | $9,595 | $9,078 | 3 | 0% | - | -$517 | -0.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
V
|
— | — | -5.98% | $10,415 | $9,792 | 3 | 33% | - | -$623 | -0.0% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
RBLX
|
17 | — | -9.77% | $11,661 | $10,522 | 5 | 20% | - | -$1,139 | -0.0% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
A credit market savant who watches the BAMLH0A0HYM2 index like a hawk. When high-yield credit spreads blow past the 75th percentile, the forced selling begins. Funds deleverage, quality stocks get dragged down, and 3 consecutive red days create the perfect entry.