Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:37:16

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 11.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.3%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,605.34
Current Value
$9,650.04
Period P&L
$-955.29
Max Drawdown
-11.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.92

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
3 / 10
Best Trade
+0.65%
Worst Trade
-2.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.70%
Avg Hold Time
20.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$254,825.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-955.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-955.29
Gross Return
-9.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,605.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:35am ET $1,168.07 9 $10,512.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $1,172.94 9 $10,556.46 $10,605.34 +$43.83
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,176.44 9 $10,587.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $1,165.00 9 $10,485.00 $10,502.38 $-102.96
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET $1,177.37 8 $9,418.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,162.96 8 $9,303.68 $10,387.10 $-115.28
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 2:30pm ET $1,153.81 9 $10,384.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,130.49 9 $10,174.41 $10,177.22 $-209.88
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $1,128.10 9 $10,152.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:45am ET $1,115.77 9 $10,041.93 $10,066.20 $-111.01
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:00pm ET $1,114.42 9 $10,029.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,117.34 9 $10,056.10 $10,092.52 +$26.32
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,112.56 9 $10,013.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $1,100.53 9 $9,904.77 $9,984.25 $-108.27
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,078.54 9 $9,706.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $1,061.81 9 $9,556.29 $9,833.68 $-150.57
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,086.90 9 $9,782.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,080.00 9 $9,720.00 $9,771.62 $-62.06
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,058.76 9 $9,528.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $1,055.00 9 $9,495.00 $9,737.78 $-33.84
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $1,057.91 9 $9,521.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $1,045.92 9 $9,413.24 $9,629.83 $-107.95
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,080.89 8 $8,647.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $1,087.94 8 $8,703.56 $9,686.27 +$56.44
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,064.77 9 $9,582.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $1,060.74 9 $9,546.70 $9,650.04 $-36.23
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,650.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-349.96
Total Return: -3.50%
Back to Anchor