Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:50

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 10.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.2

30-Day Momentum

16
+0.6%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,234.27
Current Value
$8,285.66
Period P&L
$51.39
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+1.53%
Worst Trade
-1.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$174,300.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$51.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$51.39
Gross Return
+0.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,234.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $487.94 16 $7,807.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $484.74 16 $7,755.84 $8,183.07 $-51.20
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $487.94 16 $7,807.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $495.00 16 $7,920.00 $8,296.03 +$112.96
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:45pm ET $515.64 16 $8,250.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $510.55 16 $8,168.80 $8,214.59 $-81.44
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $498.98 16 $7,983.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $497.29 16 $7,956.56 $8,187.47 $-27.12
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $512.03 15 $7,680.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $510.05 15 $7,650.68 $8,157.69 $-29.78
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $493.04 16 $7,888.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $492.59 16 $7,881.44 $8,150.57 $-7.12
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $488.09 16 $7,809.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $495.58 16 $7,929.28 $8,270.38 +$119.81
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $507.73 16 $8,123.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $500.61 16 $8,009.76 $8,156.46 $-113.92
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $492.79 16 $7,884.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $496.83 16 $7,949.20 $8,221.02 +$64.56
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $494.96 16 $7,919.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $495.59 16 $7,929.44 $8,231.02 +$10.00
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $498.15 16 $7,970.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $501.57 16 $8,025.04 $8,285.66 +$54.64
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,285.66
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,714.34
Total Return: -17.14%
Back to Anchor