11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,524
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,166
(+$358)
+2.94%
Last 3 Months ROI
58.1%
Win Rate
2,555
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last 3 Months:
Mar 17, 2026
→
Jun 17, 2026
(92 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 3M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AMD
|
28 | 66🔥 | +62.94% | $8,449 | $13,767 | 38 | 79% | - | +$5,318 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
SNOW
|
47 | 88🔥 | +61.73% | $15,060 | $24,356 | 33 | 67% | - | +$9,296 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
ARM
|
39 | 44 | +44.55% | $12,536 | $18,121 | 41 | 71% | - | +$5,585 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
INTC
|
35 | 37 | +29.89% | $13,201 | $17,147 | 38 | 66% | - | +$3,946 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
MS
|
46 | 59 | +29.76% | $14,051 | $18,233 | 21 | 71% | - | +$4,182 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
UVXY
|
14 | 33 | +29.76% | $7,827 | $10,156 | 37 | 70% | - | +$2,329 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
C
|
37 | 78🔥 | +27.36% | $11,734 | $14,944 | 24 | 75% | - | +$3,210 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
BAC
|
41 | 49 | +24.66% | $12,928 | $16,117 | 22 | 77% | - | +$3,188 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
AAPL
|
40 | 29 | +24.54% | $12,337 | $15,364 | 19 | 79% | - | +$3,027 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
XLK
|
29 | 20 | +23.62% | $10,199 | $12,608 | 23 | 74% | - | +$2,409 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
NET
|
41 | 51 | +20.14% | $14,581 | $17,518 | 36 | 69% | - | +$2,937 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
CSCO
|
73 | 35🧊 | +19.15% | $18,027 | $21,479 | 21 | 71% | - | +$3,452 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
UNH
|
11 | 6 | +18.78% | $6,411 | $7,615 | 18 | 61% | - | +$1,204 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
AXP
|
59 | 30🧊 | +18.27% | $16,877 | $19,961 | 20 | 65% | - | +$3,083 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
QQQ
|
25 | 24 | +17.27% | $9,685 | $11,358 | 19 | 74% | - | +$1,673 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
SLB
|
10 | 5 | +15.23% | $8,351 | $9,623 | 25 | 72% | - | +$1,272 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
IWM
|
41 | 23 | +15.13% | $12,655 | $14,569 | 17 | 71% | - | +$1,915 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
TSLA
|
31 | 32 | +14.38% | $12,203 | $13,958 | 33 | 64% | - | +$1,755 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
PANW
|
47 | 33 | +14.18% | $15,592 | $17,803 | 31 | 71% | - | +$2,211 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
GS
|
65 | 52 | +12.98% | $19,455 | $21,980 | 23 | 70% | - | +$2,525 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
GOOGL
|
57 | 5🧊 | +12.64% | $22,194 | $24,999 | 22 | 64% | - | +$2,805 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
JPM
|
36 | 29 | +11.93% | $13,185 | $14,758 | 20 | 60% | - | +$1,573 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
COP
|
27 | 5🧊 | +11.45% | $10,593 | $11,806 | 24 | 71% | - | +$1,213 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
VOO
|
59 | 28🧊 | +10.88% | $14,488 | $16,064 | 15 | 80% | - | +$1,576 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
RIVN
|
10 | 32🔥 | +10.82% | $4,370 | $4,843 | 35 | 66% | - | +$473 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
GME
|
27 | 38 | +10.50% | $11,320 | $12,509 | 28 | 64% | - | +$1,189 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
SPY
|
56 | 23🧊 | +9.83% | $14,080 | $15,464 | 15 | 80% | - | +$1,384 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
DIA
|
43 | 37 | +9.75% | $12,819 | $14,069 | 16 | 63% | - | +$1,250 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
VTI
|
52 | 28🧊 | +9.15% | $13,907 | $15,179 | 15 | 73% | - | +$1,272 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
BIIB
|
10 | 32🔥 | +8.78% | $8,377 | $9,113 | 23 | 65% | - | +$736 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
BLK
|
31 | 6🧊 | +8.43% | $11,938 | $12,944 | 20 | 60% | - | +$1,006 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
WFC
|
