11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,159
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,166
($-7)
-0.05%
Last Month ROI
62.5%
Win Rate
385
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Month)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Month:
Jun 26, 2026
→
Jul 26, 2026
(30 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 1M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PLTR
|
50 | 65 | +27.76% | $18,233 | $23,295 | 5 | 100% | - | +$5,062 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
RBLX
|
33 | 62🔥 | +16.74% | $13,199 | $15,409 | 5 | 80% | - | +$2,210 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
V
|
43 | 51 | +14.19% | $13,391 | $15,291 | 3 | 100% | - | +$1,900 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
ADBE
|
8 | 50🔥 | +10.92% | $5,634 | $6,249 | 4 | 100% | - | +$615 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
SCHW
|
31 | 32 | +10.46% | $11,987 | $13,241 | 4 | 75% | - | +$1,254 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
MSFT
|
26 | 38 | +7.02% | $11,075 | $11,853 | 3 | 100% | - | +$777 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
NVDA
|
37 | 37 | +6.86% | $17,258 | $18,442 | 3 | 100% | - | +$1,184 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
SQQQ
|
9 | 49🔥 | +6.58% | $6,101 | $6,503 | 5 | 80% | - | +$401 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
BMY
|
11 | — | +6.18% | $9,463 | $10,047 | 2 | 100% | - | +$585 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
UNH
|
10 | 33🔥 | +6.11% | $7,669 | $8,138 | 3 | 67% | - | +$469 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
RIVN
|
10 | 51🔥 | +6.06% | $4,995 | $5,298 | 6 | 83% | - | +$303 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
XLF
|
39 | — | +5.90% | $14,156 | $14,991 | 2 | 100% | - | +$835 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
MCD
|
16 | 32 | +5.51% | $9,904 | $10,450 | 3 | 67% | - | +$546 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
GME
|
28 | 36 | +4.96% | $12,700 | $13,330 | 4 | 75% | - | +$630 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
PFE
|
8 | 33🔥 | +4.87% | $7,595 | $7,965 | 3 | 100% | - | +$370 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
META
|
29 | 35 | +4.74% | $13,263 | $13,892 | 4 | 75% | - | +$629 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
MA
|
35 | 33 | +4.69% | $12,991 | $13,601 | 3 | 100% | - | +$609 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
DKNG
|
12 | 38🔥 | +4.65% | $8,458 | $8,851 | 3 | 100% | - | +$393 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
SOFI
|
10 | 37🔥 | +3.74% | $7,075 | $7,340 | 5 | 80% | - | +$265 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
ARKK
|
11 | 32🔥 | +3.70% | $7,901 | $8,193 | 4 | 75% | - | +$292 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
DIA
|
44 | — | +3.69% | $14,271 | $14,797 | 2 | 100% | - | +$527 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
NET
|
37 | 33 | +3.68% | $16,098 | $16,691 | 4 | 75% | - | +$592 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
HD
|
9 | 20 | +3.62% | $9,528 | $9,873 | 3 | 67% | - | +$345 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
BLK
|
32 | 26 | +3.49% | $13,047 | $13,503 | 4 | 75% | - | +$455 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
XLE
|
56 | 27🧊 | +3.31% | $18,100 | $18,699 | 3 | 67% | - | +$599 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
COIN
|
9 | 29 | +3.29% | $3,568 | $3,685 | 6 | 67% | - | +$117 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
AMGN
|
29 | — | +3.26% | $12,222 | $12,621 | 2 | 100% | - | +$398 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
HOOD
|
20 | 33 | +3.22% | $10,445 | $10,782 | 7 | 71% | - | +$336 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
MARA
|
11 | 35🔥 | +3.17% | $7,035 | $7,258 | 7 | 71% | - | +$223 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
PANW
|
51 | 37 | +3.12% | $19,169 | $19,767 | 5 | 80% | - | +$598 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
GILD
|
38 | 32 | +3.06% | $14,669 | $15,118 | 4 | 75% | - | +$449 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 34🔥 | +2.94% | $7,254 | $7,468 | 5 | 80% | - | +$213 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
