11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,940
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,148
(+$792)
+6.52%
Last 3 Months ROI
57.8%
Win Rate
2,479
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last 3 Months:
Jun 25, 2026
→
Sep 25, 2026
(92 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 3M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
MRNA 🔥 PRO
|
77 | 62 | +116.13% | $24,486 | $52,922 | 38 | 66% | - | +$28,436 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
PLTR
|
56 | 39 | +43.36% | $17,789 | $25,502 | 28 | 71% | - | +$7,713 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
USO
|
35 | 58🔥 | +37.34% | $10,959 | $15,051 | 29 | 69% | - | +$4,092 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
SQQQ
|
10 | 39🔥 | +34.78% | $5,960 | $8,033 | 29 | 72% | - | +$2,073 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
BMY
|
25 | 3🧊 | +32.70% | $9,269 | $12,300 | 21 | 71% | - | +$3,031 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
PYPL
|
21 | 26 | +32.51% | $8,196 | $10,861 | 23 | 70% | - | +$2,665 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
LCID
|
9 | 53🔥 | +32.01% | $2,488 | $3,284 | 39 | 62% | - | +$796 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
HOOD
|
29 | 12 | +31.91% | $10,207 | $13,464 | 36 | 67% | - | +$3,257 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
SOXL
|
51 | 91🔥 | +31.52% | $20,608 | $27,104 | 44 | 64% | - | +$6,496 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
TMO
|
19 | 5 | +30.05% | $8,262 | $10,745 | 24 | 67% | - | +$2,483 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
AMD
|
32 | 69🔥 | +27.99% | $12,926 | $16,545 | 36 | 69% | - | +$3,618 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
PANW
|
61 | 49 | +27.76% | $18,323 | $23,410 | 32 | 69% | - | +$5,087 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
SNOW
|
50 | 58 | +25.07% | $22,146 | $27,698 | 29 | 62% | - | +$5,552 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
V
|
49 | 2🧊 | +24.50% | $13,073 | $16,275 | 18 | 61% | - | +$3,203 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
MRK
|
22 | 9 | +23.16% | $8,878 | $10,934 | 22 | 73% | - | +$2,056 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
XLE
|
70 | 26🧊 | +21.60% | $18,100 | $22,010 | 19 | 68% | - | +$3,910 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
GME
|
33 | 75🔥 | +21.00% | $12,425 | $15,034 | 21 | 67% | - | +$2,609 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
SLV
|
37 | 28 | +20.47% | $12,228 | $14,730 | 24 | 71% | - | +$2,503 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
MSFT
|
33 | 12🧊 | +18.92% | $11,413 | $13,572 | 22 | 68% | - | +$2,159 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
MA
|
44 | 14🧊 | +18.59% | $12,991 | $15,406 | 17 | 59% | - | +$2,415 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
AAPL
|
49 | 40 | +18.52% | $15,410 | $18,264 | 20 | 70% | - | +$2,854 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
SCHW
|
39 | 11🧊 | +18.46% | $12,447 | $14,744 | 19 | 74% | - | +$2,298 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
MARA
|
12 | 35🔥 | +18.03% | $6,828 | $8,059 | 42 | 64% | - | +$1,231 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
REGN
|
11 | 6 | +17.96% | $6,979 | $8,232 | 22 | 68% | - | +$1,253 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
META
|
34 | 79🔥 | +17.50% | $13,437 | $15,788 | 25 | 68% | - | +$2,351 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
GOOGL
|
63 | 58 | +16.30% | $23,942 | $27,845 | 22 | 73% | - | +$3,903 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
COP
|
33 | 34 | +16.27% | $11,431 | $13,290 | 22 | 68% | - | +$1,860 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
XOM
|
50 | 10🧊 | +16.00% | $14,735 | $17,093 | 22 | 59% | - | +$2,358 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
NET
|
40 | 48 | +15.89% | $15,781 | $18,289 | 32 | 66% | - | +$2,508 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
MDT
|
15 | 6 | +15.80% | $8,629 | $9,993 | 22 | 68% | - | +$1,363 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
CVX
|
70 | 23🧊 | +15.27% | $19,434 | $22,401 | 21 | 67% | - | +$2,968 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
PFE
|
