11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,876
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$11,920
(+$956)
+8.02%
Year to Date ROI
56.4%
Win Rate
7,066
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Year to Date)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Year to Date:
Jan 1, 2026
→
Sep 24, 2026
(265 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | YTD Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
MRNA 🔥 PRO
|
77 | 62 | +206.52% | $17,265 | $52,922 | 107 | 66% | - | +$35,656 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
SNOW
|
50 | 58 | +109.95% | $13,192 | $27,698 | 90 | 64% | - | +$14,505 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
INTC
|
35 | 86🔥 | +87.72% | $9,744 | $18,292 | 106 | 64% | - | +$8,548 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
AMD
|
32 | 69🔥 | +81.84% | $9,098 | $16,545 | 99 | 70% | - | +$7,446 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
GME
|
33 | 75🔥 | +70.09% | $8,839 | $15,034 | 70 | 67% | - | +$6,195 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
USO
|
35 | 58🔥 | +66.00% | $9,067 | $15,051 | 82 | 66% | - | +$5,984 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
XLE
|
70 | 26🧊 | +64.45% | $13,384 | $22,010 | 56 | 73% | - | +$8,626 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
PANW
|
61 | 49 | +54.10% | $15,191 | $23,410 | 88 | 70% | - | +$8,218 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
SPXU
|
28 | 17 | +49.85% | $8,569 | $12,841 | 76 | 62% | - | +$4,272 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
NET
|
40 | 48 | +40.03% | $13,061 | $18,289 | 96 | 64% | - | +$5,228 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
COP
|
33 | 34 | +38.89% | $9,569 | $13,290 | 66 | 67% | - | +$3,721 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
AAPL
|
49 | 40 | +37.74% | $13,260 | $18,264 | 52 | 67% | - | +$5,004 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
SOXL
|
51 | 91🔥 | +35.27% | $20,037 | $27,104 | 122 | 59% | - | +$7,067 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
CVX
|
70 | 23🧊 | +34.13% | $16,701 | $22,401 | 57 | 68% | - | +$5,700 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
BMY
|
25 | 3🧊 | +33.94% | $9,183 | $12,300 | 56 | 61% | - | +$3,117 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
PLTR
|
56 | 39 | +29.12% | $19,751 | $25,502 | 90 | 60% | - | +$5,751 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
OXY
|
31 | 10🧊 | +27.12% | $10,797 | $13,726 | 71 | 65% | - | +$2,928 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
JNJ
|
55 | 30🧊 | +26.59% | $12,868 | $16,289 | 55 | 60% | - | +$3,422 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
XOM
|
50 | 10🧊 | +25.44% | $13,626 | $17,093 | 61 | 62% | - | +$3,467 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
GOOGL
|
63 | 58 | +24.93% | $22,288 | $27,845 | 61 | 62% | - | +$5,557 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
PYPL
|
21 | 26 | +23.23% | $8,814 | $10,861 | 67 | 60% | - | +$2,047 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
V
|
49 | 2🧊 | +23.01% | $13,231 | $16,275 | 49 | 51% | - | +$3,044 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
BAC
|
42 | 3🧊 | +21.74% | $13,341 | $16,242 | 56 | 63% | - | +$2,900 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
SCHW
|
39 | 11🧊 | +19.94% | $12,293 | $14,744 | 57 | 65% | - | +$2,451 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
PG
|
27 | 38 | +19.72% | $9,783 | $11,712 | 55 | 58% | - | +$1,929 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
KO
|
34 | 6🧊 | +18.49% | $11,595 | $13,739 | 47 | 60% | - | +$2,144 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
SLB
|
11 | 9 | +17.79% | $8,455 | $9,959 | 70 | 60% | - | +$1,504 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
AMGN
|
32 | 12 | +16.82% | $11,217 | $13,103 | 60 | 60% | - | +$1,887 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
SQQQ
|
10 | 39🔥 | +16.68% | $6,885 | $8,033 | 93 | 60% | - | +$1,148 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
CSCO
|
70 | 5🧊 | +15.29% | $17,236 | $19,871 | 56 | 57% | - | +$2,635 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
AXP
|
59 | 5🧊 | +15.26% | $17,277 | $19,913 | 55 | 55% | - | +$2,636 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
COST
|
