Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.2/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 38.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 38.5

30-Day Momentum

10
-5.1%
30d Return
21%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,754.44
Current Value
$16,484.09
Period P&L
$-1,270.35
Max Drawdown
-25.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
3 / 13
Best Trade
+7.09%
Worst Trade
-5.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
17h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$548,086.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,270.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,270.35
Gross Return
-7.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $17,754.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $20.37 871 $17,742.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $20.15 871 $17,546.64 $17,558.81 $-195.63
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:50pm ET $21.17 829 $17,549.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $20.83 829 $17,268.07 $17,276.95 $-281.86
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $21.16 816 $17,266.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $20.91 816 $17,062.56 $17,072.95 $-204.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $19.22 888 $17,067.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $19.01 888 $16,885.32 $16,890.91 $-182.04
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 2:45pm ET $18.58 908 $16,875.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $18.29 908 $16,607.32 $16,623.05 $-267.86
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $17.56 946 $16,607.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $18.80 946 $17,784.80 $17,800.82 +$1,177.77
(+7.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $21.48 828 $17,785.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $21.85 828 $18,091.80 $18,107.18 +$306.36
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $22.19 815 $18,088.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET $21.88 815 $17,828.13 $17,846.38 $-260.80
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:50am ET $21.28 838 $17,832.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $21.06 838 $17,648.28 $17,662.02 $-184.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $21.34 827 $17,648.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $20.27 827 $16,763.29 $16,777.13 $-884.89
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $20.55 816 $16,768.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:55am ET $20.28 816 $16,552.56 $16,560.89 $-216.24
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $20.53 806 $16,547.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $20.26 806 $16,329.56 $16,343.27 $-217.62
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $21.67 754 $16,340.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $22.62 754 $17,055.48 $17,058.29 +$715.02
(+4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:55am ET $24.59 693 $17,044.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $24.34 693 $16,871.08 $16,885.04 $-173.25
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 2:45pm ET $24.76 681 $16,864.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $24.43 681 $16,637.51 $16,657.59 $-227.45
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $23.99 694 $16,649.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $23.74 694 $16,475.56 $16,484.09 $-173.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,484.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,484.09
Total Return: +64.84%
Back to Anchor