Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:50

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.7/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 46.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 46.6

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,712.35
Current Value
$16,079.71
Period P&L
$-632.65
Max Drawdown
-14.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+2.89%
Worst Trade
-3.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$434,699.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-632.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-632.65
Gross Return
-3.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $16,712.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $38.43 413 $15,871.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $39.04 413 $16,123.52 $16,747.46 +$251.93
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $37.77 443 $16,732.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $38.86 443 $17,214.98 $17,230.33 +$482.87
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $40.38 426 $17,201.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $39.97 426 $17,029.35 $17,057.80 $-172.53
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:15am ET $40.35 422 $17,029.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:50am ET $39.67 422 $16,738.63 $16,766.62 $-291.18
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $41.81 401 $16,763.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $41.48 401 $16,633.48 $16,636.29 $-130.33
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $45.32 367 $16,632.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $44.80 367 $16,441.60 $16,445.45 $-190.84
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $44.61 368 $16,416.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $45.11 368 $16,600.48 $16,629.45 +$184.00
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $45.85 362 $16,595.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $47.15 362 $17,068.23 $17,101.79 +$472.34
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET $50.44 339 $17,099.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $50.06 339 $16,968.65 $16,971.14 $-130.65
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $47.08 360 $16,950.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $46.86 360 $16,869.60 $16,890.50 $-80.64
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $50.87 332 $16,887.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $50.61 332 $16,802.52 $16,805.84 $-84.66
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.78 337 $16,774.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:00am ET $49.20 337 $16,580.40 $16,612.06 $-193.78
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:00am ET $49.12 338 $16,602.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $47.54 338 $16,070.21 $16,079.71 $-532.35
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,079.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,079.71
Total Return: +60.80%
Back to Anchor