11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,365
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$11,887
(+$478)
+4.02%
Last Month ROI
63.5%
Win Rate
858
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Month)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Month:
Apr 6, 2026
→
May 6, 2026
(30 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 1M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AMD
|
21 | 89🔥 | +29.96% | $8,895 | $11,560 | 12 | 92% | - | +$2,665 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
GOOGL
|
56 | 72 | +22.36% | $20,332 | $24,879 | 8 | 100% | - | +$4,546 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
XLK
|
25 | 76🔥 | +20.47% | $9,898 | $11,924 | 9 | 89% | - | +$2,026 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
UNH
|
10 | 64🔥 | +19.45% | $6,284 | $7,506 | 6 | 67% | - | +$1,222 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
ARM
|
36 | 61🔥 | +17.43% | $14,216 | $16,694 | 14 | 79% | - | +$2,478 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
AMZN
|
30 | 76🔥 | +17.36% | $11,095 | $13,021 | 8 | 100% | - | +$1,926 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
SLB
|
18 | 71🔥 | +16.75% | $9,029 | $10,541 | 7 | 100% | - | +$1,512 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
MS
|
41 | 66🔥 | +14.65% | $13,989 | $16,038 | 6 | 83% | - | +$2,049 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
COP
|
31 | 76🔥 | +14.01% | $11,127 | $12,686 | 9 | 89% | - | +$1,559 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
TSLA
|
27 | 52🔥 | +13.88% | $11,162 | $12,711 | 10 | 70% | - | +$1,549 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
USO
|
35 | 54 | +13.35% | $12,676 | $14,368 | 10 | 80% | - | +$1,692 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
C
|
31 | 55🔥 | +12.91% | $11,624 | $13,124 | 7 | 86% | - | +$1,501 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
INTC
|
32 | 71🔥 | +12.53% | $13,743 | $15,465 | 13 | 69% | - | +$1,722 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
PYPL
|
11 | 68🔥 | +12.53% | $7,403 | $8,330 | 9 | 78% | - | +$928 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
QQQ
|
20 | 61🔥 | +12.48% | $9,297 | $10,458 | 6 | 83% | - | +$1,160 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
AVGO
|
42 | 48 | +12.33% | $16,141 | $18,131 | 10 | 80% | - | +$1,990 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
AXP
|
58 | 64 | +12.21% | $17,133 | $19,224 | 7 | 86% | - | +$2,092 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
NVDA
|
45 | 63 | +11.56% | $19,670 | $21,944 | 8 | 75% | - | +$2,274 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
BAC
|
38 | 63🔥 | +11.45% | $13,252 | $14,770 | 7 | 86% | - | +$1,517 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
MSFT
|
29 | 64🔥 | +11.31% | $11,194 | $12,460 | 8 | 88% | - | +$1,266 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
AAPL
|
36 | 53 | +11.21% | $12,735 | $14,163 | 7 | 86% | - | +$1,428 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
IWM
|
38 | 53 | +10.77% | $12,635 | $13,995 | 5 | 100% | - | +$1,361 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
NIO
|
9 | 53🔥 | +10.69% | $6,512 | $7,208 | 11 | 73% | - | +$696 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
VOO
|
54 | 57 | +10.56% | $13,872 | $15,337 | 6 | 100% | - | +$1,465 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
UVXY
|
10 | 48🔥 | +10.55% | $8,414 | $9,301 | 14 | 71% | - | +$888 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
V
|
37 | 62🔥 | +10.47% | $11,998 | $13,255 | 7 | 71% | - | +$1,256 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
SMCI
|
12 | 47🔥 | +10.39% | $7,572 | $8,359 | 10 | 80% | - | +$787 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
ADBE
|
9 | 53🔥 | +10.30% | $6,062 | $6,686 | 8 | 75% | - | +$624 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
SPY
|
52 | 56 | +10.19% | $13,524 | $14,903 | 6 | 100% | - | +$1,378 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
NET
|
35 | 47 | +10.07% | $13,745 | $15,129 | 12 | 75% | - | +$1,384 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
IBM
|
53 | 59 | +9.93% | $15,217 | $16,728 | 7 | 86% | - | +$1,511 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
