11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,419
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,163
(+$256)
+2.10%
Last 6 Months ROI
56.4%
Win Rate
4,720
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last 6 Months:
Dec 21, 2025
→
Jun 21, 2026
(181 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 6M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
INTC
|
36 | 17 | +79.40% | $9,838 | $17,649 | 67 | 69% | - | +$7,811 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
SNOW
|
44 | 70🔥 | +79.20% | $12,777 | $22,896 | 63 | 67% | - | +$10,119 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
AMD
|
28 | 77🔥 | +52.18% | $9,231 | $14,047 | 63 | 70% | - | +$4,817 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
GME
|
27 | 19 | +36.69% | $9,151 | $12,509 | 50 | 66% | - | +$3,358 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
VXX
|
10 | 9 | +35.43% | $5,227 | $7,079 | 62 | 65% | - | +$1,852 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
ARM
|
38 | 15🧊 | +33.77% | $13,097 | $17,520 | 69 | 61% | - | +$4,423 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
XLE
|
55 | 3🧊 | +33.29% | $13,308 | $17,738 | 38 | 74% | - | +$4,430 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
NET
|
39 | 18🧊 | +32.46% | $12,702 | $16,825 | 65 | 65% | - | +$4,123 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
USO
|
26 | 6 | +31.81% | $8,747 | $11,529 | 54 | 67% | - | +$2,782 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
OXY
|
33 | 5🧊 | +31.42% | $10,740 | $14,114 | 49 | 69% | - | +$3,374 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
MRNA
|
45 | 55 | +29.64% | $17,976 | $23,305 | 70 | 64% | - | +$5,328 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
XLK
|
29 | 31 | +24.06% | $10,163 | $12,608 | 38 | 71% | - | +$2,445 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
BAC
|
42 | 52 | +22.18% | $13,191 | $16,117 | 39 | 67% | - | +$2,926 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
SPXU
|
19 | 13 | +20.57% | $8,722 | $10,516 | 53 | 62% | - | +$1,794 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
CSCO
|
72 | 30🧊 | +20.50% | $17,273 | $20,814 | 36 | 58% | - | +$3,541 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
PANW
|
47 | 50 | +20.12% | $14,873 | $17,865 | 57 | 72% | - | +$2,992 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
UVXY
|
17 | 64🔥 | +19.98% | $8,689 | $10,425 | 70 | 64% | - | +$1,736 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
CVX
|
63 | 3🧊 | +18.87% | $16,349 | $19,434 | 38 | 71% | - | +$3,085 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
COP
|
25 | 3🧊 | +18.16% | $9,674 | $11,430 | 46 | 63% | - | +$1,757 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
AAPL
|
40 | 42 | +17.40% | $13,087 | $15,364 | 33 | 67% | - | +$2,277 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
C
|
37 | 75🔥 | +15.45% | $12,945 | $14,944 | 44 | 64% | - | +$2,000 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
AXP
|
60 | 30🧊 | +14.35% | $17,456 | $19,961 | 37 | 59% | - | +$2,505 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
QQQ
|
25 | 19 | +14.06% | $9,958 | $11,358 | 34 | 62% | - | +$1,400 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
SMCI
|
12 | 12 | +13.40% | $7,549 | $8,561 | 69 | 55% | - | +$1,012 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
GLD
|
62 | 5🧊 | +13.05% | $16,486 | $18,638 | 41 | 59% | - | +$2,151 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
SLB
|
10 | 6 | +12.38% | $8,306 | $9,335 | 48 | 60% | - | +$1,028 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
XOM
|
42 | 5🧊 | +11.16% | $13,256 | $14,735 | 41 | 66% | - | +$1,479 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
KO
|
32 | 2🧊 | +10.80% | $11,781 | $13,054 | 31 | 65% | - | +$1,272 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
GOOGL
|
56 | 3🧊 | +10.33% | $21,973 | $24,242 | 39 | 56% | - | +$2,270 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
PG
|
22 | 55🔥 | +10.26% | $9,951 | $10,972 | 35 | 57% | - | +$1,021 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
VOO
|
59 | 23🧊 | +9.31% | $14,696 | $16,064 | 28 | 64% | - | +$1,368 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
IWM
|
