11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,474
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,159
(+$315)
+2.59%
Last 6 Months ROI
57.2%
Win Rate
4,643
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last 6 Months:
Nov 6, 2025
→
May 6, 2026
(180 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 6M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
INTC
|
33 | 71🔥 | +55.10% | $9,971 | $15,465 | 62 | 66% | - | +$5,494 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
OXY
|
38 | 35 | +50.25% | $10,012 | $15,043 | 50 | 72% | - | +$5,031 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
USO
|
35 | 54 | +50.11% | $9,087 | $13,641 | 48 | 71% | - | +$4,554 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
VXX
|
10 | 50🔥 | +48.64% | $5,467 | $8,126 | 64 | 66% | - | +$2,659 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
XLE
|
64 | 25🧊 | +43.43% | $13,229 | $18,974 | 36 | 75% | - | +$5,745 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
MRNA
|
41 | 14🧊 | +42.81% | $14,667 | $20,946 | 68 | 66% | - | +$6,279 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
XOM
|
51 | 48 | +38.31% | $11,835 | $16,369 | 40 | 73% | - | +$4,534 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
GLD
|
68 | 34🧊 | +28.88% | $15,703 | $20,239 | 40 | 68% | - | +$4,535 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
SMCI
|
12 | 47🔥 | +27.59% | $7,282 | $9,292 | 65 | 60% | - | +$2,009 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
COP
|
30 | 76🔥 | +25.88% | $9,501 | $11,960 | 45 | 67% | - | +$2,459 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
GME
|
25 | 36 | +25.32% | $9,529 | $11,942 | 47 | 66% | - | +$2,413 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
IBM
|
53 | 59 | +24.46% | $13,440 | $16,728 | 41 | 63% | - | +$3,287 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
CVX
|
72 | 25🧊 | +23.71% | $16,747 | $20,718 | 36 | 69% | - | +$3,971 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
CSCO
|
69 | 59 | +23.45% | $15,617 | $19,280 | 36 | 61% | - | +$3,662 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
GOOGL
|
58 | 77 | +22.79% | $20,261 | $24,879 | 41 | 61% | - | +$4,618 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
WMT
|
55 | 33🧊 | +20.31% | $14,835 | $17,848 | 36 | 67% | - | +$3,013 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
BAC
|
38 | 63🔥 | +20.20% | $12,640 | $15,193 | 38 | 66% | - | +$2,553 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
RIVN
|
10 | 30 | +17.66% | $4,249 | $4,999 | 67 | 63% | - | +$750 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
PFE
|
9 | 3 | +16.94% | $7,299 | $8,535 | 35 | 69% | - | +$1,236 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
JNJ
|
45 | 3🧊 | +15.85% | $12,220 | $14,157 | 33 | 58% | - | +$1,937 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
SNOW
|
31 | 13 | +15.25% | $12,391 | $14,281 | 61 | 66% | - | +$1,890 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
AXP
|
57 | 64 | +14.83% | $16,742 | $19,224 | 41 | 61% | - | +$2,483 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
XLK
|
26 | 81🔥 | +13.98% | $10,462 | $11,924 | 36 | 67% | - | +$1,463 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
SQQQ
|
10 | 9 | +13.67% | $5,512 | $6,266 | 65 | 63% | - | +$754 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
KO
|
33 | 49 | +13.32% | $11,577 | $13,119 | 28 | 68% | - | +$1,542 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
PG
|
18 | 26 | +13.18% | $9,442 | $10,686 | 35 | 57% | - | +$1,244 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
AMGN
|
23 | 11 | +10.98% | $10,101 | $11,210 | 37 | 59% | - | +$1,109 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
AAPL
|
37 | 62🔥 | +10.06% | $12,868 | $14,163 | 31 | 65% | - | +$1,295 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
SPY
|
53 | 56 | +9.59% | $13,599 | $14,903 | 30 | 63% | - | +$1,304 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
VOO
|
55 | 57 | +9.34% | $14,027 | $15,337 | 30 | 60% | - | +$1,310 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
AMZN
|
30 | 76🔥 | +9.25% | $11,918 | $13,021 | 46 | 65% | - | +$1,102 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
UVXY
|
