Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:28:04

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.1/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 39.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 39.3

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.5%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.7 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,791
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,226.83
Current Value
$12,148.82
Period P&L
$-78.03
Max Drawdown
-6.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+4.48%
Worst Trade
-3.23%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$287,535.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-78.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-78.03
Gross Return
-0.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,226.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET $827.98 14 $11,591.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $827.85 14 $11,589.90 $12,224.95 $-1.89
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $804.65 15 $12,069.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $809.40 15 $12,141.00 $12,296.20 +$71.25
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $781.16 15 $11,717.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $816.14 15 $12,242.10 $12,820.97 +$524.77
(+4.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $849.28 15 $12,739.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:20am ET $838.40 15 $12,576.00 $12,657.78 $-163.20
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:45am ET $833.76 15 $12,506.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $806.85 15 $12,102.75 $12,254.13 $-403.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $803.83 15 $12,057.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $803.01 15 $12,045.15 $12,241.83 $-12.30
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET $795.01 15 $11,925.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $783.59 15 $11,753.85 $12,070.53 $-171.30
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $794.81 15 $11,922.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $788.53 15 $11,827.95 $11,976.33 $-94.20
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:10am ET $774.03 15 $11,610.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $781.17 15 $11,717.55 $12,083.43 +$107.10
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $783.72 15 $11,755.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $786.66 15 $11,799.90 $12,127.45 +$44.02
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET $794.90 15 $11,923.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $805.23 15 $12,078.45 $12,282.47 +$155.02
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:00am ET $799.17 15 $11,987.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $790.26 15 $11,853.90 $12,148.82 $-133.65
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,148.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,148.82
Total Return: +21.49%
Back to Anchor