Compendium › Anchor › RIVN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIVN
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 13 trades in period

+2.36%
Last Month Return
$6,719.61
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$6,564.96
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 9.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 9.0

30-Day Momentum

20
+1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.9 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,564.96
Current Value
$6,719.61
Period P&L
$154.63
Max Drawdown
-39.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+3.37%
Worst Trade
-1.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
19.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$172,425.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$154.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$154.63
Gross Return
+2.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $6,564.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $16.80 390 $6,550.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.64 390 $6,489.60 $6,504.52 $-60.45
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET $16.62 391 $6,500.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $16.54 391 $6,467.14 $6,471.44 $-33.08
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:30am ET $16.17 400 $6,470.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:30pm ET $16.00 400 $6,398.40 $6,399.84 $-71.60
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $15.48 413 $6,391.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $15.71 413 $6,488.23 $6,496.90 +$97.05
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $15.81 410 $6,482.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $15.81 410 $6,482.51 $6,496.70 $-0.20
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:40am ET $15.65 415 $6,494.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $16.15 415 $6,702.25 $6,704.20 +$207.50
(+3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $15.72 426 $6,696.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $16.25 426 $6,922.50 $6,929.98 +$225.78
(+3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $15.90 435 $6,916.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $15.71 435 $6,833.85 $6,847.33 $-82.65
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $15.52 441 $6,844.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $15.27 441 $6,734.07 $6,737.08 $-110.25
(-1.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $15.84 425 $6,729.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $15.66 425 $6,657.62 $6,664.83 $-72.25
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $15.02 443 $6,651.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $15.19 443 $6,731.38 $6,744.57 +$79.74
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $15.38 438 $6,736.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $15.23 438 $6,668.55 $6,676.86 $-67.71
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:25am ET $14.82 450 $6,671.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $14.92 450 $6,714.00 $6,719.61 +$42.75
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,719.61
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,280.39
Total Return: -32.80%
Back to Anchor