40 | 17🧊 | +9.29% | $13,331 | $14,569 | 33 | 58% | - | +$1,238 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
MS
|
48 | 59 | +8.82% | $16,755 | $18,233 | 41 | 59% | - | +$1,478 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
SPY
|
55 | 18🧊 | +8.35% | $14,272 | $15,464 | 28 | 68% | - | +$1,192 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
JNJ
|
45 | 10🧊 | +7.75% | $13,096 | $14,110 | 33 | 52% | - | +$1,015 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
VTI
|
51 | 22🧊 | +6.97% | $14,190 | $15,179 | 28 | 64% | - | +$989 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
JPM
|
35 | 5🧊 | +6.77% | $13,344 | $14,247 | 39 | 62% | - | +$903 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
DIA
|
43 | 37 | +6.00% | $13,273 | $14,069 | 29 | 52% | - | +$796 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
AMZN
|
24 | 5 | +5.84% | $10,762 | $11,390 | 45 | 62% | - | +$628 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
BLK
|
32 | 13 | +5.25% | $12,548 | $13,207 | 39 | 54% | - | +$659 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
AMGN
|
26 | 19 | +5.21% | $11,138 | $11,718 | 36 | 56% | - | +$580 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
XLF
|
36 | 34 | +4.52% | $13,333 | $13,935 | 30 | 53% | - | +$603 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
WFC
|
37 | 54 | +4.22% | $13,541 | $14,112 | 38 | 61% | - | +$571 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
SOXL
|
43 | 26 | +4.01% | $20,063 | $20,867 | 77 | 57% | - | +$805 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
COST
|
29 | 3🧊 | +3.58% | $11,860 | $12,284 | 37 | 59% | - | +$425 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
MU
|
46 | 64 | +3.19% | $21,397 | $22,080 | 73 | 59% | - | +$683 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
PM
|
35 | 3🧊 | +2.87% | $13,494 | $13,882 | 42 | 60% | - | +$387 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
PEP
|
20 | 7 | +2.71% | $10,368 | $10,649 | 34 | 59% | - | +$281 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
IBM
|
40 | 9🧊 | +2.46% | $13,549 | $13,882 | 46 | 57% | - | +$333 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
WMT
|
48 | 6🧊 | +2.45% | $15,953 | $16,344 | 38 | 61% | - | +$391 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
V
|
35 | 2🧊 | +1.90% | $12,927 | $13,173 | 32 | 50% | - | +$246 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
BIIB
|
11 | 39🔥 | +1.61% | $9,158 | $9,305 | 41 | 59% | - | +$147 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
BRK-B
|
49 | 27🧊 | +1.51% | $14,866 | $15,091 | 31 | 52% | - | +$224 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
SCHW
|
28 | 36 | +1.26% | $12,051 | $12,203 | 38 | 61% | - | +$152 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
VRTX
|
25 | 33 | +0.91% | $11,309 | $11,412 | 37 | 54% | - | +$103 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
DKNG
|
12 | 54🔥 | +0.05% | $8,787 | $8,791 | 61 | 59% | - | +$4 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
TLT
|
10 | 27 | -0.32% | $9,104 | $9,075 | 26 | 46% | - | -$29 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
BMY
|
10 | 3 | -0.42% | $9,112 | $9,074 | 36 | 56% | - | -$38 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
VZ
|
19 | 2 | -1.11% | $10,618 | $10,500 | 33 | 55% | - | -$118 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
NFLX
|
38 | 2🧊 | -1.63% | $15,649 | $15,394 | 38 | 50% | - | -$255 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
GS
|
67 | 57 | -1.71% | $22,362 | $21,980 | 42 | 57% | - | -$382 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
GILD
|
36 | 13🧊 | -1.97% | $14,589 | $14,302 | 38 | 55% | - | -$287 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
PFE
|
9 | 3 | -2.03% | $8,004 | $7,842 | 32 | 53% | - | -$162 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
RIVN
|
10 | 50🔥 | -3.23% | $5,112 | $4,947 | 67 | 58% | - | -$165 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
PYPL
|
11 | 22 | -6.42% | $8,856 | $8,287 | 44 | 55% | - | -$569 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
AMC
|
9 | 50🔥 | -6.47% | $5,148 | $4,815 | 61 | 52% | - | -$333 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
RIOT
|
11 | 17 | -7.20% | $5,691 | $5,281 | 73 | 59% | - | -$410 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
