11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,922
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,734
(+$188)
+1.48%
Last Month ROI
53.3%
Win Rate
883
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Month)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Month:
Aug 24, 2026
→
Sep 24, 2026
(31 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 1M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SOXL
|
51 | 91🔥 | +41.35% | $19,175 | $27,104 | 15 | 87% | - | +$7,929 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
META
|
34 | 79🔥 | +39.66% | $11,305 | $15,788 | 10 | 100% | - | +$4,483 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
INTC
|
35 | 86🔥 | +25.70% | $14,552 | $18,292 | 14 | 79% | - | +$3,740 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
AMD
|
32 | 69🔥 | +21.56% | $13,610 | $16,545 | 11 | 82% | - | +$2,934 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
SNOW
|
50 | 58 | +20.16% | $23,051 | $27,698 | 9 | 56% | - | +$4,647 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
GME
|
33 | 75🔥 | +19.61% | $12,569 | $15,034 | 10 | 80% | - | +$2,465 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
USO
|
35 | 58🔥 | +18.44% | $12,707 | $15,051 | 11 | 73% | - | +$2,343 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
MU
|
45 | 50 | +13.56% | $19,535 | $22,184 | 11 | 91% | - | +$2,649 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
AMC
|
9 | 53🔥 | +12.47% | $3,355 | $3,774 | 13 | 77% | - | +$418 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
SMCI
|
11 | 46🔥 | +12.02% | $6,700 | $7,506 | 14 | 64% | - | +$805 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
LCID
|
9 | 53🔥 | +11.93% | $2,934 | $3,284 | 13 | 69% | - | +$350 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
NET
|
40 | 48 | +11.82% | $16,356 | $18,289 | 11 | 73% | - | +$1,933 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
GOOGL
|
63 | 58 | +11.18% | $25,045 | $27,845 | 7 | 86% | - | +$2,800 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
MRNA 🔥 PRO
|
77 | 62 | +11.14% | $47,617 | $52,922 | 15 | 73% | - | +$5,305 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
RBLX
|
37 | 61🔥 | +10.30% | $14,332 | $15,808 | 11 | 64% | - | +$1,476 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
PANW
|
61 | 49 | +9.75% | $21,330 | $23,410 | 12 | 67% | - | +$2,080 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
ARM
|
29 | 56🔥 | +9.17% | $11,571 | $12,632 | 12 | 67% | - | +$1,061 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
ISRG
|
12 | 63🔥 | +9.14% | $8,111 | $8,852 | 10 | 80% | - | +$741 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
RIOT
|
11 | 61🔥 | +9.05% | $4,361 | $4,756 | 15 | 73% | - | +$395 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
SQQQ
|
10 | 39🔥 | +9.03% | $7,368 | $8,033 | 10 | 80% | - | +$665 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
WMT
|
49 | 48 | +7.66% | $15,493 | $16,680 | 8 | 75% | - | +$1,187 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
ARKK
|
12 | 49🔥 | +7.19% | $7,163 | $7,678 | 8 | 75% | - | +$515 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
PLTR
|
56 | 39 | +6.78% | $23,883 | $25,502 | 10 | 60% | - | +$1,619 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
COP
|
33 | 34 | +6.63% | $12,464 | $13,290 | 8 | 63% | - | +$826 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
AAPL
|
49 | 40 | +6.09% | $17,216 | $18,264 | 6 | 67% | - | +$1,048 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
JNJ
|
55 | 30🧊 | +5.44% | $15,449 | $16,289 | 9 | 67% | - | +$840 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
PG
|
27 | 38 | +5.38% | $11,114 | $11,712 | 7 | 71% | - | +$598 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
CVX
|
70 | 23🧊 | +5.13% | $21,308 | $22,401 | 8 | 63% | - | +$1,093 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
C
|
34 | 33 | +4.59% | $13,439 | $14,056 | 6 | 67% | - | +$617 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
BRK-B
|
53 | 42 | +4.48% | $15,338 | $16,025 | 7 | 86% | - | +$687 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
WFC
|
36 | 26 | +4.46% | $13,537 | $14,141 | 9 | 44% | - | +$604 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
SOFI
|
