Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:17

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 10.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.3

30-Day Momentum

11
-1.8%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,422.22
Current Value
$7,343.98
Period P&L
$-78.25
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+0.97%
Worst Trade
-1.56%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$167,624.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-78.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-78.25
Gross Return
-1.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,422.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:40am ET $596.24 12 $7,154.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $597.71 12 $7,172.52 $7,422.23 +$17.64
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:50am ET $596.98 12 $7,163.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $593.06 12 $7,116.72 $7,375.19 $-47.04
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $596.27 12 $7,155.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $590.24 12 $7,082.94 $7,302.89 $-72.30
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $588.93 12 $7,067.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $583.01 12 $6,996.06 $7,231.73 $-71.16
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $588.19 12 $7,058.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $592.26 12 $7,107.12 $7,280.57 +$48.84
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $581.58 12 $6,978.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $572.50 12 $6,870.00 $7,171.61 $-108.96
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $566.28 12 $6,795.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $565.00 12 $6,780.00 $7,156.31 $-15.30
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $570.46 12 $6,845.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $575.99 12 $6,911.88 $7,222.67 +$66.36
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $569.89 12 $6,838.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $571.64 12 $6,859.68 $7,243.66 +$20.99
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $566.20 12 $6,794.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $563.46 12 $6,761.52 $7,210.84 $-32.82
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $563.84 12 $6,766.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $569.21 12 $6,830.52 $7,275.34 +$64.50
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $555.72 13 $7,224.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $561.00 13 $7,293.00 $7,343.98 +$68.64
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,343.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,656.02
Total Return: -26.56%
Back to Anchor