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Professor Mean
8

Professor Mean

The Mathematician

📐 Swing Trader 📅 146 years old (Born 1880)

"Price is a drunk stumbling home. It may wander, but it always returns to the mean."

Impossibly old—a walking artifact from the Victorian era. Bow tie, antique spectacles, chalk dust on his academic robes. His hands shake slightly, but his mind is sharp.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jun 26, 2026 Jul 26, 2026 (30d)

📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Professor Mean's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,331
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,326 (+$5)
+0.05%
Last Month ROI
57.9%
Win Rate
543
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.0%
1 Month
+4.3%
3 Months
+5.8%
6 Months
+5.8%
YTD
+6.2%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Month)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Trade 2 standard deviation extremes back to mean

When price moves 2 standard deviations from its 20-day average, the move is statistically extreme. Professor Mean profits from the inevitable return to normalcy.

🎯 Best Suited For

Range-bound stocks and ETFs

"Everything reverts to the mean. Everything."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets overreact. Good news pushes prices above fair value; bad news pushes them below. Extremes are by definition unsustainable.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Z-Score ≤ -2.0 (price is 2+ std devs below mean)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Rules

• MEAN_REVERSION: Z-Score ≥ 0 (price returned to mean)
• STOP_LOSS: Z-Score ≤ -3.0 OR price ≤ entry × 0.92 (-8%)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 10 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MEAN_PERIOD: 20
ENTRY_STD_DEVS: 2
EXIT_AT_MEAN: 1
STOP_LOSS_STD_DEVS: 3
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 10

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Sir Francis Galton's regression to the mean