PM
|
34 | 33 | +2.90% | $13,766 | $14,165 | 5 | 80% | - | +$399 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
GOOGL
|
54 | 22🧊 | +2.84% | $23,943 | $24,623 | 4 | 75% | - | +$680 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
SPY
|
54 | — | +2.58% | $15,362 | $15,759 | 2 | 100% | - | +$396 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
VTI
|
51 | — | +2.58% | $15,127 | $15,518 | 2 | 100% | - | +$390 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
AAPL
|
38 | — | +2.30% | $15,211 | $15,561 | 2 | 100% | - | +$350 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
SNOW
|
41 | 30 | +2.25% | $21,841 | $22,332 | 5 | 80% | - | +$491 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
AMZN
|
23 | 32 | +2.17% | $11,039 | $11,278 | 3 | 100% | - | +$240 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
VOO
|
57 | — | +2.08% | $15,998 | $16,331 | 2 | 100% | - | +$333 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
JNJ
|
47 | 28 | +2.03% | $14,577 | $14,873 | 4 | 75% | - | +$296 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
SOXL
|
41 | 13🧊 | +1.93% | $19,944 | $20,329 | 7 | 43% | - | +$385 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
GLD
|
56 | — | +1.87% | $17,707 | $18,038 | 2 | 50% | - | +$331 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
TSLA
|
28 | 20 | +1.84% | $13,439 | $13,686 | 6 | 67% | - | +$247 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
WFC
|
36 | 14🧊 | +1.61% | $14,201 | $14,429 | 3 | 67% | - | +$229 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
AXP
|
60 | 14🧊 | +1.57% | $20,211 | $20,528 | 3 | 67% | - | +$317 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
SLB
|
10 | 14 | +1.44% | $9,054 | $9,185 | 3 | 67% | - | +$130 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
KO
|
32 | 19 | +1.29% | $13,212 | $13,383 | 3 | 67% | - | +$170 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
USO
|
21 | 3 | +1.27% | $10,624 | $10,759 | 4 | 50% | - | +$135 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
PG
|
22 | 12 | +1.20% | $10,994 | $11,126 | 3 | 67% | - | +$132 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
TMO
|
10 | 25 | +1.11% | $8,753 | $8,850 | 4 | 75% | - | +$97 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
VRTX
|
27 | 24 | +1.00% | $12,203 | $12,326 | 4 | 75% | - | +$122 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
ISRG
|
11 | 11 | +0.90% | $9,190 | $9,272 | 3 | 67% | - | +$83 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
IWM
|
40 | — | +0.85% | $14,622 | $14,746 | 2 | 100% | - | +$124 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
SLV
|
28 | 10 | +0.82% | $12,228 | $12,328 | 3 | 67% | - | +$100 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
MRNA
|
46 | 26 | +0.74% | $25,510 | $25,699 | 6 | 67% | - | +$189 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
XOM
|
40 | 8🧊 | +0.68% | $14,736 | $14,836 | 4 | 50% | - | +$100 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
JPM
|
35 | — | +0.62% | $14,538 | $14,628 | 2 | 50% | - | +$90 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
REGN
|
10 | — | +0.44% | $7,123 | $7,154 | 2 | 50% | - | +$31 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
IBM
|
44 | 22🧊 | +0.40% | $15,200 | $15,261 | 5 | 80% | - | +$61 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
TLT
|
10 | — | +0.22% | $9,111 | $9,131 | 2 | 50% | - | +$20 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
BAC
|
42 | 7🧊 | +0.07% | $16,665 | $16,677 | 3 | 67% | - | +$12 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
MRK
|
11 | 23 | +0.03% | $9,133 | $9,135 | 4 | 75% | - | +$3 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
LLY
|
25 | 18 | -0.13% | $12,428 | $12,412 | 3 | 67% | - | -$16 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
BRK-B
|
45 | 6🧊 | -0.26% | $14,876 | $14,838 | 3 | 67% | - | -$39 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
CVX
|
59 | 0🧊 | -0.58% | $19,434 | $19,321 | 3 | 33% | - | -$113 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
QQQ
|
24 | — | -0.72% | $11,410 | $11,328 | 2 | 0% | - | -$82 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
