Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:30:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 12.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.3

30-Day Momentum

10
-2.8%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,342.84
Current Value
$9,082.89
Period P&L
$-259.95
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+1.98%
Worst Trade
-1.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$194,982.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-259.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-259.95
Gross Return
-2.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,342.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,253.35 7 $8,773.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $1,239.85 7 $8,678.93 $9,248.32 $-94.52
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $1,193.43 7 $8,354.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $1,183.53 7 $8,284.71 $9,179.02 $-69.30
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $1,173.85 7 $8,216.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $1,157.50 7 $8,102.50 $9,064.58 $-114.44
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET $1,168.69 7 $8,180.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1,172.00 7 $8,204.00 $9,087.78 +$23.20
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $1,173.85 7 $8,216.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $1,154.23 7 $8,079.64 $8,950.48 $-137.30
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $1,142.85 7 $7,999.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,130.47 7 $7,913.29 $8,863.82 $-86.66
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,126.31 7 $7,884.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $1,133.64 7 $7,935.48 $8,915.12 +$51.30
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET $1,120.30 7 $7,842.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,142.43 7 $7,997.01 $9,070.01 +$154.89
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:05am ET $1,141.44 7 $7,990.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $1,138.23 7 $7,967.64 $9,047.58 $-22.43
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,144.00 7 $8,008.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $1,154.98 7 $8,084.86 $9,124.44 +$76.86
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1,144.00 7 $8,008.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $1,150.10 7 $8,050.70 $9,167.14 +$42.70
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $1,163.81 7 $8,146.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,151.77 7 $8,062.39 $9,082.89 $-84.25
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,082.89
Net Profit/Loss: $-917.11
Total Return: -9.17%
Back to Anchor