Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:48:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

46
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.1/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 45.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 45.7

30-Day Momentum

23
+1.8%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.3 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$443.06
Current Value
$14,212.89
Period P&L
$-253.27
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+2.75%
Worst Trade
-1.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$366,552.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-253.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-253.27
Gross Return
-57.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-57.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $443.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:05am ET $210.49 65 $13,681.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $215.74 65 $14,023.10 $14,124.91 +$341.25
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:05am ET $210.49 65 $13,681.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $216.27 65 $14,057.55 $14,500.61 +$375.70
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $215.04 67 $14,407.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $215.40 67 $14,431.80 $14,524.73 +$24.12
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $213.80 67 $14,324.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.63 67 $14,112.21 $14,312.01 $-212.72
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:20am ET $213.12 67 $14,279.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $210.84 67 $14,126.28 $14,159.25 $-152.76
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $216.78 65 $14,090.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $215.58 65 $14,012.63 $14,081.18 $-78.07
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $216.74 64 $13,871.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $215.79 64 $13,810.56 $14,020.48 $-60.70
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $213.61 65 $13,884.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $215.70 65 $14,020.50 $14,156.33 +$135.85
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.97 66 $13,990.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:45am ET $209.85 66 $13,850.10 $14,016.41 $-139.92
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:45am ET $202.48 69 $13,971.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $207.07 69 $14,287.83 $14,333.12 +$316.71
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:05am ET $200.77 71 $14,254.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $202.10 71 $14,349.10 $14,427.55 +$94.43
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $206.09 70 $14,425.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $205.31 70 $14,371.75 $14,373.35 $-54.20
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $199.97 71 $14,197.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $197.71 71 $14,037.41 $14,212.89 $-160.46
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,212.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,212.89
Total Return: +42.13%
Back to Anchor