11 | 31 | +4.34% | $7,477 | $7,801 | 11 | 55% | - | +$324 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
SPXU
|
28 | 17 | +4.16% | $12,328 | $12,841 | 8 | 63% | - | +$513 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
XLE
|
70 | 26🧊 | +3.76% | $21,213 | $22,010 | 7 | 57% | - | +$798 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
TSLA
|
31 | 28 | +3.65% | $13,736 | $14,237 | 8 | 63% | - | +$501 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
SLV
|
37 | 28 | +3.39% | $14,247 | $14,730 | 8 | 63% | - | +$483 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
NVDA
|
40 | 25 | +3.04% | $18,717 | $19,286 | 9 | 56% | - | +$569 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
PYPL
|
21 | 26 | +2.69% | $10,577 | $10,861 | 8 | 63% | - | +$285 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
ABBV
|
25 | 30 | +2.69% | $11,323 | $11,627 | 8 | 75% | - | +$305 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
HOOD
|
29 | 12 | +2.02% | $13,197 | $13,464 | 12 | 58% | - | +$267 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
MA
|
44 | 14🧊 | +1.99% | $15,105 | $15,406 | 7 | 43% | - | +$301 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
GILD
|
42 | 26 | +1.90% | $15,819 | $16,120 | 9 | 67% | - | +$301 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
PM
|
38 | 14🧊 | +1.55% | $14,800 | $15,030 | 8 | 50% | - | +$229 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
TMO
|
19 | 5 | +1.26% | $10,612 | $10,745 | 8 | 50% | - | +$134 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
VXX
|
9 | 14 | +0.84% | $5,223 | $5,267 | 9 | 44% | - | +$44 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
MARA
|
12 | 35🔥 | +0.70% | $8,003 | $8,059 | 14 | 57% | - | +$56 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
OXY
|
31 | 10🧊 | +0.59% | $13,645 | $13,726 | 9 | 56% | - | +$81 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
UNH
|
10 | 9 | +0.52% | $7,145 | $7,182 | 7 | 57% | - | +$37 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
MSFT
|
33 | 12🧊 | +0.41% | $13,516 | $13,572 | 8 | 63% | - | +$55 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
JPM
|
36 | 6🧊 | -0.01% | $14,688 | $14,686 | 6 | 50% | - | -$1 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
VZ
|
28 | 10 | -0.02% | $11,814 | $11,812 | 8 | 63% | - | -$2 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
VOO
|
59 | 3🧊 | -0.08% | $16,343 | $16,330 | 7 | 29% | - | -$13 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
SCHW
|
39 | 11🧊 | -0.15% | $14,766 | $14,744 | 7 | 71% | - | -$22 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
SLB
|
11 | 9 | -0.36% | $9,995 | $9,959 | 9 | 44% | - | -$36 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
XLK
|
21 | 5 | -0.41% | $10,872 | $10,827 | 7 | 43% | - | -$45 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
SPY
|
55 | 3🧊 | -0.54% | $15,722 | $15,638 | 7 | 29% | - | -$85 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
KO
|
34 | 6🧊 | -0.70% | $13,836 | $13,739 | 6 | 50% | - | -$97 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
NFLX
|
37 | 13🧊 | -0.80% | $14,928 | $14,809 | 8 | 63% | - | -$119 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
PFE
|
10 | 10 | -0.85% | $8,789 | $8,715 | 7 | 57% | - | -$75 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
TLT
|
10 | 3 | -1.00% | $8,878 | $8,790 | 7 | 43% | - | -$89 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
V
|
49 | 2🧊 | -1.11% | $16,458 | $16,275 | 5 | 20% | - | -$183 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
VTI
|
51 | 3🧊 | -1.13% | $15,385 | $15,211 | 7 | 29% | - | -$174 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
QQQ
|
17 | 3 | -1.34% | $10,357 | $10,218 | 7 | 14% | - | -$139 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
COST
|
34 | 6🧊 | -1.37% | $13,831 | $13,642 | 7 | 57% | - | -$189 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
UVXY
|
10 | 12 | -1.39% | $9,300 | $9,171 | 10 | 50% | - | -$129 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
COIN
|
9 | 23 | -1.40% | $3,827 | $3,773 | 13 | 46% | - | -$54 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
XOM
|
50 | 10🧊 | -1.60% | $17,371 | $17,093 | 8 | 50% | - | -$278 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
