Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 10.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

12
-4.9%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,912.35
Current Value
$7,449.41
Period P&L
$-462.94
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+2.22%
Worst Trade
-5.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
18.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$207,594.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-462.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-462.94
Gross Return
-5.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,912.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $363.85 21 $7,640.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $360.07 21 $7,561.47 $7,833.06 $-79.29
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:55pm ET $357.00 21 $7,497.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $357.11 21 $7,499.21 $7,835.27 +$2.21
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $366.90 21 $7,704.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $373.67 21 $7,846.97 $7,977.34 +$142.07
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $366.89 21 $7,704.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $363.37 21 $7,630.77 $7,903.42 $-73.92
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $365.23 21 $7,669.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $346.93 21 $7,285.53 $7,519.12 $-384.30
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $355.82 21 $7,472.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $363.72 21 $7,638.12 $7,685.02 +$165.90
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $364.48 21 $7,654.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $359.80 21 $7,555.80 $7,586.74 $-98.28
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $363.73 20 $7,274.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $365.24 20 $7,304.80 $7,617.04 +$30.30
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $349.22 21 $7,333.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:40am ET $344.82 21 $7,241.22 $7,524.64 $-92.40
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:40am ET $342.15 21 $7,185.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $338.21 21 $7,102.41 $7,441.79 $-82.85
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $340.96 21 $7,160.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $337.24 21 $7,082.04 $7,363.67 $-78.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $348.08 21 $7,309.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $352.42 21 $7,400.72 $7,454.71 +$91.04
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $358.97 20 $7,179.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $363.43 20 $7,268.60 $7,543.91 +$89.20
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $362.14 20 $7,242.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $357.41 20 $7,148.20 $7,449.41 $-94.50
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,449.41
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,550.59
Total Return: -25.51%
Back to Anchor