11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,557
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,375
(+$181)
+1.46%
Last Month ROI
58.2%
Win Rate
813
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Month)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Month:
Apr 26, 2026
→
May 26, 2026
(30 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 1M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SNOW
|
38 | 81🔥 | +24.49% | $14,770 | $18,387 | 9 | 78% | - | +$3,617 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
AMD
|
26 | 73🔥 | +21.23% | $10,943 | $13,267 | 14 | 79% | - | +$2,323 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
INTC
|
36 | 78🔥 | +19.63% | $15,004 | $17,950 | 12 | 83% | - | +$2,945 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
CRWD
|
23 | 80🔥 | +17.28% | $9,412 | $11,039 | 9 | 89% | - | +$1,626 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 79🔥 | +17.09% | $5,584 | $6,538 | 11 | 82% | - | +$954 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
NET
|
40 | 84🔥 | +16.06% | $14,751 | $17,120 | 12 | 83% | - | +$2,369 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
GOOGL
|
59 | 71 | +15.37% | $22,243 | $25,662 | 7 | 86% | - | +$3,419 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
AMC
|
9 | 46🔥 | +13.83% | $4,056 | $4,617 | 12 | 67% | - | +$561 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
TSLA
|
30 | 60🔥 | +12.62% | $12,151 | $13,684 | 11 | 73% | - | +$1,533 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
SOXL
|
43 | 24 | +11.87% | $20,192 | $22,589 | 14 | 64% | - | +$2,397 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
QQQ
|
24 | 49🔥 | +10.80% | $10,255 | $11,362 | 6 | 100% | - | +$1,108 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
CSCO 🔥 PRO
|
72 | 63 | +10.45% | $18,512 | $20,447 | 8 | 75% | - | +$1,935 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
SMCI
|
12 | 50🔥 | +10.39% | $8,300 | $9,162 | 12 | 58% | - | +$862 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
MU
|
41 | 49 | +9.70% | $17,599 | $19,306 | 13 | 77% | - | +$1,707 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
SLB
|
21 | 50🔥 | +9.06% | $10,106 | $11,021 | 7 | 86% | - | +$916 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
BIIB
|
10 | 52🔥 | +8.30% | $8,292 | $8,980 | 6 | 83% | - | +$688 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
AAPL
|
39 | 52 | +8.00% | $13,747 | $14,847 | 7 | 71% | - | +$1,100 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
C
|
31 | 34 | +7.72% | $12,246 | $13,192 | 7 | 71% | - | +$945 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
PM
|
38 | 62🔥 | +7.53% | $13,313 | $14,315 | 8 | 75% | - | +$1,002 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
ACN
|
8 | 57🔥 | +7.20% | $6,504 | $6,972 | 8 | 75% | - | +$468 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
HOOD
|
11 | 48🔥 | +7.16% | $9,251 | $9,914 | 10 | 70% | - | +$662 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
ARM
|
39 | 36 | +6.97% | $17,404 | $18,617 | 14 | 71% | - | +$1,213 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
VOO
|
56 | 35🧊 | +6.62% | $15,024 | $16,018 | 5 | 100% | - | +$995 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
IWM
|
40 | 39 | +6.56% | $13,698 | $14,597 | 6 | 83% | - | +$899 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
XLK
|
27 | 43 | +6.55% | $11,508 | $12,261 | 7 | 71% | - | +$754 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
UVXY
|
10 | 43🔥 | +6.41% | $8,900 | $9,471 | 10 | 70% | - | +$571 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
SPY
|
54 | 35 | +6.26% | $14,621 | $15,536 | 5 | 100% | - | +$915 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
NIO
|
9 | 32🔥 | +6.11% | $6,479 | $6,875 | 11 | 73% | - | +$396 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
VTI
|
52 | 43 | +6.07% | $14,312 | $15,181 | 5 | 100% | - | +$869 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
LLY
|
23 | 29 | +6.01% | $11,182 | $11,854 | 8 | 63% | - | +$672 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
KO
|
34 | 45 | +5.73% | $12,646 | $13,370 | 6 | 67% | - | +$725 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
BRK-B
|
