Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
4.5/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 16.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 16.0

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.3%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.8 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,221.81
Current Value
$10,248.96
Period P&L
$27.15
Max Drawdown
-19.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+1.53%
Worst Trade
-1.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$219,638.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$27.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$27.15
Gross Return
+0.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,221.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $262.40 38 $9,971.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $262.52 38 $9,975.76 $10,226.29 +$4.48
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET $259.38 39 $10,115.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $258.86 39 $10,095.54 $10,206.01 $-20.28
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $264.88 38 $10,065.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $261.96 38 $9,954.48 $10,095.05 $-110.96
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $255.00 39 $9,945.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $253.93 39 $9,903.34 $10,053.39 $-41.66
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $257.85 38 $9,798.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $259.36 38 $9,855.59 $10,110.68 +$57.29
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $256.89 39 $10,018.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $253.12 39 $9,871.68 $9,963.46 $-147.22
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $250.22 39 $9,758.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $254.04 39 $9,907.75 $10,112.63 +$149.17
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $253.43 39 $9,883.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $252.38 39 $9,842.63 $10,071.68 $-40.95
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $247.07 40 $9,882.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $250.83 40 $10,033.20 $10,222.08 +$150.40
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:30pm ET $253.06 40 $10,122.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $256.52 40 $10,260.80 $10,360.48 +$138.40
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $256.09 40 $10,243.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $253.30 40 $10,132.08 $10,248.96 $-111.52
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,248.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$248.96
Total Return: +2.49%
Back to Anchor