Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:47:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.8/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 52.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 52.6

30-Day Momentum

11
-1.4%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-42 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$114.83
Current Value
$15,201.45
Period P&L
$-316.52
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+4.17%
Worst Trade
-4.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$369,818.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-316.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-316.52
Gross Return
-275.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-275.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $114.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:05am ET $62.45 245 $15,300.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $62.87 245 $15,403.15 $15,415.07 +$102.90
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:05am ET $62.45 245 $15,300.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $61.67 245 $15,109.15 $15,223.97 $-191.10
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $61.38 248 $15,221.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $63.93 248 $15,855.56 $15,858.53 +$634.56
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:10am ET $59.89 264 $15,810.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $58.55 264 $15,457.20 $15,504.77 $-353.76
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:05am ET $58.83 263 $15,472.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $59.90 263 $15,753.70 $15,786.18 +$281.41
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $59.16 266 $15,736.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $59.87 266 $15,925.42 $15,975.04 +$188.86
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:05am ET $60.92 262 $15,961.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $58.36 262 $15,290.32 $15,304.32 $-670.72
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:00am ET $58.21 262 $15,251.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $56.83 262 $14,888.15 $14,941.45 $-362.87
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:40am ET $57.05 261 $14,890.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $58.38 261 $15,237.18 $15,288.58 +$347.13
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:35pm ET $59.28 257 $15,233.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $60.07 257 $15,437.99 $15,492.89 +$204.31
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $59.90 258 $15,454.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $59.37 258 $15,317.46 $15,356.15 $-136.74
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $58.97 260 $15,333.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $58.38 260 $15,178.80 $15,201.45 $-154.70
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,201.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,201.45
Total Return: +52.01%
Back to Anchor