11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$11,949
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,221
($-272)
-2.23%
Last Month ROI
48.9%
Win Rate
922
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Month)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Month:
Mar 3, 2026
→
Apr 3, 2026
(30 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 1M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
VXX
|
9 | 100🔥 | +30.62% | $5,675 | $7,413 | 17 | 76% | - | +$1,738 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
OXY
|
37 | 87🔥 | +17.95% | $13,151 | $15,512 | 12 | 83% | - | +$2,361 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
USO
|
30 | 60🔥 | +17.56% | $10,782 | $12,676 | 14 | 79% | - | +$1,893 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
RIVN
|
10 | 68🔥 | +16.57% | $4,186 | $4,880 | 13 | 69% | - | +$694 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
SPXU
|
22 | 84🔥 | +13.51% | $9,607 | $10,905 | 13 | 77% | - | +$1,298 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
INTC
|
29 | 48 | +10.95% | $12,386 | $13,742 | 12 | 58% | - | +$1,356 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
LCID
|
9 | 48🔥 | +10.42% | $3,000 | $3,313 | 12 | 75% | - | +$313 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
SQQQ
|
10 | 55🔥 | +9.98% | $6,545 | $7,198 | 15 | 73% | - | +$653 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
XLE
|
62 | 60 | +9.97% | $17,436 | $19,174 | 8 | 88% | - | +$1,738 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
CVX 🔥 PRO
|
71 | 59 | +9.93% | $19,081 | $20,976 | 7 | 86% | - | +$1,895 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
NET
|
32 | 38 | +8.50% | $12,668 | $13,745 | 13 | 69% | - | +$1,077 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
PANW
|
41 | 49 | +8.14% | $14,263 | $15,424 | 11 | 82% | - | +$1,161 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
COIN
|
9 | 42🔥 | +6.89% | $3,598 | $3,846 | 14 | 64% | - | +$248 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
ARM
|
32 | 38 | +6.89% | $13,300 | $14,216 | 13 | 62% | - | +$916 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
COP
|
24 | 44 | +6.67% | $10,431 | $11,127 | 9 | 78% | - | +$696 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
NFLX
|
46 | 39 | +6.12% | $16,627 | $17,645 | 8 | 63% | - | +$1,018 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
SNOW
|
33 | 39 | +5.65% | $14,316 | $15,125 | 12 | 67% | - | +$809 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
SLB
|
10 | 38🔥 | +5.33% | $8,572 | $9,029 | 11 | 64% | - | +$457 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
CRM
|
10 | 24 | +4.26% | $6,173 | $6,436 | 9 | 67% | - | +$263 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
PFE
|
10 | 35🔥 | +3.60% | $8,481 | $8,787 | 5 | 80% | - | +$305 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
AMD
|
10 | 33🔥 | +3.16% | $8,622 | $8,895 | 12 | 67% | - | +$272 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
NIO
|
9 | 22 | +3.15% | $6,313 | $6,512 | 13 | 62% | - | +$199 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
JNJ
|
47 | 21🧊 | +1.94% | $13,943 | $14,213 | 6 | 67% | - | +$270 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
SMCI
|
12 | 16 | +1.75% | $7,442 | $7,572 | 15 | 60% | - | +$130 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
VZ
|
26 | 15 | +1.55% | $11,185 | $11,358 | 6 | 50% | - | +$173 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
WMT
|
53 | 17🧊 | +0.99% | $17,214 | $17,385 | 6 | 67% | - | +$170 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
MRNA
|
43 | 22🧊 | +0.92% | $21,155 | $21,349 | 13 | 54% | - | +$195 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
LLY
|
28 | 14 | +0.84% | $12,665 | $12,772 | 8 | 50% | - | +$106 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
MRK
|
12 | 11 | +0.80% | $9,548 | $9,624 | 7 | 43% | - | +$76 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
ORCL
|
31 | 9🧊 | +0.77% | $14,472 | $14,584 | 10 | 50% | - | +$111 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
TMO
|
11 | 10 | +0.75% | $9,597 | $9,669 | 8 | 63% | - | +$72 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
BAC
|