34 | 6🧊 | +13.80% | $11,987 | $13,642 | 54 | 61% | - | +$1,654 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
PEP
|
25 | 10 | +13.53% | $10,207 | $11,588 | 53 | 60% | - | +$1,381 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
XLF
|
41 | 3🧊 | +13.53% | $13,443 | $15,262 | 46 | 54% | - | +$1,819 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
VZ
|
28 | 10 | +13.07% | $10,446 | $11,812 | 54 | 59% | - | +$1,365 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
TMO
|
19 | 5 | +11.16% | $9,666 | $10,745 | 66 | 58% | - | +$1,079 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
VOO
|
59 | 3🧊 | +9.62% | $14,897 | $16,330 | 43 | 56% | - | +$1,433 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
BRK-B
|
53 | 42 | +9.60% | $14,622 | $16,025 | 47 | 60% | - | +$1,404 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
GILD
|
42 | 26 | +9.43% | $14,730 | $16,120 | 57 | 60% | - | +$1,389 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
UVXY
|
10 | 12 | +9.42% | $8,381 | $9,171 | 99 | 60% | - | +$790 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
PM
|
38 | 14🧊 | +9.17% | $13,767 | $15,030 | 64 | 58% | - | +$1,262 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
C
|
34 | 33 | +8.99% | $12,897 | $14,056 | 63 | 59% | - | +$1,159 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
DIA
|
43 | 3🧊 | +8.23% | $13,305 | $14,400 | 45 | 47% | - | +$1,095 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
SPY
|
55 | 3🧊 | +8.07% | $14,470 | $15,638 | 43 | 58% | - | +$1,168 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
PFE
|
10 | 10 | +8.03% | $8,067 | $8,715 | 51 | 57% | - | +$648 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
JPM
|
36 | 6🧊 | +7.57% | $13,653 | $14,686 | 55 | 58% | - | +$1,034 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
MRK
|
22 | 9 | +7.10% | $10,209 | $10,934 | 60 | 58% | - | +$725 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
SMCI
|
11 | 46🔥 | +6.19% | $7,068 | $7,506 | 106 | 56% | - | +$438 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
VTI
|
51 | 3🧊 | +6.01% | $14,349 | $15,211 | 43 | 56% | - | +$862 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
BIIB
|
11 | 6 | +5.97% | $9,205 | $9,755 | 62 | 58% | - | +$550 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
WMT
|
49 | 48 | +5.35% | $15,833 | $16,680 | 58 | 62% | - | +$847 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
MU
|
45 | 50 | +5.18% | $21,091 | $22,184 | 109 | 61% | - | +$1,093 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
MA
|
44 | 14🧊 | +4.86% | $14,692 | $15,406 | 53 | 51% | - | +$714 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
META
|
34 | 79🔥 | +4.48% | $15,111 | $15,788 | 65 | 58% | - | +$677 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
GLD
|
57 | 2🧊 | +4.47% | $17,216 | $17,986 | 57 | 53% | - | +$770 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
XLK
|
21 | 5 | +3.84% | $10,427 | $10,827 | 58 | 59% | - | +$400 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
VRTX
|
27 | 3🧊 | +3.55% | $11,544 | $11,953 | 57 | 54% | - | +$410 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
HOOD
|
29 | 12 | +3.29% | $13,035 | $13,464 | 99 | 57% | - | +$429 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
BLK
|
32 | 5🧊 | +2.98% | $12,847 | $13,230 | 58 | 52% | - | +$383 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
VXX
|
9 | 14 | +2.22% | $5,153 | $5,267 | 85 | 56% | - | +$114 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
WFC
|
36 | 26 | +1.03% | $13,997 | $14,141 | 59 | 54% | - | +$144 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
QQQ
|
17 | 3 | +0.60% | $10,157 | $10,218 | 49 | 49% | - | +$61 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
ARM
|
29 | 56🔥 | +0.43% | $12,578 | $12,632 | 104 | 60% | - | +$54 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
IWM
|
36 | 3🧊 | -0.80% | $13,557 | $13,448 | 48 | 52% | - | -$108 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
AMZN
|
21 | 5 | -0.95% | $11,017 | $10,913 | 63 | 56% | - | -$105 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
MSFT
|
33 | 12🧊 | -2.01% | $13,850 | $13,572 | 62 | 56% | - | -$278 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
TSLA
|
31 | 28 | -3.48% | $14,751 | $14,237 | 78 | 58% | - | -$513 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
