11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$13,065
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$11,975
(+$1,090)
+9.10%
Last Year ROI
56.3%
Win Rate
9,438
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Year)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Year:
Sep 24, 2025
→
Sep 24, 2026
(365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 1Y Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
MRNA 🔥 PRO
|
77 | 62 | +236.14% | $15,744 | $52,922 | 144 | 65% | - | +$37,178 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
SNOW
|
50 | 58 | +139.10% | $11,584 | $27,698 | 119 | 66% | - | +$16,113 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
AMD
|
32 | 69🔥 | +116.38% | $7,646 | $16,545 | 132 | 66% | - | +$8,898 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
INTC
|
35 | 86🔥 | +89.22% | $9,667 | $18,292 | 140 | 63% | - | +$8,625 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
XLE
|
70 | 26🧊 | +65.90% | $13,267 | $22,010 | 71 | 66% | - | +$8,743 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
SQQQ
|
10 | 39🔥 | +61.96% | $4,960 | $8,033 | 129 | 64% | - | +$3,073 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
USO
|
35 | 58🔥 | +55.76% | $9,663 | $15,051 | 100 | 64% | - | +$5,388 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
PANW
|
61 | 49 | +51.76% | $15,425 | $23,410 | 109 | 68% | - | +$7,984 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
MU
|
45 | 50 | +48.63% | $14,926 | $22,184 | 139 | 62% | - | +$7,258 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
GME
|
33 | 75🔥 | +45.77% | $10,313 | $15,034 | 94 | 62% | - | +$4,720 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
JNJ
|
55 | 30🧊 | +45.25% | $11,215 | $16,289 | 73 | 64% | - | +$5,075 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
AAPL
|
49 | 40 | +43.77% | $12,704 | $18,264 | 68 | 66% | - | +$5,560 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
CVX
|
70 | 23🧊 | +40.10% | $15,989 | $22,401 | 73 | 64% | - | +$6,412 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
XOM
|
50 | 10🧊 | +38.96% | $12,301 | $17,093 | 80 | 63% | - | +$4,792 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
NET
|
40 | 48 | +38.28% | $13,226 | $18,289 | 128 | 63% | - | +$5,063 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
BMY
|
25 | 3🧊 | +38.01% | $8,912 | $12,300 | 80 | 61% | - | +$3,387 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
CSCO
|
70 | 5🧊 | +35.91% | $14,621 | $19,871 | 77 | 61% | - | +$5,250 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
COP
|
33 | 34 | +35.01% | $9,844 | $13,290 | 86 | 62% | - | +$3,446 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
V
|
49 | 2🧊 | +34.76% | $12,077 | $16,275 | 69 | 52% | - | +$4,198 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
SCHW
|
39 | 11🧊 | +32.95% | $11,090 | $14,744 | 75 | 67% | - | +$3,654 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
AMGN
|
32 | 12 | +32.91% | $9,859 | $13,103 | 80 | 63% | - | +$3,245 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
GOOGL
|
63 | 58 | +30.28% | $21,373 | $27,845 | 84 | 61% | - | +$6,472 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
SPXU
|
28 | 17 | +26.90% | $10,119 | $12,841 | 91 | 58% | - | +$2,722 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
OXY
|
31 | 10🧊 | +25.25% | $10,959 | $13,726 | 92 | 62% | - | +$2,767 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
PLTR
|
56 | 39 | +24.56% | $20,474 | $25,502 | 121 | 60% | - | +$5,028 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
MRK
|
22 | 9 | +23.94% | $8,822 | $10,934 | 83 | 63% | - | +$2,112 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
GLD
|
57 | 2🧊 | +23.54% | $14,559 | $17,986 | 76 | 59% | - | +$3,427 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
UVXY
|
10 | 12 | +22.97% | $7,458 | $9,171 | 134 | 60% | - | +$1,713 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
GILD
|
42 | 26 | +22.25% | $13,186 | $16,120 | 78 | 62% | - | +$2,934 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
KO
|
34 | 6🧊 | +21.01% | $11,354 | $13,739 | 62 | 55% | - | +$2,385 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
VOO
|
59 | 3🧊 | +20.75% | $13,523 | $16,330 | 60 | 58% | - | +$2,806 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
VXX
|