VXX
|
10 | 42🔥 | +9.63% | $7,412 | $8,126 | 11 | 73% | - | +$714 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
CSCO
|
67 | 47🧊 | +9.21% | $17,654 | $19,280 | 8 | 75% | - | +$1,626 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
VTI
|
48 | 54 | +9.11% | $13,345 | $14,561 | 6 | 83% | - | +$1,216 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
RIOT
|
11 | 42🔥 | +8.58% | $4,993 | $5,421 | 13 | 62% | - | +$428 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
PLTR
|
46 | 61 | +8.38% | $17,935 | $19,437 | 12 | 67% | - | +$1,503 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
DKNG
|
12 | 50🔥 | +8.25% | $7,592 | $8,219 | 10 | 70% | - | +$626 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
XOM
|
51 | 48 | +8.02% | $15,656 | $16,912 | 7 | 86% | - | +$1,256 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
PANW
|
44 | 49 | +7.86% | $15,424 | $16,636 | 11 | 73% | - | +$1,212 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
PM
|
34 | 56🔥 | +7.44% | $12,739 | $13,686 | 8 | 88% | - | +$948 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
KO
|
32 | 49 | +7.01% | $12,260 | $13,119 | 6 | 83% | - | +$859 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
DIA
|
39 | 44 | +6.65% | $12,495 | $13,326 | 6 | 67% | - | +$831 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
MU
|
39 | 42 | +6.17% | $17,137 | $18,194 | 11 | 64% | - | +$1,057 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
JPM
|
34 | 38 | +5.84% | $13,254 | $14,028 | 6 | 67% | - | +$774 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
SOXL
|
42 | 28 | +5.43% | $19,089 | $20,125 | 13 | 62% | - | +$1,037 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
TQQQ
|
11 | 25 | +5.42% | $5,431 | $5,725 | 9 | 67% | - | +$294 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
BLK
|
32 | 27 | +4.69% | $12,525 | $13,113 | 6 | 50% | - | +$587 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
OXY
|
38 | 35 | +4.61% | $15,512 | $16,228 | 9 | 78% | - | +$715 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
GLD
|
68 | 34🧊 | +4.53% | $18,887 | $19,742 | 5 | 60% | - | +$856 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
PG
|
18 | 26 | +4.13% | $10,046 | $10,461 | 6 | 50% | - | +$415 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
WMT
|
56 | 33🧊 | +4.08% | $17,384 | $18,094 | 7 | 71% | - | +$709 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
HOOD
|
11 | 32🔥 | +4.05% | $9,053 | $9,420 | 12 | 58% | - | +$367 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
GME
|
28 | 58🔥 | +4.02% | $11,480 | $11,942 | 10 | 70% | - | +$462 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
ACN
|
8 | 24 | +4.01% | $6,543 | $6,805 | 9 | 67% | - | +$262 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
ORCL
|
31 | 22 | +3.36% | $14,584 | $15,074 | 11 | 64% | - | +$490 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
BIIB
|
10 | 33🔥 | +3.01% | $8,189 | $8,436 | 9 | 56% | - | +$246 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
XLF
|
35 | 25 | +2.96% | $13,034 | $13,420 | 6 | 67% | - | +$386 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
META
|
33 | 20 | +2.72% | $14,612 | $15,009 | 6 | 67% | - | +$397 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
CRWD
|
13 | 27 | +2.65% | $9,124 | $9,366 | 10 | 60% | - | +$242 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
XLE
|
63 | 25🧊 | +2.61% | $19,175 | $19,676 | 7 | 71% | - | +$500 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
RIVN
|
10 | 30 | +2.45% | $4,880 | $4,999 | 12 | 67% | - | +$120 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
CVX
|
71 | 25🧊 | +2.27% | $20,977 | $21,453 | 7 | 71% | - | +$476 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
COST
|
32 | 23 | +2.22% | $12,598 | $12,878 | 7 | 57% | - | +$280 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
COIN
|
9 | 26 | +1.87% | $3,846 | $3,918 | 13 | 62% | - | +$72 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
CRM
|
11 | 27 | +1.85% | $6,436 | $6,555 | 10 | 70% | - | +$119 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
GS
|
58 | 13🧊 | +1.28% | $19,230 | $19,477 | 7 | 43% | - | +$246 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
AMGN
|
