Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:22

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 11.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-5.3%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$-94.75
Current Value
$8,119.47
Period P&L
$-312.49
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-5.38%
Avg Trade Return
-0.59%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$212,374.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-312.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-312.49
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $-94.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $363.13 24 $8,715.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $355.28 24 $8,526.72 $8,620.36 $-188.40
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $363.13 24 $8,715.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $343.60 24 $8,246.40 $8,151.64 $-468.72
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $351.11 23 $8,075.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $356.43 23 $8,197.89 $8,273.94 +$122.30
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 2:35pm ET $365.60 22 $8,043.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $356.14 22 $7,834.97 $8,065.71 $-208.23
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $352.30 22 $7,750.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $370.82 22 $8,158.04 $8,473.26 +$407.55
(+5.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $362.78 23 $8,343.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET $357.38 23 $8,219.78 $8,349.10 $-124.16
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $367.39 22 $8,082.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $369.00 22 $8,118.00 $8,384.63 +$35.53
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $361.08 23 $8,304.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $362.23 23 $8,331.29 $8,411.08 +$26.45
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $359.79 23 $8,275.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $357.78 23 $8,228.94 $8,364.85 $-46.23
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:35am ET $362.08 23 $8,327.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $357.69 23 $8,226.86 $8,263.87 $-100.98
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:00am ET $365.69 22 $8,045.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET $361.33 22 $7,949.26 $8,167.93 $-95.94
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:15am ET $375.15 21 $7,878.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $374.82 21 $7,871.27 $8,161.05 $-6.88
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $379.75 21 $7,974.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $377.77 21 $7,933.17 $8,119.47 $-41.58
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,119.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,880.53
Total Return: -18.81%
Back to Anchor