Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 22.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 22.3

30-Day Momentum

13
-1.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,637.94
Current Value
$10,683.01
Period P&L
$45.07
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+4.13%
Worst Trade
-3.75%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$255,874.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$45.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$45.07
Gross Return
+0.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,637.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $215.31 50 $10,765.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $212.50 50 $10,625.00 $10,674.94 $-140.63
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:55pm ET $228.62 46 $10,516.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $226.20 46 $10,405.20 $10,563.62 $-111.32
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $218.39 48 $10,482.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $217.17 48 $10,424.16 $10,505.06 $-58.56
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $215.66 48 $10,351.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $219.87 48 $10,553.52 $10,706.90 +$201.84
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $218.39 48 $10,482.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $227.41 48 $10,915.68 $11,139.86 +$432.96
(+4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:40am ET $231.73 48 $11,122.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $233.23 48 $11,194.80 $11,211.86 +$72.00
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $224.79 49 $11,014.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $220.55 49 $10,806.95 $11,004.07 $-207.79
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:00am ET $219.42 50 $10,971.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.20 50 $10,560.00 $10,593.07 $-411.00
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:10am ET $212.30 49 $10,402.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $214.01 49 $10,486.49 $10,676.86 +$83.79
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:55am ET $218.90 48 $10,507.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $219.18 48 $10,520.88 $10,690.30 +$13.44
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $227.15 47 $10,676.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $229.45 47 $10,784.15 $10,798.40 +$108.10
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $227.86 47 $10,709.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $225.40 47 $10,594.03 $10,683.01 $-115.39
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,683.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$683.01
Total Return: +6.83%
Back to Anchor