11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,509
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,503
(+$6)
+0.05%
Last Month ROI
54.3%
Win Rate
906
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Month)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Month:
May 18, 2026
→
Jun 18, 2026
(31 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 1M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SNOW
|
47 | 88🔥 | +43.73% | $16,946 | $24,356 | 11 | 73% | - | +$7,410 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
MU
|
46 | 79🔥 | +17.98% | $18,715 | $22,080 | 16 | 69% | - | +$3,365 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
C
|
37 | 80🔥 | +17.54% | $12,714 | $14,944 | 10 | 80% | - | +$2,230 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
AMC
|
9 | 62🔥 | +15.93% | $4,038 | $4,681 | 13 | 69% | - | +$643 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
MRNA
|
45 | 56 | +14.70% | $19,920 | $22,848 | 14 | 79% | - | +$2,928 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
MS
|
47 | 68🔥 | +13.36% | $16,084 | $18,233 | 8 | 75% | - | +$2,149 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
ARM
|
39 | 44 | +11.60% | $16,237 | $18,121 | 15 | 67% | - | +$1,884 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
AMD
|
28 | 78🔥 | +11.06% | $12,396 | $13,767 | 13 | 69% | - | +$1,371 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
HOOD
|
20 | 47🔥 | +11.01% | $9,751 | $10,825 | 13 | 69% | - | +$1,074 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 48🔥 | +10.51% | $6,056 | $6,692 | 12 | 67% | - | +$636 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
GS
|
66 | 62 | +9.96% | $19,989 | $21,980 | 8 | 88% | - | +$1,991 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
NET
|
41 | 51 | +9.94% | $15,934 | $17,518 | 11 | 73% | - | +$1,584 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
DKNG
|
12 | 44🔥 | +9.75% | $8,010 | $8,791 | 13 | 69% | - | +$781 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
BAC
|
42 | 62 | +9.51% | $14,717 | $16,117 | 8 | 75% | - | +$1,400 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
INTC
|
37 | 38 | +9.20% | $16,162 | $17,649 | 14 | 64% | - | +$1,487 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
WFC
|
37 | 54 | +8.44% | $13,014 | $14,112 | 7 | 71% | - | +$1,098 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
MARA
|
11 | 50🔥 | +7.79% | $6,652 | $7,170 | 16 | 69% | - | +$518 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
GME
|
27 | 29 | +7.01% | $11,690 | $12,509 | 10 | 60% | - | +$819 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
UVXY
|
17 | 58🔥 | +6.84% | $9,757 | $10,425 | 12 | 67% | - | +$667 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
VRTX
|
25 | 45 | +6.75% | $10,691 | $11,412 | 7 | 71% | - | +$722 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
AXP
|
60 | 30🧊 | +6.07% | $18,818 | $19,961 | 7 | 71% | - | +$1,142 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
BIIB
|
11 | 44🔥 | +5.92% | $8,785 | $9,305 | 8 | 75% | - | +$520 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
PG
|
22 | 55🔥 | +5.88% | $10,363 | $10,972 | 8 | 75% | - | +$609 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
RIVN
|
10 | 40🔥 | +5.55% | $4,588 | $4,843 | 13 | 69% | - | +$255 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
AAPL
|
40 | 41 | +5.22% | $14,602 | $15,364 | 7 | 57% | - | +$762 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
RBLX
|
34 | 40 | +4.93% | $14,166 | $14,864 | 12 | 67% | - | +$698 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
LLY
|
25 | 36 | +4.66% | $11,427 | $11,960 | 8 | 63% | - | +$533 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
JPM
|
37 | 32 | +4.18% | $14,166 | $14,758 | 8 | 50% | - | +$592 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
XLF
|
37 | 34 | +4.04% | $13,394 | $13,935 | 5 | 60% | - | +$541 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
PANW
|
47 | 37 | +3.84% | $17,204 | $17,865 | 11 | 73% | - | +$661 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
DIA
|
43 | 37 | +3.65% | $13,573 | $14,069 | 5 | 80% | - | +$495 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
BRK-B
|