NFLX
|
37 | 13🧊 | -3.82% | $15,397 | $14,809 | 61 | 56% | - | -$588 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
TLT
|
10 | 3 | -4.29% | $9,184 | $8,790 | 41 | 46% | - | -$394 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
MDT
|
15 | 6 | -5.28% | $10,550 | $9,993 | 56 | 46% | - | -$557 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
DKNG
|
13 | 18 | -5.93% | $9,250 | $8,701 | 90 | 59% | - | -$548 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
RIOT
|
11 | 61🔥 | -7.67% | $5,151 | $4,756 | 115 | 60% | - | -$395 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
NVDA
|
40 | 25 | -7.80% | $20,917 | $19,286 | 67 | 57% | - | -$1,632 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
REGN
|
11 | 6 | -9.11% | $9,057 | $8,232 | 59 | 56% | - | -$825 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
RIVN
|
10 | 12 | -9.35% | $4,728 | $4,286 | 97 | 59% | - | -$442 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
COIN
|
9 | 23 | -9.85% | $4,185 | $3,773 | 104 | 55% | - | -$412 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
LLY
|
23 | 5 | -10.08% | $13,195 | $11,865 | 66 | 48% | - | -$1,330 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
ABBV
|
25 | 30 | -12.29% | $13,256 | $11,627 | 58 | 55% | - | -$1,629 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
SLV
|
37 | 28 | -12.87% | $16,906 | $14,730 | 81 | 56% | - | -$2,176 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
DIS
|
8 | 3 | -13.95% | $9,821 | $8,451 | 52 | 42% | - | -$1,370 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
MCD
|
9 | 5 | -14.19% | $10,775 | $9,246 | 46 | 39% | - | -$1,529 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
MS
|
36 | 10🧊 | -14.96% | $17,119 | $14,558 | 60 | 50% | - | -$2,561 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
CRM
|
11 | 9 | -15.08% | $7,112 | $6,039 | 78 | 58% | - | -$1,072 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
LCID
|
9 | 53🔥 | -16.60% | $3,937 | $3,284 | 106 | 57% | - | -$654 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
UNH
|
10 | 9 | -18.00% | $8,759 | $7,182 | 54 | 48% | - | -$1,577 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
ACN
|
8 | 10 | -19.24% | $7,415 | $5,988 | 71 | 55% | - | -$1,427 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
GS
|
50 | 5🧊 | -21.19% | $21,993 | $17,332 | 61 | 51% | - | -$4,660 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
AMC
|
9 | 53🔥 | -21.31% | $4,795 | $3,774 | 95 | 55% | - | -$1,022 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
ADBE
|
9 | 9 | -21.37% | $7,564 | $5,947 | 78 | 55% | - | -$1,616 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
MARA
|
12 | 35🔥 | -23.60% | $10,549 | $8,059 | 120 | 56% | - | -$2,490 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
CMCSA
|
7 | 6 | -25.98% | $6,463 | $4,784 | 57 | 46% | - | -$1,679 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
ORCL
|
26 | 29 | -28.14% | $16,304 | $11,716 | 91 | 51% | - | -$4,588 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
ISRG
|
12 | 63🔥 | -28.47% | $12,376 | $8,852 | 63 | 46% | - | -$3,523 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
RBLX
|
37 | 61🔥 | -31.62% | $23,118 | $15,808 | 99 | 58% | - | -$7,310 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 17 | -32.85% | $9,756 | $6,551 | 90 | 50% | - | -$3,205 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
HD
|
9 | 3 | -33.02% | $12,193 | $8,167 | 60 | 37% | - | -$4,026 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
ARKK
|
12 | 49🔥 | -33.40% | $11,529 | $7,678 | 69 | 54% | - | -$3,851 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
AVGO
|
28 | 6🧊 | -33.73% | $18,447 | $12,225 | 75 | 52% | - | -$6,222 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
SOFI
|
11 | 31 | -34.12% | $11,841 | $7,801 | 91 | 52% | - | -$4,040 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
NIO
|
8 | 6 | -44.34% | $7,900 | $4,397 | 81 | 48% | - | -$3,503 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
IBM
|
12 | 9 | -49.24% | $13,205 | $6,703 | 75 | 56% | - | -$6,502 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
CRWD
|
— | — | -74.86% | $-16,705 | $-4,200 | NO ENTRY | - | - | +$12,505 | -37.8% | 1.8d | 1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.