10 | 10 | +14.74% | $7,595 | $8,715 | 20 | 70% | - | +$1,120 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
RBLX
|
37 | 61🔥 | +14.15% | $13,848 | $15,808 | 35 | 66% | - | +$1,960 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
JNJ
|
55 | 30🧊 | +14.01% | $14,288 | $16,289 | 22 | 73% | - | +$2,002 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
SPXU
|
28 | 17 | +13.42% | $11,322 | $12,841 | 23 | 57% | - | +$1,519 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
VZ
|
28 | 10 | +13.07% | $10,446 | $11,812 | 22 | 68% | - | +$1,365 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
GILD
|
42 | 26 | +12.71% | $14,302 | $16,120 | 21 | 67% | - | +$1,818 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
SOFI
|
11 | 31 | +12.48% | $6,936 | $7,801 | 30 | 63% | - | +$866 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
PM
|
38 | 14🧊 | +11.84% | $13,439 | $15,030 | 23 | 57% | - | +$1,591 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
COST
|
34 | 6🧊 | +11.05% | $12,284 | $13,642 | 20 | 65% | - | +$1,357 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
COIN
|
9 | 23 | +10.35% | $3,419 | $3,773 | 36 | 61% | - | +$354 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
PEP
|
25 | 10 | +10.33% | $10,503 | $11,588 | 20 | 65% | - | +$1,085 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
XLF
|
41 | 3🧊 | +10.02% | $13,872 | $15,262 | 17 | 59% | - | +$1,390 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
SLB
|
11 | 9 | +9.99% | $9,054 | $9,959 | 23 | 61% | - | +$905 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
ABBV
|
25 | 30 | +9.60% | $10,609 | $11,627 | 19 | 68% | - | +$1,018 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
NVDA
|
40 | 25 | +8.23% | $17,819 | $19,286 | 23 | 65% | - | +$1,467 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
BRK-B
|
53 | 42 | +7.72% | $14,877 | $16,025 | 17 | 71% | - | +$1,148 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
AMGN
|
32 | 12 | +7.21% | $12,222 | $13,103 | 23 | 65% | - | +$881 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
PG
|
27 | 38 | +6.53% | $10,994 | $11,712 | 20 | 60% | - | +$718 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
KO
|
34 | 6🧊 | +6.10% | $12,950 | $13,739 | 17 | 47% | - | +$790 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
TSLA
|
31 | 28 | +5.94% | $13,439 | $14,237 | 25 | 64% | - | +$798 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
AMC
|
9 | 53🔥 | +3.61% | $3,642 | $3,774 | 36 | 56% | - | +$131 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
BLK
|
32 | 5🧊 | +3.46% | $12,788 | $13,230 | 20 | 55% | - | +$442 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
CRM
|
11 | 9 | +3.28% | $5,848 | $6,039 | 27 | 63% | - | +$192 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
DIA
|
43 | 3🧊 | +3.21% | $13,953 | $14,400 | 17 | 41% | - | +$448 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
JPM
|
36 | 6🧊 | +3.08% | $14,247 | $14,686 | 18 | 56% | - | +$439 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
INTC
|
35 | 86🔥 | +2.72% | $17,807 | $18,292 | 39 | 56% | - | +$484 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
ADBE
|
9 | 9 | +2.31% | $5,813 | $5,947 | 33 | 61% | - | +$134 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
DKNG
|
13 | 18 | +2.09% | $8,523 | $8,701 | 30 | 63% | - | +$178 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
VOO
|
59 | 3🧊 | +2.08% | $15,997 | $16,330 | 16 | 50% | - | +$333 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
BIIB
|
11 | 6 | +1.82% | $9,580 | $9,755 | 21 | 57% | - | +$174 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
SPY
|
55 | 3🧊 | +1.79% | $15,363 | $15,638 | 16 | 50% | - | +$275 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
WFC
|
36 | 26 | +1.67% | $13,909 | $14,141 | 22 | 50% | - | +$232 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
DIS
|
8 | 3 | +1.65% | $8,314 | $8,451 | 20 | 45% | - | +$137 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
GLD
|
57 | 2🧊 | +1.57% | $17,708 | $17,986 | 17 | 47% | - | +$278 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
AXP
|
59 | 5🧊 | +0.77% | $19,761 | $19,913 | 19 | 47% | - | +$152 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
CMCSA
|
7 | 6 | +0.61% | $4,755 | $4,784 | 24 | 54% | - | +$29 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