23 | 11 | +0.88% | $11,113 | $11,210 | 7 | 43% | - | +$98 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
PEP
|
20 | 15 | +0.73% | $10,575 | $10,653 | 7 | 57% | - | +$77 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
MA
|
38 | 18 | +0.72% | $13,649 | $13,747 | 7 | 71% | - | +$98 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
BRK-B
|
42 | 10🧊 | +0.56% | $13,984 | $14,063 | 6 | 50% | - | +$78 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
NFLX
|
48 | 28 | +0.52% | $17,644 | $17,736 | 7 | 57% | - | +$92 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
WFC
|
34 | 10🧊 | +0.03% | $13,431 | $13,435 | 7 | 57% | - | +$4 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
JNJ
|
46 | 3🧊 | -0.40% | $14,213 | $14,157 | 6 | 33% | - | -$57 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
SPXU
|
21 | 9 | -0.41% | $10,905 | $10,861 | 8 | 50% | - | -$45 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
TLT
|
10 | 2 | -0.81% | $8,896 | $8,824 | 5 | 40% | - | -$72 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
GILD
|
37 | 6🧊 | -1.85% | $15,015 | $14,737 | 7 | 57% | - | -$278 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
SOFI
|
10 | 15 | -1.97% | $8,023 | $7,865 | 10 | 60% | - | -$158 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
VRTX
|
19 | 2 | -2.83% | $11,033 | $10,721 | 6 | 50% | - | -$312 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
PFE
|
9 | 3 | -2.86% | $8,787 | $8,535 | 6 | 33% | - | -$251 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
BMY
|
10 | 2 | -3.01% | $9,520 | $9,234 | 5 | 40% | - | -$287 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
MCD
|
19 | 2 | -3.12% | $11,101 | $10,754 | 5 | 40% | - | -$346 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
MRNA
|
41 | 14🧊 | -3.82% | $21,350 | $20,534 | 11 | 55% | - | -$816 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
LCID
|
9 | 15 | -4.18% | $3,313 | $3,175 | 13 | 54% | - | -$138 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
VZ
|
22 | 5 | -4.47% | $11,359 | $10,851 | 7 | 43% | - | -$508 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
DIS
|
8 | 2 | -4.64% | $9,016 | $8,598 | 6 | 33% | - | -$418 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
ABBV
|
13 | 3 | -4.64% | $10,566 | $10,075 | 6 | 33% | - | -$490 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
REGN
|
11 | 6 | -4.72% | $8,344 | $7,950 | 6 | 50% | - | -$394 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
HD
|
16 | 5 | -5.25% | $10,997 | $10,419 | 7 | 29% | - | -$577 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
SCHW
|
25 | 3🧊 | -5.39% | $12,193 | $11,536 | 6 | 33% | - | -$657 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
SNOW
|
32 | 14 | -5.59% | $15,126 | $14,281 | 12 | 50% | - | -$846 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
MRK
|
12 | 9 | -5.74% | $9,624 | $9,072 | 8 | 50% | - | -$552 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 2 | -6.05% | $5,724 | $5,378 | 5 | 20% | - | -$346 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
AMC
|
9 | 13 | -6.66% | $4,585 | $4,280 | 12 | 50% | - | -$305 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
ARKK
|
11 | 9 | -7.64% | $8,505 | $7,855 | 9 | 44% | - | -$650 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
TMO
|
11 | 5 | -8.50% | $9,669 | $8,847 | 8 | 38% | - | -$822 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
MARA
|
11 | 11 | -9.64% | $7,337 | $6,630 | 15 | 47% | - | -$707 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
LLY
|
22 | 6 | -9.67% | $12,771 | $11,536 | 9 | 33% | - | -$1,235 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
SQQQ
|
10 | 9 | -10.11% | $7,198 | $6,471 | 10 | 40% | - | -$728 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
ISRG
|
17 | 5 | -10.20% | $11,463 | $10,294 | 7 | 14% | - | -$1,169 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
MDT
|
8 | 3 | -12.93% | $10,243 | $8,919 | 7 | 14% | - | -$1,324 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
SLV
|
30 | 7🧊 | -17.47% | $15,251 | $12,587 | 9 | 22% | - | -$2,664 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
RBLX
|
32 | 13 | -29.04% | $18,946 | $13,444 | 13 | 46% | - | -$5,502 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.