ORCL
|
30 | 25 | -7.66% | $15,745 | $14,539 | 60 | 53% | - | -$1,206 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
NVDA
|
39 | 6🧊 | -7.82% | $20,073 | $18,503 | 45 | 56% | - | -$1,570 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
LLY
|
24 | 25 | -7.88% | $12,983 | $11,960 | 45 | 49% | - | -$1,023 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
PLTR
|
44 | 9🧊 | -9.31% | $21,006 | $19,051 | 62 | 55% | - | -$1,956 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
MA
|
34 | 2🧊 | -9.56% | $14,355 | $12,982 | 36 | 50% | - | -$1,372 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
META
|
30 | 9🧊 | -9.63% | $15,162 | $13,702 | 41 | 51% | - | -$1,460 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
MCD
|
9 | 2 | -9.78% | $10,978 | $9,904 | 29 | 34% | - | -$1,074 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
TSLA
|
29 | 21 | -9.91% | $15,019 | $13,530 | 53 | 55% | - | -$1,488 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
NIO
|
9 | 20 | -10.08% | $7,515 | $6,758 | 59 | 58% | - | -$758 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
AVGO
|
39 | 19 | -10.27% | $18,162 | $16,297 | 52 | 58% | - | -$1,865 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
MRK
|
11 | 2 | -11.82% | $9,806 | $8,647 | 38 | 53% | - | -$1,159 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
UNH
|
10 | 12 | -12.68% | $8,721 | $7,615 | 34 | 50% | - | -$1,106 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
TMO
|
10 | 13 | -12.68% | $9,436 | $8,240 | 43 | 53% | - | -$1,197 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
SLV
|
33 | 24 | -13.38% | $15,527 | $13,449 | 59 | 53% | - | -$2,077 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
COIN
|
9 | 13 | -13.60% | $4,254 | $3,675 | 69 | 52% | - | -$578 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
HOOD
|
22 | 47🔥 | -13.92% | $12,847 | $11,059 | 64 | 53% | - | -$1,788 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
CRM
|
10 | 9 | -13.97% | $6,831 | $5,877 | 51 | 57% | - | -$954 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
ACN
|
8 | 5 | -14.89% | $7,502 | $6,385 | 43 | 51% | - | -$1,117 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
MSFT
|
25 | 5🧊 | -16.53% | $13,824 | $11,539 | 41 | 51% | - | -$2,285 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
DIS
|
8 | 2 | -16.86% | $9,803 | $8,150 | 33 | 39% | - | -$1,653 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
CRWD
|
18 | 9 | -17.84% | $12,568 | $10,326 | 55 | 53% | - | -$2,242 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
MDT
|
7 | 3 | -20.63% | $10,691 | $8,485 | 35 | 29% | - | -$2,205 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
HD
|
9 | 3 | -21.00% | $12,090 | $9,551 | 38 | 34% | - | -$2,539 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
REGN
|
11 | 6 | -21.42% | $9,030 | $7,095 | 37 | 51% | - | -$1,934 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
SQQQ
|
9 | 14 | -22.23% | $6,805 | $5,292 | 65 | 54% | - | -$1,513 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
ADBE
|
8 | 7 | -23.88% | $7,592 | $5,779 | 46 | 48% | - | -$1,813 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
ISRG
|
11 | 5 | -24.19% | $12,042 | $9,129 | 38 | 37% | - | -$2,913 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
ABBV
|
11 | 6 | -24.41% | $13,246 | $10,013 | 38 | 47% | - | -$3,233 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 3 | -28.08% | $6,535 | $4,700 | 34 | 38% | - | -$1,835 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 33🔥 | -32.16% | $9,865 | $6,692 | 59 | 47% | - | -$3,172 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
ARKK
|
11 | 6 | -32.70% | $11,462 | $7,714 | 44 | 45% | - | -$3,748 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
MARA
|
11 | 39🔥 | -35.28% | $11,079 | $7,170 | 79 | 51% | - | -$3,909 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
RBLX
|
34 | 44 | -35.90% | $23,189 | $14,864 | 64 | 53% | - | -$8,325 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
SOFI
|
10 | 14 | -37.62% | $11,975 | $7,470 | 60 | 47% | - | -$4,505 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
LCID
|
8 | 11 | -42.70% | $4,119 | $2,360 | 68 | 51% | - | -$1,759 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.