33 | 17 | +0.59% | $13,175 | $13,253 | 8 | 63% | - | +$78 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
ISRG
|
25 | 12 | +0.41% | $11,416 | $11,463 | 7 | 57% | - | +$47 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
NVDA
|
41 | 10🧊 | +0.05% | $19,660 | $19,670 | 8 | 50% | - | +$10 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
XLK
|
11 | 11 | +0.00% | $9,898 | $9,898 | 6 | 67% | - | - | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
AXP
|
51 | 5🧊 | -0.04% | $17,140 | $17,133 | 7 | 43% | - | -$7 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
BRK-B
|
43 | 7🧊 | -0.62% | $14,071 | $13,984 | 5 | 60% | - | -$87 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
XLF
|
34 | 2🧊 | -0.83% | $13,143 | $13,034 | 6 | 50% | - | -$109 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
JPM
|
32 | 14 | -0.98% | $13,385 | $13,254 | 7 | 71% | - | -$131 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
BLK
|
30 | 12 | -1.09% | $12,664 | $12,526 | 9 | 56% | - | -$138 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
AMZN
|
23 | 12 | -1.31% | $11,242 | $11,094 | 10 | 60% | - | -$147 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
PEP
|
19 | 11 | -1.67% | $10,755 | $10,575 | 6 | 67% | - | -$180 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
SCHW
|
29 | 9 | -1.74% | $12,409 | $12,193 | 9 | 44% | - | -$216 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
WFC
|
35 | 10🧊 | -1.75% | $13,670 | $13,430 | 7 | 57% | - | -$239 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
XOM
|
47 | 9🧊 | -1.84% | $15,950 | $15,656 | 8 | 50% | - | -$293 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
VRTX
|
23 | 5 | -1.97% | $11,255 | $11,033 | 7 | 43% | - | -$222 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
AAPL
|
32 | 7🧊 | -2.30% | $13,035 | $12,736 | 5 | 60% | - | -$300 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
MS
|
34 | 12🧊 | -2.43% | $14,337 | $13,989 | 10 | 50% | - | -$348 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
COST
|
31 | 2🧊 | -2.59% | $12,934 | $12,599 | 6 | 50% | - | -$335 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
C
|
26 | 12 | -2.63% | $11,938 | $11,624 | 10 | 50% | - | -$314 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
KO
|
28 | 7🧊 | -2.68% | $12,597 | $12,259 | 5 | 60% | - | -$338 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
GME
|
24 | 9 | -2.73% | $11,803 | $11,480 | 8 | 50% | - | -$322 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
SOXL
|
41 | 17🧊 | -3.00% | $19,678 | $19,088 | 17 | 59% | - | -$590 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
META
|
33 | 15 | -3.06% | $15,073 | $14,612 | 10 | 60% | - | -$461 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
TLT
|
10 | 1 | -3.20% | $9,190 | $8,895 | 4 | 25% | - | -$294 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
BMY
|
10 | 5 | -3.67% | $9,883 | $9,520 | 7 | 43% | - | -$363 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
IWM
|
32 | 5🧊 | -3.77% | $13,129 | $12,634 | 7 | 43% | - | -$495 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
IBM
|
47 | 5🧊 | -4.03% | $15,856 | $15,217 | 8 | 50% | - | -$639 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
CSCO
|
61 | 2🧊 | -4.27% | $18,442 | $17,654 | 6 | 33% | - | -$787 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
PG
|
12 | 3 | -4.60% | $10,530 | $10,045 | 6 | 33% | - | -$484 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
UVXY
|
10 | 17 | -4.68% | $8,827 | $8,414 | 18 | 61% | - | -$413 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
RIOT
|
11 | 16 | -4.92% | $5,251 | $4,993 | 15 | 53% | - | -$258 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
DIS
|
9 | 3 | -4.94% | $9,485 | $9,016 | 6 | 33% | - | -$469 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
PYPL
|
10 | 5 | -5.05% | $7,797 | $7,403 | 8 | 50% | - | -$394 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
GLD
|
65 | 6🧊 | -5.09% | $19,899 | $18,886 | 9 | 33% | - | -$1,013 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
CRWD
|
13 | 12 | -5.14% | $9,618 | $9,124 | 10 | 50% | - | -$494 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
MDT
|
13 | 3 | -5.17% | $10,801 | $10,243 | 6 | 17% | - | -$558 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
