Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:49:25

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 10.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

29
+5.2%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.5 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,711.49
Current Value
$8,947.24
Period P&L
$235.74
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+7.05%
Worst Trade
-3.55%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
19.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$246,451.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$235.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$235.74
Gross Return
+2.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,711.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:10am ET $186.42 46 $8,575.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:45am ET $184.00 46 $8,464.00 $8,600.18 $-111.32
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $188.07 45 $8,463.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $182.01 45 $8,190.45 $8,327.48 $-272.70
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $181.60 45 $8,172.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $186.60 45 $8,397.00 $8,552.48 +$225.00
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $177.27 48 $8,508.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $181.00 48 $8,688.00 $8,731.52 +$179.04
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $172.89 50 $8,644.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $185.08 50 $9,254.00 $9,341.02 +$609.50
(+7.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $184.35 50 $9,217.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $180.76 50 $9,038.00 $9,161.27 $-179.75
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET $178.66 51 $9,111.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET $176.64 51 $9,008.64 $9,058.25 $-103.02
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $172.50 52 $8,970.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $173.80 52 $9,037.60 $9,125.85 +$67.60
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $190.62 47 $8,958.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $183.85 47 $8,640.95 $8,807.88 $-317.97
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $170.26 51 $8,683.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:15am ET $167.27 51 $8,530.77 $8,655.48 $-152.40
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:20am ET $167.67 51 $8,551.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $178.15 51 $9,085.90 $9,190.14 +$534.66
(+6.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET $203.70 45 $9,166.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $201.33 45 $9,060.07 $9,083.71 $-106.43
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $201.06 45 $9,047.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.28 45 $9,012.43 $9,048.44 $-35.27
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET $196.46 46 $9,036.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:50am ET $194.26 46 $8,935.73 $8,947.24 $-101.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,947.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,052.76
Total Return: -10.53%
Back to Anchor