11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,502
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$11,305
(+$1,197)
+10.59%
Last Year ROI
57.5%
Win Rate
8,857
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Year)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Year:
May 6, 2025
→
May 6, 2026
(365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 1Y Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
INTC
|
32 | 71🔥 | +131.97% | $6,667 | $15,465 | 121 | 65% | - | +$8,798 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
AMD
|
21 | 89🔥 | +96.52% | $5,882 | $11,560 | 115 | 63% | - | +$5,677 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
MRNA
|
41 | 14🧊 | +94.81% | $10,541 | $20,534 | 130 | 64% | - | +$9,994 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
MU
|
39 | 42 | +90.93% | $9,529 | $18,194 | 116 | 63% | - | +$8,665 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
GOOGL
|
56 | 72 | +87.89% | $13,241 | $24,879 | 80 | 68% | - | +$11,638 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
OXY
|
38 | 35 | +87.55% | $8,652 | $16,228 | 89 | 67% | - | +$7,575 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
USO
|
35 | 54 | +77.61% | $8,090 | $14,368 | 84 | 69% | - | +$6,278 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
NVDA
|
45 | 63 | +72.50% | $12,721 | $21,944 | 93 | 65% | - | +$9,223 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
XLE
|
63 | 25🧊 | +69.15% | $11,632 | $19,676 | 68 | 68% | - | +$8,044 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
VXX
|
10 | 42🔥 | +57.09% | $5,173 | $8,126 | 115 | 62% | - | +$2,953 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
CVX
|
71 | 25🧊 | +50.68% | $14,237 | $21,453 | 68 | 68% | - | +$7,216 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
ARM
|
36 | 61🔥 | +50.63% | $11,083 | $16,694 | 118 | 64% | - | +$5,611 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
CSCO
|
67 | 47🧊 | +45.46% | $13,254 | $19,280 | 70 | 60% | - | +$6,025 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
ORCL
|
31 | 22 | +45.30% | $10,374 | $15,074 | 104 | 58% | - | +$4,700 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
JNJ
|
46 | 3🧊 | +42.89% | $9,907 | $14,157 | 63 | 67% | - | +$4,249 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
SNOW
|
32 | 14 | +42.61% | $10,014 | $14,281 | 108 | 63% | - | +$4,267 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
XOM
|
51 | 48 | +42.45% | $11,872 | $16,912 | 76 | 66% | - | +$5,040 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
GLD
|
68 | 34🧊 | +39.52% | $14,150 | $19,742 | 69 | 64% | - | +$5,592 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
NET
|
35 | 47 | +32.09% | $11,453 | $15,129 | 117 | 63% | - | +$3,675 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
XLK
|
25 | 76🔥 | +29.79% | $9,187 | $11,924 | 69 | 65% | - | +$2,737 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
AXP
|
58 | 64 | +27.99% | $15,020 | $19,224 | 76 | 62% | - | +$4,204 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
IBM
|
53 | 59 | +27.64% | $13,105 | $16,728 | 79 | 62% | - | +$3,622 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
AAPL
|
36 | 53 | +26.91% | $11,160 | $14,163 | 67 | 64% | - | +$3,003 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
BAC
|
38 | 63🔥 | +25.48% | $11,771 | $14,770 | 76 | 63% | - | +$2,999 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
TSLA
|
27 | 52🔥 | +25.32% | $10,143 | $12,711 | 107 | 61% | - | +$2,568 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
AVGO
|
42 | 48 | +24.92% | $14,514 | $18,131 | 100 | 59% | - | +$3,617 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
COP
|
31 | 76🔥 | +24.34% | $10,202 | $12,686 | 82 | 60% | - | +$2,483 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
SPY
|
52 | 56 | +23.55% | $12,062 | $14,903 | 58 | 64% | - | +$2,841 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
VOO
|
54 | 57 | +23.35% | $12,434 | $15,337 | 58 | 60% | - | +$2,903 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
GILD
|
37 | 6🧊 | +21.01% | $12,179 | $14,737 | 74 | 59% | - | +$2,559 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
VTI
|
48 | 54 | +19.53% | $12,182 | $14,561 | 58 | 64% | - | +$2,379 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
JPM
|
