11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,448
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,206
(+$241)
+1.98%
Year to Date ROI
56.2%
Win Rate
4,511
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Year to Date)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Year to Date:
Jan 1, 2026
→
Jun 19, 2026
(168 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | YTD Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
INTC
|
37 | 38 | +81.13% | $9,744 | $17,649 | 65 | 69% | - | +$7,905 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
SNOW
|
47 | 88🔥 | +73.56% | $13,192 | $22,896 | 60 | 67% | - | +$9,704 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
AMD
|
28 | 78🔥 | +54.39% | $9,098 | $14,047 | 62 | 71% | - | +$4,949 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
GME
|
27 | 29 | +41.52% | $8,839 | $12,509 | 48 | 69% | - | +$3,670 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
ARM
|
39 | 44 | +39.29% | $12,578 | $17,520 | 67 | 63% | - | +$4,942 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
VXX
|
10 | 9 | +37.38% | $5,153 | $7,079 | 61 | 66% | - | +$1,926 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
MRNA
|
45 | 56 | +34.98% | $17,265 | $23,305 | 67 | 66% | - | +$6,039 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
XLE
|
57 | 2🧊 | +32.54% | $13,383 | $17,738 | 36 | 75% | - | +$4,355 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
OXY
|
34 | 5🧊 | +30.72% | $10,797 | $14,114 | 47 | 70% | - | +$3,317 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
NET
|
41 | 51 | +28.82% | $13,061 | $16,825 | 62 | 65% | - | +$3,764 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
USO
|
27 | 7 | +27.15% | $9,067 | $11,529 | 52 | 65% | - | +$2,462 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
UVXY
|
17 | 58🔥 | +24.38% | $8,381 | $10,425 | 68 | 65% | - | +$2,043 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
SPXU
|
19 | 12 | +22.71% | $8,570 | $10,516 | 51 | 63% | - | +$1,946 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
SMCI
|
12 | 13 | +21.12% | $7,068 | $8,561 | 67 | 57% | - | +$1,493 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
XLK
|
29 | 20 | +20.91% | $10,428 | $12,608 | 36 | 69% | - | +$2,180 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
BAC
|
42 | 62 | +20.80% | $13,341 | $16,117 | 37 | 65% | - | +$2,775 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
CSCO
|
71 | 20🧊 | +20.76% | $17,236 | $20,814 | 35 | 60% | - | +$3,578 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
COP
|
27 | 3🧊 | +19.45% | $9,569 | $11,430 | 44 | 66% | - | +$1,861 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
PANW
|
47 | 37 | +17.60% | $15,191 | $17,865 | 55 | 71% | - | +$2,674 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
CVX
|
65 | 2🧊 | +16.36% | $16,702 | $19,434 | 36 | 69% | - | +$2,732 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
C
|
37 | 80🔥 | +15.88% | $12,897 | $14,944 | 42 | 64% | - | +$2,048 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
AAPL
|
40 | 41 | +15.87% | $13,260 | $15,364 | 31 | 65% | - | +$2,104 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
AXP
|
60 | 30🧊 | +15.54% | $17,276 | $19,961 | 35 | 60% | - | +$2,685 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
KO
|
32 | 2🧊 | +12.58% | $11,595 | $13,054 | 29 | 69% | - | +$1,459 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
PG
|
22 | 55🔥 | +12.15% | $9,783 | $10,972 | 33 | 58% | - | +$1,189 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
QQQ
|
25 | 24 | +11.82% | $10,157 | $11,358 | 32 | 59% | - | +$1,201 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
SLB
|
10 | 5 | +10.40% | $8,455 | $9,335 | 46 | 61% | - | +$879 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
JNJ
|
45 | 10🧊 | +9.66% | $12,867 | $14,110 | 31 | 52% | - | +$1,243 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
GOOGL
|
57 | 5🧊 | +8.76% | $22,290 | $24,242 | 37 | 57% | - | +$1,953 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
GLD
|
65 | 6🧊 | +8.26% | $17,216 | $18,638 | 39 | 56% | - | +$1,422 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
XOM
|
44 | 5🧊 | +8.14% | $13,626 | $14,735 | 39 | 64% | - | +$1,109 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
VOO
|
