11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,572
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$11,563
(+$1,008)
+8.72%
Last Year ROI
57.3%
Win Rate
9,045
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Year)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Year:
Jun 18, 2025
→
Jun 18, 2026
(365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 1Y Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
INTC
|
37 | 38 | +156.27% | $6,887 | $17,649 | 127 | 67% | - | +$10,762 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
SNOW
|
47 | 88🔥 | +115.34% | $11,310 | $24,356 | 114 | 66% | - | +$13,045 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
AMD
|
28 | 78🔥 | +83.37% | $7,508 | $13,767 | 121 | 63% | - | +$6,259 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
MRNA
|
45 | 56 | +81.94% | $12,558 | $22,848 | 132 | 64% | - | +$10,290 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
MU
|
46 | 79🔥 | +77.04% | $12,472 | $22,080 | 128 | 63% | - | +$9,608 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
GOOGL
|
57 | 5🧊 | +74.52% | $14,325 | $24,999 | 78 | 65% | - | +$10,675 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
AAPL
|
40 | 41 | +48.63% | $10,337 | $15,364 | 67 | 67% | - | +$5,027 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
OXY
|
34 | 5🧊 | +48.11% | $9,859 | $14,602 | 89 | 65% | - | +$4,743 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
XLE
|
57 | 2🧊 | +47.64% | $12,431 | $18,353 | 67 | 64% | - | +$5,922 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
CSCO
|
71 | 20🧊 | +44.73% | $14,381 | $20,814 | 73 | 60% | - | +$6,433 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
JNJ
|
45 | 10🧊 | +40.86% | $10,017 | $14,110 | 64 | 64% | - | +$4,093 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
GLD
|
65 | 6🧊 | +37.33% | $13,991 | $19,214 | 71 | 63% | - | +$5,223 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
TSLA
|
29 | 32 | +35.79% | $9,964 | $13,530 | 110 | 63% | - | +$3,566 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
ARM
|
39 | 44 | +35.28% | $13,395 | $18,121 | 122 | 62% | - | +$4,726 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
CVX
|
65 | 2🧊 | +34.76% | $14,902 | $20,082 | 68 | 66% | - | +$5,180 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
NET
|
41 | 51 | +34.52% | $13,023 | $17,518 | 120 | 63% | - | +$4,495 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
XLK
|
29 | 20 | +34.45% | $9,378 | $12,608 | 72 | 68% | - | +$3,231 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
USO
|
27 | 7 | +33.43% | $8,907 | $11,885 | 87 | 64% | - | +$2,978 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
VXX
|
10 | 9 | +33.15% | $5,316 | $7,079 | 114 | 61% | - | +$1,762 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
PANW
|
47 | 37 | +32.17% | $13,517 | $17,865 | 99 | 68% | - | +$4,348 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
AXP
|
60 | 30🧊 | +31.91% | $15,132 | $19,961 | 77 | 61% | - | +$4,829 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
BAC
|
42 | 62 | +28.47% | $12,545 | $16,117 | 76 | 63% | - | +$3,572 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
VOO
|
59 | 23🧊 | +27.36% | $12,613 | $16,064 | 57 | 65% | - | +$3,451 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
GME
|
27 | 29 | +27.19% | $9,835 | $12,509 | 92 | 60% | - | +$2,674 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
SPY
|
56 | 18🧊 | +26.03% | $12,270 | $15,464 | 57 | 68% | - | +$3,194 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
SOXL
|
44 | 20🧊 | +25.67% | $16,605 | $20,867 | 143 | 59% | - | +$4,262 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
C
|
37 | 80🔥 | +24.10% | $12,042 | $14,944 | 86 | 63% | - | +$2,902 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
VTI
|
52 | 22🧊 | +23.60% | $12,281 | $15,179 | 57 | 68% | - | +$2,898 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
XOM
|
44 | 5🧊 | +23.31% | $12,370 | $15,253 | 76 | 62% | - | +$2,883 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
AMGN
|
26 | 31 | +21.98% | $9,607 | $11,718 | 74 | 55% | - | +$2,112 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
DIA
|
43 | 37 | +20.52% | $11,673 | $14,069 | 56 | 63% | - | +$2,395 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
ORCL
|
