Compendium › Anchor › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 13 trades in period

-7.35%
Last Month Return
$6,107.19
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$6,592.01
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:12:24

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 8.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.3%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,592.01
Current Value
$6,107.19
Period P&L
$-484.82
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.69

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
3 / 10
Best Trade
+1.11%
Worst Trade
-1.75%
Avg Trade Return
-0.59%
Avg Hold Time
19.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$162,542.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-484.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-484.82
Gross Return
-7.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $6,592.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $232.79 28 $6,518.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $231.04 28 $6,469.12 $6,543.00 $-49.00
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $230.68 28 $6,459.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $233.25 28 $6,531.00 $6,614.96 +$71.96
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET $237.06 27 $6,400.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $232.90 27 $6,288.30 $6,502.64 $-112.32
(-1.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $231.80 28 $6,490.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $230.41 28 $6,451.48 $6,463.68 $-38.96
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $234.83 27 $6,340.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $233.00 27 $6,291.00 $6,414.27 $-49.41
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $231.72 27 $6,256.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $232.05 27 $6,265.35 $6,423.18 +$8.91
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $235.52 27 $6,359.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $232.57 27 $6,279.39 $6,343.40 $-79.78
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $249.57 25 $6,239.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $246.20 25 $6,155.00 $6,259.03 $-84.38
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $240.02 26 $6,240.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $237.38 26 $6,171.75 $6,190.26 $-68.77
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $237.74 26 $6,181.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $237.23 26 $6,167.98 $6,177.13 $-13.13
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
17.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:05am ET $230.83 26 $6,001.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:25am ET $228.39 26 $5,938.14 $6,113.69 $-63.44
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET $230.69 26 $5,997.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $233.19 26 $6,062.94 $6,178.69 +$65.00
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $231.88 26 $6,028.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET $229.13 26 $5,957.38 $6,107.19 $-71.50
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,107.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,892.81
Total Return: -38.93%
Back to Anchor