35 | 41 | +8.28% | $13,033 | $14,112 | 19 | 63% | - | +$1,079 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
XLF
|
37 | 33 | +8.01% | $12,902 | $13,935 | 15 | 60% | - | +$1,033 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
V
|
36 | 3🧊 | +7.69% | $12,232 | $13,173 | 17 | 53% | - | +$941 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
DKNG
|
12 | 62🔥 | +6.91% | $8,223 | $8,791 | 35 | 63% | - | +$568 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
SMCI
|
12 | 13 | +6.91% | $8,269 | $8,840 | 39 | 56% | - | +$571 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
AMZN
|
25 | 6 | +6.78% | $11,007 | $11,753 | 23 | 65% | - | +$746 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
OXY
|
34 | 5🧊 | +6.49% | $13,712 | $14,602 | 26 | 69% | - | +$890 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
PG
|
22 | 44🔥 | +6.48% | $10,304 | $10,972 | 19 | 58% | - | +$668 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
HOOD
|
19 | 45🔥 | +5.87% | $10,225 | $10,825 | 36 | 58% | - | +$600 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
KO
|
32 | 6🧊 | +5.00% | $12,432 | $13,054 | 16 | 63% | - | +$622 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
BRK-B
|
49 | 32 | +4.26% | $14,474 | $15,091 | 16 | 63% | - | +$617 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
SPXU
|
17 | 12 | +3.09% | $10,201 | $10,516 | 30 | 60% | - | +$315 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
XLE
|
57 | 2🧊 | +3.02% | $17,815 | $18,353 | 21 | 62% | - | +$538 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
MRNA
|
44 | 57 | +2.54% | $22,282 | $22,848 | 37 | 65% | - | +$566 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
CRWD
|
18 | 14 | +2.17% | $10,106 | $10,326 | 31 | 61% | - | +$219 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
PYPL
|
11 | 5 | +1.99% | $8,126 | $8,287 | 24 | 58% | - | +$162 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
JNJ
|
44 | 6🧊 | +1.87% | $13,851 | $14,110 | 17 | 47% | - | +$259 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
CVX
|
65 | 2🧊 | +1.69% | $19,749 | $20,082 | 20 | 65% | - | +$334 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
TLT
|
10 | 15 | +1.67% | $8,926 | $9,075 | 13 | 46% | - | +$149 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
USO
|
27 | 7 | +1.63% | $11,694 | $11,885 | 30 | 60% | - | +$191 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
AMGN
|
27 | 30 | +1.58% | $11,817 | $12,003 | 18 | 50% | - | +$187 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
VXX
|
10 | 9 | +1.32% | $6,805 | $6,895 | 32 | 59% | - | +$90 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
PM
|
35 | 3🧊 | +1.06% | $13,736 | $13,882 | 23 | 61% | - | +$146 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
NIO
|
9 | 15 | +0.84% | $6,701 | $6,758 | 32 | 63% | - | +$56 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
GLD
|
65 | 6🧊 | +0.84% | $19,054 | $19,214 | 20 | 50% | - | +$160 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
COST
|
31 | 5🧊 | +0.75% | $12,557 | $12,652 | 20 | 55% | - | +$94 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
SCHW
|
27 | 11 | +0.75% | $11,838 | $11,927 | 20 | 55% | - | +$89 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
PEP
|
19 | 6 | -0.19% | $10,670 | $10,649 | 18 | 56% | - | -$20 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
VRTX
|
24 | 33 | -0.72% | $11,495 | $11,412 | 19 | 58% | - | -$83 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
MU
|
45 | 61 | -0.82% | $21,722 | $21,544 | 40 | 60% | - | -$178 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
MSFT
|
27 | 9 | -0.83% | $12,008 | $11,908 | 23 | 57% | - | -$100 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
ACN
|
8 | 5 | -2.03% | $6,730 | $6,593 | 23 | 61% | - | -$137 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
COIN
|
9 | 13 | -2.24% | $3,894 | $3,807 | 39 | 56% | - | -$87 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
WMT
|
51 | 10🧊 | -2.68% | $17,350 | $16,885 | 19 | 58% | - | -$465 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
PLTR
|
43 | 9🧊 | -3.00% | $19,640 | $19,051 | 33 | 58% | - | -$589 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 48🔥 | -3.07% | $6,904 | $6,692 | 33 | 58% | - | -$212 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