VTI
|
51 | 3🧊 | +0.56% | $15,127 | $15,211 | 16 | 50% | - | +$85 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
VRTX
|
27 | 3🧊 | +0.14% | $11,937 | $11,953 | 20 | 55% | - | +$17 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
WMT
|
49 | 48 | -0.15% | $16,705 | $16,680 | 21 | 62% | - | -$25 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
BAC
|
42 | 3🧊 | -0.57% | $16,335 | $16,242 | 18 | 56% | - | -$93 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
ARKK
|
12 | 49🔥 | -0.58% | $7,723 | $7,678 | 26 | 65% | - | -$45 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
NFLX
|
37 | 13🧊 | -0.73% | $14,917 | $14,809 | 24 | 67% | - | -$109 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 17 | -1.15% | $6,627 | $6,551 | 31 | 55% | - | -$76 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
ISRG
|
12 | 63🔥 | -1.75% | $9,010 | $8,852 | 26 | 65% | - | -$158 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
LLY
|
23 | 5 | -1.77% | $12,079 | $11,865 | 21 | 52% | - | -$214 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
OXY
|
31 | 10🧊 | -2.75% | $14,114 | $13,726 | 24 | 54% | - | -$388 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
TLT
|
10 | 3 | -3.52% | $9,110 | $8,790 | 16 | 44% | - | -$321 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
C
|
34 | 33 | -3.81% | $14,613 | $14,056 | 20 | 50% | - | -$557 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
AMZN
|
21 | 5 | -4.19% | $11,390 | $10,913 | 20 | 45% | - | -$477 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
UNH
|
10 | 9 | -4.53% | $7,523 | $7,182 | 21 | 48% | - | -$341 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
ACN
|
8 | 10 | -4.98% | $6,302 | $5,988 | 27 | 59% | - | -$314 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
UVXY
|
10 | 12 | -5.74% | $9,729 | $9,171 | 29 | 52% | - | -$558 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
CSCO
|
70 | 5🧊 | -6.49% | $21,250 | $19,871 | 20 | 50% | - | -$1,379 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
MCD
|
9 | 5 | -6.64% | $9,904 | $9,246 | 19 | 42% | - | -$658 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
MU
|
45 | 50 | -7.95% | $24,100 | $22,184 | 36 | 61% | - | -$1,916 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
IWM
|
36 | 3🧊 | -8.02% | $14,621 | $13,448 | 16 | 38% | - | -$1,173 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
QQQ
|
17 | 3 | -10.44% | $11,410 | $10,218 | 16 | 25% | - | -$1,191 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
SMCI
|
11 | 46🔥 | -11.60% | $8,490 | $7,506 | 37 | 54% | - | -$985 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
RIVN
|
10 | 12 | -12.27% | $4,886 | $4,286 | 30 | 57% | - | -$599 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
HD
|
9 | 3 | -12.30% | $9,312 | $8,167 | 22 | 45% | - | -$1,145 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
XLK
|
21 | 5 | -15.01% | $12,740 | $10,827 | 21 | 38% | - | -$1,912 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
RIOT
|
11 | 61🔥 | -15.78% | $5,647 | $4,756 | 42 | 55% | - | -$891 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
ORCL
|
26 | 29 | -16.88% | $14,096 | $11,716 | 33 | 48% | - | -$2,379 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
GS
|
50 | 5🧊 | -18.47% | $21,259 | $17,332 | 20 | 40% | - | -$3,926 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
MS
|
36 | 10🧊 | -19.67% | $18,123 | $14,558 | 20 | 40% | - | -$3,565 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
ARM
|
29 | 56🔥 | -22.03% | $16,201 | $12,632 | 35 | 54% | - | -$3,569 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
AVGO
|
28 | 6🧊 | -22.58% | $15,791 | $12,225 | 24 | 42% | - | -$3,566 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
VXX
|
9 | 14 | -23.15% | $6,854 | $5,267 | 23 | 35% | - | -$1,587 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
NIO
|
8 | 6 | -32.15% | $6,480 | $4,397 | 25 | 32% | - | -$2,083 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
IBM
|
12 | 9 | -55.03% | $14,905 | $6,703 | 29 | 48% | - | -$8,202 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
CRWD
|
— | — | -65.71% | $-12,247 | $-4,200 | NO ENTRY | - | - | +$8,048 | -37.8% | 1.8d | 1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.