REGN
|
11 | 9 | -5.38% | $8,818 | $8,344 | 8 | 50% | - | -$474 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
ACN
|
8 | 6 | -5.41% | $6,917 | $6,543 | 7 | 57% | - | -$374 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
GILD
|
40 | 5🧊 | -5.64% | $15,913 | $15,016 | 7 | 43% | - | -$898 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
UNH
|
10 | 3 | -5.81% | $6,671 | $6,284 | 7 | 29% | - | -$388 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
MA
|
37 | 3🧊 | -5.81% | $14,491 | $13,649 | 6 | 33% | - | -$842 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
DIA
|
35 | 2🧊 | -5.82% | $13,268 | $12,496 | 5 | 20% | - | -$772 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
MCD
|
22 | 2 | -5.82% | $11,787 | $11,101 | 5 | 0% | - | -$686 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
V
|
30 | 2🧊 | -5.94% | $12,756 | $11,998 | 6 | 17% | - | -$758 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
SPY
|
45 | 2🧊 | -6.17% | $14,414 | $13,525 | 5 | 20% | - | -$889 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
BIIB
|
9 | 5 | -6.17% | $8,728 | $8,189 | 8 | 38% | - | -$538 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
PM
|
30 | 5🧊 | -6.38% | $13,607 | $12,739 | 8 | 38% | - | -$868 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
VOO
|
47 | 2🧊 | -6.50% | $14,836 | $13,872 | 5 | 20% | - | -$964 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
VTI
|
42 | 2🧊 | -6.56% | $14,282 | $13,345 | 5 | 20% | - | -$937 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
HD
|
21 | 5 | -6.78% | $11,796 | $10,996 | 8 | 25% | - | -$800 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
TSLA
|
22 | 12 | -7.13% | $12,019 | $11,162 | 10 | 50% | - | -$857 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
GS
|
58 | 9🧊 | -7.72% | $20,840 | $19,231 | 10 | 40% | - | -$1,609 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
MSFT
|
24 | 3 | -8.08% | $12,177 | $11,193 | 7 | 29% | - | -$984 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
PLTR
|
42 | 11🧊 | -8.63% | $19,629 | $17,935 | 12 | 42% | - | -$1,694 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
AMC
|
9 | 5 | -8.70% | $5,022 | $4,585 | 7 | 29% | - | -$437 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
QQQ
|
12 | 2 | -8.73% | $10,187 | $9,298 | 6 | 17% | - | -$889 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
CMCSA
|
7 | 3 | -8.75% | $6,273 | $5,724 | 7 | 29% | - | -$549 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
AVGO
|
38 | 9🧊 | -9.03% | $17,743 | $16,141 | 9 | 44% | - | -$1,602 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
AMGN
|
23 | 3 | -9.47% | $12,275 | $11,112 | 6 | 17% | - | -$1,162 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
ABBV
|
19 | 5 | -9.48% | $11,672 | $10,565 | 7 | 29% | - | -$1,106 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
DKNG
|
12 | 11 | -10.10% | $8,446 | $7,593 | 12 | 50% | - | -$853 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
GOOGL
|
48 | 5🧊 | -10.37% | $22,684 | $20,332 | 8 | 13% | - | -$2,352 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
MARA
|
12 | 13 | -13.87% | $8,519 | $7,338 | 16 | 44% | - | -$1,182 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
RBLX
|
41 | 9🧊 | -15.50% | $22,421 | $18,946 | 11 | 36% | - | -$3,475 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
HOOD
|
11 | 9 | -16.16% | $10,798 | $9,053 | 13 | 31% | - | -$1,745 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
MU
|
37 | 11🧊 | -16.88% | $20,617 | $17,137 | 14 | 43% | - | -$3,480 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
ARKK
|
11 | 7 | -17.79% | $10,345 | $8,505 | 10 | 30% | - | -$1,840 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
SLV
|
39 | 9🧊 | -18.28% | $18,662 | $15,251 | 12 | 42% | - | -$3,411 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
ADBE
|
8 | 5 | -19.03% | $7,487 | $6,062 | 8 | 38% | - | -$1,425 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
SOFI
|
10 | 9 | -22.06% | $10,294 | $8,023 | 12 | 25% | - | -$2,271 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
TQQQ
|
11 | 9 | -30.52% | $7,816 | $5,431 | 12 | 17% | - | -$2,386 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.