30 | 25 | +17.34% | $12,148 | $14,254 | 114 | 55% | - | +$2,106 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
QQQ
|
25 | 24 | +16.04% | $9,788 | $11,358 | 62 | 63% | - | +$1,570 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
JPM
|
37 | 32 | +15.38% | $12,791 | $14,758 | 75 | 60% | - | +$1,967 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
SMCI
|
12 | 13 | +13.93% | $7,514 | $8,561 | 136 | 60% | - | +$1,047 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
GILD
|
39 | 29 | +13.78% | $12,974 | $14,762 | 74 | 58% | - | +$1,788 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
KO
|
32 | 2🧊 | +13.55% | $11,496 | $13,054 | 59 | 58% | - | +$1,558 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
IWM
|
41 | 28 | +13.45% | $12,842 | $14,569 | 66 | 55% | - | +$1,727 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
COP
|
27 | 3🧊 | +13.39% | $10,412 | $11,806 | 82 | 59% | - | +$1,394 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
PEP
|
20 | 7 | +13.02% | $9,423 | $10,649 | 66 | 56% | - | +$1,227 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
GS
|
66 | 62 | +12.86% | $19,476 | $21,980 | 81 | 58% | - | +$2,505 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
BIIB
|
11 | 44🔥 | +12.75% | $8,253 | $9,305 | 84 | 57% | - | +$1,052 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
UVXY
|
17 | 58🔥 | +12.46% | $9,270 | $10,425 | 131 | 59% | - | +$1,155 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
WMT
|
48 | 5🧊 | +11.67% | $14,636 | $16,344 | 72 | 63% | - | +$1,708 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
NVDA
|
39 | 6🧊 | +11.12% | $16,652 | $18,503 | 92 | 58% | - | +$1,852 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
WFC
|
37 | 54 | +10.46% | $12,776 | $14,112 | 77 | 61% | - | +$1,336 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
PG
|
22 | 55🔥 | +10.29% | $9,948 | $10,972 | 67 | 54% | - | +$1,024 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
XLF
|
37 | 34 | +8.30% | $12,867 | $13,935 | 57 | 53% | - | +$1,068 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
IBM
|
44 | 12🧊 | +8.21% | $13,603 | $14,720 | 84 | 58% | - | +$1,117 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
PLTR
|
44 | 12🧊 | +6.87% | $17,826 | $19,051 | 118 | 59% | - | +$1,225 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
MS
|
47 | 68🔥 | +6.31% | $17,151 | $18,233 | 74 | 58% | - | +$1,082 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
V
|
35 | 2🧊 | +6.27% | $12,396 | $13,173 | 67 | 51% | - | +$777 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
SCHW
|
28 | 22 | +5.20% | $11,599 | $12,203 | 70 | 61% | - | +$603 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
VRTX
|
25 | 45 | +3.44% | $11,033 | $11,412 | 73 | 56% | - | +$380 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
PFE
|
9 | 2 | +1.28% | $7,983 | $8,085 | 68 | 57% | - | +$102 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
REGN
|
11 | 12 | +1.23% | $7,009 | $7,095 | 81 | 60% | - | +$86 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
AVGO
|
39 | 19 | +1.04% | $16,129 | $16,297 | 101 | 57% | - | +$168 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
BRK-B
|
49 | 27🧊 | -0.94% | $15,234 | $15,091 | 61 | 51% | - | -$143 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
MA
|
34 | 3🧊 | -1.08% | $13,124 | $12,982 | 70 | 54% | - | -$142 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
RIVN
|
10 | 40🔥 | -1.45% | $4,914 | $4,843 | 130 | 60% | - | -$71 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
TMO
|
10 | 25 | -1.51% | $8,366 | $8,240 | 83 | 55% | - | -$126 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
SLB
|
10 | 5 | -1.57% | $9,776 | $9,623 | 90 | 56% | - | -$153 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
SLV
|
33 | 13🧊 | -2.39% | $13,779 | $13,449 | 102 | 57% | - | -$329 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
NIO
|
9 | 32🔥 | -2.52% | $6,932 | $6,758 | 121 | 58% | - | -$175 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
MCD
|
14 | 1 | -3.39% | $10,569 | $10,210 | 59 | 44% | - | -$358 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
TLT
|
10 | 27 | -4.34% | $9,487 | $9,075 | 52 | 46% | - | -$412 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
VZ
|
