Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:53

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.5/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 30.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 30.0

30-Day Momentum

10
-1.8%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,054.89
Current Value
$11,841.43
Period P&L
$-213.47
Max Drawdown
-14.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+1.88%
Worst Trade
-1.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
23.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$274,938.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-213.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-213.47
Gross Return
-1.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,054.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $374.61 32 $11,987.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:30am ET $367.96 32 $11,774.72 $11,842.14 $-212.76
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:30am ET $367.98 32 $11,775.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $371.94 32 $11,902.08 $11,968.86 +$126.72
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $370.75 32 $11,864.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $366.72 32 $11,735.04 $11,839.90 $-128.96
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $373.23 31 $11,570.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:50am ET $367.49 31 $11,392.19 $11,661.96 $-177.94
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $378.56 30 $11,356.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $374.27 30 $11,227.95 $11,533.11 $-128.85
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $369.61 31 $11,457.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $367.81 31 $11,402.11 $11,477.31 $-55.80
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $359.80 31 $11,153.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:25am ET $355.95 31 $11,034.30 $11,357.81 $-119.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:05am ET $350.61 32 $11,219.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $349.96 32 $11,198.88 $11,337.17 $-20.64
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:10am ET $366.89 30 $11,006.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $373.80 30 $11,214.00 $11,544.62 +$207.45
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $372.46 30 $11,173.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $378.10 30 $11,343.00 $11,713.67 +$169.05
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $381.05 30 $11,431.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $381.80 30 $11,454.00 $11,736.02 +$22.35
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $399.27 29 $11,578.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $402.90 29 $11,684.10 $11,841.43 +$105.41
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,841.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,841.43
Total Return: +18.41%
Back to Anchor