9 | 14 | +20.22% | $4,381 | $5,267 | 115 | 58% | - | +$886 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
PG
|
27 | 38 | +20.12% | $9,750 | $11,712 | 72 | 57% | - | +$1,962 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
SPY
|
55 | 3🧊 | +19.23% | $13,115 | $15,638 | 60 | 60% | - | +$2,522 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
BAC
|
42 | 3🧊 | +18.27% | $13,733 | $16,242 | 76 | 59% | - | +$2,509 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
PEP
|
25 | 10 | +17.92% | $9,827 | $11,588 | 70 | 60% | - | +$1,761 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
AXP
|
59 | 5🧊 | +17.41% | $16,961 | $19,913 | 78 | 54% | - | +$2,953 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
SOXL
|
51 | 91🔥 | +17.38% | $23,091 | $27,104 | 155 | 57% | - | +$4,013 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
BIIB
|
11 | 6 | +17.03% | $8,335 | $9,755 | 85 | 59% | - | +$1,419 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
REGN
|
11 | 6 | +16.14% | $7,088 | $8,232 | 84 | 63% | - | +$1,144 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
VTI
|
51 | 3🧊 | +15.39% | $13,182 | $15,211 | 60 | 60% | - | +$2,029 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
DIA
|
43 | 3🧊 | +15.32% | $12,487 | $14,400 | 60 | 52% | - | +$1,913 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
VRTX
|
27 | 3🧊 | +14.70% | $10,421 | $11,953 | 76 | 59% | - | +$1,532 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
TMO
|
19 | 5 | +14.18% | $9,411 | $10,745 | 86 | 57% | - | +$1,334 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
XLF
|
41 | 3🧊 | +13.02% | $13,504 | $15,262 | 61 | 52% | - | +$1,758 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
PFE
|
10 | 10 | +11.04% | $7,848 | $8,715 | 72 | 60% | - | +$866 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
VZ
|
28 | 10 | +10.78% | $10,662 | $11,812 | 72 | 60% | - | +$1,149 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
XLK
|
21 | 5 | +8.57% | $9,973 | $10,827 | 77 | 61% | - | +$855 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
MA
|
44 | 14🧊 | +8.49% | $14,200 | $15,406 | 71 | 54% | - | +$1,206 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
WMT
|
49 | 48 | +8.16% | $15,422 | $16,680 | 75 | 61% | - | +$1,258 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
BRK-B
|
53 | 42 | +7.99% | $14,839 | $16,025 | 63 | 54% | - | +$1,186 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
SLB
|
11 | 9 | +7.23% | $9,287 | $9,959 | 93 | 57% | - | +$671 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
TSLA
|
31 | 28 | +6.99% | $13,307 | $14,237 | 110 | 59% | - | +$930 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
PYPL
|
21 | 26 | +5.27% | $10,317 | $10,861 | 88 | 55% | - | +$544 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
JPM
|
36 | 6🧊 | +4.66% | $14,032 | $14,686 | 75 | 56% | - | +$654 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
COST
|
34 | 6🧊 | +4.65% | $13,035 | $13,642 | 71 | 56% | - | +$606 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
C
|
34 | 33 | +3.93% | $13,525 | $14,056 | 86 | 57% | - | +$532 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
PM
|
38 | 14🧊 | +3.18% | $14,567 | $15,030 | 83 | 57% | - | +$463 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
LLY
|
23 | 5 | +2.44% | $11,582 | $11,865 | 90 | 53% | - | +$283 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
SLV
|
37 | 28 | -0.01% | $14,732 | $14,730 | 109 | 58% | - | -$1 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
QQQ
|
17 | 3 | -0.03% | $10,221 | $10,218 | 65 | 52% | - | -$3 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
WFC
|
36 | 26 | -1.28% | $14,324 | $14,141 | 80 | 55% | - | -$183 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
META
|
34 | 79🔥 | -3.57% | $16,373 | $15,788 | 86 | 58% | - | -$585 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
MSFT
|
33 | 12🧊 | -5.47% | $14,357 | $13,572 | 79 | 57% | - | -$785 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
ABBV
|
25 | 30 | -6.49% | $12,434 | $11,627 | 75 | 57% | - | -$807 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
IWM
|
36 | 3🧊 | -6.82% | $14,433 | $13,448 | 65 | 49% | - | -$984 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
BLK
|
32 | 5🧊 | -7.33% | $14,277 | $13,230 | 79 | 51% | - | -$1,046 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