49 | 27🧊 | +3.11% | $14,635 | $15,091 | 6 | 83% | - | +$455 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
IWM
|
41 | 28 | +2.85% | $14,166 | $14,569 | 7 | 57% | - | +$404 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
VOO
|
59 | 23🧊 | +2.67% | $15,646 | $16,064 | 5 | 80% | - | +$418 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
VTI
|
52 | 22🧊 | +2.45% | $14,816 | $15,179 | 5 | 80% | - | +$363 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
QQQ
|
25 | 24 | +2.26% | $11,107 | $11,358 | 7 | 71% | - | +$251 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
TLT
|
10 | 27 | +2.06% | $8,892 | $9,075 | 5 | 40% | - | +$183 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
TMO
|
10 | 25 | +2.00% | $8,078 | $8,240 | 9 | 67% | - | +$162 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
GILD
|
39 | 29 | +1.90% | $14,486 | $14,762 | 7 | 57% | - | +$275 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
SCHW
|
28 | 22 | +1.87% | $11,979 | $12,203 | 7 | 71% | - | +$224 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
SPY
|
56 | 18🧊 | +1.76% | $15,196 | $15,464 | 5 | 80% | - | +$267 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
XLK
|
29 | 20 | +1.49% | $12,423 | $12,608 | 8 | 63% | - | +$185 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
AMGN
|
26 | 31 | +1.46% | $11,550 | $11,718 | 7 | 57% | - | +$169 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
CSCO
|
71 | 20🧊 | +1.36% | $20,535 | $20,814 | 8 | 63% | - | +$279 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
SOXL
|
44 | 20🧊 | +0.57% | $20,749 | $20,867 | 16 | 56% | - | +$118 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
BMY
|
10 | 6 | +0.49% | $9,316 | $9,361 | 7 | 57% | - | +$46 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
PYPL
|
11 | 22 | +0.43% | $8,252 | $8,287 | 8 | 50% | - | +$35 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
TSLA
|
29 | 32 | +0.10% | $13,517 | $13,530 | 12 | 58% | - | +$14 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
BLK
|
32 | 13 | -0.11% | $13,221 | $13,207 | 7 | 57% | - | -$15 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
JNJ
|
45 | 10🧊 | -0.15% | $14,132 | $14,110 | 6 | 50% | - | -$21 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
NIO
|
9 | 32🔥 | -0.39% | $6,784 | $6,758 | 11 | 64% | - | -$26 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
RIOT
|
11 | 29 | -0.84% | $5,326 | $5,281 | 13 | 62% | - | -$45 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
V
|
35 | 2🧊 | -0.87% | $13,288 | $13,173 | 6 | 33% | - | -$116 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
GLD
|
65 | 6🧊 | -1.00% | $19,408 | $19,214 | 6 | 50% | - | -$194 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
SPXU
|
19 | 12 | -1.04% | $10,626 | $10,516 | 10 | 60% | - | -$111 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
PEP
|
20 | 7 | -1.15% | $10,773 | $10,649 | 6 | 50% | - | -$124 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
SLV
|
33 | 13🧊 | -1.61% | $13,669 | $13,449 | 8 | 63% | - | -$220 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
ORCL
|
30 | 25 | -1.74% | $14,507 | $14,254 | 13 | 54% | - | -$252 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
ABBV
|
12 | 10 | -1.98% | $10,215 | $10,013 | 7 | 57% | - | -$202 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
CRWD
|
18 | 14 | -2.05% | $10,542 | $10,326 | 11 | 55% | - | -$216 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
KO
|
32 | 2🧊 | -2.16% | $13,342 | $13,054 | 6 | 50% | - | -$288 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
MCD
|
14 | 1 | -2.18% | $10,438 | $10,210 | 5 | 20% | - | -$228 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
ARKK
|
11 | 10 | -2.73% | $7,930 | $7,714 | 7 | 57% | - | -$217 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
UNH
|
11 | 12 | -3.10% | $7,859 | $7,615 | 6 | 50% | - | -$244 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
CRM
|
10 | 14 | -3.10% | $6,065 | $5,877 | 11 | 55% | - | -$188 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
DIS
|
8 | 1 | -3.35% | $8,268 | $7,991 | 4 | 25% | - | -$277 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
IBM
|
44 | 12🧊 | -3.46% | $15,247 | $14,720 | 11 | 55% | - | -$528 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