10 | 56🔥 | +8.79% | $8,550 | $9,301 | 72 | 61% | - | +$752 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
MRK
|
12 | 9 | +8.42% | $8,367 | $9,072 | 41 | 66% | - | +$705 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
C
|
32 | 64🔥 | +8.41% | $12,106 | $13,124 | 43 | 63% | - | +$1,018 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
SPXU
|
21 | 9 | +8.11% | $9,743 | $10,533 | 48 | 58% | - | +$790 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
BMY
|
10 | 2 | +8.07% | $8,544 | $9,234 | 38 | 61% | - | +$690 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
V
|
35 | 57🔥 | +7.42% | $12,339 | $13,255 | 34 | 50% | - | +$916 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
VTI
|
49 | 54 | +7.12% | $13,593 | $14,561 | 30 | 63% | - | +$968 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
SLB
|
18 | 71🔥 | +7.10% | $9,546 | $10,224 | 48 | 58% | - | +$678 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
VZ
|
22 | 5 | +7.07% | $10,134 | $10,851 | 34 | 62% | - | +$716 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
NET
|
36 | 54 | +6.54% | $14,200 | $15,129 | 63 | 59% | - | +$929 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
NFLX
|
45 | 13🧊 | +6.54% | $16,647 | $17,736 | 42 | 60% | - | +$1,089 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
XLF
|
35 | 25 | +5.88% | $12,675 | $13,420 | 31 | 58% | - | +$745 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
GILD
|
38 | 10🧊 | +5.77% | $13,933 | $14,737 | 37 | 59% | - | +$804 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
AMD
|
22 | 92🔥 | +5.35% | $11,190 | $11,789 | 62 | 61% | - | +$599 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
REGN
|
11 | 6 | +4.80% | $7,724 | $8,095 | 40 | 63% | - | +$371 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
PEP
|
20 | 15 | +4.59% | $10,185 | $10,653 | 33 | 64% | - | +$467 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
ARM
|
37 | 68🔥 | +3.83% | $16,078 | $16,694 | 62 | 55% | - | +$616 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
DIA
|
39 | 44 | +3.81% | $12,837 | $13,326 | 28 | 54% | - | +$489 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
JPM
|
35 | 38 | +3.41% | $13,836 | $14,308 | 37 | 62% | - | +$472 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
BIIB
|
10 | 27 | +2.90% | $8,198 | $8,436 | 43 | 56% | - | +$238 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
SCHW
|
25 | 3🧊 | +2.67% | $11,236 | $11,536 | 38 | 63% | - | +$300 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
PM
|
34 | 56🔥 | +2.66% | $13,332 | $13,686 | 39 | 62% | - | +$355 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
PANW
|
44 | 49 | +2.42% | $15,720 | $16,100 | 53 | 66% | - | +$380 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
MCD
|
20 | 2 | +2.01% | $10,542 | $10,754 | 29 | 45% | - | +$212 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
COST
|
32 | 22 | +1.85% | $12,644 | $12,878 | 33 | 61% | - | +$234 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
NVDA
|
44 | 63 | +1.72% | $22,120 | $22,501 | 47 | 57% | - | +$380 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
META
|
33 | 20 | +1.69% | $14,847 | $15,098 | 41 | 56% | - | +$251 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
ACN
|
8 | 36🔥 | +1.26% | $6,721 | $6,805 | 42 | 60% | - | +$85 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
QQQ
|
20 | 61🔥 | +0.04% | $10,670 | $10,675 | 32 | 53% | - | +$4 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
MS
|
41 | 66🔥 | -0.13% | $16,421 | $16,400 | 42 | 60% | - | -$21 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
IWM
|
39 | 53 | -0.78% | $14,105 | $13,995 | 33 | 52% | - | -$110 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
BLK
|
32 | 27 | -0.99% | $13,231 | $13,100 | 41 | 49% | - | -$131 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
MA
|
38 | 18 | -1.76% | $13,839 | $13,596 | 36 | 53% | - | -$244 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
MU
|
40 | 42 | -2.70% | $19,153 | $18,636 | 66 | 55% | - | -$517 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
BRK-B
|
43 | 10🧊 | -2.95% | $14,490 | $14,063 | 30 | 43% | - | -$427 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
ORCL
|
32 | 31 | -2.98% | $15,537 | $15,074 | 59 | 54% | - | -$463 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
