Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:31

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.5/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 30.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 30.6

30-Day Momentum

10
-3.7%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,260.79
Current Value
$11,548.20
Period P&L
$-712.58
Max Drawdown
-9.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+1.24%
Worst Trade
-2.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$297,560.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-712.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-712.58
Gross Return
-5.81%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,260.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $1,035.88 11 $11,394.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $1,048.34 11 $11,531.74 $12,260.78 +$137.06
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $1,050.00 11 $11,550.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:20am ET $1,037.53 11 $11,412.78 $12,123.56 $-137.22
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:20am ET $1,037.21 11 $11,409.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $1,043.10 11 $11,474.12 $12,188.37 +$64.81
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $1,028.36 11 $11,311.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,005.52 11 $11,060.72 $11,937.13 $-251.24
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:20am ET $1,004.45 11 $11,048.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $1,016.86 11 $11,185.46 $12,073.64 +$136.51
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $1,030.17 11 $11,331.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,039.98 11 $11,439.73 $12,181.50 +$107.86
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,017.43 11 $11,191.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $1,022.04 11 $11,242.40 $12,232.11 +$50.61
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:45am ET $1,018.59 12 $12,223.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,010.33 12 $12,123.96 $12,133.05 $-99.06
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $983.18 12 $11,798.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:05am ET $972.92 12 $11,675.04 $12,009.93 $-123.12
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:05am ET $970.38 12 $11,644.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $959.76 12 $11,517.12 $11,882.55 $-127.38
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $952.04 12 $11,424.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $947.42 12 $11,369.04 $11,827.05 $-55.50
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $955.07 12 $11,460.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $942.79 12 $11,313.48 $11,679.72 $-147.33
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET $939.87 12 $11,278.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $928.91 12 $11,146.92 $11,548.20 $-131.52
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,548.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,548.20
Total Return: +15.48%
Back to Anchor