BMY
|
10 | 12 | -3.27% | $9,678 | $9,361 | 18 | 50% | - | -$316 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
AMC
|
9 | 54🔥 | -3.48% | $4,850 | $4,681 | 36 | 53% | - | -$169 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
LLY
|
25 | 36 | -3.98% | $12,455 | $11,960 | 24 | 50% | - | -$496 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
RIOT
|
11 | 16 | -4.12% | $5,383 | $5,161 | 38 | 58% | - | -$222 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
PFE
|
9 | 3 | -4.15% | $8,435 | $8,085 | 16 | 38% | - | -$350 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
GILD
|
38 | 20 | -5.10% | $15,555 | $14,762 | 20 | 55% | - | -$793 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
NVDA
|
40 | 5🧊 | -5.21% | $20,128 | $19,080 | 23 | 57% | - | -$1,049 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
IBM
|
44 | 14🧊 | -5.44% | $15,567 | $14,720 | 25 | 56% | - | -$847 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
META
|
31 | 9🧊 | -5.90% | $14,561 | $13,702 | 24 | 58% | - | -$859 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
CRM
|
10 | 15 | -6.03% | $6,453 | $6,064 | 29 | 59% | - | -$389 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
SOXL
|
42 | 15🧊 | -6.30% | $21,482 | $20,129 | 43 | 56% | - | -$1,353 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
MRK
|
11 | 5 | -7.06% | $9,303 | $8,647 | 19 | 47% | - | -$657 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
XOM
|
44 | 5🧊 | -7.97% | $16,574 | $15,253 | 22 | 55% | - | -$1,321 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
NFLX
|
38 | 3🧊 | -8.07% | $16,745 | $15,394 | 19 | 42% | - | -$1,351 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
ORCL
|
31 | 28 | -8.15% | $15,519 | $14,254 | 33 | 55% | - | -$1,265 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
MA
|
34 | 5🧊 | -8.17% | $14,137 | $12,982 | 19 | 53% | - | -$1,155 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
VZ
|
19 | 3 | -9.26% | $11,572 | $10,500 | 17 | 41% | - | -$1,072 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
ABBV
|
12 | 10 | -9.33% | $11,043 | $10,013 | 21 | 48% | - | -$1,030 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
AVGO
|
38 | 16🧊 | -10.09% | $18,126 | $16,297 | 28 | 61% | - | -$1,829 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
DIS
|
8 | 1 | -11.53% | $9,033 | $7,991 | 17 | 35% | - | -$1,041 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
MCD
|
14 | 2 | -12.29% | $11,641 | $10,210 | 14 | 21% | - | -$1,431 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
TMO
|
10 | 21 | -12.46% | $9,400 | $8,228 | 24 | 50% | - | -$1,171 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
MDT
|
7 | 4 | -12.69% | $10,104 | $8,822 | 19 | 26% | - | -$1,282 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
HD
|
9 | 5 | -12.95% | $11,318 | $9,852 | 21 | 33% | - | -$1,466 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
MARA
|
11 | 37🔥 | -15.16% | $8,253 | $7,002 | 43 | 56% | - | -$1,251 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
ISRG
|
12 | 3 | -16.38% | $11,291 | $9,442 | 19 | 32% | - | -$1,849 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
ADBE
|
8 | 9 | -17.18% | $6,978 | $5,779 | 24 | 46% | - | -$1,199 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
SOFI
|
11 | 14 | -18.47% | $9,458 | $7,711 | 34 | 50% | - | -$1,747 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 6 | -19.95% | $6,054 | $4,846 | 17 | 29% | - | -$1,208 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
REGN
|
11 | 9 | -20.22% | $8,894 | $7,095 | 20 | 50% | - | -$1,798 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
ARKK
|
11 | 10 | -22.09% | $9,901 | $7,714 | 25 | 44% | - | -$2,187 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
SLV
|
32 | 10🧊 | -23.65% | $17,195 | $13,129 | 27 | 44% | - | -$4,067 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
SQQQ
|
9 | 12 | -25.39% | $6,908 | $5,154 | 36 | 47% | - | -$1,754 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
LCID
|
8 | 10 | -29.13% | $3,249 | $2,303 | 37 | 54% | - | -$947 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
RBLX
|
33 | 31 | -31.89% | $21,824 | $14,864 | 36 | 53% | - | -$6,960 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.