Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-26 01:35:51

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 32.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 32.2

30-Day Momentum

10
-6.3%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-26 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,915.19
Current Value
$14,417.61
Period P&L
$-1,497.57
Max Drawdown
-21.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
2 / 12
Best Trade
+5.03%
Worst Trade
-2.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
20.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$432,204.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,497.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,497.57
Gross Return
-9.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $15,915.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:45am ET $11.13 1,367 $15,207.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $11.58 1,367 $15,829.86 $16,017.57 +$621.98
(+4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET $12.10 1,323 $16,008.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $11.97 1,323 $15,836.31 $15,845.58 $-171.99
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $10.76 1,472 $15,840.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $10.65 1,472 $15,675.33 $15,680.13 $-165.45
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $10.45 1,500 $15,675.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $10.23 1,500 $15,342.75 $15,347.88 $-332.25
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $10.14 1,514 $15,344.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $10.65 1,514 $16,116.53 $16,120.02 +$772.14
(+5.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $11.27 1,430 $16,116.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $11.17 1,430 $15,973.10 $15,977.02 $-143.00
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET $11.76 1,359 $15,975.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $11.62 1,359 $15,791.58 $15,793.55 $-183.47
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:55pm ET $12.11 1,303 $15,785.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $11.93 1,303 $15,538.28 $15,545.98 $-247.57
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $11.60 1,340 $15,544.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $11.48 1,340 $15,376.50 $15,378.48 $-167.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:45am ET $11.34 1,356 $15,377.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $11.23 1,356 $15,221.10 $15,222.54 $-155.94
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $11.66 1,305 $15,216.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $11.54 1,305 $15,056.70 $15,062.94 $-159.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $13.41 1,122 $15,051.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $13.25 1,122 $14,866.50 $14,877.81 $-185.13
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $13.70 1,085 $14,864.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $13.43 1,085 $14,571.55 $14,584.86 $-292.95
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $13.08 1,115 $14,584.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:30am ET $12.93 1,115 $14,416.95 $14,417.61 $-167.25
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,417.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,417.61
Total Return: +44.18%
Back to Anchor