59 | 23🧊 | +7.84% | $14,896 | $16,064 | 26 | 62% | - | +$1,168 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
IWM
|
41 | 28 | +7.47% | $13,557 | $14,569 | 31 | 58% | - | +$1,013 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
SPY
|
56 | 18🧊 | +6.87% | $14,470 | $15,464 | 26 | 65% | - | +$994 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
MS
|
47 | 68🔥 | +6.50% | $17,120 | $18,233 | 39 | 56% | - | +$1,113 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
VTI
|
52 | 22🧊 | +5.78% | $14,350 | $15,179 | 26 | 62% | - | +$829 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
DIA
|
43 | 37 | +5.73% | $13,306 | $14,069 | 27 | 52% | - | +$762 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
IBM
|
44 | 12🧊 | +5.13% | $13,205 | $13,882 | 44 | 59% | - | +$677 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
MU
|
46 | 79🔥 | +4.69% | $21,091 | $22,080 | 70 | 60% | - | +$989 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
RIVN
|
10 | 40🔥 | +4.61% | $4,729 | $4,947 | 65 | 60% | - | +$218 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
AMGN
|
26 | 31 | +4.47% | $11,217 | $11,718 | 35 | 54% | - | +$501 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
JPM
|
37 | 32 | +4.36% | $13,652 | $14,247 | 37 | 59% | - | +$595 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
PEP
|
20 | 7 | +4.34% | $10,206 | $10,649 | 32 | 59% | - | +$443 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
SOXL
|
44 | 20🧊 | +4.14% | $20,038 | $20,867 | 75 | 57% | - | +$830 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
XLF
|
37 | 34 | +3.66% | $13,443 | $13,935 | 28 | 54% | - | +$492 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
AMZN
|
24 | 6 | +3.38% | $11,018 | $11,390 | 43 | 60% | - | +$372 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
WMT
|
48 | 5🧊 | +3.23% | $15,833 | $16,344 | 36 | 61% | - | +$511 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
BRK-B
|
49 | 27🧊 | +3.21% | $14,621 | $15,091 | 29 | 55% | - | +$469 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
BLK
|
32 | 13 | +2.80% | $12,847 | $13,207 | 37 | 51% | - | +$360 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
RIOT
|
11 | 29 | +2.53% | $5,151 | $5,281 | 70 | 61% | - | +$130 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
COST
|
31 | 5🧊 | +2.48% | $11,987 | $12,284 | 34 | 59% | - | +$297 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
BIIB
|
11 | 44🔥 | +1.09% | $9,205 | $9,305 | 40 | 58% | - | +$100 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
WFC
|
37 | 54 | +0.83% | $13,996 | $14,112 | 36 | 58% | - | +$116 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
PM
|
34 | 5🧊 | +0.83% | $13,767 | $13,882 | 40 | 60% | - | +$114 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
VZ
|
20 | 2 | +0.51% | $10,447 | $10,500 | 31 | 55% | - | +$53 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
AMC
|
9 | 62🔥 | +0.41% | $4,795 | $4,815 | 57 | 54% | - | +$20 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
NFLX
|
39 | 2🧊 | -0.01% | $15,396 | $15,394 | 36 | 50% | - | -$2 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
GS
|
66 | 62 | -0.06% | $21,993 | $21,980 | 40 | 58% | - | -$13 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
V
|
35 | 2🧊 | -0.44% | $13,231 | $13,173 | 30 | 47% | - | -$58 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
SCHW
|
28 | 22 | -0.74% | $12,294 | $12,203 | 37 | 59% | - | -$91 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
VRTX
|
25 | 45 | -1.14% | $11,544 | $11,412 | 35 | 51% | - | -$132 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
BMY
|
10 | 6 | -1.18% | $9,182 | $9,074 | 34 | 53% | - | -$108 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
TLT
|
10 | 27 | -1.19% | $9,184 | $9,075 | 24 | 46% | - | -$109 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
PFE
|
9 | 2 | -2.79% | $8,067 | $7,842 | 30 | 50% | - | -$225 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
GILD
|
39 | 29 | -2.91% | $14,730 | $14,302 | 36 | 56% | - | -$429 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
PLTR
|
44 | 12🧊 | -3.54% | $19,750 | $19,051 | 60 | 57% | - | -$699 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
DKNG
|
12 | 44🔥 | -4.95% | $9,249 | $8,791 | 59 | 58% | - | -$458 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