34 | 38 | +18.63% | $11,825 | $14,028 | 71 | 63% | - | +$2,203 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
PANW
|
44 | 49 | +17.97% | $14,102 | $16,636 | 92 | 65% | - | +$2,534 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
SQQQ
|
10 | 9 | +17.22% | $5,520 | $6,471 | 118 | 59% | - | +$951 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
AMZN
|
30 | 76🔥 | +16.24% | $11,201 | $13,021 | 85 | 60% | - | +$1,819 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
DIA
|
39 | 44 | +15.17% | $11,571 | $13,326 | 55 | 60% | - | +$1,755 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
C
|
31 | 55🔥 | +13.46% | $11,567 | $13,124 | 83 | 61% | - | +$1,557 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
SOXL
|
42 | 28 | +13.24% | $17,772 | $20,125 | 137 | 59% | - | +$2,353 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
KO
|
32 | 49 | +12.66% | $11,645 | $13,119 | 58 | 60% | - | +$1,474 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
AMGN
|
23 | 11 | +12.59% | $9,957 | $11,210 | 73 | 53% | - | +$1,254 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
WMT
|
56 | 33🧊 | +11.66% | $16,204 | $18,094 | 70 | 63% | - | +$1,889 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
SLB
|
18 | 71🔥 | +10.88% | $9,507 | $10,541 | 88 | 57% | - | +$1,034 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
GS
|
58 | 13🧊 | +10.73% | $17,589 | $19,477 | 79 | 56% | - | +$1,887 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
PEP
|
20 | 15 | +10.06% | $9,679 | $10,653 | 66 | 55% | - | +$974 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
NFLX
|
48 | 28 | +9.98% | $16,126 | $17,736 | 79 | 63% | - | +$1,609 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
GME
|
28 | 58🔥 | +8.25% | $11,032 | $11,942 | 92 | 61% | - | +$910 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
IWM
|
38 | 53 | +7.75% | $12,989 | $13,995 | 66 | 52% | - | +$1,007 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
QQQ
|
20 | 61🔥 | +6.56% | $9,814 | $10,458 | 59 | 58% | - | +$644 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
XLF
|
35 | 25 | +5.92% | $12,670 | $13,420 | 58 | 53% | - | +$750 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
PG
|
18 | 26 | +5.46% | $9,919 | $10,461 | 63 | 51% | - | +$542 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
BIIB
|
10 | 33🔥 | +5.28% | $8,012 | $8,436 | 84 | 55% | - | +$423 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
UVXY
|
10 | 48🔥 | +5.19% | $8,842 | $9,301 | 135 | 56% | - | +$459 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
MA
|
38 | 18 | +4.68% | $13,133 | $13,747 | 68 | 57% | - | +$615 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
V
|
37 | 62🔥 | +3.97% | $12,749 | $13,255 | 67 | 51% | - | +$506 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
MSFT
|
29 | 64🔥 | +3.61% | $12,026 | $12,460 | 67 | 61% | - | +$434 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
SCHW
|
25 | 3🧊 | +3.37% | $11,160 | $11,536 | 67 | 60% | - | +$376 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
SLV
|
30 | 7🧊 | +2.83% | $12,240 | $12,587 | 99 | 57% | - | +$346 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
WFC
|
34 | 10🧊 | +2.32% | $13,130 | $13,435 | 78 | 60% | - | +$305 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
SMCI
|
12 | 47🔥 | +1.97% | $8,198 | $8,359 | 131 | 60% | - | +$161 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
MS
|
41 | 66🔥 | +1.90% | $15,739 | $16,038 | 72 | 58% | - | +$299 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
PLTR
|
46 | 61 | +0.43% | $19,354 | $19,437 | 118 | 59% | - | +$83 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
PFE
|
9 | 3 | +0.32% | $8,508 | $8,535 | 70 | 60% | - | +$27 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
MRK
|
12 | 9 | +0.08% | $9,064 | $9,072 | 82 | 62% | - | +$7 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
BLK
|
32 | 27 | -1.71% | $13,341 | $13,113 | 75 | 49% | - | -$228 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
TMO
|
11 | 5 | -1.77% | $9,007 | $8,847 | 82 | 55% | - | -$159 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
VZ
|
22 | 5 | -3.80% | $11,279 | $10,851 | 65 | 55% | - | -$429 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
MCD
|
19 | 2 | -4.06% | $11,209 | $10,754 | 59 | 46% | - | -$455 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
