11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,789
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$11,705
(+$1,085)
+9.27%
Last 6 Months ROI
57.8%
Win Rate
4,960
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last 6 Months:
Mar 25, 2026
→
Sep 25, 2026
(184 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 6M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
MRNA 🔥 PRO
|
77 | 62 | +146.70% | $21,452 | $52,922 | 75 | 67% | - | +$31,470 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
SNOW
|
50 | 58 | +99.30% | $13,897 | $27,698 | 62 | 65% | - | +$13,800 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
AMD
|
32 | 69🔥 | +79.63% | $9,210 | $16,545 | 72 | 72% | - | +$7,334 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
PANW
|
61 | 49 | +61.60% | $14,486 | $23,410 | 62 | 73% | - | +$8,923 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
HOOD
|
29 | 12 | +49.72% | $8,993 | $13,464 | 72 | 64% | - | +$4,471 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
AAPL
|
49 | 40 | +47.21% | $12,407 | $18,264 | 39 | 74% | - | +$5,857 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
PYPL
|
21 | 26 | +45.40% | $7,470 | $10,861 | 45 | 64% | - | +$3,391 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
INTC
|
35 | 86🔥 | +39.67% | $13,096 | $18,292 | 78 | 62% | - | +$5,195 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
GME
|
33 | 75🔥 | +36.96% | $10,977 | $15,034 | 49 | 65% | - | +$4,057 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
V
|
49 | 2🧊 | +34.22% | $12,126 | $16,275 | 34 | 56% | - | +$4,149 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
BMY
|
25 | 3🧊 | +31.06% | $9,385 | $12,300 | 40 | 63% | - | +$2,915 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
NET
|
40 | 48 | +30.97% | $13,964 | $18,289 | 67 | 66% | - | +$4,325 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
PLTR
|
56 | 39 | +30.80% | $19,497 | $25,502 | 60 | 62% | - | +$6,005 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
USO
|
35 | 58🔥 | +30.49% | $11,534 | $15,051 | 58 | 62% | - | +$3,517 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
SOXL
|
51 | 91🔥 | +28.13% | $21,154 | $27,104 | 87 | 60% | - | +$5,951 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
GOOGL
|
63 | 58 | +27.17% | $21,896 | $27,845 | 46 | 67% | - | +$5,949 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
BAC
|
42 | 3🧊 | +24.60% | $13,035 | $16,242 | 39 | 67% | - | +$3,207 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
TSLA
|
31 | 28 | +24.04% | $11,478 | $14,237 | 58 | 64% | - | +$2,759 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
SCHW
|
39 | 11🧊 | +22.20% | $12,066 | $14,744 | 39 | 67% | - | +$2,679 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
MSFT
|
33 | 12🧊 | +20.05% | $11,305 | $13,572 | 45 | 62% | - | +$2,267 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
JNJ
|
55 | 30🧊 | +19.44% | $13,638 | $16,289 | 40 | 63% | - | +$2,651 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
MRK
|
22 | 9 | +18.61% | $9,218 | $10,934 | 42 | 62% | - | +$1,716 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
AXP
|
59 | 5🧊 | +18.37% | $16,823 | $19,913 | 38 | 55% | - | +$3,090 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
XLF
|
41 | 3🧊 | +18.13% | $12,920 | $15,262 | 32 | 56% | - | +$2,342 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
SPXU
|
28 | 17 | +18.05% | $10,878 | $12,841 | 52 | 58% | - | +$1,963 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
COP
|
33 | 34 | +17.84% | $11,278 | $13,290 | 44 | 66% | - | +$2,012 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
PG
|
27 | 38 | +17.52% | $9,966 | $11,712 | 39 | 62% | - | +$1,746 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
XLE
|
70 | 26🧊 | +16.22% | $18,938 | $22,010 | 39 | 62% | - | +$3,072 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
VOO
|
59 | 3🧊 | +16.14% | $14,060 | $16,330 | 31 | 65% | - | +$2,269 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
BIIB
|
11 | 6 | +16.09% | $8,403 | $9,755 | 45 | 62% | - | +$1,352 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
AMGN
|
32 | 12 | +16.04% | $11,292 | $13,103 | 42 | 62% | - | +$1,811 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
DIA
|