TLT
|
10 | 3 | -7.63% | $9,516 | $8,790 | 55 | 44% | - | -$726 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
MDT
|
15 | 6 | -8.28% | $10,895 | $9,993 | 72 | 46% | - | -$902 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
HOOD
|
29 | 12 | -9.88% | $14,940 | $13,464 | 137 | 57% | - | -$1,476 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
NVDA
|
40 | 25 | -10.01% | $21,431 | $19,286 | 92 | 57% | - | -$2,145 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
RIVN
|
10 | 12 | -11.04% | $4,818 | $4,286 | 131 | 60% | - | -$532 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
AMZN
|
21 | 5 | -12.43% | $12,462 | $10,913 | 86 | 55% | - | -$1,549 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
MCD
|
9 | 5 | -13.20% | $10,653 | $9,246 | 62 | 40% | - | -$1,406 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
NFLX
|
37 | 13🧊 | -13.95% | $17,209 | $14,809 | 83 | 57% | - | -$2,401 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
MS
|
36 | 10🧊 | -14.65% | $17,057 | $14,558 | 79 | 53% | - | -$2,499 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
ACN
|
8 | 10 | -14.68% | $7,019 | $5,988 | 92 | 57% | - | -$1,030 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
SMCI
|
11 | 46🔥 | -14.88% | $8,818 | $7,506 | 142 | 54% | - | -$1,312 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
ISRG
|
12 | 63🔥 | -16.23% | $10,567 | $8,852 | 85 | 49% | - | -$1,715 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
ARM
|
29 | 56🔥 | -16.28% | $15,088 | $12,632 | 135 | 57% | - | -$2,456 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
DIS
|
8 | 3 | -17.24% | $10,212 | $8,451 | 70 | 43% | - | -$1,761 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
GS
|
50 | 5🧊 | -19.72% | $21,590 | $17,332 | 83 | 52% | - | -$4,258 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
CRM
|
11 | 9 | -20.82% | $7,628 | $6,039 | 98 | 57% | - | -$1,588 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
DKNG
|
13 | 18 | -21.59% | $11,097 | $8,701 | 120 | 56% | - | -$2,396 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
ADBE
|
9 | 9 | -22.54% | $7,678 | $5,947 | 98 | 53% | - | -$1,731 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
RIOT
|
11 | 61🔥 | -22.60% | $6,144 | $4,756 | 161 | 58% | - | -$1,389 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
COIN
|
9 | 23 | -24.42% | $4,992 | $3,773 | 142 | 54% | - | -$1,219 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
UNH
|
10 | 9 | -27.54% | $9,912 | $7,182 | 77 | 48% | - | -$2,730 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
CMCSA
|
7 | 6 | -27.67% | $6,614 | $4,784 | 78 | 46% | - | -$1,830 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
LCID
|
9 | 53🔥 | -29.36% | $4,649 | $3,284 | 143 | 55% | - | -$1,365 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
AMC
|
9 | 53🔥 | -32.00% | $5,549 | $3,774 | 125 | 54% | - | -$1,776 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
ORCL
|
26 | 29 | -33.79% | $17,696 | $11,716 | 125 | 51% | - | -$5,979 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
MARA
|
12 | 35🔥 | -36.51% | $12,694 | $8,059 | 163 | 55% | - | -$4,634 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
AVGO
|
28 | 6🧊 | -38.62% | $19,917 | $12,225 | 102 | 52% | - | -$7,692 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
ARKK
|
12 | 49🔥 | -41.16% | $13,049 | $7,678 | 93 | 54% | - | -$5,371 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
RBLX
|
37 | 61🔥 | -43.34% | $27,900 | $15,808 | 126 | 55% | - | -$12,092 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
HD
|
9 | 3 | -43.54% | $14,465 | $8,167 | 78 | 37% | - | -$6,298 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
NIO
|
8 | 6 | -43.67% | $7,806 | $4,397 | 115 | 51% | - | -$3,409 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 17 | -48.68% | $12,765 | $6,551 | 119 | 48% | - | -$6,214 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
IBM
|
12 | 9 | -51.77% | $13,897 | $6,703 | 98 | 55% | - | -$7,195 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
SOFI
|
11 | 31 | -52.54% | $16,437 | $7,801 | 124 | 49% | - | -$8,636 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
CRWD
|
— | — | -76.17% | $-17,623 | $-4,200 | NO ENTRY | - | - | +$13,423 | -37.8% | 1.8d | 1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.