Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:25:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 10.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

11
-9.9%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,270.21
Current Value
$8,358.63
Period P&L
$-911.56
Max Drawdown
-26.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.40

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+2.15%
Worst Trade
-4.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.92%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$191,894.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-911.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-911.56
Gross Return
-9.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,270.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $71.04 134 $9,518.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $69.66 134 $9,334.15 $9,091.68 $-184.55
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $72.08 126 $9,082.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $72.71 126 $9,161.22 $9,170.83 +$79.15
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $71.62 128 $9,167.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $68.93 128 $8,822.40 $8,825.87 $-344.96
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET $68.61 128 $8,782.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $70.09 128 $8,971.52 $9,014.67 +$188.80
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:50am ET $72.03 125 $9,003.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $72.92 125 $9,114.38 $9,125.92 +$111.25
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $71.50 127 $9,080.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $68.93 127 $8,754.11 $8,799.53 $-326.39
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $71.07 123 $8,741.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $67.60 123 $8,314.80 $8,373.33 $-426.20
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $69.05 121 $8,355.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET $68.34 121 $8,269.14 $8,287.42 $-85.91
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $69.46 119 $8,265.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $68.66 119 $8,170.53 $8,192.80 $-94.62
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $71.21 115 $8,189.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $72.05 115 $8,285.75 $8,288.83 +$96.03
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET $79.81 103 $8,220.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $80.49 103 $8,290.47 $8,358.63 +$69.80
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,358.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,641.37
Total Return: -16.41%
Back to Anchor