Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:34:58

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.7/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 12.1

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,531.14
Current Value
$9,361.62
Period P&L
$-169.51
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+1.43%
Worst Trade
-1.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
20.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$112,117.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-169.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-169.51
Gross Return
-1.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,531.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $98.87 96 $9,491.52
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $99.51 96 $9,552.96 $9,592.58 +$61.44
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $97.06 98 $9,511.88
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 11:10am ET $96.08 98 $9,415.84 $9,496.54 $-96.04
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:25am ET $97.21 97 $9,429.85
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $96.24 97 $9,335.28 $9,401.96 $-94.57
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $98.23 95 $9,331.85
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:10am ET $97.09 95 $9,223.44 $9,293.55 $-108.41
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:00am ET $97.97 94 $9,209.65
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $97.30 94 $9,146.20 $9,230.10 $-63.45
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $95.51 96 $9,168.96
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $96.88 96 $9,300.48 $9,361.62 +$131.52
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,361.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-638.38
Total Return: -6.38%
Back to Anchor