Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.8/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 60.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 60.3

30-Day Momentum

42
+11.4%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,668.71
Current Value
$18,114.16
Period P&L
$1,445.45
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+11.88%
Worst Trade
-3.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.72%
Avg Hold Time
20.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$455,449.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,445.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,445.45
Gross Return
+8.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $16,668.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $111.43 149 $16,603.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $110.17 149 $16,415.33 $16,480.97 $-187.74
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $107.72 152 $16,374.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $108.95 152 $16,560.38 $16,667.15 +$186.18
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $102.25 163 $16,665.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $100.95 163 $16,454.85 $16,456.06 $-211.09
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:05pm ET $105.41 156 $16,443.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $104.35 156 $16,278.60 $16,290.70 $-165.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $104.97 155 $16,270.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $117.44 155 $18,203.20 $18,223.57 +$1,932.87
(+11.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $121.00 150 $18,150.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $125.07 150 $18,759.75 $18,833.32 +$609.75
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET $116.40 161 $18,740.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $112.50 161 $18,112.50 $18,205.42 $-627.90
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $113.59 160 $18,174.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET $112.07 160 $17,931.20 $17,962.22 $-243.20
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $113.92 157 $17,885.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $111.50 157 $17,505.50 $17,582.28 $-379.94
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $106.78 164 $17,511.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:25am ET $105.48 164 $17,298.72 $17,369.08 $-213.20
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $106.65 162 $17,278.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $113.57 162 $18,399.15 $18,490.12 +$1,121.04
(+6.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $124.10 148 $18,366.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $124.59 148 $18,439.32 $18,563.38 +$73.26
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $122.77 151 $18,538.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $119.79 151 $18,089.04 $18,114.16 $-449.22
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,114.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,114.16
Total Return: +81.14%
Back to Anchor