43 | 3🧊 | +15.82% | $12,433 | $14,400 | 33 | 52% | - | +$1,967 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
UNH
|
10 | 9 | +15.46% | $6,220 | $7,182 | 39 | 54% | - | +$962 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
C
|
34 | 33 | +15.13% | $12,209 | $14,056 | 42 | 60% | - | +$1,847 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
SPY
|
55 | 3🧊 | +14.42% | $13,667 | $15,638 | 31 | 65% | - | +$1,971 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
PM
|
38 | 14🧊 | +14.31% | $13,148 | $15,030 | 45 | 60% | - | +$1,882 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
KO
|
34 | 6🧊 | +14.13% | $12,038 | $13,739 | 33 | 55% | - | +$1,701 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
BRK-B
|
53 | 42 | +12.85% | $14,200 | $16,025 | 33 | 67% | - | +$1,825 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
VTI
|
51 | 3🧊 | +12.72% | $13,495 | $15,211 | 31 | 61% | - | +$1,717 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
DKNG
|
13 | 18 | +12.45% | $7,738 | $8,701 | 63 | 63% | - | +$963 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
META
|
34 | 79🔥 | +12.14% | $14,079 | $15,788 | 49 | 63% | - | +$1,709 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
PEP
|
25 | 10 | +11.97% | $10,349 | $11,588 | 38 | 61% | - | +$1,239 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
SLB
|
11 | 9 | +11.70% | $8,916 | $9,959 | 46 | 61% | - | +$1,043 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
ABBV
|
25 | 30 | +11.10% | $10,465 | $11,627 | 40 | 63% | - | +$1,162 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
XOM
|
50 | 10🧊 | +10.44% | $15,477 | $17,093 | 43 | 58% | - | +$1,616 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
BLK
|
32 | 5🧊 | +10.39% | $11,985 | $13,230 | 40 | 55% | - | +$1,245 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
GILD
|
42 | 26 | +10.32% | $14,612 | $16,120 | 40 | 63% | - | +$1,508 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
TMO
|
19 | 5 | +9.89% | $9,778 | $10,745 | 47 | 57% | - | +$967 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
CVX
|
70 | 23🧊 | +9.82% | $20,398 | $22,401 | 40 | 63% | - | +$2,003 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
COST
|
34 | 6🧊 | +9.74% | $12,431 | $13,642 | 39 | 59% | - | +$1,211 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
JPM
|
36 | 6🧊 | +9.61% | $13,399 | $14,686 | 38 | 55% | - | +$1,288 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
IWM
|
36 | 3🧊 | +9.54% | $12,277 | $13,448 | 33 | 58% | - | +$1,171 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
MA
|
44 | 14🧊 | +9.42% | $14,080 | $15,406 | 36 | 56% | - | +$1,326 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
CSCO
|
70 | 5🧊 | +9.09% | $18,215 | $19,871 | 41 | 61% | - | +$1,656 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
QQQ
|
17 | 3 | +8.86% | $9,387 | $10,218 | 35 | 54% | - | +$832 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
SQQQ
|
10 | 39🔥 | +8.17% | $7,426 | $8,033 | 65 | 58% | - | +$607 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
XLK
|
21 | 5 | +8.15% | $10,011 | $10,827 | 43 | 58% | - | +$816 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
MARA
|
12 | 35🔥 | +7.73% | $7,481 | $8,059 | 85 | 61% | - | +$578 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
VRTX
|
27 | 3🧊 | +7.52% | $11,117 | $11,953 | 39 | 59% | - | +$836 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 17 | +7.23% | $6,109 | $6,551 | 62 | 58% | - | +$442 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
MU
|
45 | 50 | +6.82% | $20,768 | $22,184 | 77 | 64% | - | +$1,416 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
WFC
|
36 | 26 | +6.27% | $13,307 | $14,141 | 41 | 54% | - | +$834 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
UVXY
|
10 | 12 | +3.66% | $8,847 | $9,171 | 64 | 58% | - | +$324 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
VZ
|
28 | 10 | +3.31% | $11,433 | $11,812 | 38 | 55% | - | +$378 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
MS
|
36 | 10🧊 | +1.59% | $14,331 | $14,558 | 41 | 54% | - | +$228 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
AMZN
|
21 | 5 | +1.01% | $10,804 | $10,913 | 42 | 55% | - | +$109 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
SMCI
|
11 | 46🔥 | +0.78% | $7,448 | $7,506 | 75 | 56% | - | +$58 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
