Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:24:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 24.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

10
-0.8%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,846.60
Current Value
$11,754.96
Period P&L
$-91.65
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+5.43%
Worst Trade
-6.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$263,932.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-91.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-91.65
Gross Return
-0.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,846.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $925.39 12 $11,104.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $925.43 12 $11,105.16 $11,847.13 +$0.53
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $933.44 12 $11,201.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET $922.52 12 $11,070.24 $11,716.09 $-131.04
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:40am ET $934.44 12 $11,213.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET $924.25 12 $11,091.00 $11,593.81 $-122.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:55am ET $937.45 12 $11,249.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $945.49 12 $11,345.94 $11,690.35 +$96.54
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:05pm ET $942.11 12 $11,305.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $927.97 12 $11,135.64 $11,520.61 $-169.74
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $998.12 11 $10,979.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,037.25 11 $11,409.79 $11,951.08 +$430.47
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $999.46 11 $10,994.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $996.58 11 $10,962.38 $11,919.46 $-31.63
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET $976.58 12 $11,718.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 12 $10,916.16 $11,116.66 $-802.80
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:10am ET $931.57 11 $10,247.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $922.01 11 $10,142.11 $11,011.56 $-105.10
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $928.35 11 $10,211.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $955.18 11 $10,506.98 $11,306.69 +$295.13
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:20am ET $990.90 11 $10,899.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1,044.75 11 $11,492.25 $11,899.04 +$592.35
(+5.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $1,088.68 10 $10,886.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $1,074.27 10 $10,742.72 $11,754.96 $-144.08
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,754.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,754.96
Total Return: +17.55%
Back to Anchor