GOOGL
|
57 | 5🧊 | -3.51% | $25,909 | $24,999 | 7 | 43% | - | -$909 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
VZ
|
20 | 2 | -3.65% | $10,898 | $10,500 | 6 | 33% | - | -$398 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
MDT
|
7 | 3 | -3.76% | $8,817 | $8,485 | 7 | 29% | - | -$332 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
MRK
|
11 | 6 | -4.21% | $9,027 | $8,647 | 7 | 43% | - | -$380 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
PFE
|
9 | 2 | -4.38% | $8,455 | $8,085 | 6 | 17% | - | -$370 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
COP
|
27 | 3🧊 | -4.42% | $12,352 | $11,806 | 7 | 43% | - | -$546 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
SOFI
|
11 | 13 | -4.66% | $7,835 | $7,470 | 12 | 50% | - | -$365 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
HD
|
9 | 6 | -4.70% | $10,022 | $9,551 | 8 | 38% | - | -$471 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
MA
|
34 | 3🧊 | -4.87% | $13,647 | $12,982 | 7 | 43% | - | -$665 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
PLTR
|
44 | 12🧊 | -5.41% | $20,140 | $19,051 | 10 | 50% | - | -$1,090 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
MSFT
|
25 | 9 | -5.55% | $12,217 | $11,539 | 9 | 44% | - | -$678 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
COIN
|
9 | 13 | -5.79% | $3,901 | $3,675 | 15 | 47% | - | -$226 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
ISRG
|
11 | 5 | -6.17% | $9,730 | $9,129 | 7 | 29% | - | -$600 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 5 | -6.87% | $5,047 | $4,700 | 7 | 43% | - | -$347 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
CVX
|
65 | 2🧊 | -6.90% | $21,571 | $20,082 | 5 | 40% | - | -$1,488 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
ACN
|
8 | 6 | -7.09% | $6,872 | $6,385 | 8 | 38% | - | -$487 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
PM
|
34 | 5🧊 | -7.09% | $14,941 | $13,882 | 7 | 29% | - | -$1,059 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
XLE
|
57 | 2🧊 | -7.30% | $19,798 | $18,353 | 5 | 20% | - | -$1,445 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
COST
|
31 | 5🧊 | -7.37% | $13,658 | $12,652 | 7 | 29% | - | -$1,007 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
AVGO
|
39 | 19 | -7.56% | $17,630 | $16,297 | 10 | 70% | - | -$1,333 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
OXY
|
34 | 5🧊 | -7.56% | $15,796 | $14,602 | 7 | 43% | - | -$1,194 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
SMCI
|
12 | 13 | -7.87% | $9,292 | $8,561 | 16 | 44% | - | -$731 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
WMT
|
48 | 5🧊 | -8.11% | $17,787 | $16,344 | 8 | 50% | - | -$1,442 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
META
|
30 | 9🧊 | -8.28% | $14,939 | $13,702 | 9 | 44% | - | -$1,237 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
SLB
|
10 | 5 | -9.73% | $10,660 | $9,623 | 8 | 38% | - | -$1,037 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
ADBE
|
8 | 7 | -10.56% | $6,461 | $5,779 | 10 | 40% | - | -$682 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
XOM
|
44 | 5🧊 | -10.58% | $17,058 | $15,253 | 7 | 29% | - | -$1,805 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
AMZN
|
24 | 6 | -11.48% | $12,868 | $11,390 | 9 | 33% | - | -$1,477 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
SQQQ
|
9 | 12 | -11.90% | $6,007 | $5,292 | 14 | 50% | - | -$715 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
NFLX
|
39 | 2🧊 | -12.08% | $17,509 | $15,394 | 6 | 0% | - | -$2,115 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
REGN
|
11 | 12 | -13.37% | $8,191 | $7,095 | 8 | 50% | - | -$1,095 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
VXX
|
10 | 9 | -16.53% | $8,481 | $7,079 | 11 | 36% | - | -$1,402 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
USO
|
27 | 7 | -18.14% | $14,518 | $11,885 | 9 | 22% | - | -$2,634 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
NVDA
|
39 | 6🧊 | -18.67% | $22,751 | $18,503 | 8 | 25% | - | -$4,248 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
LCID
|
8 | 12 | -21.44% | $3,004 | $2,360 | 13 | 46% | - | -$644 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.