GLD
|
57 | 2🧊 | +0.44% | $17,907 | $17,986 | 37 | 49% | - | +$79 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
TLT
|
10 | 3 | -0.13% | $8,801 | $8,790 | 29 | 48% | - | -$11 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
PFE
|
10 | 10 | -0.33% | $8,743 | $8,715 | 36 | 50% | - | -$29 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
MDT
|
15 | 6 | -0.77% | $10,070 | $9,993 | 41 | 51% | - | -$78 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
NVDA
|
40 | 25 | -1.02% | $19,484 | $19,286 | 47 | 60% | - | -$199 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
LLY
|
23 | 5 | -1.17% | $12,005 | $11,865 | 45 | 53% | - | -$140 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
ADBE
|
9 | 9 | -2.14% | $6,078 | $5,947 | 56 | 57% | - | -$130 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
WMT
|
49 | 48 | -2.70% | $17,143 | $16,680 | 40 | 60% | - | -$463 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
LCID
|
9 | 53🔥 | -3.10% | $3,389 | $3,284 | 76 | 58% | - | -$105 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
REGN
|
11 | 6 | -3.59% | $8,539 | $8,232 | 41 | 61% | - | -$307 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
COIN
|
9 | 23 | -4.13% | $3,936 | $3,773 | 74 | 55% | - | -$163 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
DIS
|
8 | 3 | -5.38% | $8,932 | $8,451 | 38 | 45% | - | -$481 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
OXY
|
31 | 10🧊 | -5.79% | $14,569 | $13,726 | 48 | 58% | - | -$844 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
CRM
|
11 | 9 | -7.06% | $6,498 | $6,039 | 55 | 58% | - | -$459 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
ACN
|
8 | 10 | -7.16% | $6,450 | $5,988 | 50 | 58% | - | -$462 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
RIOT
|
11 | 61🔥 | -9.11% | $5,232 | $4,756 | 80 | 59% | - | -$477 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
RIVN
|
10 | 12 | -10.38% | $4,783 | $4,286 | 65 | 60% | - | -$496 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
NFLX
|
37 | 13🧊 | -10.56% | $16,557 | $14,809 | 42 | 55% | - | -$1,748 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
SOFI
|
11 | 31 | -10.61% | $8,727 | $7,801 | 63 | 56% | - | -$926 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
ARM
|
29 | 56🔥 | -10.77% | $14,156 | $12,632 | 76 | 61% | - | -$1,525 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
SLV
|
37 | 28 | -11.54% | $16,652 | $14,730 | 50 | 56% | - | -$1,922 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
GS
|
50 | 5🧊 | -12.70% | $19,854 | $17,332 | 42 | 52% | - | -$2,521 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
ARKK
|
12 | 49🔥 | -14.67% | $8,998 | $7,678 | 49 | 59% | - | -$1,320 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
AMC
|
9 | 53🔥 | -16.52% | $4,520 | $3,774 | 72 | 57% | - | -$747 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
MCD
|
9 | 5 | -17.30% | $11,181 | $9,246 | 32 | 34% | - | -$1,934 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
CMCSA
|
7 | 6 | -19.50% | $5,943 | $4,784 | 41 | 44% | - | -$1,159 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
RBLX
|
37 | 61🔥 | -20.21% | $19,812 | $15,808 | 69 | 61% | - | -$4,004 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
ISRG
|
12 | 63🔥 | -23.33% | $11,546 | $8,852 | 45 | 47% | - | -$2,694 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
ORCL
|
26 | 29 | -23.49% | $15,313 | $11,716 | 66 | 52% | - | -$3,597 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
HD
|
9 | 3 | -26.32% | $11,085 | $8,167 | 43 | 40% | - | -$2,917 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
VXX
|
9 | 14 | -28.74% | $7,391 | $5,267 | 53 | 47% | - | -$2,124 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
AVGO
|
28 | 6🧊 | -29.58% | $17,360 | $12,225 | 50 | 52% | - | -$5,135 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
NIO
|
8 | 6 | -31.61% | $6,429 | $4,397 | 55 | 49% | - | -$2,032 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
IBM
|
12 | 9 | -55.56% | $15,083 | $6,703 | 56 | 54% | - | -$8,380 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
CRWD
|
— | — | -74.09% | $-16,208 | $-4,200 | NO ENTRY | - | - | +$12,009 | -37.8% | 1.8d | 1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.