Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:55:06

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.3

30-Day Momentum

10
-2.7%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,594.17
Current Value
$9,531.88
Period P&L
$-62.29
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+2.82%
Worst Trade
-1.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
17.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$245,975.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-62.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-62.29
Gross Return
-0.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,594.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:10am ET $109.90 87 $9,561.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $110.37 87 $9,602.19 $9,635.06 +$40.89
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:45am ET $111.09 86 $9,553.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $109.90 86 $9,451.83 $9,533.15 $-101.91
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $107.58 88 $9,467.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $107.34 88 $9,445.92 $9,511.59 $-21.56
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $107.48 88 $9,458.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $107.94 88 $9,498.72 $9,552.07 +$40.48
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:50am ET $108.49 88 $9,547.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $109.00 88 $9,592.00 $9,596.52 +$44.45
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $106.50 90 $9,585.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:25am ET $105.39 90 $9,484.94 $9,496.46 $-100.06
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:50am ET $104.46 90 $9,401.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $103.66 90 $9,329.40 $9,424.46 $-72.00
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $103.81 90 $9,342.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $106.74 90 $9,606.60 $9,688.16 +$263.70
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $108.71 89 $9,675.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $107.35 89 $9,553.71 $9,566.68 $-121.48
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $107.64 88 $9,472.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $106.33 88 $9,357.48 $9,451.40 $-115.28
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $105.60 89 $9,397.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $103.69 89 $9,228.41 $9,281.86 $-169.54
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:45pm ET $104.13 89 $9,267.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $104.76 89 $9,323.64 $9,337.93 +$56.07
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $103.20 90 $9,288.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $105.36 90 $9,481.95 $9,531.88 +$193.95
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,531.88
Net Profit/Loss: $-468.12
Total Return: -4.68%
Back to Anchor