46 | 41 | +5.44% | $14,014 | $14,776 | 6 | 83% | - | +$762 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
AXP
|
56 | 30🧊 | +5.20% | $18,371 | $19,326 | 6 | 67% | - | +$955 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
PLTR
|
46 | 43 | +5.18% | $19,339 | $20,341 | 10 | 70% | - | +$1,002 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
MS
|
42 | 22 | +5.10% | $15,861 | $16,670 | 7 | 57% | - | +$809 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
PANW
|
45 | 28 | +4.82% | $16,540 | $17,338 | 10 | 70% | - | +$797 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
AMGN
|
25 | 33 | +4.28% | $11,000 | $11,471 | 6 | 67% | - | +$471 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
VZ
|
21 | 25 | +4.09% | $10,403 | $10,829 | 5 | 80% | - | +$425 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
OXY
|
38 | 34 | +3.96% | $15,275 | $15,880 | 8 | 75% | - | +$605 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
BLK
|
33 | 31 | +3.76% | $12,940 | $13,427 | 6 | 50% | - | +$487 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
BAC
|
39 | 24 | +3.24% | $14,673 | $15,148 | 7 | 57% | - | +$475 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
SCHW
|
25 | 28 | +3.21% | $11,252 | $11,613 | 6 | 67% | - | +$361 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
GILD
|
37 | 24 | +2.86% | $14,114 | $14,518 | 6 | 67% | - | +$404 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
VRTX
|
22 | 13 | +2.80% | $10,778 | $11,080 | 7 | 57% | - | +$302 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
AMZN
|
30 | 23 | +2.69% | $12,661 | $13,001 | 5 | 60% | - | +$341 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
DIA
|
41 | 24 | +2.68% | $13,335 | $13,693 | 6 | 50% | - | +$357 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
BMY
|
11 | 19 | +1.84% | $9,548 | $9,724 | 7 | 57% | - | +$176 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
JNJ
|
47 | 12🧊 | +1.72% | $14,160 | $14,404 | 5 | 40% | - | +$244 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
ARKK
|
11 | 19 | +1.48% | $7,979 | $8,097 | 6 | 67% | - | +$118 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
GS
|
60 | 6🧊 | +1.38% | $20,224 | $20,503 | 7 | 57% | - | +$279 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
V
|
35 | 16 | +1.20% | $12,878 | $13,033 | 6 | 33% | - | +$155 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
ABBV
|
19 | 19 | +1.16% | $10,353 | $10,473 | 8 | 63% | - | +$120 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
TLT
|
10 | 1 | +0.65% | $8,934 | $8,992 | 5 | 40% | - | +$58 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
MRK
|
12 | 6 | +0.55% | $9,133 | $9,183 | 5 | 40% | - | +$50 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
XOM
|
49 | 14🧊 | +0.53% | $16,460 | $16,547 | 6 | 67% | - | +$87 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
XLE
|
63 | 26🧊 | -0.13% | $19,250 | $19,225 | 6 | 67% | - | -$25 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
PEP
|
20 | 7 | -0.48% | $10,692 | $10,640 | 7 | 43% | - | -$51 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
MSFT
|
30 | 10🧊 | -0.58% | $12,789 | $12,715 | 7 | 57% | - | -$74 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
ADBE
|
8 | 22 | -0.63% | $6,408 | $6,368 | 7 | 57% | - | -$40 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
MARA
|
11 | 16 | -0.73% | $7,000 | $6,948 | 13 | 62% | - | -$51 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
JPM
|
36 | 5🧊 | -0.75% | $14,478 | $14,370 | 7 | 43% | - | -$109 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
CRM
|
10 | 12 | -0.93% | $6,500 | $6,439 | 9 | 56% | - | -$60 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
NVDA
|
45 | 10🧊 | -1.06% | $22,210 | $21,975 | 7 | 57% | - | -$235 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
CVX
|
70 | 23🧊 | -1.28% | $21,173 | $20,902 | 6 | 67% | - | -$271 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
UNH
|
10 | 7 | -1.44% | $7,596 | $7,487 | 6 | 50% | - | -$109 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
GLD
|
65 | 2🧊 | -1.45% | $19,513 | $19,230 | 6 | 33% | - | -$283 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
COST
|
34 | 20 | -1.45% | $13,179 | $12,988 | 8 | 50% | - | -$191 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
