Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:18

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 36.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.3

30-Day Momentum

10
-0.2%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,331.20
Current Value
$13,056.60
Period P&L
$-274.59
Max Drawdown
-19.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+2.37%
Worst Trade
-1.62%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$313,792.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-274.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-274.59
Gross Return
-2.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $13,331.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $390.14 32 $12,484.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $397.17 32 $12,709.60 $13,312.47 +$225.12
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $398.37 33 $13,146.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $393.97 33 $13,001.01 $13,167.27 $-145.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $394.02 33 $13,002.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $391.26 33 $12,911.42 $13,076.03 $-91.24
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $395.06 33 $13,036.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $399.34 33 $13,178.22 $13,217.27 +$141.24
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $394.02 33 $13,002.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $403.36 33 $13,311.02 $13,525.63 +$308.36
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:45am ET $396.72 34 $13,488.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $392.55 34 $13,346.87 $13,384.02 $-141.61
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $391.42 34 $13,308.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $385.90 34 $13,120.77 $13,196.34 $-187.68
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:30am ET $392.08 33 $12,938.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $390.35 33 $12,881.55 $13,139.25 $-57.09
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $383.92 34 $13,053.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $383.07 34 $13,024.38 $13,110.18 $-29.07
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $374.30 35 $13,100.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $377.56 35 $13,214.60 $13,224.11 +$113.93
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $376.54 35 $13,178.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $377.85 35 $13,224.58 $13,269.96 +$45.85
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $376.29 35 $13,170.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $370.19 35 $12,956.65 $13,056.60 $-213.36
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,056.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,056.60
Total Return: +30.57%
Back to Anchor