LLY
|
23 | 5 | -1.64% | $12,063 | $11,865 | 8 | 50% | - | -$198 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
AMZN
|
21 | 5 | -1.70% | $11,101 | $10,913 | 8 | 38% | - | -$189 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
DIA
|
43 | 3🧊 | -1.77% | $14,660 | $14,400 | 7 | 29% | - | -$259 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
XLF
|
41 | 3🧊 | -1.84% | $15,548 | $15,262 | 7 | 43% | - | -$286 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
DIS
|
8 | 3 | -2.02% | $8,626 | $8,451 | 7 | 43% | - | -$174 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
BIIB
|
11 | 6 | -2.44% | $9,999 | $9,755 | 7 | 43% | - | -$244 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
DKNG
|
13 | 18 | -2.60% | $8,933 | $8,701 | 11 | 55% | - | -$232 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 17 | -2.72% | $6,734 | $6,551 | 10 | 40% | - | -$183 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
PEP
|
25 | 10 | -2.73% | $11,913 | $11,588 | 8 | 63% | - | -$325 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
MS
|
36 | 10🧊 | -2.78% | $14,975 | $14,558 | 7 | 57% | - | -$416 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
ORCL
|
26 | 29 | -3.01% | $12,080 | $11,716 | 11 | 55% | - | -$364 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
MDT
|
15 | 6 | -3.10% | $10,312 | $9,993 | 7 | 43% | - | -$320 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
RIVN
|
10 | 12 | -3.61% | $4,447 | $4,286 | 10 | 50% | - | -$161 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
REGN
|
11 | 6 | -3.67% | $8,546 | $8,232 | 7 | 43% | - | -$314 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
BMY
|
25 | 3🧊 | -3.73% | $12,776 | $12,300 | 6 | 33% | - | -$477 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
MRK
|
22 | 9 | -4.34% | $11,430 | $10,934 | 8 | 50% | - | -$496 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
VRTX
|
27 | 3🧊 | -4.65% | $12,536 | $11,953 | 6 | 33% | - | -$583 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
CSCO
|
70 | 5🧊 | -5.50% | $21,027 | $19,871 | 8 | 25% | - | -$1,157 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
GS
|
50 | 5🧊 | -5.63% | $18,366 | $17,332 | 7 | 43% | - | -$1,034 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
IBM
|
12 | 9 | -5.68% | $7,106 | $6,703 | 10 | 40% | - | -$404 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
AMGN
|
32 | 12 | -6.09% | $13,953 | $13,103 | 10 | 60% | - | -$850 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
GLD
|
57 | 2🧊 | -6.25% | $19,185 | $17,986 | 5 | 20% | - | -$1,199 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
CRM
|
11 | 9 | -6.41% | $6,453 | $6,039 | 9 | 56% | - | -$414 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
ACN
|
8 | 10 | -6.88% | $6,431 | $5,988 | 8 | 50% | - | -$442 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
AXP
|
59 | 5🧊 | -6.89% | $21,387 | $19,913 | 8 | 38% | - | -$1,474 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
IWM
|
36 | 3🧊 | -7.33% | $14,512 | $13,448 | 7 | 0% | - | -$1,064 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
BAC
|
42 | 3🧊 | -8.29% | $17,710 | $16,242 | 6 | 17% | - | -$1,468 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
MCD
|
9 | 5 | -9.07% | $10,169 | $9,246 | 8 | 38% | - | -$922 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
AVGO
|
28 | 6🧊 | -9.20% | $13,464 | $12,225 | 7 | 43% | - | -$1,239 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
BLK
|
32 | 5🧊 | -9.66% | $14,645 | $13,230 | 7 | 29% | - | -$1,415 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
NIO
|
8 | 6 | -11.35% | $4,960 | $4,397 | 9 | 33% | - | -$563 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
CMCSA
|
7 | 6 | -11.99% | $5,436 | $4,784 | 8 | 25% | - | -$652 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
ADBE
|
9 | 9 | -14.51% | $6,957 | $5,947 | 10 | 30% | - | -$1,009 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
HD
|
9 | 3 | -14.60% | $9,563 | $8,167 | 7 | 29% | - | -$1,396 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
CRWD
|
— | — | -71.88% | $-14,934 | $-4,200 | NO ENTRY | - | - | +$10,735 | -37.8% | 1.8d | 1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.