Compendium › Anchor › NIO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NIO
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 13 trades in period

+2.46%
Last Month Return
$10,462.76
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,211.80
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
7.3/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 21.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 21.8

30-Day Momentum

13
-0.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,211.80
Current Value
$10,462.76
Period P&L
$250.97
Max Drawdown
-15.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+2.50%
Worst Trade
-3.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$266,750.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$250.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$250.97
Gross Return
+2.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,211.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $4.62 2,388 $11,032.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $4.48 2,388 $10,698.48 $10,426.95 $-334.08
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $4.36 2,388 $10,423.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:50am ET $4.31 2,388 $10,292.04 $10,295.37 $-131.58
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET $4.34 2,369 $10,293.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $4.38 2,369 $10,376.22 $10,378.29 +$82.92
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $4.05 2,565 $10,375.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $3.94 2,565 $10,106.61 $10,109.47 $-268.81
(-2.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $3.77 2,681 $10,107.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $3.72 2,681 $9,986.72 $9,988.83 $-120.65
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $3.78 2,643 $9,986.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:10am ET $3.74 2,643 $9,884.82 $9,886.81 $-102.02
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:10am ET $3.74 2,645 $9,883.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $3.75 2,645 $9,918.75 $9,921.72 +$34.91
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $3.61 2,748 $9,921.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $3.70 2,748 $10,167.60 $10,167.67 +$245.95
(+2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:40pm ET $3.72 2,729 $10,165.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $3.68 2,729 $10,056.36 $10,058.51 $-109.16
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $3.57 2,821 $10,056.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $3.61 2,821 $10,179.01 $10,180.66 +$122.15
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:15am ET $3.61 2,824 $10,180.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $3.69 2,824 $10,434.68 $10,434.82 +$254.16
(+2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $3.63 2,878 $10,432.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $3.70 2,878 $10,662.99 $10,665.06 +$230.24
(+2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $3.69 2,890 $10,664.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $3.62 2,890 $10,461.80 $10,462.76 $-202.30
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,462.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$462.76
Total Return: +4.63%
Back to Anchor