PYPL
|
11 | 22 | -5.97% | $8,814 | $8,287 | 43 | 56% | - | -$526 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
MCD
|
14 | 1 | -8.08% | $10,775 | $9,904 | 27 | 37% | - | -$871 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
TSLA
|
29 | 32 | -8.28% | $14,752 | $13,530 | 51 | 55% | - | -$1,221 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
META
|
30 | 9🧊 | -9.33% | $15,112 | $13,702 | 39 | 54% | - | -$1,410 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
LLY
|
25 | 36 | -9.36% | $13,195 | $11,960 | 43 | 47% | - | -$1,235 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
ORCL
|
30 | 25 | -10.83% | $16,304 | $14,539 | 57 | 53% | - | -$1,766 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
NVDA
|
39 | 6🧊 | -11.54% | $20,917 | $18,503 | 43 | 53% | - | -$2,414 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
MA
|
34 | 3🧊 | -11.64% | $14,693 | $12,982 | 34 | 47% | - | -$1,710 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
AVGO
|
39 | 19 | -11.65% | $18,446 | $16,297 | 50 | 58% | - | -$2,149 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
COIN
|
9 | 13 | -12.19% | $4,185 | $3,675 | 66 | 53% | - | -$510 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
UNH
|
11 | 12 | -13.05% | $8,758 | $7,615 | 32 | 50% | - | -$1,143 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
ACN
|
8 | 6 | -13.90% | $7,415 | $6,385 | 42 | 52% | - | -$1,031 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
NIO
|
9 | 32🔥 | -14.45% | $7,899 | $6,758 | 55 | 56% | - | -$1,141 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
TMO
|
10 | 25 | -14.76% | $9,667 | $8,240 | 41 | 51% | - | -$1,427 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
HOOD
|
20 | 47🔥 | -15.16% | $13,035 | $11,059 | 61 | 52% | - | -$1,976 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
MRK
|
11 | 6 | -15.30% | $10,209 | $8,647 | 36 | 50% | - | -$1,562 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
MSFT
|
25 | 9 | -16.69% | $13,850 | $11,539 | 39 | 51% | - | -$2,312 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
DIS
|
8 | 1 | -17.02% | $9,822 | $8,150 | 31 | 39% | - | -$1,672 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
CRWD
|
18 | 14 | -17.05% | $12,448 | $10,326 | 54 | 54% | - | -$2,122 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
CRM
|
10 | 14 | -17.37% | $7,112 | $5,877 | 49 | 55% | - | -$1,235 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
MDT
|
7 | 3 | -19.57% | $10,550 | $8,485 | 33 | 30% | - | -$2,065 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
SLV
|
33 | 13🧊 | -20.45% | $16,907 | $13,449 | 55 | 51% | - | -$3,457 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
REGN
|
11 | 12 | -21.66% | $9,057 | $7,095 | 36 | 50% | - | -$1,962 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
HD
|
9 | 6 | -21.67% | $12,194 | $9,551 | 37 | 32% | - | -$2,642 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
SQQQ
|
9 | 12 | -23.13% | $6,884 | $5,292 | 62 | 53% | - | -$1,592 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
ADBE
|
8 | 7 | -23.60% | $7,564 | $5,779 | 44 | 50% | - | -$1,785 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
ABBV
|
12 | 10 | -24.47% | $13,256 | $10,013 | 37 | 46% | - | -$3,244 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
ISRG
|
11 | 5 | -26.23% | $12,375 | $9,129 | 36 | 33% | - | -$3,246 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 5 | -27.28% | $6,463 | $4,700 | 32 | 38% | - | -$1,763 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 48🔥 | -31.40% | $9,755 | $6,692 | 57 | 47% | - | -$3,063 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
MARA
|
11 | 50🔥 | -32.03% | $10,549 | $7,170 | 75 | 52% | - | -$3,379 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
ARKK
|
11 | 10 | -33.09% | $11,529 | $7,714 | 42 | 45% | - | -$3,815 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
RBLX
|
34 | 40 | -35.70% | $23,117 | $14,864 | 63 | 54% | - | -$8,253 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
SOFI
|
11 | 13 | -36.92% | $11,842 | $7,470 | 59 | 47% | - | -$4,372 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
LCID
|
8 | 12 | -40.06% | $3,937 | $2,360 | 65 | 52% | - | -$1,577 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.