Compendium › Anchor › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 13 trades in period

-0.26%
Last Month Return
$7,725.00
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$7,745.43
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:45

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 10.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.3

30-Day Momentum

10
-1.4%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,745.43
Current Value
$7,725.00
Period P&L
$-20.42
Max Drawdown
-25.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+2.22%
Worst Trade
-1.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$200,633.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-20.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-20.42
Gross Return
-0.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,745.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:25am ET $34.99 223 $7,802.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $34.60 223 $7,715.78 $7,745.42 $-86.99
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:45am ET $34.65 223 $7,726.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $34.41 223 $7,673.43 $7,691.90 $-53.52
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $33.96 226 $7,673.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:55am ET $33.60 226 $7,594.73 $7,612.80 $-79.10
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:50am ET $34.74 219 $7,608.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $35.32 219 $7,735.08 $7,739.82 +$127.02
(+1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $35.28 219 $7,725.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:20am ET $34.89 219 $7,640.91 $7,655.50 $-84.32
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $34.18 223 $7,622.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:50am ET $33.83 223 $7,542.98 $7,576.34 $-79.16
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $34.19 221 $7,557.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $34.38 221 $7,597.98 $7,617.23 +$40.89
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $35.31 215 $7,592.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $35.92 215 $7,722.78 $7,747.63 +$130.40
(+1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $35.06 220 $7,713.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $35.84 220 $7,884.80 $7,919.23 +$171.60
(+2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $36.06 219 $7,896.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $35.79 219 $7,838.01 $7,861.20 $-58.03
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $35.28 222 $7,833.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $35.30 222 $7,836.60 $7,864.53 +$3.33
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $34.58 227 $7,850.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:30am ET $34.24 227 $7,771.35 $7,785.08 $-79.45
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $33.63 231 $7,768.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $33.37 231 $7,708.45 $7,725.00 $-60.08
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,725.00
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,275.00
Total Return: -22.75%
Back to Anchor