PEP
|
16 | 3 | -0.77% | $10,503 | $10,423 | 4 | 50% | - | -$81 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
PYPL
|
10 | 14 | -0.90% | $8,372 | $8,296 | 5 | 60% | - | -$75 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
ABBV
|
20 | 14 | -0.95% | $10,885 | $10,781 | 3 | 67% | - | -$103 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
AVGO
|
34 | 2🧊 | -1.01% | $15,129 | $14,976 | 5 | 40% | - | -$153 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
CSCO
|
68 | 0🧊 | -1.13% | $20,392 | $20,161 | 3 | 33% | - | -$230 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
COP
|
21 | — | -1.21% | $10,985 | $10,852 | 2 | 50% | - | -$133 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
NFLX
|
36 | 12🧊 | -1.27% | $15,227 | $15,034 | 5 | 60% | - | -$193 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
WMT
|
44 | 6🧊 | -1.29% | $16,202 | $15,993 | 3 | 67% | - | -$209 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
ORCL
|
27 | 3🧊 | -1.31% | $13,649 | $13,470 | 4 | 50% | - | -$179 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
MDT
|
7 | 3 | -1.86% | $8,806 | $8,642 | 4 | 50% | - | -$164 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
COST
|
27 | 6🧊 | -2.12% | $12,284 | $12,024 | 3 | 67% | - | -$260 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
SPXU
|
23 | 9 | -2.14% | $11,706 | $11,456 | 4 | 50% | - | -$251 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
UVXY
|
10 | 16 | -2.14% | $10,140 | $9,923 | 5 | 60% | - | -$217 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
LCID
|
8 | 11 | -2.24% | $2,543 | $2,486 | 6 | 67% | - | -$57 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
DIS
|
7 | — | -2.27% | $8,055 | $7,872 | 1 | 0% | - | -$183 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
BIIB
|
10 | 7 | -2.29% | $10,064 | $9,833 | 3 | 67% | - | -$230 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
CRM
|
10 | 7 | -2.60% | $5,980 | $5,825 | 5 | 60% | - | -$155 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
MS
|
42 | — | -2.71% | $17,581 | $17,105 | 2 | 0% | - | -$476 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
ACN
|
8 | 3 | -3.33% | $6,302 | $6,092 | 4 | 50% | - | -$210 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
VXX
|
9 | 0 | -3.73% | $6,627 | $6,380 | 3 | 33% | - | -$247 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 3 | -4.04% | $4,868 | $4,672 | 4 | 50% | - | -$197 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
VZ
|
11 | 0 | -4.07% | $10,446 | $10,021 | 3 | 33% | - | -$425 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
AMD
|
25 | 7 | -4.23% | $13,688 | $13,109 | 5 | 60% | - | -$579 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
XLK
|
26 | 1🧊 | -4.64% | $12,740 | $12,149 | 4 | 25% | - | -$591 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
C
|
33 | 0🧊 | -5.42% | $14,908 | $14,100 | 3 | 0% | - | -$808 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
AMC
|
9 | 2 | -5.66% | $3,718 | $3,507 | 5 | 40% | - | -$210 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
GS
|
54 | 0🧊 | -6.20% | $20,292 | $19,034 | 3 | 0% | - | -$1,258 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
OXY
|
28 | 1🧊 | -6.59% | $13,686 | $12,784 | 4 | 25% | - | -$902 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
NIO
|
9 | 1 | -7.62% | $6,279 | $5,801 | 4 | 25% | - | -$478 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
SMCI
|
11 | 3 | -14.82% | $8,184 | $6,971 | 6 | 17% | - | -$1,213 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
RIOT
|
10 | 5 | -16.81% | $5,473 | $4,553 | 7 | 14% | - | -$920 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
MU
|
40 | 3🧊 | -17.32% | $23,824 | $19,698 | 6 | 17% | - | -$4,126 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
INTC
|
32 | 3🧊 | -18.04% | $19,262 | $15,787 | 6 | 17% | - | -$3,475 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
ARM
|
24 | 5 | -24.43% | $15,168 | $11,463 | 7 | 0% | - | -$3,706 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
CRWD 🚫 PROBATION
|
— | — | -71.88% | $-14,934 | $-4,200 | NO ENTRY | - | - | +$10,735 | -37.8% | 1.8d | 1 |
Jul 6, 2026 10d left |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.