WFC
|
35 | 10🧊 | -3.00% | $13,850 | $13,435 | 40 | 60% | - | -$416 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
VRTX
|
21 | 6 | -3.23% | $11,078 | $10,721 | 36 | 53% | - | -$358 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
SOXL
|
43 | 35 | -3.42% | $20,838 | $20,125 | 69 | 57% | - | -$713 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
DKNG
|
12 | 50🔥 | -3.56% | $8,727 | $8,417 | 56 | 57% | - | -$311 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
LLY
|
23 | 7 | -5.20% | $12,169 | $11,536 | 46 | 50% | - | -$633 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
TLT
|
10 | 2 | -6.30% | $9,417 | $8,824 | 26 | 38% | - | -$593 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
SLV
|
30 | 7🧊 | -6.99% | $14,164 | $13,174 | 59 | 54% | - | -$990 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
AVGO
|
43 | 57 | -8.66% | $19,850 | $18,131 | 53 | 55% | - | -$1,719 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
TMO
|
10 | 6 | -8.98% | $9,720 | $8,847 | 40 | 53% | - | -$873 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
ADBE
|
9 | 53🔥 | -9.08% | $7,354 | $6,686 | 42 | 52% | - | -$668 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
GS
|
57 | 13🧊 | -9.44% | $21,507 | $19,477 | 44 | 50% | - | -$2,030 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
PYPL
|
11 | 68🔥 | -9.72% | $9,435 | $8,517 | 43 | 53% | - | -$917 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
CRM
|
10 | 27 | -10.12% | $7,294 | $6,555 | 46 | 59% | - | -$738 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 2 | -10.15% | $5,986 | $5,378 | 35 | 49% | - | -$608 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
TSLA
|
28 | 63🔥 | -10.86% | $14,259 | $12,711 | 50 | 54% | - | -$1,549 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
DIS
|
8 | 3 | -11.05% | $9,666 | $8,598 | 34 | 41% | - | -$1,068 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
MSFT
|
29 | 64🔥 | -12.18% | $14,129 | $12,408 | 38 | 55% | - | -$1,721 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
RIOT
|
11 | 42🔥 | -12.39% | $6,188 | $5,421 | 76 | 57% | - | -$767 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
MDT
|
7 | 5 | -12.67% | $10,213 | $8,919 | 33 | 36% | - | -$1,294 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
ISRG
|
17 | 5 | -14.75% | $12,075 | $10,294 | 38 | 45% | - | -$1,781 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
COIN
|
9 | 26 | -15.07% | $4,613 | $3,918 | 67 | 54% | - | -$695 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
ABBV
|
13 | 3 | -17.44% | $12,204 | $10,075 | 37 | 51% | - | -$2,128 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
PLTR
|
45 | 51 | -17.57% | $23,581 | $19,437 | 63 | 52% | - | -$4,143 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
UNH
|
10 | 64🔥 | -18.21% | $9,177 | $7,506 | 38 | 47% | - | -$1,671 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
HD
|
16 | 5 | -19.98% | $13,361 | $10,691 | 38 | 37% | - | -$2,669 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
NIO
|
9 | 53🔥 | -23.25% | $8,838 | $6,783 | 59 | 51% | - | -$2,055 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
LCID
|
9 | 15 | -24.98% | $4,005 | $3,005 | 70 | 54% | - | -$1,001 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
CRWD
|
13 | 27 | -26.48% | $12,739 | $9,366 | 54 | 50% | - | -$3,373 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
AMC
|
9 | 13 | -28.16% | $6,103 | $4,384 | 57 | 47% | - | -$1,719 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
HOOD
|
11 | 32🔥 | -31.06% | $13,664 | $9,420 | 63 | 49% | - | -$4,244 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
ARKK
|
11 | 9 | -34.99% | $12,083 | $7,855 | 43 | 44% | - | -$4,228 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
SOFI
|
10 | 15 | -43.68% | $14,270 | $8,037 | 60 | 45% | - | -$6,233 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
MARA
|
11 | 13 | -47.70% | $12,677 | $6,630 | 78 | 45% | - | -$6,047 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
RBLX
|
31 | 12 | -48.94% | $26,329 | $13,444 | 61 | 46% | - | -$12,886 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
TQQQ
|
11 | 35🔥 | -49.76% | $11,395 | $5,725 | 56 | 39% | - | -$5,670 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.