Sir Francis Galton was a polymath who, in the 1880s, discovered "regression toward mediocrity" while studying hereditary traits. The principle was universal: extreme measurements tend to be followed by less extreme ones.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Month: Jun 26, 2026 Jul 26, 2026 (30 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 CRWD 52 50 +9.04% $15,748 $17,172 5 80% - +$1,424 -12.6% 6.7h -
2 COIN 23 51🔥 +8.75% $10,623 $11,552 6 67% - +$929 -42.7% 6.1h -
3 AMC 53 52 +8.35% $18,813 $20,384 6 83% - +$1,571 -18.6% 5.2h -
4 RIVN 11 46🔥 +6.49% $8,009 $8,529 6 83% - +$520 -32.4% 7.7h -
5 CMCSA 14 50🔥 +5.95% $8,429 $8,930 7 100% - +$502 -19.7% 6.3h -
6 GOOGL 32 26 +5.41% $11,466 $12,087 4 50% - +$620 -9.9% 5.7h -
7 PANW 15 43🔥 +4.51% $9,783 $10,225 6 67% - +$441 -24.6% 6.9h -
8 NIO 12 37🔥 +4.24% $8,988 $9,369 5 80% - +$381 -30.0% 6.6h -
9 ACN 12 39🔥 +3.92% $8,543 $8,878 6 83% - +$335 -15.0% 6.8h -
10 MRNA 9 37🔥 +3.59% $5,347 $5,539 5 80% - +$192 -31.7% 6.1h -
11 SPXU 25 39 +3.31% $11,241 $11,613 6 83% - +$372 -19.1% 10.6h -
12 HOOD 29 32 +3.12% $12,163 $12,542 5 80% - +$379 -26.1% 6.6h -
13 MARA 31 38 +3.10% $13,648 $14,071 6 83% - +$423 -29.5% 6.1h -
14 AVGO 38 20 +2.94% $13,470 $13,866 5 40% - +$396 -12.8% 5.7h -
15 GS 66 32🧊 +2.39% $14,980 $15,338 6 67% - +$358 -3.9% 6.1h -
16 AMD 28 15 +2.14% $12,025 $12,282 5 40% - +$257 -28.5% 6.3h -
17 WFC 12 32 +2.13% $9,365 $9,564 5 80% - +$199 -15.9% 6.5h -
18 MA 31 28 +2.01% $10,995 $11,216 6 67% - +$221 -5.8% 7.6h -
19 AAPL 28 28 +1.64% $11,393 $11,580 4 100% - +$187 -13.3% 6.8h -
20 GME 13 34🔥 +1.56% $7,525 $7,643 6 83% - +$117 -44.4% 6.8h -
21 SLB 12 30 +1.51% $9,746 $9,893 5 80% - +$147 -18.4% 6.7h -
22 QQQ 37 37 +1.51% $11,401 $11,573 6 83% - +$172 -4.4% 6.1h -
23 DIS 11 34🔥 +1.48% $9,595 $9,737 6 83% - +$142 -21.3% 6.2h -
24 TQQQ 31 29 +1.25% $12,460 $12,616 5 60% - +$156 -17.9% 5.9h -
25 GILD 23 38 +1.22% $10,731 $10,862 6 83% - +$131 -18.5% 6.6h -
26 CSCO 19 18 +1.16% $10,174 $10,292 5 60% - +$118 -10.7% 7.5h -
27 BLK 54 28🧊 +1.03% $13,231 $13,367 5 80% - +$136 -4.0% 4.8h -
28 AMZN 30 19 +0.94% $12,113 $12,227 6 67% - +$114 -15.2% 5.8h -
29 IWM 17 16 +0.84% $10,129 $10,214 5 60% - +$85 -14.5% 7.0h -
30 VTI 25 25 +0.82% $10,735 $10,823 4 75% - +$88 -8.8% 6.0h -
31 XOM 18 32 +0.79% $10,141 $10,221 6 83% - +$80 -9.1% 5.5h -
32 XLK 36 10🧊 +0.75% $12,341 $12,434 6 33% - +$93 -11.6% 6.8h -
33 V 14 12 +0.73% $9,971 $10,043 6 50% - +$73 -5.0% 6.8h -
34 CRM 31 12 +0.68% $11,767 $11,847 5 60% - +$80 -9.2% 8.0h -
35 RBLX 40 13🧊 +0.64% $15,046 $15,143 6 67% - +$96 -18.1% 7.7h -
36 IBM 21 13 +0.62% $10,462 $10,527 4 75% - +$65 -9.2% 4.7h -
37 SCHW 38 20 +0.58% $12,128 $12,198 5 80% - +$70 -7.0% 5.7h -
38 PFE 22 21 +0.56% $10,626 $10,685 6 67% - +$60 -11.8% 6.2h -
39 TSLA 11 26 +0.52% $9,189 $9,237 4 75% - +$48 -25.6% 5.0h -
40 PLTR 44 5🧊 +0.48% $15,243 $15,316 5 40% - +$73 -11.2% 4.9h -
41 SPY 31 26 +0.45% $10,927 $10,976 5 80% - +$49 -7.1% 5.9h -
42 INTC 31 13 +0.24% $13,698 $13,731 6 67% - +$33 -24.3% 6.5h -
43 JPM 37 17 +0.18% $12,237 $12,259 5 80% - +$22 -7.6% 5.9h -
44 SLV 19 20 +0.16% $10,160 $10,177 6 67% - +$16 -25.0% 4.9h -
45 DIA 12 16 +0.14% $9,747 $9,760 4 75% - +$14 -11.0% 5.4h -
46 NFLX 27 3🧊 +0.08% $11,503 $11,513 5 40% - +$9 -13.7% 6.8h -
47 BRK-B 43 14🧊 +0.05% $12,003 $12,009 5 80% - +$6 -4.6% 6.3h -
48 CVX 29 17 -0.01% $11,014 $11,013 6 83% - -$1 -5.5% 6.1h -
49 HD 20 3 -0.03% $10,396 $10,392 6 33% - -$3 -5.1% 3.8h -
