Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:15

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
8.9/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 25.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 25.7

30-Day Momentum

42
+4.1%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 47.0 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,488.91
Current Value
$11,086.38
Period P&L
$597.47
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+3.07%
Worst Trade
-1.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$235,127.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$597.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$597.47
Gross Return
+5.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,488.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $85.97 125 $10,746.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $85.43 125 $10,679.37 $10,582.66 $-66.88
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $87.49 120 $10,498.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $86.52 120 $10,382.40 $10,466.26 $-116.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $83.93 124 $10,407.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $84.05 124 $10,422.20 $10,481.14 +$14.88
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:50am ET $83.24 125 $10,405.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $85.43 125 $10,678.75 $10,754.89 +$273.75
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $85.84 125 $10,730.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $86.17 125 $10,771.25 $10,796.14 +$41.25
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $85.94 125 $10,742.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $85.06 125 $10,632.50 $10,686.14 $-110.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:30am ET $83.68 127 $10,627.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $84.00 127 $10,668.00 $10,726.78 +$40.64
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $82.70 129 $10,668.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $83.90 129 $10,823.74 $10,882.23 +$155.45
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $83.79 129 $10,809.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $82.66 129 $10,663.14 $10,735.82 $-146.41
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:50am ET $87.44 122 $10,667.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $90.13 122 $10,995.25 $11,063.39 +$327.57
(+3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $91.26 121 $11,042.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $91.45 121 $11,065.45 $11,086.38 +$22.99
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,086.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,086.38
Total Return: +10.86%
Back to Anchor