PYPL
|
10 | 2 | -1.91% | $8,202 | $8,045 | 6 | 33% | - | -$157 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
COP
|
29 | 19 | -1.98% | $12,080 | $11,841 | 8 | 63% | - | -$239 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
SPXU
|
19 | 12 | -2.11% | $10,738 | $10,512 | 9 | 56% | - | -$227 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
SLV
|
31 | 9🧊 | -2.49% | $13,494 | $13,158 | 9 | 56% | - | -$336 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
WFC
|
34 | 2🧊 | -2.51% | $13,548 | $13,208 | 5 | 40% | - | -$340 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
MRNA
|
43 | 16🧊 | -2.75% | $22,146 | $21,537 | 12 | 58% | - | -$609 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
USO
|
32 | 19 | -2.90% | $13,400 | $13,011 | 11 | 55% | - | -$389 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
XLF
|
34 | 1🧊 | -2.95% | $13,918 | $13,508 | 5 | 20% | - | -$411 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
COIN
|
9 | 14 | -3.43% | $3,735 | $3,607 | 12 | 50% | - | -$128 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
PFE
|
9 | 1 | -3.50% | $8,544 | $8,245 | 5 | 20% | - | -$299 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
PG
|
17 | 2 | -3.80% | $10,733 | $10,325 | 5 | 40% | - | -$408 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
AVGO
|
40 | 5🧊 | -3.90% | $17,701 | $17,011 | 8 | 50% | - | -$690 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
IBM
|
50 | 10🧊 | -4.14% | $16,121 | $15,453 | 8 | 50% | - | -$667 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
ORCL
|
30 | 12 | -4.22% | $14,947 | $14,317 | 9 | 56% | - | -$631 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
GME
|
25 | 14 | -4.51% | $12,403 | $11,844 | 11 | 55% | - | -$559 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
WMT
|
52 | 3🧊 | -5.31% | $18,275 | $17,305 | 6 | 33% | - | -$970 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
LCID
|
8 | 15 | -5.46% | $3,146 | $2,975 | 10 | 60% | - | -$172 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
RIOT
|
11 | 15 | -5.63% | $5,732 | $5,410 | 13 | 54% | - | -$323 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 1 | -5.66% | $5,465 | $5,156 | 5 | 40% | - | -$309 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
DKNG
|
12 | 14 | -6.41% | $8,298 | $7,766 | 11 | 55% | - | -$532 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
MA
|
36 | 6🧊 | -6.42% | $14,133 | $13,226 | 7 | 43% | - | -$907 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
MDT
|
7 | 3 | -7.68% | $9,478 | $8,750 | 7 | 29% | - | -$728 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
NFLX
|
44 | 2🧊 | -7.83% | $18,300 | $16,867 | 6 | 17% | - | -$1,433 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
TMO
|
10 | 5 | -8.09% | $9,162 | $8,420 | 7 | 29% | - | -$741 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
VXX
|
10 | 9 | -8.54% | $8,368 | $7,653 | 9 | 44% | - | -$715 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
DIS
|
8 | 2 | -8.70% | $9,008 | $8,225 | 6 | 17% | - | -$784 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
MCD
|
16 | 1 | -9.22% | $11,315 | $10,271 | 5 | 0% | - | -$1,043 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
ISRG
|
11 | 1 | -10.06% | $10,700 | $9,623 | 5 | 0% | - | -$1,076 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
META
|
32 | 3🧊 | -10.32% | $16,419 | $14,724 | 7 | 43% | - | -$1,694 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
SOFI
|
10 | 14 | -11.68% | $8,829 | $7,798 | 11 | 55% | - | -$1,031 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
RIVN
|
10 | 7 | -12.26% | $5,292 | $4,643 | 10 | 40% | - | -$649 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
SQQQ
|
9 | 9 | -12.30% | $6,340 | $5,560 | 11 | 36% | - | -$780 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
REGN
|
11 | 10 | -12.82% | $8,315 | $7,249 | 8 | 63% | - | -$1,066 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
HD
|
9 | 6 | -13.40% | $11,319 | $9,803 | 9 | 22% | - | -$1,517 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
RBLX
|
32 | 16 | -23.72% | $18,669 | $14,241 | 12 | 58% | - | -$4,428 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.