Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:52

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.8

30-Day Momentum

53
+6.9%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.6 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+40 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,545.07
Current Value
$9,995.35
Period P&L
$450.28
Max Drawdown
-19.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+3.55%
Worst Trade
-2.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.63%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$211,418.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$450.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$450.28
Gross Return
+4.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,545.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $149.25 62 $9,253.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $154.55 62 $9,582.10 $9,680.24 +$328.60
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $149.53 64 $9,569.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $146.27 64 $9,361.28 $9,471.60 $-208.64
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $146.10 64 $9,350.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $150.72 64 $9,646.08 $9,767.28 +$295.68
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:00am ET $150.33 64 $9,621.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $150.95 64 $9,660.80 $9,806.96 +$39.68
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $150.90 64 $9,657.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $148.37 64 $9,495.68 $9,645.04 $-161.92
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $148.38 65 $9,645.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $147.81 65 $9,607.65 $9,607.67 $-37.37
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $144.51 66 $9,537.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $146.85 66 $9,692.10 $9,762.11 +$154.44
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $143.96 67 $9,645.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET $142.52 67 $9,548.84 $9,665.63 $-96.48
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:05am ET $143.71 67 $9,628.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $145.74 67 $9,764.58 $9,801.31 +$135.68
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $146.58 66 $9,674.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $146.81 66 $9,689.46 $9,816.49 +$15.18
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $148.54 66 $9,803.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $151.25 66 $9,982.50 $9,995.35 +$178.86
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,995.35
Net Profit/Loss: $-4.65
Total Return: -0.05%
Back to Anchor