50 VRTX 39 6🧊 -0.04% $12,100 $12,096 6 50% - -$5 -5.5% 5.3h -
51 ARKK 27 2🧊 -0.06% $11,461 $11,454 5 20% - -$7 -16.4% 6.2h -
52 REGN 31 2🧊 -0.08% $12,047 $12,038 5 40% - -$10 -13.4% 6.7h -
53 MS 34 14 -0.13% $12,285 $12,269 6 83% - -$16 -9.7% 6.1h -
54 ORCL 9 7 -0.19% $9,837 $9,818 5 60% - -$19 -27.9% 6.9h -
55 BMY 50 13🧊 -0.23% $15,160 $15,126 5 80% - -$35 -10.5% 5.6h -
56 TLT 12 10 -0.30% $10,021 $9,991 7 57% - -$30 -6.8% 5.3h -
57 VZ 14 13 -0.31% $9,938 $9,907 5 80% - -$31 -12.7% 5.7h -
58 PYPL 13 15 -0.34% $10,050 $10,016 5 60% - -$34 -17.7% 6.3h -
59 XLF 30 2🧊 -0.37% $11,189 $11,147 5 40% - -$41 -5.4% 6.9h -
60 VOO 35 11🧊 -0.38% $11,340 $11,297 5 60% - -$43 -5.6% 5.6h -
61 C 45 6🧊 -0.39% $13,116 $13,064 6 50% - -$51 -6.0% 5.3h -
62 XLE 11 8 -0.41% $9,727 $9,687 5 60% - -$40 -13.3% 5.3h -
63 MSFT 11 0 -0.58% $9,226 $9,173 3 33% - -$54 -10.0% 4.8h -
64 MCD 40 6🧊 -0.58% $12,286 $12,214 6 50% - -$71 -4.1% 5.4h -
65 OXY 10 2 -0.64% $9,277 $9,218 5 40% - -$59 -17.0% 6.1h -
66 COP 16 3 -0.66% $10,314 $10,246 4 50% - -$68 -18.3% 5.6h -
67 MDT 12 3 -0.83% $9,511 $9,432 6 33% - -$79 -13.7% 4.9h -
68 TMO 12 2 -0.87% $9,646 $9,562 5 40% - -$84 -13.7% 5.2h -
69 NVDA 49 3🧊 -0.91% $16,139 $15,993 4 50% - -$147 -11.5% 4.4h -
70 WMT 25 7 -0.96% $10,740 $10,637 5 60% - -$103 -4.5% 6.2h -
71 AMGN 32 11🧊 -0.97% $11,969 $11,853 6 67% - -$116 -10.0% 4.5h -
72 COST 20 10 -0.98% $10,447 $10,345 7 57% - -$102 -7.2% 5.7h -
73 PG 34 3🧊 -1.10% $11,673 $11,545 6 33% - -$128 -7.0% 6.1h -
74 DKNG 28 6🧊 -1.14% $11,919 $11,783 6 50% - -$136 -14.0% 5.1h -
75 AXP 27 13 -1.19% $11,468 $11,331 5 80% - -$136 -12.7% 4.9h -
76 UNH 22 6 -1.52% $10,563 $10,402 6 50% - -$161 -22.2% 5.8h -
77 BIIB 14 3 -1.65% $9,449 $9,293 6 17% - -$156 -26.8% 4.7h -
78 LLY 13 11 -1.65% $9,165 $9,014 6 67% - -$151 -24.9% 5.9h -
79 VXX 28 6🧊 -1.89% $13,005 $12,759 6 50% - -$246 -19.3% 6.2h -
80 USO 34 2🧊 -1.90% $13,055 $12,807 5 20% - -$248 -11.5% 5.6h -
81 MRK 43 3🧊 -1.91% $13,478 $13,220 6 33% - -$257 -8.0% 4.8h -
82 ABBV 14 3 -1.91% $9,941 $9,751 6 33% - -$190 -17.6% 6.6h -
83 ARM 20 2 -1.92% $11,007 $10,795 5 20% - -$211 -16.8% 6.3h -
84 BAC 22 7 -1.95% $10,915 $10,703 5 60% - -$213 -7.2% 6.8h -
85 UVXY 22 6 -2.02% $11,418 $11,187 6 50% - -$231 -33.5% 6.8h -
86 META 32 3🧊 -2.05% $11,764 $11,523 4 50% - -$241 -5.9% 5.3h -
87 JNJ 46 6🧊 -2.17% $12,747 $12,471 6 50% - -$277 -5.7% 5.0h -
88 GLD 10 6 -2.20% $9,835 $9,618 6 50% - -$216 -7.6% 5.1h -
89 KO 29 1🧊 -2.22% $11,233 $10,984 4 25% - -$249 -6.2% 5.8h -
90 PM 12 3 -2.25% $9,580 $9,364 4 50% - -$216 -10.7% 5.3h -
91 ISRG 31 2🧊 -2.27% $12,669 $12,382 5 20% - -$288 -17.0% 4.5h -
92 SNOW 27 7 -2.45% $12,122 $11,825 5 60% - -$297 -17.7% 6.3h -
93 SQQQ 8 2 -2.62% $5,615 $5,468 5 40% - -$147 -42.9% 6.3h -
94 SOFI 25 2🧊 -3.22% $11,656 $11,280 5 40% - -$375 -26.0% 5.5h -
95 LCID 10 3 -3.56% $8,048 $7,761 4 50% - -$287 -30.7% 5.2h -
96 ADBE 10 2 -3.67% $8,011 $7,717 5 40% - -$294 -18.6% 6.8h -
97 NET 31 1🧊 -3.76% $13,534 $13,025 4 0% - -$509 -16.9% 6.4h -
98 RIOT 11 1 -4.42% $10,019 $9,576 4 25% - -$443 -50.0% 7.1h -
99 PEP 13 3 -5.36% $10,285 $9,734 6 33% - -$551 -12.9% 6.3h -
100 SMCI 14 7 -6.51% $7,527 $7,037 5 60% - -$490 -55.7% 5.3h -
101 MU 29 3🧊 -7.84% $13,490 $12,432 6 33% - -$1,058 -23.5% 4.9h -
102 SOXL 50 3🧊 -9.71% $30,766 $27,779 6 33% - -$2,987 -43.9% 5.2h -

👤 Personality

Speaks in equations. Finds human behavior predictable and slightly disappointing. Gets genuinely excited about standard deviations.