20 | 2 | -4.35% | $10,978 | $10,500 | 65 | 55% | - | -$478 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
AMZN
|
24 | 6 | -4.69% | $11,951 | $11,390 | 85 | 58% | - | -$560 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
BLK
|
32 | 13 | -4.75% | $13,865 | $13,207 | 76 | 50% | - | -$659 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
COST
|
31 | 5🧊 | -5.07% | $13,327 | $12,652 | 66 | 50% | - | -$676 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
LLY
|
25 | 36 | -5.72% | $12,685 | $11,960 | 88 | 51% | - | -$726 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
BMY
|
10 | 6 | -6.06% | $9,965 | $9,361 | 79 | 57% | - | -$604 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
ABBV
|
12 | 10 | -6.23% | $10,678 | $10,013 | 74 | 55% | - | -$665 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
SPXU
|
19 | 12 | -7.78% | $11,403 | $10,516 | 75 | 55% | - | -$887 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
NFLX
|
39 | 2🧊 | -8.15% | $16,760 | $15,394 | 77 | 57% | - | -$1,366 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
SQQQ
|
9 | 12 | -8.46% | $5,781 | $5,292 | 122 | 57% | - | -$489 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
MRK
|
11 | 6 | -9.13% | $9,515 | $8,647 | 79 | 58% | - | -$869 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
MSFT
|
25 | 9 | -10.11% | $12,836 | $11,539 | 72 | 57% | - | -$1,298 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
UNH
|
11 | 12 | -13.13% | $8,766 | $7,615 | 80 | 53% | - | -$1,151 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
PM
|
34 | 5🧊 | -14.28% | $16,194 | $13,882 | 78 | 54% | - | -$2,313 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
AMC
|
9 | 62🔥 | -14.63% | $5,483 | $4,681 | 107 | 54% | - | -$802 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
RIOT
|
11 | 29 | -15.30% | $6,235 | $5,281 | 157 | 60% | - | -$954 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
META
|
30 | 9🧊 | -17.62% | $16,633 | $13,702 | 81 | 54% | - | -$2,931 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
HOOD
|
20 | 47🔥 | -18.77% | $13,326 | $10,825 | 129 | 56% | - | -$2,501 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
ARKK
|
11 | 10 | -19.14% | $9,540 | $7,714 | 88 | 58% | - | -$1,826 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
ACN
|
8 | 6 | -19.66% | $7,947 | $6,385 | 84 | 54% | - | -$1,562 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
CRWD
|
18 | 14 | -21.91% | $13,223 | $10,326 | 103 | 56% | - | -$2,897 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
CRM
|
10 | 14 | -24.07% | $7,740 | $5,877 | 89 | 56% | - | -$1,863 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
MDT
|
7 | 3 | -24.52% | $11,242 | $8,485 | 66 | 39% | - | -$2,756 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
HD
|
9 | 6 | -25.10% | $12,752 | $9,551 | 73 | 42% | - | -$3,201 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 48🔥 | -25.10% | $8,935 | $6,692 | 111 | 54% | - | -$2,243 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
ISRG
|
11 | 5 | -25.43% | $12,243 | $9,129 | 77 | 40% | - | -$3,113 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
ADBE
|
8 | 7 | -25.45% | $7,752 | $5,779 | 84 | 50% | - | -$1,973 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
DKNG
|
12 | 44🔥 | -26.76% | $12,004 | $8,791 | 113 | 54% | - | -$3,212 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
PYPL
|
11 | 22 | -32.53% | $12,283 | $8,287 | 85 | 49% | - | -$3,996 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
DIS
|
8 | 1 | -32.65% | $11,865 | $7,991 | 66 | 39% | - | -$3,874 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 5 | -41.87% | $8,086 | $4,700 | 71 | 38% | - | -$3,385 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
MARA
|
11 | 50🔥 | -42.99% | $12,578 | $7,170 | 154 | 53% | - | -$5,407 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
RBLX
|
34 | 40 | -43.05% | $26,101 | $14,864 | 121 | 54% | - | -$11,236 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
SOFI
|
11 | 13 | -46.61% | $13,992 | $7,470 | 126 | 51% | - | -$6,521 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
COIN
|
9 | 13 | -49.12% | $7,223 | $3,675 | 136 | 50% | - | -$3,548 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
LCID
|
8 | 12 | -60.36% | $5,954 | $2,360 | 135 | 53% | - | -$3,594 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.