Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:50:09

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.0/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 41.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 41.7

30-Day Momentum

75
+12.8%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 79.1 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+34 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$-195.05
Current Value
$16,270.29
Period P&L
$2,053.45
Max Drawdown
-20.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
7 / 7
Best Trade
+5.24%
Worst Trade
-1.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.79%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$427,486.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,053.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,053.45
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $-195.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $18.89 774 $14,616.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $18.62 774 $14,411.88 $14,421.95 $-205.11
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $18.89 774 $14,616.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $19.02 774 $14,721.48 $14,526.44 +$104.49
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $18.72 775 $14,508.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $19.23 775 $14,903.25 $14,921.69 +$395.25
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $17.80 838 $14,914.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $17.59 838 $14,744.61 $14,751.83 $-169.86
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:50am ET $17.43 846 $14,745.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:20am ET $17.25 846 $14,597.73 $14,603.86 $-147.97
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:45am ET $17.74 823 $14,595.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $18.55 823 $15,266.73 $15,274.69 +$670.83
(+4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $18.09 844 $15,272.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $18.26 844 $15,410.76 $15,413.27 +$138.58
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $17.87 862 $15,403.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:00am ET $17.68 862 $15,244.47 $15,253.80 $-159.47
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:00am ET $17.15 889 $15,241.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $17.35 889 $15,424.15 $15,436.04 +$182.24
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.03 906 $15,429.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $17.50 906 $15,855.00 $15,861.86 +$425.82
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $17.11 927 $15,860.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $16.88 927 $15,643.13 $15,644.01 $-217.85
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $16.85 928 $15,641.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $16.84 928 $15,632.16 $15,634.73 $-9.28
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:50am ET $16.89 925 $15,623.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $17.77 925 $16,441.87 $16,453.45 +$818.72
(+5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $17.07 964 $16,450.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:10am ET $16.88 964 $16,267.50 $16,270.29 $-183.16
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,270.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,270.29
Total Return: +62.70%
Back to Anchor