Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:44:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.5/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 35.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 34.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-5.6%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,799.86
Current Value
$12,876.42
Period P&L
$-923.44
Max Drawdown
-11.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+3.41%
Worst Trade
-5.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.56%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$311,195.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-923.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-923.44
Gross Return
-6.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $13,799.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $459.50 30 $13,785.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:50am ET $454.38 30 $13,631.25 $13,646.11 $-153.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:40pm ET $476.55 28 $13,343.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $475.04 28 $13,301.12 $13,603.83 $-42.28
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $473.70 28 $13,263.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $472.67 28 $13,234.76 $13,574.99 $-28.84
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $467.18 29 $13,548.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $457.10 29 $13,255.76 $13,282.53 $-292.46
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $453.34 29 $13,146.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $443.55 29 $12,862.81 $12,998.37 $-284.16
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $472.77 27 $12,764.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $488.88 27 $13,199.76 $13,433.47 +$435.10
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $517.96 25 $12,948.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $508.70 25 $12,717.50 $13,202.09 $-231.38
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $511.90 25 $12,797.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $485.79 25 $12,144.63 $12,549.22 $-652.87
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:10am ET $503.24 24 $12,077.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $519.12 24 $12,458.88 $12,930.34 +$381.12
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $547.32 23 $12,588.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $547.50 23 $12,592.50 $12,934.48 +$4.14
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET $609.36 21 $12,796.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $614.38 21 $12,901.98 $13,039.80 +$105.32
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $618.98 21 $12,998.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $611.20 21 $12,835.20 $12,876.42 $-163.38
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,876.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,876.42
Total Return: +28.76%
Back to Anchor