META
|
33 | 20 | -5.35% | $15,858 | $15,009 | 77 | 56% | - | -$848 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
SPXU
|
21 | 9 | -5.37% | $11,477 | $10,861 | 67 | 55% | - | -$616 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
RIVN
|
10 | 30 | -5.56% | $5,294 | $4,999 | 131 | 59% | - | -$294 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
ABBV
|
13 | 3 | -5.63% | $10,676 | $10,075 | 73 | 53% | - | -$601 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
BRK-B
|
42 | 10🧊 | -7.94% | $15,276 | $14,063 | 60 | 43% | - | -$1,213 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
TLT
|
10 | 2 | -8.57% | $9,651 | $8,824 | 52 | 44% | - | -$827 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
COST
|
32 | 23 | -8.95% | $14,144 | $12,878 | 63 | 48% | - | -$1,266 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
RIOT
|
11 | 42🔥 | -9.77% | $6,008 | $5,421 | 156 | 60% | - | -$587 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
BMY
|
10 | 2 | -10.06% | $10,267 | $9,234 | 78 | 56% | - | -$1,033 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
REGN
|
11 | 6 | -11.74% | $9,007 | $7,950 | 84 | 58% | - | -$1,057 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
PM
|
34 | 56🔥 | -11.85% | $15,526 | $13,686 | 75 | 56% | - | -$1,840 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
HOOD
|
11 | 32🔥 | -13.34% | $10,870 | $9,420 | 127 | 57% | - | -$1,450 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
UNH
|
10 | 64🔥 | -14.14% | $8,742 | $7,506 | 83 | 52% | - | -$1,236 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
VRTX
|
19 | 2 | -14.32% | $12,512 | $10,721 | 75 | 55% | - | -$1,792 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
MDT
|
8 | 3 | -14.82% | $10,471 | $8,919 | 65 | 46% | - | -$1,552 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
LLY
|
22 | 6 | -15.07% | $13,583 | $11,536 | 90 | 50% | - | -$2,047 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
ARKK
|
11 | 9 | -15.09% | $9,251 | $7,855 | 90 | 59% | - | -$1,396 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
NIO
|
9 | 53🔥 | -16.34% | $8,615 | $7,208 | 117 | 55% | - | -$1,408 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
ADBE
|
9 | 53🔥 | -16.55% | $8,012 | $6,686 | 79 | 52% | - | -$1,326 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
DIS
|
8 | 2 | -16.70% | $10,321 | $8,598 | 67 | 45% | - | -$1,724 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
ACN
|
8 | 24 | -17.95% | $8,294 | $6,805 | 80 | 53% | - | -$1,489 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
AMC
|
9 | 13 | -19.14% | $5,292 | $4,280 | 104 | 55% | - | -$1,013 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
HD
|
16 | 5 | -19.98% | $13,021 | $10,419 | 70 | 44% | - | -$2,602 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
CRM
|
11 | 27 | -22.27% | $8,434 | $6,555 | 83 | 57% | - | -$1,878 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
ISRG
|
17 | 5 | -25.37% | $13,793 | $10,294 | 76 | 43% | - | -$3,499 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
DKNG
|
12 | 50🔥 | -29.46% | $11,651 | $8,219 | 106 | 53% | - | -$3,432 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 2 | -33.67% | $8,108 | $5,378 | 69 | 41% | - | -$2,730 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
PYPL
|
11 | 68🔥 | -33.78% | $12,580 | $8,330 | 82 | 49% | - | -$4,249 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
CRWD
|
13 | 27 | -36.33% | $14,710 | $9,366 | 99 | 55% | - | -$5,344 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
TQQQ
|
11 | 25 | -36.99% | $9,086 | $5,725 | 107 | 51% | - | -$3,361 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
RBLX
|
32 | 13 | -37.39% | $21,472 | $13,444 | 116 | 55% | - | -$8,028 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
SOFI
|
10 | 15 | -37.91% | $12,667 | $7,865 | 122 | 52% | - | -$4,802 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
COIN
|
9 | 26 | -42.42% | $6,804 | $3,918 | 131 | 52% | - | -$2,886 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
LCID
|
9 | 15 | -50.10% | $6,362 | $3,175 | 132 | 53% | - | -$3,187 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
MARA
|
11 | 11 | -56.20% | $15,137 | $6,630 | 152 | 51% | - | -$8,507 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.