Compendium › Anchor › PANW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PANW
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 13 trades in period

+2.33%
Last Month Return
$17,844.63
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$17,438.83
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:46

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

58
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.4/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 58.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 57.9

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-44 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,438.83
Current Value
$17,844.63
Period P&L
$405.78
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+5.99%
Worst Trade
-2.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
15.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$458,213.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$405.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$405.78
Gross Return
+2.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $17,438.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:45am ET $349.16 49 $17,108.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:00am ET $345.56 49 $16,932.44 $17,262.45 $-176.40
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:25am ET $338.31 51 $17,253.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $358.56 51 $18,286.56 $18,295.20 +$1,032.75
(+6.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $376.93 48 $18,092.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $367.51 48 $17,640.48 $17,843.04 $-452.16
(-2.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:35am ET $374.58 47 $17,605.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $370.05 47 $17,392.12 $17,629.90 $-213.14
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $334.69 52 $17,403.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $331.00 52 $17,212.00 $17,438.02 $-191.88
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $323.71 53 $17,156.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $328.02 53 $17,385.06 $17,666.55 +$228.53
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $328.67 53 $17,419.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $337.90 53 $17,908.96 $18,155.74 +$489.19
(+2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $330.63 54 $17,853.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $338.45 54 $18,276.57 $18,578.56 +$422.82
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $375.31 49 $18,390.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $368.28 49 $18,045.72 $18,234.09 $-344.47
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $369.97 49 $18,128.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $365.11 49 $17,890.63 $17,996.19 $-237.90
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $368.55 48 $17,690.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $362.45 48 $17,397.60 $17,703.32 $-292.87
(-1.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $371.28 47 $17,450.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $368.19 47 $17,305.05 $17,558.21 $-145.11
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $385.56 45 $17,350.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $391.92 45 $17,636.62 $17,844.63 +$286.42
(+1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,844.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,844.63
Total Return: +78.45%
Back to Anchor