Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:54:41

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 9.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 9.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-7.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$389.61
Current Value
$7,774.58
Period P&L
$-604.21
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+3.61%
Worst Trade
-6.50%
Avg Trade Return
-0.27%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$216,766.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-604.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-604.21
Gross Return
-155.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-155.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $389.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET $270.65 29 $7,848.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $275.49 29 $7,989.21 $8,238.58 +$140.21
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET $270.65 29 $7,848.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $265.52 29 $7,700.08 $8,089.66 $-148.92
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $287.14 28 $8,040.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $290.17 28 $8,124.62 $8,174.22 +$84.56
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $287.54 28 $8,051.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $291.30 28 $8,156.40 $8,279.46 +$105.24
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $283.71 29 $8,227.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $280.66 29 $8,139.14 $8,191.01 $-88.45
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $285.24 28 $7,986.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $266.70 28 $7,467.60 $7,671.89 $-519.12
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $256.90 29 $7,450.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $257.54 29 $7,468.66 $7,690.45 +$18.56
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $251.72 30 $7,551.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $249.01 30 $7,470.45 $7,609.30 $-81.15
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:15pm ET $252.25 30 $7,567.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $261.36 30 $7,840.80 $7,882.60 +$273.30
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $261.70 30 $7,851.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $258.48 30 $7,754.55 $7,786.15 $-96.45
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $252.68 30 $7,580.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $250.06 30 $7,501.80 $7,707.70 $-78.45
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $249.99 30 $7,499.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $248.92 30 $7,467.60 $7,675.60 $-32.10
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $247.36 31 $7,668.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET $244.84 31 $7,590.10 $7,597.54 $-78.06
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:25am ET $237.85 31 $7,373.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $243.56 31 $7,550.24 $7,774.58 +$177.04
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,774.58
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,225.42
Total Return: -22.25%
Back to Anchor