Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:06:08

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 29.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.6

30-Day Momentum

12
-2.0%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$413.27
Current Value
$10,838.85
Period P&L
$-174.18
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+0.72%
Worst Trade
-1.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$234,544.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-174.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-174.18
Gross Return
-42.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-42.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $413.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $709.92 15 $10,648.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $706.65 15 $10,599.75 $11,062.15 $-49.12
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $709.92 15 $10,648.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $708.63 15 $10,629.45 $11,042.73 $-19.42
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $716.96 15 $10,754.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $719.26 15 $10,788.90 $11,077.23 +$34.50
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $715.80 15 $10,737.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $706.99 15 $10,604.85 $10,945.08 $-132.15
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET $705.87 15 $10,588.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $710.97 15 $10,664.55 $11,021.58 +$76.50
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:50am ET $717.74 15 $10,766.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $720.84 15 $10,812.58 $11,068.06 +$46.48
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $716.26 15 $10,743.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $707.65 15 $10,614.75 $10,938.91 $-129.15
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $715.10 15 $10,726.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $703.57 15 $10,553.48 $10,765.89 $-173.02
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $708.65 15 $10,629.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $708.20 15 $10,623.00 $10,759.14 $-6.75
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $716.39 15 $10,745.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $719.08 15 $10,786.20 $10,799.51 +$40.37
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET $744.24 14 $10,419.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $747.05 14 $10,458.70 $10,838.85 +$39.34
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,838.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$838.85
Total Return: +8.39%
Back to Anchor